Niftyoutlook
Market Outlook 30th May to 3rd June 2022. Market has given strong push with thrust upwards towards end of this week. The rally if sustains above 16400-16495 zone will push momentum in favor of Bulls and Market can continue rally in coming week or weeks towards 16700 and above. The important level to hold and cross for Nifty would be 16400.
The Support Zones: 16219, 16026, 15913 and finally 15766. Below 15766 bears will have full control of the market.
The Resistance Zones: 16400, 16489, 16692 and 16754 will be a major resistance. Above 16754 we can see the rally consolidate towards 16900 and 17300 levels.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup for 23rd May 22 (Trading Idea)Let me know if you have any questions in the comment
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Nifty 50 Trend AnalysisIt is moving inside a descending broadening wedge pattern inside a bigger descending broadening wedge pattern highlighted.
Expecting Nifty to hit 16630 level before the last dump towards 14920 level.
16630 level is at the confluence of 50 MA, trendline resistance and the top of the runaway gap which is going to get filled along with strong bearish divergence on Daily RSI.
I have highlighted some of the areas where NIFTY fell sharply after touching 50 MA.
I don't expect we are going below 14900 level because the lower edges of both the wedges and key support trendline are in confluence.
Other macroeconomic factors supporting my view are Dollar Index and INDIAVIX.
Both are expected to give the last push upside, which will mark the bottom for NIFTY 50 and other indices.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
What to expect from this fall - NIFTY50 (Indian index)After today's gap down nifty back to range of 16000 resistance and 15650 support zone
Day trader will look to trade between this range on 400-500 pts.
15880-15850 to 15760-1730 will be the mid short range
Reversal can be considered only when the 100 Ema on hourly chart will be crossed and closed above (as per my analysis)
Will update further levels of the price goes beyond given levels
Share your opinion views in comment and if you like me to review any of your stock send the names in comment
Nifty Updates for Next week - 16th to 20th May 2022Nifty 50 Index ended lower for the sixth straight session on Friday, reversing from earlier gains. The index logged its fifth straight week of losses, the longest weekly losing streak since the Covid-19 crash, breaking the critical psychological level of 16,000. India’s retail inflation came in at an 8-year high, and RBI indicated its intent to get the repo rate back to pre-Covid levels, adding fuel to the already weak global cues. India VIX also shot up to 23.48, indicating the fear in the markets.
Week ahead
The index has been in the downtrend since April last week, making lower lows/highs, facing the downward trendline resistance. After breaking the 16,000 index made an impulsive down-move and took support near the 15,700 level. A short pullback was sold into, facing resistance at the half-bat pattern (16,070), which will now act as a major hurdle. Short-term trend reversal will be possible only if this level is broken and sustained. A break above this hurdle will see the rise extending up to 16,400. A breakdown and retest of current levels will activate the ‘ABCD’ pattern, which can take the index to 15,400 levels. 16100-15700 is the important range to look out for the week.
As the result season nears its last leg, markets will focus more on global cues to determine its direction. In India, WPI figures are expected to be released, and the most awaited IPO, LIC will be listed on the bourse during the upcoming week. Will the market bottom out? or are we here for more pain? Follow us for real-time updates as the week progresses.
Nifty 50 Updates for next weekAfter consolidating for two weeks between 16,800-17,500 levels, Nifty 50 Index finally broke the range and continued to fall sharply, triggered mainly by surprise interest rate hike by the RBI, hawkish commentary from US Fed and mixed corporate results. The short-term trend has turned bearish and it is likely that markets can further slide lower. The volatility climbed above the 21 mark again, indicating that the trend may be in favour of bears.
Week ahead
The range break during previous week has triggered ABCD (as discussed in previous weeks analysis) and XABCD Patterns. Index has formed a doji candle on the daily charts, after a significant fall and the breakdown and retesting of PDL of 16,350 will fuel fresh down-move with targets (PRZs) of 16,200 and 16,000 (Key support) respectively. One can look for a reversal in shorter timeframe in this strong demand zone. Any pullback rally is possible only if 16,500 levels is sustained with resistances at 16,650 and 16,800 (Strong resistance). Pullbacks may be short-lived as we are currently in a ‘sell-on-rise markets’ and one should keep trailing profits or keep targets small on the long side. 16,000-16,800 is the likely range for the Index in the upcoming week and volatility is expected to remain high. Carrying unhedged positions may be risky because of the gap downs / ups and its advisable to keep the position size low.
On the news front, Markets will react to RIL results in early trade on Monday. US, China and domestic inflation numbers, Data on India's industrial output, and manufacturing output will keep Indian markets on edge. Follow us for real-time updates as the week progresses.
Nifty view for 09/05/22Nifty has created a gap an has traded in a range.
It took resisitance from its 20ema on 15 minutes time frame.
Support :- 16200, 15800
Resistance :- 16480, 16620
Market has been trading in a range and has consolidated on previous trading day.
Wait and watch the price action near the levels befote trading the market.
Support for Nifty might be round the corner. (Weekly Outlook)It was a bad week for NIFTY all hopes of recovery vanished as NIFTY could not sustain above 200 EMA after failing to sustain above 50 days EMA last week. NIFTY is trapped in a downward parallel channel currently having broken even the mid channel support levels from where NIFTY can turn upwards now are at.
Important Support Levels for NIFTY will be: 16340, 16135 (key support), 16009 and finally 15500 (Channel bottom).
Important Resistance levels for NIFTY will be: 16484, 16616, 16858 and 17072.
Brilliant Recovery By Nifty. Imp support and resistance levels.Nifty closed 151.75 above days low. although the day ended in negative as Nifty closed at 17069 but the fact that Nifty took support above 200 days EMA is heart warming for investors. Follow up candles and what happens in the coming days is important as US Fed meets later this week and there are important upcoming announcements for global Central banks later this months.
Important Support Levels will be: 16917, 16867, 16788 and 16554.
Important Resistance levels will be: 17099, 17375, 17442 and 17650.
Nifty is in down trendPrimary Trend for a week on a 15 min time frame is uptrend. But last 1 one hour of previous trading day there was a huge selling. Nifty has fallen about 300 points and closed at 17111.06 that is below near weekly pivot of 17102.55.
Nifty is trading between 16800 to 17400 for 2 weeks. Everytime it broken 17000 on lower side it took support around 16800 to 16900 and bounced back to 17000. In previous fall there was a support around these levels that's holding the nifty from falling.
Because of weakness in global markets SGX nifty indicating open gapdown about 200points at 16900. That is Far below daily pivot of 17177.82 and weekly pivot of 1722.97
Nifty 50 Updates for next weekWeek ahead
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Nifty 50 Index has been stuck in a sideways range over the last two weeks. Index is oscillating between 16,800 and 17,500 and the same levels are likely to remain crucial for the upcoming week. As discussed in our previous weekly analysis (April 24, 2022), Nifty 50 Index formed a double bottom at 16800 levels (Important support for the week – Half bat pattern) and then traded in the range over the week with high volatility. Index opened with gaps on all sessions with trending moves in both directions during last 2 sessions. While the market stayed largely flat on a week-on-week basis, volatility increased. India VIX rose 5.79 per cent to 19.42.
Lately on Friday, US markets witnessed another technology led sell off. India 50 USD / SGX Nifty Index ended significantly lower, and we are likely to open with a gap down on Monday.
On the news front, the global markets are set to react to the US Fed Reserve decision slated to come in the middle of the coming week. Index heavyweights like Reliance, HDFC and Kotak Mahindra Bank will be coming up with their results during the week. Outcome of these events could possibly establish a trend (in either direction) which has been missing since last two weeks.
Can the Index rise past 17,500 and reclaim 18,000 again? (XABCD will be activated above 17500) Or will it break below 16,800 and see a steeper fall towards 16200 levels? (ABCD pattern will get activated on breakdown of 16800 levels). Join us for more real-time updates.
Pure Bearish form of NiftyHere I am mentioning 3 possibilities for Nifty 50.
Scenario 1: if Nifty breaks down to 16400 - 16300 to reverse, then it is an Inverse Head and Shoulders.
Scenario 2: Nifty May drop to 15500 around to form a double bottom on weekly and then reverse.
Scenario 3: This is worst of all, if nifty drops to 14200 then it confirms a Megaphone pattern.
Overall Nifty is in the corrective territory.
NIFTY just below 50days EMA. If 50 EMA broken expect more +ve As the NIFTY has closed just below 50 days EMA. Once the 50 days EMA is crossed. We can expect rally to continue. Ideal situation will be NIFTY opens gap up above the resistance.
Important resistance levels will be: 17254, 17423, 17666.
Important Support levels: 17074, 16960 and 16862.
Strong Closing of Nifty today but 50 EMA resistance ahead.Today Nifty had a solid closing where it rose 246.85 points and 1.46%. What lies ahead is an important resistance which can become an hindrance. That hindrance is 50 days EMA is at 17264. If that is able to cross this important resistance then further levels will be:
Resistance levels: 17384, 17607, 17858
If we are not able to cross 50 days EMA the support levels will be at : 17044, 16995, 16856.
Below 16850 closing Bears will take over the market once again.
Probable Bounce Back Zones For NiftyNifty can bounce back and make new all time high around 19K either from bounce zone F or bounce G.
Support and Resistance levels for Nifty will be as under:
Support - 16853, 16425 and below it Nifty can go to Mid or low 15Ks.
Resistance - 17042, 17264, 17660 and 17921 for now.
Nifty 50 Updates for next week April 24Continuing the analysis of Nifty50 as per the idea shared on April 19, the following are the events that unfolded.
1. Price reversed from the PRZ at 0.886 (17150) and found resistance at the confluence of the last swing high and the trend line coming from the top at 17300, triggering a late sell-off on April 19 - on the back of some news related to the Russia Ukraine war
2. The sell-off was so severe that Nifty50 breached 17000 and met the 1.13 PRZ at around 16870 levels in a flash
3. When everybody had turned bearish, the next day, April 20, saw a gap up opening above 17000, and the index posted a splendid recovery until 17500 levels on April 21, creating a highly bullish candle
4. At this point, Nifty50 had formed a half-bat pattern as shown - with 17500 as a powerful resistance level
5. When everybody was bullish because of the strong closing on April 21, the index surprised everyone with a gap down around 17240 levels - thanks to the half-bat pattern!
6. The day continued to be bearish, with Nifty closing around 17170 levels on the spot
7. During this same period, world markets have been bearish, with Dow falling almost 2000 points till the closing on Friday (April 22) and SGX nifty closed on Friday around 17000 levels after our market hours.
8. Coming into the last week of April, Nifty50 is posted around a critical range between 16800 and 17500. An ABCD pattern is visible from the point of rejection around 17500.
9. Now, coming to the possibilities for the week, these are the things that could happen
a. Nifty50 opens gap down on Monday per the global cues and breaches the 16800 levels - this will activate the ABCD and the probability of testing levels around 16230 opens up.
b. Nifty50 opens the gap down and regains 16800 levels forming a double bottom around these levels. In this scenario, two things can happen
i. Nifty50 goes sideways and trades in a range between 16800 and 17500 with high volatility
ii. Nifty50 gains momentum and breaks the 17500 barriers to become bullish and thus will form a ‘W’ pattern to scale 18000 in the May Series
10. Looking at the news flows over the weekend, things are very mixed - ICICI Bank has posted a good result, as Reliance - Future Retail deal off is not a good sign
11. Overall an exciting week ahead - we will keep you posted on how the views pan out as things evolve
Nifty Intraday Update for 22th April 22Nifty 50 Index entered a second straight day of pullback on Thursday, rebounding 400+ points in two days. Strength in IT stocks along with heavyweights Reliance and the HDFC twins aided the up move. The Nifty50 has formed a long bull candle on the daily chart, confirming a bullish reversal pattern for the short term (follow up move after forming a ‘bullish harami’ – as highlighted in Thursday analysis). Will the pullback rally continue? We are currently in the correction phase of the down-move which started during April 2nd week and a half bat pattern is formed at 17450-17550 levels. This level is likely act as a strong resistance, because of the unfilled gap and we saw a strong down move when this level was broken on Monday. 17500-16800 is the wider consolidation range.
Intraday (45M TF)
Index gave a strong closing, breaking the trend line resistance which was holding the downtrend. XABCD patter was activated after the gap up. The pullback rally can continue only if price closes and sustains above 17420 (PDH). There is no much room for an up move, because of the PRZ and unfilled gap and 17550 levels is immediate target and we have multiple swing highs going up, which will act as resistance. 17250-17200 can act as an immediate support. lHowever, since SGX Nifty is trading significantly lower, we can see a gap down opening today. In case of gap down (Price opening below we will follow our 30 minutes range break-out strategy.
Nifty Intraday Update for 19th April 22Nifty 50 Index started the week on a negative note, in continuation of the prevailing correction phase. After a 280 points gap-down opening (slightly below the ABCD target of 17218) amid weak global cues and lower than expected results from heavyweights like Infosys and HDFC Bank, the Index continued to trade with a negative bias before recovering some of the losses towards the second half, taking a bounce from hourly support. The index is now back to the range of 17000-17450, where it was stuck for 2-3 weeks during last month.
The global cues as well as the outcome of Q4 earnings will continue to add volatility in the coming sessions. Hence, one should remain cautious during the intraday.
India 50 USD Index Analysis
Higher Time Frame (4H): The Index has formed a XABCD pattern and has given an indication of a correction of its downward impulse which started from 17920 levels, taking a bounce from its PRZ level. This level has acted as good support in previous instances as well during last month. A half-bat pattern is formed at 17500 levels which also happens to be the major previous swing high and is an important resistance. Price breaking and sustaining this level can give a good upward momentum, confirming the trend reversal.
Intraday
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Lower Time Frame (1H): Having identified a potential reversal in the higher time frame, we will now drill down into the lower time frame to identify more precise levels for intraday. The index has given a good closing, breaking the downward trendline resistance, and is likely to face its next resistance at 17340, and the day low of 17100 is expected to act as good support (PRZ Levels as per XABCD). We are likely to see a range-bound market if either of the levels is not broken.