2 Red Candles throw Nifty back to support searching mode. 2 intensive Red Candles with big selling throw Nifty back to support searching mode. The strong support zone is round the corner. The chart shows Nifty is nearing 2 major trend line supports at 24257 and 24175. If these 2 supports are broken further supports for Nifty will be at 23904 and 23803. Final Mega support for Nifty will be 23684 (200 day's EMA or Father Line Support) and recent low of 23291. On the upper side resistances galore at 24445 (50 day's EMA or Mother line) followed by 24627, 24793, 24960 and finally 25209.
The selling has come on the back of Rupee hitting all time low and fears over US FED slowdown in the Rate Cuts in the year 2025 as inflation is not abetting and is continuing to grow. US Markets have already priced in 25bps rate cut for the ongoing FEd meeting. But more worry is regarding the commentary about 2025 and 1 or 2 more US FED meetings decisions before Trump administration takes over. With Nifty nearing critical support levels mentioned earlier volatility, bulls Vs bears FII Vs DII intense struggle is on cards. Bears have had an upper hand so far this week but Bulls can stage a fierce fight back any time within this week itself once Nifty confirms support.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024):
In yesterday's plan, we identified the No Trade Zone near 24,696-24,750 and the Opening Resistance at 24,830, expecting sideways movement if prices hovered in this range. As seen in the chart, the price respected the No Trade Zone, consolidating before a pullback. The Opening Intraday Support at 24,526 provided a critical holding point, and prices staged a rebound.
Today's plan will analyze multiple opening scenarios, key levels, and likely trends, helping traders prepare for action.
🔹 Nifty 50 Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 24,750 (No Trade Zone), the next critical resistance is at 24,830 (Opening Resistance). Sustaining above this level on an hourly candle close can trigger sharp short-covering, leading the index toward 25,041 (Profit Booking Resistance for 25,630).
🔹 Plan of Action:
Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe if the gap up sustains.
Enter long positions above 24,830 only if prices hold for an hourly close.
Immediate stop loss can be placed just below 24,750 for risk control.
🔹 Bullish Continuation Target:
Immediate Target: 25,041.
🔹 Risk Management:
For options traders, consider ATM or slightly ITM CE options to manage premium decay.
Avoid chasing the opening; let a pullback confirm strength.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (near 24,648-24,696)
If Nifty opens flat, the No Trade Zone at 24,696-24,750 will play a critical role. This zone might act as a sideways region (Yellow Trend) if prices struggle to break out.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Stay cautious inside the No Trade Zone as there may be choppy moves.
A breakout above 24,750 or a breakdown below 24,526 will signal the direction.
Go long above 24,750 with a stop loss below 24,696.
Go short below 24,526, targeting 24,484 and lower levels.
🔹 Bullish or Bearish Confirmation:
Bullish breakout: Above 24,750.
Bearish breakdown: Below 24,526.
🔹 Risk Management:
Use defined stop losses, and avoid overleveraging positions.
For options, consider buying spreads to reduce premium risk.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near or below 24,526 (Opening Intraday Support), the 24,484 and 24,309 levels will act as crucial supports.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Observe price action at 24,526. If support holds, expect a bounce back toward 24,696.
If 24,526 breaks, initiate short positions targeting 24,484 and 24,309.
If prices drop below 24,309 (Last Intraday Support), it could lead to a sharp decline (Red Trend).
🔹 Key Levels for Shorts:
Immediate Targets: 24,484 → 24,309.
🔹 Risk Management:
Manage trades with strict stop loss above 24,526 for shorts.
For options traders, consider buying OTM PE options for risk-limited trades.
🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Avoid holding positions overnight in volatile market conditions.
Use defined stop losses and trail profits to protect gains.
Prefer spreads (CE/PE spreads) instead of naked buying to manage risk and decay.
Wait for hourly candle closes at critical levels for better confirmation.
🔹 Summary & Conclusion:
Above 24,750, expect bullish continuation towards 25,041.
Flat opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution; wait for breakout/breakdown.
Below 24,526, bears can take control, with levels 24,484 and 24,309 acting as key supports.
Watch price action near support/resistance and avoid random entries.
🔹 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty searching for upward momentum. Nifty has again held on to the Motherline support of 50 Hours EMA today and if it is able to cross the resistance of 24698 more upside can be on the cards. In such a scenario the resistances on the upside in addition to 24698 will be at 24775, 24852, 24975 and finally 25147.
The supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at Mother line of 50 Hours EMA which is at 24852, 24398 Father line support of 200 hours EMA, Mid channel support at 24290 and finally the support is at 24174. Below 24174 Nifty become very weak. Above 25147 there will be a parallel channel breakout and Bulls will become very powerful. The signs are positive and despite a negative day on the browsers shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 17, 2024I am bullish tomorrow. While calculating the Nifty spot levels, gaps on the either side are not taken into account. So levels may vary.
The content provided here are only views and the real-time market may not be in line to my forecast. Use it only for educational purposes.
Nifty Breakout Confirmation- Ready to hit 25,647 !!Nifty 50: Outlook for next week and feb-25
After analyzing the index’s movement from August to December 2024, Nifty 50 has exhibited two key patterns:
1. Head & Shoulders:
• Rally from 24,887 to ATH 26,277 (Sep 9–26).
• Breakdown after completing the right shoulder on Oct 21, leading to a 1,500-point fall to 23,291 on Nov 22.
2. Inverse Head & Shoulders:
• Formation began on Oct 23, with the head completed on Nov 21 and a neckline formed by Nov 26.
• On Dec 4, the right shoulder completed, followed by a breakout above 24,463. The index consolidated for a week between Dec 4–13, strengthening the breakout signal.
Outlook
With strong confirmation of a bullish reversal above last week close, supported by FIIs inflows and favorable macroeconomic data (CPI/IIP), It is highly likely that Nifty 50 is likely to hit 25,647 by December 23, 2024. If the breakout doesn’t happen then we can see a consolidation and retest on last week levels failing which will lead to a breakdown which can push Nifty to 23,000 levels by Februrary 2025
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI-registered. This analysis is for educational and study purposes only. Any trade taken based on this view is solely at your own risk and is not a recommendation.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 15th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the 5-minute candle which closes above 24,940
Sell Below: The low of the 5-minute candle which closes below 24,600
Risk Strategies:
Risk Strategy 1:
If the market opens with a gap up around 24,820-24,840, wait for the first 5-minute candle to close.
Enter a buy position above the high of the first 5-minute candle.
Enter a sell position below the low of the first 5-minute candle.
Stop-Loss: Use a stop-loss of 30 points for both buy and sell positions.
Risk Strategy 2:
If the market opens with a gap up around 24,920-24,950, wait for the first 5-minute candle to close.
Enter a buy position above the high of the first 5-minute candle.
Enter a sell position below the low of the first 5-minute candle.
Stop-Loss: Use a stop-loss of 30 points for both buy and sell positions.
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 5-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 16-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty 16-Dec-2024
Intro: Yesterday's Plan vs Actual
The chart uploaded for 15-Dec-2024 accurately depicted the market's movement. As anticipated, Nifty faced sharp recovery from mentioned zone after a sharp decline in prices. Monday’s plan builds on these insights, focusing on opening scenarios and trading strategies.
Plan for Different Opening Scenarios
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,781)
If Nifty opens significantly higher, near or above 25,053 :
Expect resistance around 25,053 (marked red on the chart). Observe for rejection signals such as bearish candles or reduced buying momentum.
Plan of Action:
For aggressive traders: Initiate a short position with a target of 24,767 , placing a stop-loss above 25,100 on an hourly candle close basis.
For conservative traders: Wait for a pullback toward the consolidation zone ( 24,653 - 24,767 ) for potential long positions, targeting a retest of 25,053 .
Watch out for a decisive breakout above 25,053 , which can trigger further bullish momentum toward 25,335 .
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,781)
If Nifty opens near the previous close:
The consolidation zone ( 24,653 - 24,767 ) will act as a critical area.
Plan of Action:
Initiate long positions if Nifty sustains above 24,767 with targets of 25,053 . Place stop-loss below 24,653 .
If Nifty slips below 24,653 , short positions can be considered with a target of 24,542 . Ensure a tight stop-loss above 24,653 .
Pay attention to the price action in the yellow trend zone, as sideways movement could lead to traps.
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,781)
If Nifty opens near 24,542 or lower:
24,542 is the opening support level (marked green on the chart). Observe for sharp recovery signs like bullish engulfing candles.
Plan of Action:
For bulls: Look for a recovery from 24,542 to target 24,653 with a stop-loss below 24,500 .
If 24,542 breaks decisively, expect bearish momentum toward 24,217 . In this case, initiate shorts with a target of 24,217 and stop-loss above 24,542 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Avoid taking positions during the first 15-30 minutes of market opening to avoid false moves.
For intraday options trading, use at-the-money or slightly in-the-money options to minimize time decay impact.
Set a fixed risk percentage (e.g., 2-3% of your capital) per trade. Stick to it strictly.
Avoid holding positions beyond your planned targets. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits during trending moves.
Summary and Conclusion
The key zones to watch today are:
Support: 24,542 , 24,653 .
Resistance: 25,053 , 25,335 .
Green trend indicates bullish potential, yellow for sideways movement, and red for bearish scenarios.
Adapt to price action at critical levels and prioritize proper risk management.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult with their financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
The Nifty Spot Intraday trend forecast for December 16, 2024Here is the Nifty intraday likely trend for December 16, 2024. The trend looks bearish during the day. There is a possibility of Gap up opening. The intraday levels provided in the graph may vary subject to Gaps on the either side. This information is only for educational purposes.
Next Target 25400 Analysis on NSE:NIFTY
After facing resistance near the 24,850 level, there was no significant follow-through selling pressure. This lack of bearish momentum might indicate a potential bullish move towards the 25,400 - 25,500 levels.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI-registered. This is NOT trading advice.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction
In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty 50 Index and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades.
Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap up above 24,711.00, it is crucial to watch for a retest of the last and important resistance for intraday at 24,735.00. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,940.00.
Place a stop loss just below 24,711.00 to manage risk.
If the price fails to sustain above 24,735.00 and shows signs of reversal, consider short positions targeting the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00.
Monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor.
Flat Opening
If Nifty opens flat around 24,539.50, observe the price action within the highlighted yellow zone.
A breakout and sustained movement above this range can pave the way for Nifty to target levels of 24,711.00 and 24,735.00.
Initiate long positions if the price breaks above the yellow zone with a stop loss just below the breakout level.
If the price remains within the yellow zone, avoid taking new positions and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown.
In case of a breakdown below the yellow zone, consider short positions targeting the support zone at 24,484.00.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap down below 24,450.00, it is essential to watch for a retest of the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00.
If the price fails to reclaim this level and shows signs of further weakness, initiate short positions targeting the extended zone for Wave C correction at 24,354.00.
Place a stop loss just above 24,484.00 to manage risk.
If the price sustains above 24,484.00 after a gap down, consider long positions targeting the yellow zone and monitor for a potential reversal.
Adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to limit potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging and trade within your risk tolerance.
Diversify your trades to spread risk across different positions.
Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options.
Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
In summary, the trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key support and resistance levels based on the opening scenario. For a gap-up opening, focus on sustaining above 24,735.00 for long positions. For a flat opening, watch for a breakout from the yellow zone. For a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,484.00 level for potential short positions. Implementing proper risk management strategies is crucial for successful options trading.
Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty50 Important levels and analysis - 12 Dec 2024After a 10-11% correction the Nifty50 found support at 23250 on 21 Nov 2024 which now acts as a stop-loss for Long term investors.
It broke the sloping trend-line on 25 Nov 2024 with a gap-up open, finding resistance at 23350 retraced to 23850 and then made a strong up move, this formation is a ideal setup for Swing Traders, who might have taken a trade at 24350 with a stop-loss at 23850.
Next smaller resistance was at 24540 which it broke convincingly on 5th Dec 2024.
But over this past one week, that strong move from 23250 has fizzled a little, which until yesterday was alright but today's 12 Dec 2024 bearish candle indicator re-tracement back to 24350.
Even though the market is in Rally mode, Level 24753 needs to be broken convincingly for this trend to continue. But it may take some effort as this level (24750) was the base level of the head and shoulder pattern that had formed over Sept-Oct.
I am expecting sideways moves in the near term, in the range of 24350 to 24750, but will turn bearish if 24350 support is broken. And bullish only if 24750 is broken with good volumes
Disclaimer: This is purely educational and part of my learning, I cannot provide any recommendations, just my educated analysis based on my experience, please consult a financial/investment advisor (which i am not) for any investment/trades.
Trendline sending Nifty in consolidation mode. Trendline sending Nifty in consolidation mode for last few days. The positive thing is that Nifty is still holding above 50 hours EMA which we call Mother Line. The Mother line is at 24545 and the closing we got today is 24548. So Mother line still remains support. There is an additional support at 24500 too in addition to Father line which is 200 Hours EMA is also a very important support. Father line is at 24364. Below 24364 Nifty will become weak again and we can see it fall to the levels of 24100, 23907 and 23187. Resistances for Nifty remain at 24723, 24904, 25240 and finally 25514. 25514 will be a strong resistance. If we get a closing above 25514 Bulls have potential to grip the market very firmly and take it to previous highs if not new highs.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Intraday trend forecast for tomorrow December 13, 2024On December 13, 2024 the Nifty spot is likely to close on a bullish note. If the given resistance 2 is broken, then it may move further up. However, the Nifty range may be around 150 points.
This is only for educational purposes. Any trade without a stop-loss is highly emotional and invalid.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 12-Dec-2024NIFTY Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024
Intro: Review of 11-Dec-2024 Plan vs Actual
The trading plan for 11-Dec-2024 outlined key levels such as the Bullish Order Block (24,655–24,607) and the Liquidity Zone (24,820). As predicted, the market respected the "No Trade Zone" initially, followed by consolidation in the Liquidity Zone. The sideways movement highlighted by the yellow trend prevailed, with no significant breakout or breakdown occurring during the session. The Profit Booking Zone at 25,053 remained untouched. This demonstrates the importance of waiting for clear confirmation before executing trades.
Today's updated chart builds upon these levels and provides actionable insights for 12-Dec-2024 based on anticipated price movements.
Opening Scenarios and Plan for 12-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,652):
If the market opens above 24,750:
Resistance Zone: Immediate resistance remains at 24,820 (Liquidity Zone). Price could either consolidate here or witness selling pressure. Monitor price action for clear breakout signals.
Action Plan: Avoid long entries near the Liquidity Zone unless a breakout above 24,940 is confirmed. Short positions can be initiated on rejection from 24,820, targeting 24,652.
Alternate Scenario: Sustained movement above 24,940 indicates bullish momentum, with targets at the Profit Booking Zone (25,053).
Yellow trend highlights a cautionary approach in consolidation zones.
Flat Opening (Near 24,629–24,652):
If the market opens flat:
No Trade Zone: Expect price to oscillate within 24,629–24,652, indicating indecisiveness. Avoid trading in this range.
Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 24,652 with a retest offers long opportunities, targeting the Liquidity Zone at 24,820.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 24,541.65 suggests bearish momentum, with potential shorts targeting Buyer’s Strong Support at 24,374–24,338.
Yellow trend signals limited movement; wait for breakouts for better trades.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,541.65):
If the market opens below 24,450:
Support Zone: The critical support lies at 24,374–24,338, aligning with Buyer’s Strong Support near the CHoCH level.
Action Plan: Look for reversal signs near the support zone to initiate long trades with a tight stop loss below 24,300, aiming for 24,541.65.
Alternate Scenario: If this support fails, avoid aggressive longs and wait for stabilization before entering.
Red trend suggests bearish momentum; trade cautiously.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading
Use predefined stop losses to cap potential losses. For example, place stops below 24,541 for bullish trades and below 24,300 for reversal trades.
Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes to allow for market direction to emerge.
For option buyers, select ATM or slightly ITM options to reduce the impact of time decay.
Maintain a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio to ensure consistent profitability.
Position sizing should align with your risk tolerance to handle volatile price swings.
Summary and Conclusion
The NIFTY index remains in a consolidation phase with critical levels identified for bullish and bearish scenarios.
Liquidity Zone (24,820) and Buyer’s Support (24,374–24,338) are key areas to monitor for actionable trades.
Avoid trading in indecisive zones and wait for clear breakouts or breakdowns.
Effective risk management remains crucial, especially in volatile markets.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
Good consolidation by Nifty. Getting ready for another jump?The positive close today and the movement inside the star is indicative of a small or medium jump before it takes another break for consolidation if Nifty can continue to hold ground and close above critical resistance of 24743. Crossing and closing above 24743 is very important for this to happen. If we get a closing above 24743 the next resistances will be at the levels of 24904, 25240 and 25514. 25514 region looks again like a strong resistance zone which will require another consolidation or strong Bullish momentum to cross that zone.
If Nifty is not able to close above 24743 then the current rally can become weak or we can even see fizzling out of the same. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 24422 (50 EMA Strong Mother line support on daily candle chart), 24294 and 24100. Below 24100 there is a strong support zone between 23907 Star base support, 23648 (200 days EMA very strong Father line support on daily chart), 23187. (Which is a very very strong support as it has the star bottom coinciding with Channel bottom support.)(This seems to be the worst case scenario as of now in unlikely circumstances).
If you want to learn more about charts, Candle stick analytics, Fundamental analysis, Mother and Father line importance, How to book profits, how to find a balance between Technical and fundamental analysis through Happy Candles Numbers, understand behavioural Finance and other interesting topics by learning which you can make your money work harder you should read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION which is available on Amazon in paperback and kindle version. E-version of the same is available on Google Play Books too. The link to purchase the book is available at the bottom of this page in the signature section.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 11-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty on 11-Dec-2024
Intro for the Previous Day's Chart Pattern :
On 10-Dec-2024, Nifty exhibited a mixed trend with a sharp shift in demand zones. The chart revealed a significant buyer's support near the CHoCH (Change of Character) level, with a consolidation phase observed in the "No Trade Zone." The yellow trend marked sideways action, while green and red trends indicated bullish and bearish movements, respectively. The index also faced resistance in the liquidity zone, signaling profit-booking scenarios.
Trading Plan for 11-Dec-2024 :
Gap-Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,620):
A gap-up opening above 24,720 would position the index near the liquidity zone. Traders should:
Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe price stability.
If Nifty sustains above 24,780 (liquidity zone), initiate long trades targeting 24,891 (Resistance/Profit Booking Zone).
Place a stop loss below 24,652 (Opening Resistance/Support Zone) on a closing basis.
If prices face rejection near 24,820 , wait for a bearish hourly candle to confirm a downside move towards 24,680 . Avoid aggressive buying in the resistance zone.
Flat Opening (near 24,620):
A flat opening suggests indecision. Plan of action:
Let the market settle for 15-30 minutes within the "No Trade Zone."
Breakout above 24,652 can lead to bullish momentum, targeting 24,780 and higher.
Breakdown below 24,541 could initiate bearish moves targeting 24,374 and 24,338 .
Risk management is crucial here; tight stop losses are essential to avoid unnecessary losses.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,620):
A gap-down opening near 24,500-24,480 will likely test the buyer's strong support zone around 24,374 . Actions to consider:
If Nifty holds above 24,374 , initiate long trades for a reversal, targeting 24,541 (Opening Support Zone).
If the index breaches 24,338 , prepare for further downside with targets at 24,280 .
Wait for clear rejection or reversal patterns to confirm your entries. Avoid panic-selling in bearish moves.
Tips for Options Trading Risk Management:
Trade with defined stop losses and avoid holding positions beyond your risk appetite.
Use "ATM" (At-The-Money) options for quicker returns in trending markets.
For sideways trends, prefer strategies like straddle or strangle.
Avoid over-leveraging, and never risk more than 2-3% of your trading capital on a single trade.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty's movement on 11-Dec-2024 will hinge on its ability to sustain critical zones like 24,652 and 24,374 . While green trends indicate bullish potential, red trends signal caution for bearish moves. Adhering to risk management principles and waiting for clear price action confirmation will enhance your trade quality and reduce unnecessary losses.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is based on personal research and is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 10-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty 50 – 10-Dec-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Nifty witnessed a mix of consolidation and momentum shifts. The Liquidity Zone around 24,767 acted as a crucial resistance level, while support near 24,541.65 helped stabilize the index. The chart shows a No Trade Zone between 24,626.60 and 24,652.35, indicating indecisiveness. A clear trend above or below this range will dictate the next move. Yellow signifies sideways movement, green shows bullish potential, and red highlights bearish breakdowns.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap-Up Opening (+100 Points):
If Nifty opens near 24,767 or higher, it will test the Opening Resistance . This level aligns with the Liquidity Zone observed previously.
Action Plan:
A breakout above 24,767 could push the index toward the Profit Booking Zone at 25,053. Enter long positions only if the first 15-minute candle closes above 24,767, with a stop loss at 24,652.35.
If rejection occurs at 24,767, expect a pullback toward 24,652.35. Short positions can be considered below 24,767, targeting the No Trade Zone.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid aggressive positions at key resistance zones. Use limited-risk strategies like debit spreads to manage exposure.
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens near 24,652.35, it enters the No Trade Zone . This is a neutral region, and waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown is recommended.
Action Plan:
A breakout above 24,652.35 can lead to a bullish move toward 24,767. Initiate long positions with tight stop losses at 24,541.65.
A breakdown below 24,626.60 could trigger bearish momentum, targeting 24,541.65. Consider short trades in this scenario, with stop losses at 24,652.35.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in consolidation zones. Use trailing stop losses to secure profits during volatile phases.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 Points or More):
If Nifty opens near 24,541.65 or lower, it will test the Opening Support or even the Buyer's Strong Support near 24,338.
Action Plan:
Watch for a bullish reversal near 24,338. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,541.65. Use 24,300 as a stop loss.
A breakdown below 24,338 could lead to a bearish continuation toward 24,200. Short positions can be initiated in such cases, with stop losses above 24,338.
Risk Management Tip: In gap-down scenarios, prioritize hedged strategies like iron condors to mitigate large swings.
Summary & Conclusion:
Resistance Levels: 24,767 , 25,053
Support Levels: 24,541.65 , 24,338 , 24,200
A breakout or breakdown from the No Trade Zone will set the directional bias for the day. Traders should remain cautious and avoid emotional trading.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor or conduct independent research before trading.
Nifty still consolidating after hitting the channel top. Nifty is in consolidation mode after making hitting the channel top last week. Nifty is also squeezing between support and resistance trend line with very less space remaining for maneuvering. Thus a big move on either side can be expected in a day or two. Positive movement continued in Mid and Small cap indices. The sectors that remained positive on Monday were IT, PSUs, Realty and Metals. The laggard sectors were Auto, Media, FMCG, PSU banks and Energy.
The supports for Nifty are at: 24584, 24507, 24467 (Mother line support of hourly candle), 24307 (Father Line support of hourly candle), 24172 (Mid channel support) and finally 23869. Below 23869 the Nifty will become very weak.
The Resistance for Nifty remain at: 24641, 24759, 24858 and finally 24961. (24961 will be the channel top resistance).
Link to by my book on stock market investing is given in the signature section in this message below.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 9th DecemberNifty opened flat as because of RBI Policy we saw some volatility in first hour but then Nifty traded in a small range whole day and it was more of a options sellers day.
For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24755 you can consider buying for 27800 and above marked level. On the other side, if Nifty sustains below 24640 you can consider taking a sell trade for the target of 24590 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24755
Sell Below - 24640
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Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Riding the Correction: Unlocking NIFTY’s Next Chapter!Dear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. The recent upward movement & the following correction in the market have unfolded as anticipated. Over the past two months, my analysis has consistently pointed to an expected correction due to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns.
Technical Analysis Overview:
There are three potential scenarios for the ongoing trend, ranked based on their likelihood of occurring.
Scenario I:
The move initiated from 20 MAR’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (16,828.35 – 26277.35) has spanned over 80 weeks (18M) and indicates a significant completion of wave patterns, suggesting an imminent correction. See the visual representation of the trend lines and corresponding fib retracement levels here:
The correlation between static supports can be observed around 23,893.70 and 21,181.45. This correction is expected to be visible within a 3-month timeframe.
Potential support levels include
S – I: 24,893 ~ 24,753 ~ 24,430 levels,
S – II: 24,050 ~24,000 levels and
S – III: 23,683 levels.
*These values are not actual but just levels
The correction might extend to deeper levels (22,664 & 21,550) as the market progresses.
Time resistances are anticipated on 09th OCT, 17th OCT, and 30th OCT for all probable scenarios.
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Scenario II:
The move from 26 OCT’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (18,837.85 – 26,277.35) has completed mid-way and is expected to continue after this correction, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. Find the visual representation of this move with trend lines & fib retracements here:
The range of this move is limited to the monthly timeframe, indicating the completion of 1 year from the start of this sub-trend.
Potential support levels include,
S – I: 24,525 ~ 24,378 levels,
S – II: 23,900 ~ 23,893.70 levels and
S – III: 23,450 levels.
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Scenario III:
The move from 04 JUN’24 – 27 SEPT’24 (21,121.45 – 26,277.35) has almost completed its half journey and is facing a correction before extending its uptrend by a few more waves. While this scenario has the lowest probability compared to the others, it is essential to consider its potential impact on the current trend.
The pictorial representation can be seen here:
Further details are not added as the market actions till now does not validate this probability.
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Other Influential Factors:
Geo-political tensions and concerns regarding escalation have historically preceded corrections prior to the US presidential elections, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment. Tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the market plunge, albeit not solely responsible for it. Additionally, the FED's likely rate cuts have been influenced by the upcoming US elections, and SEBI's regulatory actions aim to curb over-optimism and maintain market neutrality.
Important Dates to Remember:
Mark your calendars for OCT 9th (RBI interest rate decision @ 10AM) and OCT 10th (US inflation reports).
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Final Verdict:
While the scenarios are meticulously laid out, the selection of the valid scenario remains a work in progress. We are eagerly awaiting further cues from the market and will provide updates as they unfold. However, one thing remains certain – the current trend has reversed (at least for the mentioned time frames). Therefore, adopting a bearish stance could prove to be profitable.
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Strategy:
Considering the current market conditions, adopting a bearish stance seems prudent, especially levels around 24,450 ~ 24,000 are to be tested. Keep a close watch on the market and stay informed for potential opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Fellow Traders,
Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be made via this post, new post & through minds) . Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article,
Your readership is greatly appreciated.
Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 09-Dec-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 09-Dec-2024
Previous Day's Chart Pattern:
On 08-Dec-2024, Nifty displayed a range-bound movement within the No Trade Zone (24,674 – 24,780) , with intermittent attempts to break out on both sides. Buyers showed interest near the liquidity zone around 24,484 , but resistance at 24,780 capped upward momentum. The yellow zone signified consolidation, green highlighted bullish efforts, and red depicted bearish dominance. This creates a balanced yet cautious outlook for the next trading session.
Trading Plan for 09-Dec-2024:
Gap-Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,780):
If Nifty opens above 24,780:
The immediate target will be 24,878 . A sustained move above this level may lead to a test of the profit-booking zone at 25,053 .
Enter long positions above 24,780 with a stop loss at 24,730 . Watch for rejection patterns near 24,878 for partial profit booking.
In case of a sharp reversal from 24,878, the index could retrace toward 24,780. Avoid aggressive longs if rejection occurs at higher levels.
Risk Management Tip: Opt for slightly OTM call options in small quantities. Use trailing stops to secure profits near resistance zones.
Flat Opening (Within the No Trade Zone 24,674 – 24,780):
A flat opening within the No Trade Zone requires patience:
If Nifty breaks above 24,780, initiate longs with targets of 24,878 and 25,053 .
On the downside, a fall below 24,674 can lead to a retest of the first buyer’s support at 24,484 . Initiate shorts cautiously with a stop loss above 24,700.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in a sideways zone. Wait for clear breakouts before taking positions. Avoid weekly options in choppy zones.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,674):
If Nifty opens below 24,674:
First support lies at 24,484 . If this zone holds, we may witness a reversal toward 24,674. Look for bullish candles to confirm long entries.
A break below 24,484 will likely test the liquidity zone at 24,446 or deeper support at 24,374 – 24,338 . Enter shorts below 24,484 with a stop loss near 24,500.
Risk Management Tip: For gap-down scenarios, consider put options with a spread strategy to limit losses. Avoid chasing price movements without confirmation.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty's key levels to monitor are 24,674 – 24,780 (No Trade Zone), 24,878 (Opening Resistance), and 25,053 (Profit Booking Zone).
The green zones represent bullish trends, yellow highlights consolidation, and red indicates bearish zones.
Focus on executing trades only after confirmation and manage risks with disciplined stop-loss placements.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Traders are advised to do their research or consult a financial advisor before trading.