Bearish Outlook on Nifty – Based on Smart Money ConceptI'm seeing a clear downside setup on Nifty, with Smart Money indicating distribution and the market transitioning into a bearish trend.
📉 Target: 25,340
📍 Current Price: 25,474
🔍 Reasoning: Clear signs of institutional distribution and lower highs/lows forming. Smart Money is exiting, suggesting the beginning of a deeper correction.
Will monitor closely for any change in structure, but as of now, bias remains strongly bearish.
Niftyprediction
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down today, continuing its bearish momentum seen in recent sessions. The index is now trading well below the key resistance zone of 24,750–24,800, with a visible weakness on the chart.
A short opportunity may arise if Nifty stays below the 24,750–24,700 zone. Any pullback toward this level may face selling pressure, and fresh shorts can be considered with downside targets of 24,600, 24,550, and 24,500-.
If the index breaks below the 24,450 level, the selling momentum may intensify, targeting 24,350, 24,300, and 24,250- levels intraday. This level marks a critical support, and traders should closely monitor price action here.
On the other hand, a reversal can only be expected if Nifty reclaims the 24,750–24,800 zone with strength. In that case, a bounce toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+ is possible, but the reversal is only valid if strong bullish price action sustains above 24,800.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 28/07/2025Nifty is expected to open slightly lower and remains under selling pressure from higher levels. The key intraday zone to watch is 24,750–24,900, which may act as a trigger range for today's direction.
If Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone, a short-covering rally may push the index toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+. This zone may offer a reversal opportunity if supported by strong price action.
On the downside, if the index fails to hold above 24,900–24,950, further weakness may be seen below 24,700, opening downside targets at 24,600, 24,550, and 24,500-.
The broader price action suggests a narrow consolidation between 24,700–24,900, with either side breakout likely to lead to intraday momentum. Maintain strict risk management and avoid aggressive trades within this zone.
Almost There: Nifty Closing in on My Target Zone 25340In this update, I’m revisiting the setup I shared earlier that points towards NIFTY’s next potential target at 25,340. The analysis covers the key levels, price action structure, and the factors supporting this move. This setup is based on clear technical confirmations and disciplined risk management — not just speculation.
Please remember to follow your own plan and manage your trades responsibly. This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Let’s see how the price action unfolds!
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 25, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 25, 2025 – Friday 🔴
"When the tide goes out, you discover who’s been swimming naked." – Warren Buffett
Nifty GapDowns Below Key Support and Slips Further
The market opened with a sharp GapDown, breaching the previous day's low and instantly shedding 150 points within the first hour. Nifty attempted to find footing near the crucial 21st July low zone of 24,850–24,880, but the support gave way, slipping an additional 50 points.
The day mostly drifted around these lower levels with bearish dominance. Though bulls made an effort to recover late in the session, it lacked strength. The index finally settled at 24,837, decisively closing below the 21st July low — signalling a deeper structural breakdown.
📉 Trend & Zone Update
Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,144 ~ 25,155
Support Zone Shifted To: 24,729 ~ 24,755
📊 What If Plans – 28th July Outlook
🅰️ Plan A (Contra Long Setup)
If market opens inside the previous day range and finds support at 24,815 ~ 24,850
Then potential targets are 24,920, 24,965, and 25,020
🅱️ Plan B (Trend is Friend – Short Continuation)
If market opens inside range and faces resistance around 24,965 ~ 24,995
Then aim for 24,850, 24,815, 24,780, and 24,730
⏸️ On-the-Go Plan
If market Gaps Up/Down outside previous day’s range
Then wait for the Initial Balance (IB) to form and act based on structure and S/R levels.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,010.35
High: 25,010.35
Low: 24,806.35
Close: 24,837.00
Candle Structure
Body: Strong red candle (−173.35 pts)
Upper Wick: None (open = high)
Lower Wick: 30.65 pts
Interpretation:
A textbook bearish Marubozu — shows sellers had control throughout.
Bears stepped in immediately from open, preventing any bullish response.
Minimal lower wick implies limited buyer defense even at the session low.
Key Insight:
Bears are in command; bulls must reclaim 25,000+ quickly to prevent further downside.
If 24,800–24,820 breaks, eyes shift to 24,700–24,750 zone next.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 192.95
IB Range: 87.4 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trades Triggered:
🕙 10:10 AM – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:2.4 R:R)
🧭 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones
24,920
24,965
24,995 ~ 25,018
25,080
25,140 ~ 25,155
Support Zones
24,780
24,755 ~ 24,729
24,640
📌 Final Thoughts
When strong candles appear back-to-back with no meaningful recovery in between, it’s not just a correction — it’s a statement. In this market phase, reacting to price structure rather than assumptions will keep you on the right side. Stay nimble, stay prepared.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty Chart📉 Nifty Technical Outlook – Bearish Bias with Macro Overhang
Nifty continues to show bearish momentum, having taken strong resistance near the 25450–25800 zone, which aligns with the runaway gap on the daily chart and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent decline.
On the short-term chart, a Head and Shoulder breakdown has already occurred, followed by a retest, which supports the ongoing weak sentiment.
In addition to technical factors, India–US trade talks are currently in focus. Uncertainty around tariffs, tech cooperation, and strategic agreements may keep market participants cautious in the near term. Any negative development could add to downside pressure, while a breakthrough might limit losses.
🔻 Key Technical Levels:
Major Resistance: 25450–25800 (Runaway Gap + Fibo 78.6%)
Immediate Support: 24200 (short-term support zone)
Next Support: 23700 (historical support level)
As long as Nifty stays below 25450, the trend remains bearish, with potential downside toward 24150–24200 and further to 23700, depending on trade talk developments and market sentiment.
📝 Note: This analysis is intended only for study and educational purposes. Please consult a qualified advisor before making any investment decisions. Market behavior is subject to change based on news, global trends, and macroeconomic factors.
Nifty Weekly Market Update – Brace for Bearish Momentum? Nifty ended the week at 24,837, down 131 points from last week’s close. It made a high of 25,246 and a low of 24,806, staying perfectly within my projected range of 25,400–24,500.
As highlighted earlier, Nifty has now formed an inverted hammer on the weekly chart — a classic bearish reversal candlestick. 🔍
📅 Flashback: On 6th July, I mentioned giving bulls 10–15 days of playtime. That phase seems to be ending. The monthly time frame remains bearish, and now the weekly chart is aligning, indicating a stronger downside risk.
🔮 What’s Next?
👉 Expect Nifty to trade between 25,300–24,400 in the coming week.
👉 A break below 24,400 could open doors to 23,900.
👉 If 24,400 holds, bulls may still have a chance to regroup.
🧠 Pro Tip: Only Nifty Pharma is showing resilience. Those looking for long trades should focus on strong pharma stocks — the rest of the sectors are showing bearish signs.
Meanwhile in the US:
S&P 500 hits another all-time high, closing at 6,388, up 90 points from last week. My long-standing target of 6,568 now looks well within reach.
But here’s the catch — despite US strength, it’s not supporting Indian markets. If US markets correct, expect intensified selling pressure in India.
🎯 Strategy for Indian investors:
Let the bears rule till 7–8 August. Stay alert, and be ready to grab high-quality stocks at bargain prices. This is not the time to panic, but to prepare smartly.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a slight gap-down and is currently trading within a tight consolidation zone between 24,950 and 25,050. This narrow 100-point range has acted as a critical zone over the past sessions, indicating indecision and low conviction among traders.
A sustained move above 25,050–25,100 may provide a long opportunity with potential upside targets of 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. Strong bullish momentum will only be confirmed if Nifty manages to close above 25,250, which may push the index further toward 25,350–25,400 in the coming days.
On the other hand, a breakdown below 24,950 will shift the bias toward bearishness. A short setup could then target 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750- levels.
Until then, expect sideways price action between 24,950 and 25,050. Traders should wait for a breakout or breakdown before entering fresh trades. Avoid aggressive entries inside this tight band.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a bullish gap-up today, breaching the 25,250 resistance zone. This level has been acting as a consolidation ceiling in recent sessions, and today’s opening above it indicates strong buying momentum in the market.
If Nifty sustains above 25,250, we may witness a fresh upside rally towards the immediate targets of 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+. A decisive breakout above this zone would mark the continuation of the upward trend and may attract aggressive long-side participation.
On the downside, if Nifty slips and sustains below 25,200–25,250, weakness could resume. A break below 25,200 may lead to a correction toward 25,150, 25,100, and possibly even 25,050-, which will now act as a crucial support zone.
Overall, today's session may remain bullish above 25,250 with momentum trades favored on the long side.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/07/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-up, indicating positive early sentiment. After breaking out from the previous day’s consolidation zone, the index has shown strength around the 25,050 level, which will now act as an important intraday support. If this level is held during the early session, we can expect further upside continuation.
A move above the 25,050–25,100 zone can trigger upward momentum with potential targets at 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. Sustained strength above 25,250 will open the door for further bullish moves toward 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+, making it a favorable long scenario for trending market conditions.
However, if the index fails to hold above the 25,050 level and starts trading back below 24,950, it may again enter a bearish territory. In such a case, downside targets of 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750- are possible, indicating weakness and reversal from resistance.
NIFTY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ZONES FOR 22-07-2025Nifty Support & Resistance Zones for Tomorrow 22-07-2025
Based on price cluster analysis and recent market structure, the following key support and resistance levels have been identified for the upcoming session:
Resistance Zones:
25438.25 – 25454.15
25363.45 – 25374.55
25257.60 – 25287.05
25178.00 – 25194.70
25089.70 – 25111.15
Support Zones:
25012.50 – 25030.00
24901.90 – 24931.35
24800.00 – 24825.50
24725.20 – 24733.20
24642.45 – 24651.20
These levels are derived from high-probability zones where price has shown repeated interaction in the recent past. Watch how Nifty reacts at these zones for potential breakout, reversal, or pullback setups.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/07/2025Nifty is likely to start the day with a flat opening, as current price action is indicating a consolidation phase near the lower range. The zone between 24,950–25,050 is acting as a key area of indecision, where prices are stuck in a tight range, showing a lack of clear momentum. This consolidation could lead to a breakout or breakdown depending on how the index reacts at key levels.
If Nifty sustains above 25,050, it may trigger a short-term upward move, breaking the consolidation phase. In such a scenario, an upside rally towards 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+ levels can be expected, making it a favorable long setup for intraday traders.
On the contrary, if the index slips below 24,950, the selling pressure may increase, and downside momentum can accelerate. A breakdown here could pull the index towards support levels of 24,850, 24,800, and even 24,750-, which would confirm bearish strength.
Traders are advised to avoid aggressive positions within the consolidation zone and wait for a breakout or breakdown for directional trades. Quick entries with partial profit booking at every level and strict stop-losses are recommended to manage risk efficiently in today’s range-bound environment.
Wkly Market Wrap: Nifty Under Pressure, S&P 500 Hits Record HighThe Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,968, down 180 points from the previous week's close. It traded within a tight range, posting a high of 25,255 and a low of 24,918—perfectly aligning with the range I’ve been tracking between 25,600 and 24,700.
As I’ve been highlighting over the past few weeks, the monthly chart continues to show weakness, and now even the weekly chart is starting to reflect bearish signals. This growing weakness is a notable concern.
What to Watch for Next Week:
If Nifty sustains above 25,100, we could see a potential rebound toward the 25,400–25,450 resistance zone.
However, a breakdown below this week's low of 24,918 opens the door to a retest of key support near 24,500.
What’s interesting is that, despite Nifty’s indecision, the number of bullish stocks on the monthly time frame has increased significantly. Last week, there were 18 such stocks on my radar; now that number has jumped to 26, even after excluding about 10 others that showed bullish patterns but had high volatility.
This divergence—index showing weakness while quality stocks turn bullish—could indicate a possible bear trap being set by institutional players. If true, we might see a sharp short-covering rally after a final shakeout.
Nifty Outlook:
For the upcoming week, I expect Nifty to remain range-bound between 25,400 and 24,500. A decisive breakout or breakdown from this range could lead to sharp directional movement, so traders should stay alert.
Global Markets: S&P 500 Soars to New Highs
The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 6,296, with a weekly high of 6,315 and low of 6,201. The index remains in strong uptrend mode.
A breakout above 6,315 could see it testing 6,376, 6,454, and potentially 6,500 in the coming sessions.
My next major Fibonacci target is 6,568.
As long as 6,149 holds on a weekly closing basis, I continue to view every dip as a buying opportunity.
Final Thoughts:
The Indian markets are sending mixed signals, with the broader index showing caution while individual stock strength is quietly building. This divergence warrants a tactical approach—stay nimble, respect levels, and be ready for sharp reversals or breakouts.
Next week could be crucial. Stay focused, stay disciplined.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/07/2025Nifty is likely to open slightly gap-up today near the 25100–25150 zone. There are no major changes from yesterday’s levels, so the same trading levels remain in focus for today’s session. If Nifty sustains above the 25250 level, we can expect an upside move toward 25350, 25400, and even 25450+ levels. This area remains a crucial resistance zone for potential bullish continuation.
On the downside, if Nifty fails to cross and sustain above 25250 and breaks below the 25200–25250 zone, we may witness a downward move with possible targets at 25150, 25100, and 25050.
A reversal long opportunity may arise in the 25050–25100 support zone if the market finds buying interest after a dip. From this level, we can expect targets around 25150, 25200, and 25250+.
The index is trading in a tight range with no fresh cues. Avoid aggressive entries and stick to level-based trades with strict stop-loss and partial profit booking.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
📉 Sellers Grip Expiry Day — Big Move Loading?
Nifty started again with an OH (Open = High) formation and slipped down 94 points before 10:30 AM, marking the day’s low at 25,144. During this fall, it broke the support zone of 25,212 ~ 25,180. Although a retracement followed, it couldn’t sustain above the mean and eventually broke below the previous day’s low (PDL), closing at 25,111.45.
The weekly expiry was wild and volatile — especially from 12:30 to 2:30 PM. Interestingly, if we consider the total range of the last three sessions, it is just 166 points — well below average. This suggests a phase of consolidation. A significant move may emerge once Nifty decisively breaks the broader zone of 25,000 to 25,255.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📊 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,230.75
High: 25,238.35
Low: 25,101.00
Close: 25,111.45
Change: −100.60 (−0.40%)
Candle structure breakdown:
Real body:
Red candle (Close < Open): 25,230.75 − 25,111.45 = 119.30 points → Decent-sized bearish body
Upper wick:
25,238.35 − 25,230.75 = 7.60 points → Very small
Lower wick:
25,111.45 − 25,101.00 = 10.45 points → Small
Interpretation:
Nifty opened slightly lower, made a weak attempt upward, then saw consistent selling throughout the day, closing near the session’s low. The negligible wicks indicate that sellers were in full control, and buyers had little room to fight back.
Candle Type:
A strong bearish candle (almost Marubozu) with very small wicks → Clear dominance by sellers.
Key Insight:
The test of the 25,100 zone again shows weakening bullish strength.
If the next session breaks below 25,100, the fall may extend toward 25,000–25,050.
For bulls to regain short-term momentum, a close above 25,200–25,220 is necessary.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 176.62
IB Range: 60.85 → Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trades Triggered:
🕒 10:53 AM – Long Trade → Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1:0.42)
🧭 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
The market is coiling within a narrow range across multiple sessions, hinting at a potential breakout move.
📌 Watch Zone: 25,000 to 25,255
🔻 A break below 25,000 may open 24,950–24,900
🔺 A close above 25,260 could drive price toward 25,350+
Bias remains neutral-to-bearish unless bulls reclaim 25,220 decisively.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels
25,168
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,260
25,295 ~ 25,315
Support Levels
25,125
25,080 ~ 25,060
25,000 ~ 24,980
24,965
🧠 Final Thoughts
"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."
Three sessions of compression hint at expansion soon — stay alert and trade level-to-level with discipline.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/07/2025Opening Expectation: Slight Gap-Up Around 25200
Nifty is likely to open slightly gap-up near the 25200 level, showing early signs of strength. If the index manages to sustain above the 25250 level, we may see a continuation of the upward momentum with targets around 25350, 25400, and 25450+. This zone marks the upper resistance, and a breakout with strong volume could push prices into a bullish trend for the session.
On the other hand, if Nifty faces rejection around 25250–25200 and begins to slide, a short opportunity opens up with downside targets at 25150, 25100, and 25050. Sustained weakness below these levels could intensify selling pressure. However, in case the index reverses and bounces from the 25050–25100 zone, a quick intraday long trade can be considered toward 25150, 25200, and 25250+.
Today’s bias remains slightly positive, but the session may remain volatile between key levels. Traders should focus on price action around the 25250 resistance and use trailing stop losses with strict risk control.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/07/2025Nifty is likely to open flat near the 25200 mark, with the index currently hovering just below a key resistance zone of 25250. A decisive breakout above 25250 may provide momentum for a further upside rally toward 25350, 25400, and possibly 25450+. This level has acted as resistance in the past, so sustaining above it will be crucial for any bullish continuation.
On the flip side, 25250–25200 is also a potential reversal zone. If Nifty fails to break and sustain above it, then sellers may take control, and the index could see a pullback toward the immediate support levels of 25150, 25100, and 25050.
Since the index is near a crucial breakout/rejection point, early session price action will determine the direction.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today near the 25050–25100 zone. If the index sustains above this level after the opening, bullish momentum could follow with potential upside targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+. This zone will act as the key intraday support-turned-demand area.
However, if Nifty struggles to hold above 25200–25250 and shows signs of reversal from this zone, we might witness selling pressure. A rejection from this region could lead to a pullback toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels.
On the downside, a breakdown below 24950 will signal further weakness. If that level is breached decisively, it can lead to sharp downside movements toward 24850, 24800, and even 24750. This would indicate a reversal of early bullish sentiment.
Today’s session could remain volatile around key levels. It’s advisable to watch price action around the 25050–25250 range for intraday confirmation before taking directional trades.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/07/2025Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-down after consistent bearish momentum in the previous sessions. The index is hovering near 25140, and immediate support lies around the 25200 level. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside pressure, with key support targets at 25150, 25100, and 25050.
If the index breaks and sustains below 24950, it may trigger a deeper correction toward the next support levels at 24850, 24800, and 24750. These zones should be watched closely for potential reversals or continuation of bearish momentum.
On the upside, any recovery and sustained move above the 25250 level may lead to a pullback rally. In that scenario, immediate resistance levels to watch would be 25350, 25400, and 25450+.
Intraday structure remains weak unless Nifty reclaims the 25250+ zone with strength. Price action near the 25200–25050 support range will be crucial in deciding the direction of the day.
Will NIFTY make a price correction?
My first scenario is still valid and I think it is more likely to happen. It seems that Wave-g has ended from the second pattern and I think NIFTY50 will decline at least to the price range of the X-wave and there we need to check the waves again to see what pattern is forming. To confirm this scenario, a break below the key level of 25000 is very important.
I have also proposed a second scenario that this correction may be an X-wave and after that the price can eventually grow to 25680-26133 and spend time there to complete the third pattern. This scenario is also valid as long as the price remains above the level of 25000.
The price correction that is forming can be a double combination pattern like triangle - X - diametric or triangle - X - triangle.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Good luck
NEoWave Chart