Supports and Resistances for Nifty from current levels.Hourly chart of Nifty suggests support for Nifty in the zone of 19268 and 19232. If 19232 is broken the next support will be near 19065. Below 19065 Nifty is vulnerable and can fall to the levels of 18859 or 18651. Below 18651 bears will awaken from Coma they are in currently. Trend changes to negative below 18651 closing. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are near 19411. 19506 to 19551 will be a major resistance for Nifty as that is the top of current channel.
Niftyresistances
The hourly Channel broken on the upper side. What Next?The hourly channel that we were following since last 2 months or more has been broken on the upper side due to the ongoing mad bull run. The question that comes to various minds is what next for Nifty or where next for Nifty. To answer that we go back to the daily chart and apply simple fibonacci levels. Fibonacci levels on daily charts suggest the following supports and resistances:
Next Fibonacci Resistance at: 19448 followed by 20162 (Both have potential to be Major resistances with many minor resistances in between).
Fibonacci Supports: 18887.6 (previous Peak), 18446 (Major Fibonacci support and 50 days EMA very close to it), 17856 (Another Mega Fibonacci support with 200 days EMA very close by).
Momentum with Nifty, but it is approaching over-bought zone.Momentum is with Nifty, but it has reached or will soon reach the Zone which might be very close to the overbought zone. Relative Strength Index cooldown / consolidation might also be required for Nifty to scale further highs. If not tomorrow then later next week. RSI will do some catching up and Profit booking at higher levels like we saw towards the end of Wednesday can also surprise. Beware of the Bull trap in some shares with weak fundamentals which might also rise as if they are genuine dark horses. 19000-19020 is the resistance zone now. Top of the channel for current let of the rally can be 19080 to 19200 range. Support for Nifty is near 18945, 18887.6, 18839 and 18796. Bear right now are on Oxygen. Some signs of life can return only if Nifty closes below 18602. Till that time Bulls will be in firm control.
Our Chart continues to work perfectlyAs you can see and we had depicted yesterday Nifty had taken a firm support at 18646 and the only now was upwards. Despite negative to Neutral US markets Nifty opened gap up above what was 50 Hours EMA, confirmed support of the EMA at 18742 for few hours and then marched ahead. The march of Nifty was halted by the Mid-Channel Line resistance at 18829 and that is where Nifty cooled down a bit to close the day at 18817.4.
How is that for Precision? I hope you all are appreciating the efforts that we are putting in the analysis.
What Nifty holds for tomorrow? If Mid channel line (18829) is conquered tomorrow and Nifty hold above it, we will be sooner than later looking towards re-approaching the All Time high of Nifty and probably this time around Nifty might even break it and make a new high.
Resistances: 18829, 18840 and 18887.6. Post making a new high 18956 and 19018 can be very very tough resistances.
Supports: If the Nifty is not able to conquer 18829 to 18840 range and sustain above it the supports will be at 18795, 18742, 18646, 18576 and 18421.
18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here?18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here is the question now. Usually when index or the stock finds a proper support and investors feels confident about the support, there is a possibility of restart or re-launch of the rally from that region. Whether rally will be successful like the previous phase will remain the question. However if the rally re-starts the next resistance will be near 50 Hours EMa that is 18733. Crossing 18733 the most important ATH resistance zone of 18795 to 18887.6 awaits Nifty. Supports at the lower side remain at 18646, 18562 and finally the bears wake up if 18421 is broken.
Nifty Dives below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer ATH. Nifty Nose-Dived below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer All Time High which was within the touching distance. The factors responsible for the fall can be attributed to Hawkish stance of FED before July FOMC. Hawkish stance of global Central banks and Profit booking near all time high. Relative Strength Index of Nifty (RSI) also needed some cooling down.
50 Hours EMA is working as an important resistance now and today low of 18647 will be important support for Monday. If the support at 18647 is broken Nifty can languish upto bottom of current channel and 200 Hours EMA which is near 18554. If Nifty closes below 18554 final support for Bulls is near 18421 closing below which bears will spring back to life.
The Zone around ATH is proving to be a tough resistance. The Zone around 18862 and ATH of 18887.6 is proving to be a tough resistance to conquer. Nifty has so far made multiple attempts but has not been successful so far this week after coming in the touching distance couple of times. Once ATH resistance is crossed the next resistance will be near 18953 and 19018. But before we get there Nifty might again take a dip in search of a proper launchpad for that leap of faith. Global markets are expecting a hike by FED again in July FOMC as the action was PAUSE but commentary was hawkish. If that remains the case little bit of correction can also happen in Nifty. In such a scenario the supports this week will be 18827, 18790, 18756 and 18660. Below 18524 bear will try to snatch back control. Possibility of that happening is difficult this week. But we never really know.
The Question is When will Nifty Hit the All Time High? Nifty staged dramatic recovery in the afternoon today and covered shorts shocking the bears who were thinking of staging a comeback. Nifty hourly candle took support at 18660 and staged a mighty comeback of about 156 points to end the day at 18816 which is just below the resistance zone of 18842 and 18865. Final resistance will be 18887.6 which the the all time high of Nifty. Supports for Nifty are near 18790, 18752 and a strong support of 18726 followed by supports at 18660 and 18500. So the answer to the question The Question is 'When will Nifty Hit the All Time High?' is very soon. It can be later this week it can be tomorrow.
Again invariably Mid-Channel line comes to rescue. Again invariably Mid-Channel line comes to rescue as the NIFTY failed to make new All Time High today after coming very very close to the top. When you are near the top or while bottom is forming volatility will be at it's peak as near the top there will be profit booking and near the bottom there will be loss boking. Spot Nifty Supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports: 18717, 18637, 18555 and finally 18482. Below 18482 Bears will come out of coma and will try to regain control.
Nifty Resistances: 18784, 18826, 18865 and finally 18887.6 (Previous Top).
Top of the current channel can be between: 18887.6 and 19020.
Nifty at Mid-Channel Key Support Zone. Can it aim for ATH?Mid-Channel Key Support Zone for Nifty. Can it aim for All time high taking support from here? It is quite possible. Key resistances will be 18717, 18798, 18831 and finally All time high 18887.6. Key supports for Nifty 18672 (Major support which should not be broken). 18639, 18555 and 18512. It is mostly matter of time when Nifty will reach all time high, rather than will it reach all time high.
18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. The Ten point range between 18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. Nifty however closed above the strong support of 18728. Other supports for Nifty are 18656 to 18639 zone (Strong Support). Below this area Nifty has support only near 18555, 18465 and 18417. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side if it crosses the zone of 18768 to 18778 are near 18831 and 18887.6 (Previous All Time High).
Nifty retreated after coming within touching distance of ATHNifty retreated after coming within touching distance of All time high. Perhaps it will check the box after one more push or rally within rally. Within every Bull run there are phases where Index or a stock cools down its RSI (relative strength index). Similarly Within every bear run there will be phases when market will be oversold and stock rises to balance RSI.
This particular fall of Nifty can be considered one such pullback within the bear run. The Bull run reverses or bears take over if Nifty gives a daily closing below 18169.(This will be key major support). Other than that support and resistances are as under:
Nifty Supports: 18555, 18512, 18465, 18402 and 18354.
Nifty Resistances: 18601, 18649, 18721 and finally 18778.
Short and Medium Term Outlook for NIFTY on Daily chart. In the short Nifty looks little indecisive. I the medium term Nifty looks solid.
Couple of Dojis after cup and Handle Break Out for NIFTY indicates some tussle between Bulls and Bears. Where Bulls have managed to or are trying to free Nifty from a two year consolidation phase where Nifty was mostly between 16000 and 18000. At the same time Bears are trying that Nifty again falls into the Abyss and stays in the consolidation zone.
One 3 to 5% dip will come in the next couple of months before or just after Nifty reaches near or closes above All time high levels.
Supports for Nifty: 18584, 18508, 18372, 18225 and finally 18011.
Resistances for Nifty: 18661, 18736, 18784 and finally 18887.
Strong Close by Nifty on Friday.Nifty has given a strong closing on Friday by closing above the Mid Channel line. The nifty has given a close just below a strong resistance of 18509. 18509 was high of Friday above which the Nifty could not close. One way to avoid this resistance would be to open gap up on Monday. If we open gap up on Monday above 18509 levels, the next resistance will be at 18562, 18601 and 18678. Supports on the lower side will be at 18460, 18389, 18324 (50 Hours EMA) and 18197. Below 18197 Final support will be 200 Hour EMA at 18101. Below 18101 Bears will regain the control. If by chance during the week or later this month or next month we get a closing below 18101 trend can change into negative.
Good end to the day but lot of resistances to conquer The end of the day was good for Nifty as the Nifty bounced from the support given earlier which was at 18206. (Nifty went just below it 18202 Low of the day and bounced back substantially to end at 18321).
The major resistances to conquer remain: 18324, 18382 and 18455.
Supports on the lower side remain at: 18202, 18190 and the zone between 18075 and 18068. (Below 18068 Bears will become very active).
NIFTY Facing Mid-Channel Resistance. Nifty is currently facing mid-channel resistance drawn on hourly candles chart. Taking support at the channel bottom Nifty rose today but was stopped by the mid channel line.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 18267, 18240, 18206 and finally 18119. Below 18119 the major support will be 200 hours EMA at 18018.
Resistances for Nifty will be at: 18341, 18389 and finally 18450 which will be a major resistance. Above 18450 the channel towards 18600 opens up.
Soft Landing of Nifty after Karnataka Election Results. Nifty made a soft landing after Karnataka Election results. Despite Global markets performing well Nifty had a subdued week. After starting the week well, the rally simply could not sustain the upper levels and continued to slide.
Bollinger Band and Daily chart technical analysis shows Friday low of 18060 and 18107.5 as strong support for Spot Nifty. Below these levels if 18060 broken Nifty can slide further to 17873 and 17636. The zone between 17636 and 17675 is strong support buffer zone. Resistance on the upper side will be at 18293, 18458 and 18539.
Nifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from thereNifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from there on the way up 18235 to 18270 zone which wich was a great support will prove to be a strong resistance. If that hurdle is crossed Nifty can travel back to 18308, 18346 and 18384 or even 18400+ staging a V-shaped recovery. Before that happens it is important to cross 18235 to 18270 zone.
Supports at the lower side will be near today's low that is 18115, 18040 and finally 17972. Weekly closing below 17972 will bring smile on the face of bears. In case that happens.
Strength of the rally to be tested next week.After the much awaited break out of Nifty which was playing in the range between 17900 and 16900 it is the time for the strength of the rally to be tested. Nifty has to battle some important resistance next week to sail further upwards. All eyes will also be on FOMC meet of US Federal Reserves on 2nd May 2023. I don't want to sound pessimistic but everyone should note that this event has potential to become a party spoiler. (Looks less likely though as rally has crossed some important resistances but you can never really decouple your economy from what happens globally).
Important Supports For The next week: 17973, 17878, 17779 and finally the strong buffer zone of 17473 to 17687. (This buffer zone has multiple supports including 50 Weeks EMA, 50 and 200 days EMA in addition to some other supports).
Important Resistances: 18140, 18268, 18397 and 18481.
Proper Clean Breakout For NiftyWe can expect BOOM BOOM BOOM tomorrow or in the coming week. It is a clean Breakout for NIFTY50. Support Levels are at 17779, 17687 and mega support of 17541 to 17584 zone. On the upper side the resistance are near 17986, 18042, 18272 and 18466. Let us see how far the Fizz can take us tomorrow. More importantly can the Fizz last over the next week too?
Very buoyant forces keeping Nifty afloat and going higher. Nifty on the back of momentum in Small and Mid cap stocks combined with some good results is taking Nifty higher after a week of consolidation. If 17863 is taken down we may see the rally continue to upto 18092, 18360 and above. 17532 to 17552 are strong supports as the levels are 50 and 200 days EMA. If 17532 us broken the other supports are near 17467 and 17198 levels.
Channel Breakout of the trend is being tested. Recently Nifty on 10th April gave a channel Breakout. Since the negative channel upper limit was respected in last 4 months or so this breakout was a major first step towards up trend. Since it was a major breakout Nifty is trying to look back and test it's support zone before it can fly ahead. Major supports zones from where Nifty can re start the up trend again are:
Support Zone 1: 17618 (current level) to 17528.
Support Zone 2: 17424 to 17267. (A close below 17267 will make this current Channel Break out that Nifty saw on 10th April 2023 a failure).
Resistance Zone 1: 17690 to 17856.
Resistance Zone 2: 17856 to 18004.