ShortI am currently reassessing my targets for the Nifty. If the level of 23,080 is breached and the index closes below this support, I will adjust my target to around 20,200, as this would indicate a more significant market correction is underway.
This level aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally, which further strengthens the case for this correction. In my view, this level is not only plausible but inevitable, given the current market dynamics.
The broader market is signaling a potential major top, which suggests that the risk of further downside is increasing. In this environment, simply averaging into the market can be highly risky, as it may expose investors to larger losses if the market continues to decline.
Instead, I recommend adopting a more strategic approach to portfolio construction, focusing on calculated risks. This means selectively building positions based on strong, risk-adjusted opportunities rather than committing large capital indiscriminately. It’s essential to have a clear risk management plan in place, especially in volatile conditions like the current market environment.
Niftyshort
ShortFor the past three months, I’ve been closely monitoring the market, anticipating a downturn ever since the formation of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. As predicted, the market has indeed experienced a decline. A decisive close below the 20,080 level would likely trigger an accelerated sell-off, pushing the market towards the next key support zone around 21,900.
Looking ahead, there’s a strong possibility of a deeper correction, with a potential drop towards the 19,200 range in the coming weeks or months. This correction could present an opportunity for those who are prepared to enter at more favorable levels.
It’s crucial to recognize that the current market environment is a classic trap for speculators. The temptation to jump in and chase market moves, especially during volatile periods, can lead to poor entry points and significant losses. Patience is key; it’s far more advantageous to wait for optimal buying levels rather than succumbing to the urge to act impulsively.
The most prudent approach now is to stay disciplined, avoid chasing rallies, and instead look for solid entry points when the market shows signs of stabilizing. Risk management should be a top priority, and investors should always be prepared for potential volatility and unexpected market movements. In these types of conditions, making informed decisions based on solid technical analysis and market structure is critical, rather than getting swayed by short-term noise or emotions.
The market will offer opportunities in time, but it’s essential to remember that timing and patience often make the difference between success and failure in volatile markets.
NIFTY trading precariously - Down move head?NSE:NIFTY daily chart is looking bearish with multiple confluences signaling down move.
Trend line break
Head and Shoulders
5 waves down
If we get a negative close below H&S neckline then it would be second close below neckline and might trigger downfall. On the positive side, ideally we should see a deeper retracement of the 5 waves down-move before the down slide starts. At the minimum 38.2% which would also coincide with downward sloping 20 day moving average, currently around 25300.
Would this happen or not, only time will tell.
Nifty Next MoveNifty almost gave a massive down trend its likely a retracement and we can see its already brake a trend line liquidity we can expect 60 %retracement or full retracement as Extreme ob area we can expect buy area from these ob areas
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Nifty Positional Trading PlanThe market continued to consolidate while maintaining its upward momentum
for the ninth consecutive session and hit a new Nifty 50 closing high on 28th August.
The rise of 0. 14 per cent to 25,052 points formed a doji like
candlestick pattern indicating consolidation and indecision among buyers and
sellers on future market trends. US stock markets fell across the board
overnight and Asia opened today with a correction, creating instability in the domestic market. The bulls may weaken after consecutive rallies and the
market is expected to remain consolidated on the monthly F&O expiry date.
Important resistance above is at 25, 100 pips,
while short-term key support
appears at 24,950 pips, at 5-day EMA level.
Nifty Options
For call option data, the highest number of open positions is at 25,500 strike, which can act as a key
resistance level for Nifty in the short term. In put options, the highest number of open positions is at
25,000 strike, which can act as a key support level for Nifty.
August F&O expires and can be shifted to September F&O to open new positions. Longs have shown weakness and remain short for the next few
sessions, today one can focus on NIFTY SEP 24500 PE and enter new position at 135-150 with scheduled profit of 15%.
Nifty Update for next week 22 July - 26 JulyHello Traders,
Checkout the latest update on Nifty for upcoming week. Also note down they levels we have mentioned in our video
Nifty & banknifty June & July 2024Both nifty and banknifty are making a hanging man pattern on weekly chart, which is indicating a caution ahead in the market as the general budget will also be presented in July month . Be ready for the corrective declines and cash to get new holdings and exit from weak fundamental and oversold category stocks.
Nifty Downtrend Consolidation 30-10-23Hey Folks My nifty Update is here
As we can see we are retestion the previous low of 25th october and can see the sellers moving in .We can see lots of side ways action for some days or maybe more downward continuation
As we can see the rsi levels are oversold buyers should starting to develop the interest but for short term my target is around 18900 like i can see it going there in monday if we didnt get some news that may reverse the trend
NIFTY 11.09.2023 LEVELNifty Spot : 19819.95
Dear Followers Kindly Don't Take Any Buy or Sell Trades Today... Please Watch My Option Level One Week.
Draw Buy, Sl, T1 to T5 Lines In Your Broker Application
Trailing Purpose Only.
Option Strike : 19800 CE :
Buy At : 98, Sl : 64
Target : 122
Target : 147
Target : 172
Target : 196
Target : ++++++++
Option Strike 20150 PE :
Buy At : 95, Sl :62
Target : 119
Target : 143
Target : 166
Target : 196
Target : +++++++++
Every Target Is An Entry Point. First You Conform The Trend..
Market Goes Uptrend Or Downtrend. Then Only You Entre or buy The Strike.
If You Enter Stop Loss is Below The Target 20 To 30 Points.. Otherwise You Loss The Money.
Kindly Watch My Break Even Point. Every Day.
Above The Break Even Point UPTREND Starts
Below The Break Even Point DOWNTREND Starts.
Don"t Enter Blindly.
NIFTY--Up or Down??The nifty index is at important zone of support..price tested the same zone multiple times and now showing strong bullishness towards upside.
If this rally continues price will again reach to the top side..
If price breaks the support and retest or retrace will enter in in short side.
wait until break above or break below to continue upside or bottom side.
NIFTY--Bullish Gap or Bearish Gap ??Bullish gap left @19200-19250
Bearish Gap left @19670-19700
when this gap be finished....??
if price continuously falls tomorrow it finishes the bullish gap.
If price showing us bullishness tomorrow,19500 will again acts as resistance..
so in order to go upside, price must be consolidates
and has to create a bullish view and retraces back then only, bearish gap be finished.
Note ::
If we observe a strong bullishness again price will break the bearish gap..
NIFTY--Liquidity lies @19300 ??The nifty Index, after a strong fall price is given us 50%-60% retracement in Fibonacci.
if tomorrow price wants to fall this is the area that can push the price lower.
the previous resistance acts as support and price moved up again..
Don't go for short side if price breaks the low.... there is an another zone, that can immediately push the price up to trendline.
don't fall in trap here. It gives retracement again then look for sell.. until keep watch the show.
mean while price creates a trendline this area....
look for sell at that for proper targets on down side.
Look for buy on bottom side...after the break of trendline and retest up to 20K.
all the liquidity lies on these lows...that will break and reverses immediately.
Tomorrow again price enters into the consolidation zone....it will not gives us any movement.. slowly moves up and down. No proper direction. option sellers have a chance to grab this.
so keep safe.
Thank you guys for your support.
NIFTY to start falling more than S&P500 from next week onwardsNIFTY/SPX chart has hit the upper trendline of ASCENDING WEDGE this week. it had hit the upper trendline 2 TIMES and the lower trendline 3 TIMES till now and has reversed every time since 2020
we can clearly see that whenever the price has reversed from the LOWER TRENDLINE , NIFTY has started performing better than S&P500 and whenever price has reversed from the UPPER TRENDLINE S&P500 has started performing better than NIFTY
Now that the REVERSAL is imminent in the WEDGE pattern and global markets are VERY BEARISH , hence we can expect that the BEAR RALLY of indian market is over and it will become MORE BEARISH than the USA market from the next week onwards
SP:SPX
NSE:NIFTY
Thanks a lot for reading...