NIFTY--Fall or Rise??Price broken the strong demand..tested the supply zone...and fall happens..
will it fall more...rise from this level...
price has broken the trendline as well...
if price falls without retest...later will test the trendline and fall more.
if a continuous fall happens it will rise from the 19260-19280 zone to some extend and fall.
after clearing the bullish gap left..price will rise towards the trendline or previous resistance.
careful at these levels...without any confirmation don't take any action.
please check the previous analysis on bottom links...
thank you very much..
Niftyshort
NIFTY--Daily AnalysisObservations::
price has broken the strong resistance @18900 without giving any retracement.
price moved continuously with gapup and continuation format.
from last two days price is in a range and today again the range is broken...
if this continue its momentum or will give us some pullback to the previous resistance.
price created a demand zone @19380-19340 range....
today price has taken the demand zone entry and moved up...no short side momentum is given for us.
A multiple breaks to the upside is observed from this zone....
until price breaks this demand zone...don't think of short side. keep on buy side.
when price tested this demand again, and failed to create a new high, then will see the plan of sell action.
will update once it is reversed.
All these analysis is post market analysis...live market is entirely different from post market analysis..
gap ups and gap downs will occur...its confusing...but with confluence will take entries...without any confirmation don't go for buy or sell.
it leads to losing your trade.
NIFTY--Trending Expiry ViewObservations::
price is exactly closed in the supply zone....where price strongly fall from these levels.
we have to wait before sell...
price is again fall below,19410 level,and this level has to reject for more fall.
yesterday price broken the trendline and retested...now we have to check fall happens are not.
the area of value at 19380 level will push the price up...to test the supply one more time...
be on the bearish side from these levels...
On bottom side price tested the demand zone at 19340,today it will not respect it gives us pullback or break may happens and retest will come. So will enter for short for targets of 19300 and 19260 levels.
If price wants to go up, it has to break and retest of supply and then only bullish...
fake out will also be happens at this level.
Keep track this level...key level 19410 level.
NIFTY--Trendline Holds or Break??Observations::
Will trendline acts as support ??
price action is completely in uptrend...
today after open a gap up price fall happens strongly...
buyers try to make the price higher but failed to close above 19400 level...
we can consider this level as a resistance...
price is now near its trend line....will see if this breaks or not.
if price breaks and retest will enter for short side trade...
strong bullishness is observed from the 19250 level after opening gap up...
bullish gap left at 19200 is filled, if trendline acts as resistance.
Bullish gap ma acts as a support also....
will see tomorrow what happens.
keep track these levels.
We don't go for long side...we don't have targets to book...price at anytime may reverse after All Time High.
04 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty Yesterday I was quite ambitious to call the top at 19334 + or 80pts levels. The opening 45 mts and then the subsequent fall from 13.30 to 14.30 showed real signs of N50 running out of fuel.
But one thing that really proved me wrong was the intensity of credit spreads getting written at the PUTS side (bullish sign). Although there was lot of unwinding after 14.30, the issue is that CALL side credit spreads are not getting written.
If the run of N50 has to be checked we need CE shorts, aggressive big boys who do not run for cover. The lowest friction area for N50 to go is up as there are no resistances — thus making it a real tough spot for call writers. Personally I wouldnt dare writing ATM calls now even though I feel the top is near.
1hr TF
N50 for the first time in last 5 sessions closed the gap after a gap-up opening negating a consecutive spree of island day formations. The strong red opening 1hr candle stays lit and I am still inclined to keep the bearish view.
NIFTY--Which is Support Trendline or Neckline??Observations::
If both failed price clears the 2gaps below.
The Nifty index price is showing some bearish pressure in the previous ATH Resistance zone.
If this fall continue towards downside or will break ATH.
so if we see the below picture, price is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, is this a sign of reversal.
ok if it is a reversal, we have 2 bullish gaps left @18680 level and 18600 level.
price has to respect these two gaps if any one of these gap gives support strongly, price will break ATH,
if this showing buying pressure and not able to go up side....
sellers are aggressively take the price to below 18600 levels.
If we see we have a trendline support as well,
if price failed to break 18800 level after taking the trendline support.
Breaks the trendline then enter for short after a retest is done to trendline.
if no retest is observed then wait it will again comes back to the same range.
Keep watch these levels...18720-18740 range if break, it will finish the gap on bottom side.
if price opens below this also look for sell on retest to this zone.
nifty possible go down side from tomorrowAs we can see on the chart, the nifty has taken a lot of supports on one trendline and is almost about to break, and as we can see in today's market, bullish people entered and took the market as low as possible, so if they maintain this downside trend, the market will fall starting tomorrow(16/6).
NIFTY 50 all set to fallNIFTY 50 is currently trading around 18727 and has reached at major Daily and Weekly resistance area and current price action doesn't show any signs that it break break the resistance so my idea is it will be bearish during this week. Below is the possible sell opportunity
Sell around 18727
STOP LOSS: 18803
TAKE PROFIT 1: 18559
TAKE PROFIT 2: 18383
use proper money management and this analysis is for educational purpose only and not a financial advise.
nifty possible go down side from tomorrowI did an analysis on the 5 minute chart frame and its falg and road pattern, and nifty also gave a retest, therefore according to my analysis, nifty will open gap down on June 15th.
The information and publication are not meant to be,and do not constitute,finacial,investment,trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by tradingview.
NIFTY ABOUT TO RETRACE 700 points.
Price has reacted to a Monthly Supply in the left side, after reacting to the Monthly Supply Price has confirmed downward potential in the Daily chart forming a Supply and there is a Fresh Monthly Demand formed and Price has to retrace into this Fresh Demand hence downmove of 700 plus points.
ENJOJY THE RIDE ! ! !
NIFTY--18700 or 18500 Observations::
---->> Price is trading in range after opening gap up.
consolidation + Bullish = Sell @ Resistance.(18700 Resistance)
Consolidation + Bearish = Buy @ Support (Gap may acts as Support.)
If price showing bullish pressure towards 18700, wait here for reversal may happens, previous strong fall area.
if price comes back to 18450-18500 levels, look for buy.
if price breaks 18575 zone retest sell for target of 18500 zone. After break retest in needed to sell.
Previous strong resistance may turned to be support @18450 range.
NIFTY SHORT for 348 points
Price has formed a Daily Supply which is The Source of the DownTrend and There is a Weekly and Monthly Demand formed for which Price will surely retrace, after reacting to the Daily Supply Price formed a 2H Supply which is coincided with the 4H supply and This is a Trade Zone for Shorting Nifty
ENJOY THE RIDE ! ! !
Nifty50 Short (Update)This is second update to Nifty50 Swing Short I Posted couple of weeks ago.
Short is now considered a success with almost 2% move down from the entry, which falls in line with original analysis where we were waiting for break of wedges in USD/INR pair and Nifty50. and we have gotten that now.
Now there is a possibility that the USD/INR pair tests the wedge which can lead to bounce in Nifty which is also evident in Nifty chart with a reclaim of the white line at 18158. So, I suggest a TP here and moving Stop loss to entry or to slightly above the top at 18500 in case you want to hold it for longer term for swing scenario.
I have attached links to the original posts down below and DXY analysis which ties into breakout of the USD/INR pair. Please go through them to understand the context of the short.
[{NIFTY TO FALL FOR 2.21% or 400 points}]
Price has formed a Fresh Weekly Demand and should retrace into it for a pullback, therefore this is a counter trend trade, but with a favourable Reward to Risk Ratio.
We have a selling confirmation in Daily and this is a positional Trade in the downward direction should take 15 days to reach the Target.
ENJOY THE RIDE ! ! !
Nifty50 Short update The entry has been hit precisely. I would not move the stop loss just yet, until we break below the wedge and stay under it for a day or two. This could be a swing short, so a bit of patience is required to reap good rewards.
NIFTY--Gap down occurs @18260 level??Observations:
NIFTY Previously showing Strong bearish pressure at this level.
NIFTY-- Price leaving a demand zone 18180 if this level acts as support, price reach again 18260 level.
--------->> If failed to act as demand zone the same zone is acts as Supply again and price falls back to below 18180.
--------->> Go short below for targets of 18060,17950 levels.