Nifty Facing Strong resistance from a probable temporary top.Nifty Facing is seemingly facing Strong resistance from a probable temporary top. The high of today 23664 will not be easy to cross for now as the shift in the mood seems to be of profit booking. However if you look at FII and DII numbers very both positive and Nifty ended in negative. This can also be an indication of sectoral shift from the big players towards some large caps and other underperforming sectors from some sectors which were popular since last 2 to 3 months. Chemicals, Selective IT and Banking seem to be picking up steam. Resistance at the upper side are at 23579, 23664 and 23751. Supports on the lower side seem to be at 23491, 23364 (Important support) Mother line 50 hours EMA, 23336, 23201, 23050 and finally 22908. Below 22908 bears will take control of the market.
Niftysupportandresistance
Nifty moving forward on a parabolic curve.Nifty moving forward on a Parabolic curve. With no much negative trigger it is inching slowly towards the channel top shown in the parallel channel. When you lie by a sword you also die by a sword. When you move up on a parabolic curve there is also a possibility of a down side on a parabola it the rounding top is formed. So investors have to be careful about this and trade invest while keeping stop losses and trailing stop losses in proper place. Supports for Nifty currently are at 23491, 23335, 23201, 23050, 22894 and finally 22863 (200 hours EMA, Father line). Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are at 23562, 23579, 23669, 23785 and 23881 levels.
Disclaimer: Spot nifty levels for education purpose only.
Hyperbolic formation indicating we are on the sword edge. Hyperbolic formation indicating we are on the edge of the sword. Last time when Nifty saw this kind of Hyperbolic formation markets jumped from 22579 to 23338 and then market fell to 21821 and recovered to make an ATH high of 23490. Similar Hyperbolic formation is seen now indicating similar move on cards for Nifty. We are on edge of sorts where there is a feeling of overpriced market as well as upside potential oth looming large on the minds of retail investors, FII and DII. All the 3 are nullifying each others move and keeping the markets range bound. Anything can give way at any juncture. Supports for Nifty are at 23338, 23233 and 23000 range. Below 23000 levels bears will awaken and will try to pull Nifty to 22814 levels where it can get support of 200 hours EMA. On the upper side 23490. If we get a closing above 23490 it will open the doors for 23931 and further 24247 in the long term. Very interesting and rare formation of chart can be seen. Has Bull rally exhausted its steam or can they pull on for one more week or rest of the month is the question which will get the answer in next few sessions. Outlook is cautious but positive with small or medium correction on cards. Some sectors will still remain upbeat even in case of correction. Large portion of your portfolio should be allocated to Large cap now.
Closing below trendline but above Fibonacci levels more upside?Nifty is trying everyday to inch ahead and is almost making new highs but trend line resistance is still stopping it. The positive sign today is that Nifty has closed above Fibonacci level of 23338 but it receded from the highs of 23481 to close at 23398. 23481 now becomes an important resistance before a major resistance of 23515 which for now looks like the trend top. Closing above 23515 will open the targets for 23897. In case we are not able to cross 23481 the supports at lower level are 23338, 23205 and 23060 for now.
Fibonacci and Trendline resistance stopping Nifty.Last 4 days the fibonacci resistance and the trend line resistance are stopping Nifty from going ahead and growing ahead. This resistance is at 23338. If we get a closing above this level doors for the next Fibonacci resistance and target will open. In that case Nifty can reach 23450, 23542 or even 23897. In case the resistance acts and blocks Nifty from going further the support levels will be at 23205, 23060, 22772 and 22555 (50 Days EMA, Mother Line). Below this zone Bears will get some power and can drag Nifty to 22146, 21825, 21355 (200 Days EMA, Father Line) or even 21282. Let us see how US FED Pause is taken by the market tomorrow. There is also a talk by FED 1 rate cut during 2024. Nasdaq as of Now is positive indicating rally in IT continuing a little bit but let us see how it goes.
Low of today is very critical support for Nifty.Low of today 23206 is very critical support for Nifty. If that is broken tomorrow or later during this week. It will be a typical sign of a top or double top formation. Indicating weakness which can find Nifty searching for supports. Supports for Nifty from current level are at 23206, 23074, 22995 (Mother Line Very Important support 50 hours EMA), Most critical support zone for Nifty In case of double top formation will be between 22712 and 22616(Father Line support 200 hours EMA). Below this zone will be Bear territory which can drag Nifty to 22408, 22094 or even 21268. On the positive side if the levels of 23206 is not broken. The resistances on the upper side or targets for Nifty can be 23339, 23412, 23542 or even 23700+(23500+ looks little optimistic rather than realistic looking at current formation of the chart.) There are some important events like US Fed rate hike decision. If there is no rate cut announced or if the commentary of US FED chairperson there is a possibility of profit booking by all counters. In case of a rate hike (unlikely) the Bull run can end for now. Watch out the Macro and Micro events like US FED Meeting and any development on allies of the ruling coalition in India behaving mischievously with caution. keep proper stop losses in place.
Could not sustain ATH as Fibo level pulls Nifty back. Nifty after making a new all time high 23411 could not sustain the levels, as the Fibonacci resistance at previous high of 23338 pulled it back. Important resistance levels for Nifty now is the zone between 23338 and 23411. If the Nifty is able to give a closing above 23411 the next resistance will be channel and trend top near 23518. 23518 will be another tough resistnace to conquer. If this resistance is taken down the door towards the Nifty fibonacci level target of 23897 will open. On the lower side the support levels for Nifty are near 23229, 23159 and 23081. Below 23081 Nifty will become weak. Final supports for Nifty will be at 22895 and 22629. Below 22629 there is pure bear territory. Closing below 22629 (Unlikely for now) will end the current Bull run.
Nifty nearing Channel top again, Can it break the glass ceiling?Nifty is nearing the Channel top again, Can it break the glass ceiling is the question the current top of the channel remains somewhere between 23303 to 23422. If we get a closing above 23422 the floodgates / glass ceiling towards new Nifty highs will be broken. The door towards new record highs of 23772 or even 24369 will be open. In case Nifty is not able to cross 23303 or 23422 the support levels for Nifty will be at 23091, 22793, strong support of 22762 (50 hours EMA) and 22580 even stronger support of (200 hours EMA). Nifty rally turns negative and bears come out of comma if we get a closing below 22500 (Very unlikely). In that case bears can drag the Nifty towards 21984 or 21577 region.
Doji candle formed in Nifty today. Does it indicate upside?Today we saw a formation of Doji candle in Nifty. Doji candles indicates uncertainty. Colour of the Doji candle shows the bias which is green as of now. So the bias still remains positive with formation of stable government on cards. However on any new or noise from coalition allies the Bears can make a strong comeback. Doji today indicates that Bears are also equally active and are waiting for their chance of action. So be aware / be conservative in your choice of stocks. In terms of Cricket if we consider this a T-20 match this pitch is not a 200+ pitch. It is rather a green top where if a team scores 150-170 runs they can be difficult to chase. So what should investors do? They should keep stop losses. Stop losses are the best friends. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital. Trailing stop losses protect your profits.
Nifty Resistance Levels: 22910, 23053, 23192, 23338.
Nifty Support Levels: 22630, 22456, 22139, 21781 and 21277.
Below 21277 is a bear territory and absolute hunting ground of bears.
Very Powerful Comeback Candle sort of Bullish Harami.Nifty made a massive comeback today after the dust of election result settled. Whether NDA's comeback to power and can the Bull Run sustain is the key question. Both are interlinked as of now it seems. However on the technical grounds the formation on chart between yesterday and today's candle is a sort of Bullish Harami (Positive Candle formation). A positive candle formation in the next trading session will confirm the formation. Now the supports for Nifty are at 21261 (Father Line) and 200 EMA, 22139 (Mid channel support), 22413 (Mother Line) and 50 EMA and 22456. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty will be 22695, 22855, 23053, 23192 and finally 23338 (ATH Resistance).
200 Days EMA comes to rescue of the market. 200 Days EMA comes to rescue of the market. Market which was shocked by the unexpected result was rescued by 200 days EMA today. You can see how it is supportive of Mother Father small child story that I propagate. PAPA line came to support of the falling market and there was a 603.05 points recovery. However the fall is 1379.4 points devastating fall. We can hope for a recovery if the levels of 21247 holds. However the most important resistance will be the MOTHER line of 21404. These two are the most important levels to track for this week and rest of the month. We can expect a recovery on announcement of a stable Government. Many stocks including PSU are coming near mouth watering levels with respect to Dividend yield. Other stocks which have nothing to do with result of the election have also taken a beating even though they were / are on a growth trajectory. So be wise and choose diamonds from the ruins.
Fibo gives important levels for the Election rally. Election rallies can be considered as Bull Rallies on Dope they are extremely fragile at the same time they can break all the resistances in their way like a mad bull in rage. Expecting an extremely volatile day tomorrow. But space to grow on upper side is very limited. The RSI indicating market is close to becoming overbought but an election result which market expects can further the boundaries.
Important Resistance levels: 23338 and 23537.
Important Support levels: 23109, 23058, 22806 and 22559. Tipping point into bear territory will be a closing below 22417.
Nifty closing this week looks like Calm before the storm.FII, DII and Retail investors are all awaiting Exit Polls and Actual results of election to follow thereafter. We have already discussed the best and the worst case scenarios. The candle formed today is Doji exhibiting indecisiveness. The support at which Nifty is standing is Mid channel. The other support which has been taken is 50 days EMA. Right now everything looks in balance. Lot of overpriced stocks corrected. Lot of underpriced stocks which gave good results exceled. Many more underpriced Banking and IT stocks are looking like value buys. Many overvalued Psu stocks look like them might again run further in case of expected results. Everything looks like it is on a tipping point. + or - 5 to 10% move depending on results is a definite possibility. DIIs have been buying all the way. FIIs have been selling all the way. Perfect recipe for a thriller to unfold next week. Everything is on a standstill. This weekend might be a calm before the storm.
Nifty Supports: 22392, 22057, 21827, 21712 and 21221. (Worst case scenario 17597 in case the expected results are not seen in election).
Nifty Resistances: 22672, 22829, 23140, 23226 and 23398. (Best case scenario between 23500-23600).
Nifty Enters crucial Support Zone. Nifty has entered Important support zone. This zone extends from 22495 to 22386. Today's low of 22417 is also a very important level below which we will have only the support level of 22386 which is the 50 days EMA. Below 22386 bears will try their best to drag the Index to the levels of 21712 or even 21208. (This looks improbable as of now but you never know). DII was buying even today in this drastic fall while FII are selling relentlessly. With only 1 day left before we will have exit polls and then the actual election results on 4th June. Investors should brace for a few more days of volatility. If the result go against popular opinion then we can see further lower levels which are mentioned above. RSI has taken a turn and Mid channel has provided a support as of today. Resistance on the upper side are 22508 and 22829.
From where can we see a turnaround in Nifty?After making a new high there has been relentless bout of Profit booking seen in Nifty. Volatility index probably peaked at 26.145 on Monday. It has come down a bit today to 24.175 but still it is in not relenting. Many stocks and indices seem to be hitting the oversold zone but still there might be little more pain in store for the investors this week. Probable turnaround zone for Nifty or supports are at 22685. If 22685 today's low is broken tomorrow Nifty can fall further to 22495 region. The zone between 22495 and 22382 has many strong supports including 50 days EMA Mother line and Mid-channel support. If by any chance 22382 is broken Nifty can see further free fall as bears will take full control. In such an unlikely scenario next supports will be at 22057, 21827 or even 21712.(In highly unlikely case of results not coming in favour of the ruling party) Nifty can fall further to 21195 or below. In case Nifty turns around from 22685 or from the zone between 22495/22383 the next resistances will be at 22829, 22990, 23140. Top of the current trend and channel top seems to be near 23266 region. In case the ruling government comes with a sound majority without facing any hurdles we may even see Nifty breaking the channel top and might go towards 23350, 23500 or even 23600 region.
Consolidation and profit booking phase in Nifty. Nifty is seeing a consolidation and Profit booking phase after making a new All Time high. There was a massive pressure seen across indices. This phase and volatility which we have seen off late can continue for a while till election results are declared and a little bit post results too. FMCG and Pharma were the only 2 indices which withstood the selling pressure but broader markets were seen bleeding a bit specially the cash counters. Next one week or so will test the patience of investors and speculation should be avoided. Stay away from high risk counters and derivatives if you are not an expert. Support for Nifty can be seen near 22864 which is rather a weak support. Next support is near 22767 which is considerably strong support of 50 Hours EMA (Mother line). If 22767 is broken further support can be found only near 22602 and 22489. This zone is a strong support zone having mid channel support of the current channel and 200 hours EMA. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are at 22937, 22999 and 23053. Above 23053 Nifty will become little strong and Bulls can further take the index to 23108 or 23150 levels which will be a strong channel top resistance.
Not much room to grow for Nifty unless it breaks the channel. Nifty hit the channel top today and immediately receded as there is not much space left of it to grow. Either it has to break the parallel channel and go above it or it has to fall to cool down the RSI and then come and fight to make a new high. It is obvious that as we hit levels above 23K there will be bout or bouts of profit booking too. With election results around keep expecting such volatile ralles and snap rallies. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 22877, 22775, 22716 and 22457. Below 22457 Nifty becomes a little weak. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 22999, 23053, 23110 and finally 23150. Shadow of the candles is absolutely neutral.
ATH Breakout for Nifty but has the rally got more steam?Major ATH All Time high Breakout for Nifty today however Nifty could not cross the much coveted level of 23K. Can Nifty do to it tomorrow? has it got the steam? RSI is high indicating that Nifty is getting overbought and valuations of a lot of stocks are very pricey. However there might still be opportunity left in a few Large cap stock specially IT, Banking and Finance space which have fallen out of favour of investors lately. Valuations in some PSU, Mid and Small Case space are questionable currently and we advise keeping a strict trailing stop loss wherever you have good profit.
Remember nobody has ever become a pauper by booking profits. Keep strict trailing Stop Losses. They are best friends. Loss in Profit is ok but Profit to loss is not ok.
Nifty Major Supports levels: 22784, 22507 and 22298.
Major Future resistance levels: 22293, 23060, 23208 and 23407.
U-formation on cards if resistance at 22632 is cleared by Nifty.It looks like Nifty can create a U formation if the resistances at 22632 is cleared and we get a proper closing above it. However for perfect U-formation the Nifty will have to cross other resistances at 22693, 22734, 22768 and finally 22794. In case we do not get a closing above 22632 and Nifty returns the supports for Nifty will be at 22536, 22484 and 22445. Below 22445 there are important support levels of 50 and 200 EMA which are 22409 and 22345. Below 22345 Nifty becomes very weak and Bears take over the market. Shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
Nifty returning from 22591 indicates strong resistance zone.Nifty returning from high of 22591 has given indication of strong resistance zone ahead. Also closing above Mid-Channel resistance was a good move but still it is not a convincing upward gallop with market breadth remaining negative and FII still selling relentlessly. Some decent mid and large cap stocks are not moving despite good results and some average stocks and PSU are moving towards exaggerated valuation. PE investing or comparing the 10 year PE to the current PE of the stock should be the way to go for investors. Do not get trapped at levels which might not return for years. (I am nor fear mongering but that should be the case in every and any circumstance anyway.)
Nifty Supports levels: 22470, 22402, 22345, 22257 and 22055.
Nifty Resistance levels: 22530, 22591, 22658, 22730 and 22831.
Good move ahead if mid channel support is held by NiftyGood move ahead for Nifty can hold the levels of 22470 and give a closing above 22522. Incase we get a closing above 22522 the resistances ahead will be 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22800+. In case Nifty gives a closing below 22470 the supports will be at 22345, 22246 and 22055. 22522 is however a strong trendline resistance and gap up opening and holding above it is the way to overcome it faster. Shadow of the candle is positive for the beginning of the week.
Good closing by Nifty just above mid-channel resistance. Nifty saw a good closing today above mid channel resistance but could not hold on to higher levels as it found the resistance at 22502 to hot to cross. 22502 was today's high and might act as a resistance again tomorrow. If this level is crossed and we get a closing above it the next resistance levels will be at 22587 and 22658. Above 22658 bull have potential to take full control of the market and in such a scenario we can see Nifty climbing to the highs of 22730 and 22801 in the coming week or weeks. On the lower side, today's low of 22345 is a good support followed by Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA at 22235. Below 22235 Nifty becomes week and we might again see the levels of 22055, 21937 and 21815. Below 21815 closing Bears take total control of the market. Nifty is interestingly placed with shadow of the candle being neutral and it was a Doji candle that we saw today emphasizing the tussle between bulls and bears or shall we call it a tussle between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors?
Remarkable Comeback Nifty but now faces Mid-channel resistance.Nifty recovered handsomely 349.85 points from the low of the day in the last hour against all frantic FII selling. This shows the power of DII and retail investors. Now Nifty faces a tough mid channel resistance 22438 which will take some doing to cross it. If Nifty manages to cross 22438 the next resistances will be at 22496, 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22801. If Nifty is not able to cross the Mid channel resistance the supports will be at 22298, 22215 and 22054. Nifty will be very weak below 22054. Shadow of the candle is looking neutral to negative but if FII jump into action (which unlikely) then frantic upside is possible. Volatility and peak tussle between FII and DII might continue.