Sustaining 19700 levels crucial for Nifty to lunge forward. Sustaining 19700 levels crucial for Nifty to lunge forward towards 19800, 19900 and finally 20K. Resistances on the upper side now seem to be only at today's peak that is 19819, 19871 and 19950. Supports on the lower side remain at today's low that is 19690, 19525 and 19321 Nifty can fall to 18887 levels. Trend change is possible only after weekly closing below this level.
Niftysupports
Nifty Trying to break channel it was flowing in since 3 monthsNifty since Mid April 23 has been smoothly flowing in the drawn hourly channel. Now it has taken steps today to break this channel. Breaking an hourly channel of Three months is a very tough challenge. Relative strength index is also approaching near it's sell zone. Perhaps little bit of more effort can take Nifty towards 19800, 19900 or perhaps magic figure of 20K. For reaching 19800 or even 20000 levels Nifty has to sustain above 19700 levels in this coming week. Supports on the lower side for Nifty are near 19575, 19481 and 19316.
Channel Top Resistance Approaching For NiftyNifty has yet again reached the region from where channel top is near by. Channel top resistance can be in the range of today's peak that is 19595 to somewhere in the range of 19661. Supports for Nifty in case of fall will remain near 19464, 19422 (50 Hours EMA), 19360 (Mid-channel support), 19233 and final major support is near 19133. Closing below 19037 and channel bottom around 19000 will awaken the bares and will have potential to change the trend.
Higher High, Higher Low Pattern in Nifty. 50 Hours EMA is supporHigher High, Higher Low Pattern in Nifty. As soon as a new high is made lot of Profit booking is taking place due to which Spot-Nifty tends to come down but 50 Hours EMA is supporting the higher high, higher low pattern. If 50 Hours EMA is broken we may see some un-widing. If we see unwinding in Nifty the supports that will be activated will be 19393 (50 hours EMA), 19296 with mid channel support near by, 19233, 19133 and finally 19003. Below 19003 bears will be activated. Resistances on the upper side are 19477, 19514 and finally 19567.
Nifty has taken support at 50 Hours EMANifty has plunged as expected but during the last hour of the day took fantastic support at 50 Hours EMA. This support will again help Nifty to have another go at the resistance range of 19450 to 19525 zone. Before reaching this zone Nifty has to cross important resistance of 19419. Supports at 19359 and 19296 are strong ones.
Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty.Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty. As expected the resistance zone between 19437 and 19523 again got activated. Nifty made a high of 19515.1 and returned closing the day at 19439.4. End was just above 19437 which should act as a support no.1 for tomorrow. Further supports will be at 19419, 19399, 19337, 19296 and 19232. Again 19500 to 19523 will act as resistance zone. Crossing and closing above 19525 will open the doors for 19600 or even 19700. All eyes on the Speech of FOMC member Bullard tonight.
Nifty Delicately placed between support and resistance zones. There are three major supports for Nifty on hourly channel near the current level. The supports being at 19354, 19295 and 19232. Falling below 19232 will take spot Nifty to the levels of 19065 or 18894. Below 18894 Nifty becomes very week and final major support for Bulls will be at 18651. Resistance for Nifty will be near the levels of 19437 and 19523. Crossing and closing above this zone is difficult but if Nifty closes above 19523 channel top resistance will be in the zone of 19590 to 19610.
Supports and Resistances for Nifty from current levels.Hourly chart of Nifty suggests support for Nifty in the zone of 19268 and 19232. If 19232 is broken the next support will be near 19065. Below 19065 Nifty is vulnerable and can fall to the levels of 18859 or 18651. Below 18651 bears will awaken from Coma they are in currently. Trend changes to negative below 18651 closing. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are near 19411. 19506 to 19551 will be a major resistance for Nifty as that is the top of current channel.
Very Important Fibonacci resistance level approaching in Nifty.Very Important Fibonacci resistance level 19448 approaching in Nifty. If Nifty can sustain above it above 19450 the doors will open for next Fibonacci level of 20162. I dare say Nifty needs some consolidation and RSI needs some cooling down before the next big leap. RSI is right now 74.85 and as soon as it touches 80, Nifty will enter Overbought zone if already it is not overbought. Investors should take care of their trailing stop losses. Take care of their profits by putting proper trailing stop losses/ stop losses. If Nifty jumps the resistance and sustains 19450 well and good but if not there should not be loss. Loss in profit is ok if a trailing stop loss is hit but important thing is profit should not become loss in case of correction.
The hourly Channel broken on the upper side. What Next?The hourly channel that we were following since last 2 months or more has been broken on the upper side due to the ongoing mad bull run. The question that comes to various minds is what next for Nifty or where next for Nifty. To answer that we go back to the daily chart and apply simple fibonacci levels. Fibonacci levels on daily charts suggest the following supports and resistances:
Next Fibonacci Resistance at: 19448 followed by 20162 (Both have potential to be Major resistances with many minor resistances in between).
Fibonacci Supports: 18887.6 (previous Peak), 18446 (Major Fibonacci support and 50 days EMA very close to it), 17856 (Another Mega Fibonacci support with 200 days EMA very close by).
Momentum with Nifty, but it is approaching over-bought zone.Momentum is with Nifty, but it has reached or will soon reach the Zone which might be very close to the overbought zone. Relative Strength Index cooldown / consolidation might also be required for Nifty to scale further highs. If not tomorrow then later next week. RSI will do some catching up and Profit booking at higher levels like we saw towards the end of Wednesday can also surprise. Beware of the Bull trap in some shares with weak fundamentals which might also rise as if they are genuine dark horses. 19000-19020 is the resistance zone now. Top of the channel for current let of the rally can be 19080 to 19200 range. Support for Nifty is near 18945, 18887.6, 18839 and 18796. Bear right now are on Oxygen. Some signs of life can return only if Nifty closes below 18602. Till that time Bulls will be in firm control.
Our Chart continues to work perfectlyAs you can see and we had depicted yesterday Nifty had taken a firm support at 18646 and the only now was upwards. Despite negative to Neutral US markets Nifty opened gap up above what was 50 Hours EMA, confirmed support of the EMA at 18742 for few hours and then marched ahead. The march of Nifty was halted by the Mid-Channel Line resistance at 18829 and that is where Nifty cooled down a bit to close the day at 18817.4.
How is that for Precision? I hope you all are appreciating the efforts that we are putting in the analysis.
What Nifty holds for tomorrow? If Mid channel line (18829) is conquered tomorrow and Nifty hold above it, we will be sooner than later looking towards re-approaching the All Time high of Nifty and probably this time around Nifty might even break it and make a new high.
Resistances: 18829, 18840 and 18887.6. Post making a new high 18956 and 19018 can be very very tough resistances.
Supports: If the Nifty is not able to conquer 18829 to 18840 range and sustain above it the supports will be at 18795, 18742, 18646, 18576 and 18421.
18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here?18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here is the question now. Usually when index or the stock finds a proper support and investors feels confident about the support, there is a possibility of restart or re-launch of the rally from that region. Whether rally will be successful like the previous phase will remain the question. However if the rally re-starts the next resistance will be near 50 Hours EMa that is 18733. Crossing 18733 the most important ATH resistance zone of 18795 to 18887.6 awaits Nifty. Supports at the lower side remain at 18646, 18562 and finally the bears wake up if 18421 is broken.
Nifty Dives below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer ATH. Nifty Nose-Dived below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer All Time High which was within the touching distance. The factors responsible for the fall can be attributed to Hawkish stance of FED before July FOMC. Hawkish stance of global Central banks and Profit booking near all time high. Relative Strength Index of Nifty (RSI) also needed some cooling down.
50 Hours EMA is working as an important resistance now and today low of 18647 will be important support for Monday. If the support at 18647 is broken Nifty can languish upto bottom of current channel and 200 Hours EMA which is near 18554. If Nifty closes below 18554 final support for Bulls is near 18421 closing below which bears will spring back to life.
The Zone around ATH is proving to be a tough resistance. The Zone around 18862 and ATH of 18887.6 is proving to be a tough resistance to conquer. Nifty has so far made multiple attempts but has not been successful so far this week after coming in the touching distance couple of times. Once ATH resistance is crossed the next resistance will be near 18953 and 19018. But before we get there Nifty might again take a dip in search of a proper launchpad for that leap of faith. Global markets are expecting a hike by FED again in July FOMC as the action was PAUSE but commentary was hawkish. If that remains the case little bit of correction can also happen in Nifty. In such a scenario the supports this week will be 18827, 18790, 18756 and 18660. Below 18524 bear will try to snatch back control. Possibility of that happening is difficult this week. But we never really know.
The Question is When will Nifty Hit the All Time High? Nifty staged dramatic recovery in the afternoon today and covered shorts shocking the bears who were thinking of staging a comeback. Nifty hourly candle took support at 18660 and staged a mighty comeback of about 156 points to end the day at 18816 which is just below the resistance zone of 18842 and 18865. Final resistance will be 18887.6 which the the all time high of Nifty. Supports for Nifty are near 18790, 18752 and a strong support of 18726 followed by supports at 18660 and 18500. So the answer to the question The Question is 'When will Nifty Hit the All Time High?' is very soon. It can be later this week it can be tomorrow.
Again invariably Mid-Channel line comes to rescue. Again invariably Mid-Channel line comes to rescue as the NIFTY failed to make new All Time High today after coming very very close to the top. When you are near the top or while bottom is forming volatility will be at it's peak as near the top there will be profit booking and near the bottom there will be loss boking. Spot Nifty Supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports: 18717, 18637, 18555 and finally 18482. Below 18482 Bears will come out of coma and will try to regain control.
Nifty Resistances: 18784, 18826, 18865 and finally 18887.6 (Previous Top).
Top of the current channel can be between: 18887.6 and 19020.
Nifty at Mid-Channel Key Support Zone. Can it aim for ATH?Mid-Channel Key Support Zone for Nifty. Can it aim for All time high taking support from here? It is quite possible. Key resistances will be 18717, 18798, 18831 and finally All time high 18887.6. Key supports for Nifty 18672 (Major support which should not be broken). 18639, 18555 and 18512. It is mostly matter of time when Nifty will reach all time high, rather than will it reach all time high.
18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. The Ten point range between 18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. Nifty however closed above the strong support of 18728. Other supports for Nifty are 18656 to 18639 zone (Strong Support). Below this area Nifty has support only near 18555, 18465 and 18417. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side if it crosses the zone of 18768 to 18778 are near 18831 and 18887.6 (Previous All Time High).
Nifty retreated after coming within touching distance of ATHNifty retreated after coming within touching distance of All time high. Perhaps it will check the box after one more push or rally within rally. Within every Bull run there are phases where Index or a stock cools down its RSI (relative strength index). Similarly Within every bear run there will be phases when market will be oversold and stock rises to balance RSI.
This particular fall of Nifty can be considered one such pullback within the bear run. The Bull run reverses or bears take over if Nifty gives a daily closing below 18169.(This will be key major support). Other than that support and resistances are as under:
Nifty Supports: 18555, 18512, 18465, 18402 and 18354.
Nifty Resistances: 18601, 18649, 18721 and finally 18778.
Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week expected.Due to Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week can be expected. We might have a positive gap up start on Friday if there is no negative news on the global or local level during the weekend. The resistances to look forward to are 18600, 18662 and finally 18742. Long term targets are 18887 and 19200+ levels. Supports at the same time remain at 18488, 18325 and finally 18048. closing below 18048 has potential to handover the control of the rally to the Bears.
Short and Medium Term Outlook for NIFTY on Daily chart. In the short Nifty looks little indecisive. I the medium term Nifty looks solid.
Couple of Dojis after cup and Handle Break Out for NIFTY indicates some tussle between Bulls and Bears. Where Bulls have managed to or are trying to free Nifty from a two year consolidation phase where Nifty was mostly between 16000 and 18000. At the same time Bears are trying that Nifty again falls into the Abyss and stays in the consolidation zone.
One 3 to 5% dip will come in the next couple of months before or just after Nifty reaches near or closes above All time high levels.
Supports for Nifty: 18584, 18508, 18372, 18225 and finally 18011.
Resistances for Nifty: 18661, 18736, 18784 and finally 18887.
Strong Close by Nifty on Friday.Nifty has given a strong closing on Friday by closing above the Mid Channel line. The nifty has given a close just below a strong resistance of 18509. 18509 was high of Friday above which the Nifty could not close. One way to avoid this resistance would be to open gap up on Monday. If we open gap up on Monday above 18509 levels, the next resistance will be at 18562, 18601 and 18678. Supports on the lower side will be at 18460, 18389, 18324 (50 Hours EMA) and 18197. Below 18197 Final support will be 200 Hour EMA at 18101. Below 18101 Bears will regain the control. If by chance during the week or later this month or next month we get a closing below 18101 trend can change into negative.