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NIFTY : Is still Panic Ahead? In Continuation of my last analysis on 27-Jan-2025 Updated on Daily Charts Bullish Wave Completion (Wave 1): The initial upward move saw prices reach a bullish wave completion zone between 21,179 and 22,481. This zone represents the culmination of a strong impulsive wave, with consolidation occurring around the lower band (21,179) after peaking. The support held firm, indicating potential for further upside initially. Extended Wave C or Wave 3 Profit Booking (Wave 2): Following the bullish peak, an extended Wave C or Wave 3 profit-booking zone was identified between 22,086 and 22,636. This zone triggered a sharp decline as prices hit the upper band, suggesting overextension and exhaustion of bullish momentum. The drop broke below the support of this zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Correction Wave (Wave 3): A corrective wave formed, confirmed by a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior upward move. This retracement level acted as a natural pullback point, with prices stabilizing briefly before resuming their downward trajectory. This wave indicates a healthy correction within the larger trend. Support and Further Correction (Wave 4): Prices found temporary support within the correction wave zone of 22,758 - 23,054. However, this support failed, leading to a further decline after the formation of Wave 4 on a minor wave. The chart marks this as part of an extended correction wave completion zone (21,613 - 21,894), where current price action is converging. Current Market Position and Outlook: As of the chart's context (March 2023, with the current date being March 4, 2025), prices are trading toward the extended correction zone (21,613 - 21,894). This zone represents a critical level where buyers might step in, but a break below could signal deeper losses. Short-term resistance is noted around 23,054, while a sustained move below 21,894 could target the Primary Wave 4 bottom at 19,683. This level aligns with a significant long-term support zone, making it a key area to watch for reversal or continuation. Trading Implications: Bullish Case: If prices hold above 21,894 and show signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume), traders might anticipate a bounce toward 23,054. Bearish Case: A break below 21,894 with strong momentum could open the door to 19,683, especially if broader market sentiment turns negative. Risk management is crucial, with stop-losses recommended below key support levels and targets set near resistance zones.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty closed flat of much drama Technicals: Nifty opened gap up in line with global cues to find sellers at every high. Nifty made new low around 22000 and bounced back to close flat below all DEMAs The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index closed below 30 suggesting oversold markets. Support/Resistance Major Support 21900 Immediate Support 22000 Immediate Resistance 22250 Major Resistance 22400, 22500 Trend: Overall Trend is Bearish, Sell on Rise Options Data: Highest CE OI was at 22500 with highest addition at 22400 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 21900, highest Put writing seen at 22000, 21900 - No major support PCR is 0.7 which indicates Bearishness Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 16%/84% FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +3K with no change in shorts Nifty Futures price was flat with small addition of OI Outlook for Next Session: Nifty is weak Sell on every rise Approch: Short at higher levels for target 21500 with SL 22600 My Trades & Positions: Holding Shorts in March monthly contract from 22850 levels (booked half at 22050 levels)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 04-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on March 4, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,142 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,042), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests a potential breakout from the current consolidation range, indicating aggressive buying interest. If the price sustains above 22,142, it could target the resistance zone of 22,300–22,460. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,300–22,460, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,118–22,042 (opening support/consolidation zone and previous close). Should the price break above 22,460 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 22,600 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,142 , targeting 22,300–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,042 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,300–22,460, aiming for 22,118–22,042. Place a stop-loss above 22,460 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points indicates a potential breakout from the 21,889–21,600 consolidation range. Waiting for a retest of 22,142 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,300–22,460 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum resurfaces. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,042–22,118) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,042–22,118, it suggests a balanced market continuing its consolidation phase with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 22,118 could drive prices toward 22,300–22,460, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 22,042 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 21,889 (first buyer’s support) or even 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,118 , targeting 22,300–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,042 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,042 , targeting 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. Set a stop-loss above 22,118 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 22,042–22,118 range indicates the market is still consolidating, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 22,118 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 22,042 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 21,942 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,042), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing the lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 21,889 (first buyer’s support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,042–22,118 could occur. If 21,889 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level for a reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 21,889 , targeting a pullback to 22,042–22,118. Use a stop-loss below 21,600 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 21,889 , targeting 21,613–21,600. Place a stop-loss above 21,889 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 21,889 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 21,889 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 21,613–21,600 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,300 or 21,889) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,118 → Target: 22,300–22,460. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,042 → Target: 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,042–22,118 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on March 4, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Future Analysis 1. Price Action & Trend Analysis The NIFTY Futures has been in a strong downtrend since October 2024, with lower highs and lower lows. A black downward trendline is clearly acting as a dynamic resistance, rejecting price multiple times. 2. Gann Fan Analysis: The Gann fan lines are visible, providing different angles of support and resistance. The key Gann angles to watch: 1/1 Line (Steep Downtrend Line): The price is trending below this, indicating a strong bearish trend. 2/1 and 3/1 Lines: These are acting as resistance levels, confirming the selling pressure. If price moves above the 1/1 Gann line, a potential reversal could be seen, but as of now, it remains below the bearish zone. 3. Volume & Market Sentiment Latest Volume: 9.18M, which is relatively lower compared to 1 week ago (30.2M) but higher than the previous day (7.25M). This suggests decreasing participation in the downtrend, which could indicate potential consolidation before the next move. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Zones: 22,200-22,400: Current support based on Fibonacci & previous price action. 21,600-21,800: Next strong demand zone if selling continues. 20,800-21,000: Long-term support (historical demand zone). Resistance Zones: 23,407-23,500: First resistance (Fib 0.382 & Gann fan level). 23,800-24,000: Major resistance (Fib 0.618, Gann fan rejection area). 24,500-24,760: Strongest resistance (Fib 0.75 + supply zone). 5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy Bearish Bias: The market remains in a strong downtrend. Possible Short Setup: If price breaks below 22,200, the next target would be 21,600. Bullish Reversal Above 23,500: A move above this level could shift momentum toward 23,800-24,000.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by WealthKraft
NIFTY Intraday Trading levels and Plan – 28-Feb-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 28, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,763 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,763, it could target the resistance zone of 22,884–22,900. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,884–22,900, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,700–22,663 (opening resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 22,900 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,763 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,884–22,900, aiming for 22,700–22,663. Place a stop-loss above 22,900 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,763 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,884–22,900 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,663–22,700) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,663–22,700, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,700 could drive prices toward 22,884–22,900, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,663 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support levels). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,700 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,663 , targeting 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. Set a stop-loss above 22,700 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,663–22,700 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,563 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,663–22,700 could occur. If 22,356 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,356 , targeting a pullback to 22,663–22,700. Use a stop-loss below 22,268 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,356 , targeting 22,268–22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,356 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,356 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,268–22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,884 or 22,356) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,700 → Target: 22,884–22,900. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,663 → Target: 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,663–22,700 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 28, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710) If NIFTY opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur. If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,070. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Feb-2025This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 25, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur. If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,240 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,240. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,240 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,240. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 25, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty made another new low for the year down -1% Technicals: Nifty opened gap down and continued weakness below 22700 to close at 22550 forming a bearish candle below 5,10,20,50,100 & 200 DEMA The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index closed below 30 showing weakness Support/Resistance Major Support 22300 Immediate Support 22500 Immediate Resistance 22650 Major Resistance 22700, 22800, 23000 Trend: Overall Trend is Bearish sideays Options Data: Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 22600, 22700 & 22800 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 22500, highest Put writing seen at 22500, 22300 - No major support PCR is 0.6 which indicates Bearishness Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 15.5%/84.5% FII Future positions saw little addition in longs and exiting shorts Nifty Futures price was down by -1% with huge increase in Open Interest (OI) which typically indicates Bearishness Outlook for Next Session: Nifty is weak Sell on every rise Approch: Short at higher levels for target 22400-22300 Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction My Trades & Positions: Holding Shorts in March monthly contract from 22850 levels
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Feb-2025NIFTY 50 Intraday Trading Plan – 24-Feb-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 24, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline structured action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with clarity and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,987 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it indicates strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests buyers are aggressively entering the market, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,987, it could target the resistance zone of 23,138–23,300. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure might emerge due to historical resistance. If the price faces rejection at 23,138–23,300, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887 (the previous close and support zone). Should the price break above 23,300 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,400 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,987 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,887 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 23,138–23,300, aiming for 22,764–22,887. Place a stop-loss above 23,300 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening reflects optimism, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky. Waiting for a retest of 22,987 ensures confirmation of bullish intent, while the resistance at 23,138–23,300 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A breakdown from this resistance could signal a false breakout, offering a shorting opportunity. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,764–22,887) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,764–22,887, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,887 could drive prices toward 23,138–23,300, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,764 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510 (last intraday support) or even 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,887 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,764 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,764 , targeting 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. Set a stop-loss above 22,887 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often leads to consolidation, making it tricky to trade without confirmation. The 22,764–22,887 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) before entering positions to avoid fake moves. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,664 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,400 (last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,764–22,887 could occur. If 22,510 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,510 , targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887. Use a stop-loss below 22,400 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,510 , targeting 22,235–22,156. Place a stop-loss above 22,510 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can recover if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,510 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 23,138 or 22,510) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,887 → Target: 23,138–23,300. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,764 → Target: 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,764–22,887 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 24, 2025. 🚀
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox