#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 20/02/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening possible nifty can consolidated in between 22950-23050 level. Any major movement only expected either breakout of 23050 level or downside of 22950 level. Downside 22800 will act as a important support for today's session. Below this support level sharp downside rally expected.
Niftytradesetup
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan 20-Feb-2025We will analyze three possible opening conditions and strategize accordingly. Key levels are marked for better decision-making.
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 23,008 (last intraday resistance):
Sustaining above 23,008 can lead to an upside move towards 23,158 - 23,191 (Profit Booking Zone). If price sustains above this, we may see further bullish momentum.
Watch for rejection at 23,158-23,191—a reversal here could trigger selling pressure, providing a shorting opportunity with a target back to 23,008.
Aggressive traders can look for quick scalping opportunities on breakouts with strict stop-loss.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on breakout & retest of 23,008, targeting 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Short if price rejects 23,158-23,191, aiming for 23,008.
⚠️ Risk Tip: If price consolidates near 23,008, avoid trading immediately—wait for a strong direction confirmation.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,954 - 22,914)
If NIFTY opens within the 22,914 - 22,954 zone (Opening Resistance/Support), this could act as a No Trade Zone due to potential choppiness.
A decisive breakout above 22,954 can lead to a move towards 23,008 and higher levels.
A breakdown below 22,886 (Opening Support) could trigger selling towards 22,795.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,954, targeting 23,008 and 23,158.
✔️ Sell below 22,886, targeting 22,795.
⚠️ Risk Tip: Avoid trading inside the No Trade Zone (22,895 - 22,949) unless a clear breakout happens with strong volume.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,795, it signals weakness.
Immediate support exists at 22,740 - 22,758 (Last Intraday Support). If this holds, expect a possible pullback towards 22,886 - 22,914.
If 22,740 breaks, expect further downside towards 22,636 (Buyer’s Support).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,740, targeting a pullback to 22,886 - 22,914.
✔️ Short below 22,740, targeting 22,636 and lower.
⚠️ Risk Tip: In a gap-down scenario, watch for consolidation before entering. A weak opening doesn’t always mean immediate selling—wait for confirmation.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always use a strict stop-loss to protect capital.
🎯 Take partial profits at key levels to secure gains.
🕰️ Avoid overtrading—wait for clear price action confirmation.
💰 Use proper position sizing to manage risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 23,008 → Target: 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,886 → Target: 22,795 - 22,740.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949 (Wait for breakout).
Trade with a plan, manage risk wisely, and stay disciplined. ✅🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades. 📉📈
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/02/2025A flat opening today in nifty, with the index currently positioned near 23000-22950. If Nifty moves above 23050, a long position can be considered, targeting 23150, 23200, and 23250+.
However, a reversal short trade can be initiated around 23000-22950, with downside targets of 22900, 22850, and 22800. On the bearish side, a breakdown below 22750 will likely lead to further declines, with short targets set at 22650, 22550, and 22500.
Since the price is currently moving within the 22950-23000 range, the market is likely to open flat and may remain range-bound initially. The decisive move will come if it either breaks above 23050 for an uptrend or falls below 22750 for a bearish move. Should wait for a breakout confirmation before entering positions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 19-Feb-2025We will analyze potential trade setups for NIFTY based on three different opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down. The plan is designed to help traders navigate the market effectively while managing risk.
📍 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 22930, we need to carefully assess the price action at key resistance zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If the index sustains above 22950, it may move towards the 23039-23065 resistance zone.
A strong breakout above 23065 can push NIFTY towards 23178. However, watch for rejection signs near resistance.
If price struggles at 23039-23065, it may provide a short opportunity with a downside target of 22895-22949.
🛑 Invalidation: If NIFTY breaks and sustains above 23065, bearish trades should be avoided.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23178
🔻 Bearish Target: 22895
📍 Scenario 2: Flat Opening
A flat opening near 22,923 requires patience as price discovery takes place.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price remains between 22,895 - 22,949, it's a No-Trade Zone 📌 – avoid choppy action.
A breakout above 22,950 can push the index towards the 23039-23065 resistance area.
A breakdown below 22,895 may lead to a test of the 22,755-22,779 support zone.
If NIFTY takes support at 22,755, it may provide a buying opportunity.
🚨 No Trading in Choppy Zone: Avoid entering positions unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23039
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,755
📍 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,850, it suggests weakness and a test of key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price holds 22,755-22,779, a bounce-back move can be expected.
A strong breakdown below 22,755 can drag NIFTY towards the 22,648-22,672 weak buyer’s support.
If the market finds demand at 22,648, it could lead to an intraday reversal opportunity.
📢 Watch out for panic selling near support zones – look for reversal signs before going long.
🎯 Bullish Target: 22,923
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,648
🎯 Risk Management & Pro Tips for Options Traders
📌 Avoid buying options immediately after market opens – wait for direction confirmation.
📌 Use stop-loss wisely – protect capital in volatile conditions.
📌 Time decay matters! If trading options, avoid holding losing positions for too long.
📌 Watch for wicks & rejection candles near key levels to time your entries better.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Levels: 23039-23065, 23178
✅ Key Support Levels: 22,755-22,779, 22,648-22,672
✅ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949
🚀 Bullish above: 22,950
📉 Bearish below: 22,755
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 💡
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/02/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening important level is 23000. If nifty starts trading above 23050 then possible upside rally in opening session. If nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 22950 then sharp downside expected upto 22800 and this can be extend further for 200+ points if nifty gives breakdown of 22750 level.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Feb-2025
The market structure and price action suggest a key decision-making zone around 22,990-23,030. Based on the opening price, we will approach the trade accordingly.
🔹 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 23,030, it will directly enter the resistance zone. Here’s how to plan:
A rejection from 23,126 can trigger a short trade targeting 22,990. Confirmation is needed via bearish candles.
If NIFTY sustains above 23,126, a further rally towards 23,299 is possible. Look for a breakout retest before entering long positions.
Avoid fresh longs near resistance unless volume confirms breakout strength.
📌 Pro Tip: If opening above resistance, avoid chasing longs immediately; wait for a pullback.
🔹 2. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close: 22,954-22,990)
If price holds 22,990 and bounces, expect a push towards 23,030 and possibly 23,126.
A breakdown below 22,963 can lead to a drop towards 22,847.
Consider sideways movement between 22,990-23,030 as a no-trade zone unless a clear trend emerges.
📌 Pro Tip: Flat opens demand patience—wait for clear directional movement before entering.
🔹 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens below 22,847, it enters the support zone. Here’s how to approach:
A bullish rejection from 22,779 can offer a good long trade towards 22,847-22,963.
If the support fails, expect a deeper correction towards 22,720.
Sideways action in the 22,779-22,847 zone suggests waiting for trend confirmation.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t rush into long trades unless price action confirms demand at support.
🔸 Risk Management & Options Trading Tips 🛡️
Keep SL tight, especially if trading near resistance/support zones.
Use option spreads to reduce risk in high-volatility conditions.
Avoid overtrading—stick to planned levels and execution strategies.
Watch open interest data to confirm market direction.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Resistance Levels: 23,030 → 23,126 → 23,299✅ Support Levels: 22,963 → 22,847 → 22,779✅ Trade Carefully in No Trade Zone: 22,990-23,030
🎯 The market is at a crucial level; patience and confirmation-based entries are key! Let the price action guide your trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 🚀
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/02/2025Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will face strong resistance at 23000 level and expected downside movement upto the 22800 in opening session. For today's session, 22800 is the important support if nifty break this support and starts trading below 22750 then sharp downside rally possible upto 22500 level. Any major upside rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above the 23050 level.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Feb-2025
🔍 Market Context: NIFTY has shown a strong downtrend with critical resistance and support levels forming significant zones. The price action near key levels will determine the direction for the day. Let’s break down possible scenarios.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,996) If NIFTY opens above 22,996 , it enters the "Opening Resistance/Support Zone". Sellers may step in around this zone, leading to a possible rejection and downside move toward 22,918 . If the price sustains above 23,135 , bullish momentum could extend toward the 23,359 resistance zone. Profit booking is expected around 23,359 , making it a key level to watch for reversals.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If NIFTY faces rejection at 22,996 , consider short trades with a target of 22,918 .✅ If price sustains above 23,135 , go long with a target of 23,359 .✅ If NIFTY reaches 23,359 , consider partial profit booking.
💡 Tip: In a gap-up scenario, option premiums inflate. Consider spreads instead of naked options to control risk.
2. Flat Opening (Between 22,918 - 22,996) A flat open indicates uncertainty, keeping price inside the No Trade Zone (22,912 - 22,996) . A breakout above 22,996 signals bullish momentum toward 23,135 . A breakdown below 22,918 invites selling pressure toward the 22,743 - 22,677 support zone.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ Avoid taking trades within 22,912 - 22,996 until a clear breakout occurs.✅ If price breaks 22,996 , go long with a stop-loss below 22,900 .✅ If price breaks below 22,918 , go short targeting 22,743 .
💡 Tip: Flat openings often trap traders. Wait for 15-30 minutes before entering trades.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,743) A gap-down opening below 22,743 signals bearish sentiment. The 22,508 level is a critical intraday support – breaking below it can accelerate selling pressure. If NIFTY bounces back from 22,508 , it could trigger an intraday pullback toward 22,743 .
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If price sustains below 22,743 , go short with a target of 22,508 .✅ If price holds 22,508 and reverses, consider long trades for an intraday recovery.✅ A move above 22,743 can lead to short covering toward 22,918 .
💡 Tip: In a gap-down scenario, IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, making option premiums expensive. Selling OTM call options can be a profitable strategy.
⚠ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
🔹 Always use stop-loss – Never trade without a predefined risk level.🔹 Position sizing is key – Avoid over-leveraging.🔹 Trade with confirmation – Enter only after clear price action signals.🔹 Manage time decay – If buying options, choose ATM or ITM strikes to reduce theta decay.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 22,996 / 23,135 / 23,359
Support: 22,918 / 22,743 / 22,508
✅ Trading Plan Overview:
Gap-Up: Watch for rejection at 22,996 , possible breakout toward 23,135 .
Flat Open: No Trade Zone between 22,912 - 22,996 – wait for breakout.
Gap-Down: If below 22,743 , bearish sentiment dominates with 22,508 as the key support.
💡 Final Tip: Trade with discipline and follow your plan. Avoid emotional decisions – the market rewards patience! 🚀
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst . This trading plan is for educational purposes only . Please do your own research before taking any trades. 📊
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening possible nifty will trade in between range of 23050 to 23250 in today's session. Any major and further downside only expected if nifty starts trading below the 22950 level. Upside 23250 will act as a strong resistance for nifty. Any strong bullish rally possible if nifty gives breakout of this resistance level.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 14-FEB-2025🔹 Key Levels:
📌 Resistance Zones:
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,262 – 23,306
🔴 Opening Resistance: 23,119 – 23,185
📌 Support Zones:
🟢 Opening Support/Resistance: 23,015 – 23,019
🟢 Buyer’s Support at Golden Retracement: 22,922 – 22,880
🟢 Stronger Buyer’s Support for Sideways/Consolidation: 22,677 – 22,742
📌 EMA: Price is reacting to the moving average, which could act as dynamic support/resistance.
📊 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens above 23,185:
Watch for rejection at 23,262 – 23,306: If price struggles, consider a short trade with SL above 23,320. Target: 23,185 – 23,100.
Sustained breakout of 23,306? Expect bullish momentum. Enter on a retest for targets 23,350 – 23,400.
Avoid impulsive longs at open: Wait for price to consolidate before entering trades.
💡 Pro Tip: If price rejects 23,262, sellers might step in aggressively. Consider buying Put options cautiously.
📊 2️⃣ Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 23,000 - 23,100:
Opening Support/Resistance Zone (23,015 – 23,019): This level will decide the market direction.
Break above 23,100? Expect bullish movement to 23,185. Go long above 23,105 with SL at 23,050.
Break below 23,015? Expect downside movement toward 22,922. Short below 23,010 with SL at 23,050.
💡 Pro Tip: In a flat opening, let price settle before making a decision. Patience pays!
📊 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 22,880 or below:
22,880 – 22,922 is a retracement support: If price holds, expect a bounce back. Go long above 22,900 with SL at 22,850.
Break below 22,880? Next major support is 22,677 – 22,742. Short below 22,870 with SL at 22,950.
If price reaches 22,677 and holds, expect a bounce. Look for buying opportunities around this level.
💡 Pro Tip: In a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for proper confirmation before entering.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
📌 Never chase a trade. Let price confirm the level before entering.
📌 Use stop-losses strictly. Protect your capital at all times.
📌 Avoid trading in the No Trade Zone. This is where stop-losses get hunted easily.
📌 Monitor IV (Implied Volatility). If IV is high, options premiums might be inflated. Consider spreads instead of naked options.
🔥 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance: 23,119 – 23,185 / 23,262 – 23,306
✅ Key Support: 23,015 – 23,019 / 22,922 – 22,880 / 22,677 – 22,742
✅ Gap-Up: Watch resistance at 23,262. Breakout = bullish, rejection = short.
✅ Flat Opening: Wait for breakout/breakdown from Opening Support before entering.
✅ Gap-Down: 22,880 is crucial. Holding = bounce, breakdown = more downside.
🎯 Stick to the plan, follow discipline, and manage your risks!
⚠ Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 13/02/2025Today will be flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 23050 level then only expected upside rally upto the 23250 level. This level will act as a strong upside resistance for today's session. Any bullish rally can give reversal from this level. Below 23000 level sharp downside expected in today's session.
NIFTY 13th Feb 2025 Above the yellow zone → Bullish momentum is likely, meaning the price may rise toward the red resistance zones.
Below the yellow zone → Bears might take control, pushing the price toward the green support zones.
Green zones → Strong support levels, where price could bounce.
Red zones → Resistance levels, where price might face selling pressure.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 13-Feb-2025
🔹 Key Levels:
📌 Resistance: 23,205 / 23,298 – 23,332 (Last Intraday Resistance)
📌 Support: 22,970 / 22,873 – 22,893 / 22,660 / 22,508
📌 No Trade Zone: 23,049 - 23,103 (Avoid trading inside this range)
📊 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens above 23,205:
Watch for rejection at 23,298 – 23,332: If price struggles, consider a short trade with SL above 23,350. Target: 23,205 – 23,100.
Sustained breakout of 23,332? Expect bullish momentum. Enter on a retest for targets 23,400 – 23,450.
Avoid impulsive longs at open: Wait for price to consolidate before entering trades.
💡 Pro Tip: If price rejects 23,298, sellers might step in aggressively. Consider buying Put options cautiously.
📊 2️⃣ Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 23,000 - 23,100:
No Trade Zone (23,049 - 23,103): Avoid trading here. Wait for price to break out clearly.
Break above 23,103? Expect bullish movement to 23,205. Go long above 23,105 with SL at 23,050.
Break below 23,049? Expect downside movement toward 22,970. Short below 23,045 with SL at 23,100.
💡 Pro Tip: In a flat opening, let price settle before making a decision. Patience pays!
📊 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 22,873 or below:
22,873 as support? If price holds, expect a bounce back. Go long above 22,900 with SL at 22,850.
Break below 22,873? Next major support is 22,660. Short below 22,870 with SL at 22,950.
If price reaches 22,660 and holds, expect a bounce. Look for buying opportunities around this level.
💡 Pro Tip: In a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for proper confirmation before entering.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
📌 Never chase a trade. Let price confirm the level before entering.
📌 Use stop-losses strictly. Protect your capital at all times.
📌 Avoid trading in the No Trade Zone. This is where stop-losses get hunted easily.
📌 Monitor IV (Implied Volatility). If IV is high, options premiums might be inflated. Consider spreads instead of naked options.
🔥 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance: 23,205 / 23,298 – 23,332
✅ Key Support: 22,970 / 22,873 – 22,893 / 22,660 / 22,508
✅ No Trade Zone: 23,049 - 23,103
✅ Gap-Up: Watch resistance at 23,298. Breakout = bullish, rejection = short.
✅ Flat Opening: Wait for breakout/breakdown from No Trade Zone before entering.
✅ Gap-Down: 22,873 is crucial. Holding = bounce, breakdown = more downside.
🎯 Stick to the plan, follow discipline, and manage your risks!
⚠ Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 12/02/2025Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 23050 level then expected reversal upto the 23250 level. 23250 level will act a strong resistance for today's session. Possible nifty will goes further downside from this level. Important support for today's session is 23000-23050 zone. Sharp downside expected below the 23000 level.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty closed at 23072, down 1.32% after a sharp 200 points drop in 30 min, hitting an intraday low of 22986.
Technicals:
Nifty opened below previous day’s close and saw continued selling and saw sudden drop of 200 points in 2nd half and closed at 23072 down 1.32% forming a big Red candle suggesting weakness closing below 10,20,50,200 DEMA.
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index was down to 41
Support/Resistance
Major Support 22800
Immediate Support 22950
Immediate Resistance 23250
Major Resistance 23400
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 23500, 23400 followed by 23300 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 22700 followed by 22800 - Support
23300CE 23400CE and 23500CE saw major addition signaling Shorts added
22700PE saw PE addition indicating support
PCR is 0.6 which indicates Bearishness
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 14.5%/85.5%
FII exited 4K Longs in Future at 38K and Shorts intact at 1.9L contracts
Nifty Futures price was in down -1.4%, a slight decrease in price alongside slight increase in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates slight Bearishness
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty is weak below 23000
Approch:
Short at higher levels for 22700 tgt
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
Holding shorts from 23250 levels booked half at 23000
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/02/2025Today will be gap up opening expected in nifty near 23400 level. After opening if nifty sustain above 23350 level then possible upside rally upto 23500 level. 23500 will act as an immediate resistance for today's session. Expected downside from this level. Major downside expected in nifty below 23300 level.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty saw selling from the opening to close below 23400 but managed to bounce from 23300 levels.
Technicals:
Nifty opened below previous day’s close and saw continued selling to find support/buying around 23300 levels and saw slight pull back above 23350 levels forming a Bearish candle closing below 10,20,50,200 DEMA.
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index was down to 47
Support/Resistance
Major Support 23300
Immediate Support 23150
Immediate Resistance 23450
Major Resistance 24600
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 23700, 23600 followed by 23600 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23000 followed by 23100 - Support
23700CE 23600CE and 23500CE saw major addition signaling Shorts added
23200Pe saw unwinding indicating weakness and 23000pe saw addition indicating support
PCR is 0.6 which indicates Bearishness
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 16.5%/83.5%
FII exited 4K Longs in Future at 38K and Shorts intact at 1.9L contracts
Nifty Futures price was in negative, a slight decrease in price alongside slight increase in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates slight Bearishness
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty is weak below 23300
Approch:
Waiting for move up or down
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
No Positions
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/02/2025Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading and sustain above 23600 level then expected upside rally upto 23800+ level in opening session. Major downside rally expected below 23550 level. This downside can goes upto the 23400 level.
Nifty50 Trade Setup – February ExpiryAnalyzing the 7th Feb settlement prices using my proprietary OptionSigma model, a key level emerges: 23,698.80.
📌 Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above 23,698.80 signals strength—potential long opportunities in Nifty February Futures or Monthly Call options.
📌 Bearish Scenario: Failure to breach this level? Shorting is the only play—either via futures or buying put options.
⚡ Stay sharp. Watch the price action around this level for confirmation!
#Nifty50 #OptionsTrading #IndexTrading #OptionSigma #FNO #TradingStrategy
NIFTY - Pre - Budgetary AnalysisHello Traders,
I hope this message finds you well. I am pleased to share an insightful analysis with you, which illuminates the continuation of the market shift in accordance with the budget.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, comprises three phases and bottomed out at 22,786 on January 27, 2025 (~120D) . Given the recent decline, it is considered a correction within a correction, and we anticipate a retracement to higher levels before resuming the trend in a more significant manner.
The analysis is supported by the fact that a crucial time resistance for the down trend lies at 17 February 2025, where the market is anticipated to conclude the ongoing correction phase and initiate a new trend.
Phase I:
Following a brief rally in the pre-open and open periods, the market is expected to decline towards lower levels between 9.15 - 11 AM to the following levels.
SI: 23,300
SII: 23,140 (Stronger)
SIII: 23,041 (Potentially for extension to 23,000)
*Please note that these values are indicative and not actual.
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current interim upward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R 24,120 levels) + static support.
R I – 23,950
RII – 24,120 ~ 24,225
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
**Budget commentary that I expect: **
1. There will not be any change in corporate tax rate.
2. Personal IT may see a small slab change, accompanied by an increase in standard deduction.
3. No changes to STT, LTCG / STCG (revision(s) will undermine the integrity of the decisions from FM).
4. Reduced borrowing costs accommodating leveraged capex.
5. Incentivization (PLI, infra, agricultural & make in india).
6. Semi conductor push.
Overall, I am expecting a neutral budget – Neither hawkish nor dovish.
The markets will do what they have to….!!!
**Important Note:**
This entire analysis holds true only until the market breaks 22,786.90, although I believe not today.
** Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% support level coinciding with the 22,146 ~ 21,245 -support level.
**Strategy:**
Given the implied volatility increase, it is prudent to adapt to changes as they appear to transpire.
1. Sell until phase I.
2. Buy for phase II (Conservatives may await some confirmation with strict SL @ 22,786).
3. Exit any open position after phase II completion and await cues.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has necessitated countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by promoting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative that you conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near the 23700 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 23750 level then expected upside movement in index. This upside rally can goes upto 23950+ level. Below 23700 downside possible upto the 23550 support level in today's session.
Any major downside only expected below this support level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 07.02.2025Thursday’s session saw Nifty opening with a gap-up, touching a high of 23,773.55 in the opening minutes, but failing to sustain. It dropped to a low of 23,556.25 before closing at 23,603.35, losing 93 points over the previous close. The Weekly & Daily Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23,327 - 23,381.60
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 23,686.70 - 23,701.90
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty broke above a key Daily Supply Zone but couldn't sustain, falling from 23,800 to 23,500. The next crucial resistance lies at 24,000 - 24,250. Only a breakout and sustained move above this zone could shift the trend from sideways to bullish.