NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-Oct-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a mix of consolidation and upward momentum, with notable resistance zones tested near 24,594 . Key levels for 31-Oct-2024 have been identified, with trends marked as follows: yellow for sideways movement, green for bullish momentum, and red for bearish sentiment. This plan provides strategies for different opening scenarios.
Trading Plan for 31-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens 100+ points above the previous close, it may test the First Resistance/Consolidation Zone near 24,594 . If the index sustains above this level, we may see a push towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . However, if it struggles to hold above 24,594 , expect a retracement towards the Opening Support/Resistance level at 24,320 .
– A reversal from the resistance levels could prompt a move back to the Support at Retracement at 24,163 .
Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close)
For a flat opening, the key level to watch is 24,349 . Sustaining above this point could lead to a breakout, targeting 24,594 and possibly extending towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . Conversely, if momentum fails above 24,349 , Nifty might move sideways around 24,320 or even test the lower support at 24,285 .
– A downside break below 24,285 could increase bearish pressure, with potential support found at 24,163 .
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
In a gap-down scenario, initial support may be found near 24,285 . A rebound from this level could bring the price back toward 24,349 . If the index sustains above 24,349 , bullish momentum could retest the resistance at 24,594 . However, if 24,285 fails to hold, a decline towards Support at Retracement near 24,163 is likely.
– Persistent weakness below 24,163 might drive further downside towards the Last Intraday Support at 24,040 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Manage your position sizes wisely, especially when volatility is high.
Consider deploying trailing stops near major resistance/support levels to protect gains.
Options spreads can limit risk exposure, which is particularly useful in a choppy market.
Summary and Conclusion
The primary focus for 31-Oct-2024 remains on the resistance at 24,594 and support at 24,163 . Traders should stay flexible with these levels and use disciplined stop-loss strategies to manage risks. Observing the price action after the opening will provide better insight into the day’s trend.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical levels and reflects my personal view. Please perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.
Niftytrend
50 Hours EMA and Trendline resistance again stop Nifty progressAgain The Mother line (50 Hours Resistance) and trendline resistance threw spanner in the growth effort of Nifty. Till Mother line and trendline thereafter is not crossed we can't reach Father line resistance which is at 24853. Supports for nifty remain at 24307, 24173 and finally 24073. Below 24073 Nifty will become very weak and bears will spell further doom. Resistances on the upper side remain at the zone between 24448 and 24513 (tough to conquer Mother line and Trend line resistance respectively), 24613, 24730 and 24853. Above 24853 the critical resistance will be the zone between 24860 and 24971. Bulls can come back into the game after the close above 24971. Above 24971 Bulls can create an upward rampage. Tomorrow is a very critical day where Nifty going into November needs to close above 24513 or atleast above 24448. Signs are looking little difficult for Nifty with a negative shadow of the candle but festive buying can bring back the bulls in action hopefully. .
To know more about Techno-Funda investment, Mother-Father and Small Child theory, Happy Candles Number read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation. Gift it to yourself or your special ones this festive season.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 30/10/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24550 level then possible strong upside rally upto 24750+ in today's session. 24300-24450 zone will act as a consolidation range for nifty. Any major further downside only expected below 24300 level.
U shape recovery on cards for Nifty. There is a chance of U shape recovery on Nifty if it is able to beat Mother and father line resistance. Today we saw a swift recovery by Nifty after making a low of 24140. Nifty closed at 24466. That was a recovery of 326 points which is quite remarkable. The only negative point was the close which is 2 points below the Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA at 24468. With this close if we can get an opening above Mother line tomorrow and if Nifty sustains above it we can see further swift recovery till Father line of 200 Hours EMA which is at 24887 with a trend line resistance at 24613.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24468 (Strong Mother Line Resistance) , 24613(Strong Trend Line Resistance), 24887 (strong Father Line resistance), 24917 and 25204. Above 25204 Bulls can come back aggressively.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24349, 24173 and 24073. Below 24073 Bears can get very aggressive in dragging the market downwards.
To know more about Mother, Father and Small child theory and it's correlation to stock price and 50 and 200 days EMA read my book. The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
DIXON Short Setup: Evening Star & Potential HNS with Trendline Weekly Analysis
Pattern Observed: Evening Star on Weekly Timeframe
Additional Insights
- The Evening Star pattern tends to be more reliable on Daily and Weekly timeframes, making this setup particularly noteworthy for swing traders.
Trade Setup
1. Entry: Enter after a decisive break below the low of the third (red) candle in the Evening Star pattern.
- Alternatively, you may enter on the fourth candle if it signals a reversal, with a stop loss set according to your risk tolerance.
2. Stop Loss (SL): Can be set based on your risk preference, usually just above the high of the Evening Star pattern.
3. Target (TGT): Consider scaling out at key support levels or use the measured HNS target as detailed below if the formation completes.
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Potential Head and Shoulders (HNS) Formation
Trade Setup for HNS Pattern:
1. Entry : Enter when price decisively breaks below the neckline on a closing basis.
2. Target (TGT): Measure the distance from the top of the head to the neckline and project it downwards from the neckline for your target.
3. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop above the head of the HNS pattern.
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Additional Confirmation
I've drawn a trendline to monitor for a potential breakdown. If either the Evening Star or HNS pattern aligns with a trendline break, it would serve as an additional confirmation for a short position.
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This setup combines a confluence of technical factors, making it robust for weekly trading decisions. Comments and thoughts welcome!
IMPORTANT THINGS TO REMEMBER
1. Don't be fooled by opearators Theyll try it take it up to sell
2. Don't be a hero, follow SL with 1% extra loss max. (as setup is on Weekly TF)
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/10/2024Today nifty will open flat or slightly gap down near 24300 level. After opening if it's sustain above 24300 level then possible upside rally upto 24500 but in case nifty starts trading below 24250 level then possible further downside upto 24050 level in today's session.
Plan for 29th October 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Result analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2024
Intro:
On the previous day, Nifty displayed a upward movement from the provided levels in yesterdays trading plan and minor fluctuations within key levels. The chart illustrates potential sideways movement in yellow , an expected bullish trend in green , and a bearish trend in red . For today's trading, we will observe various opening scenarios and outline strategies accordingly.
Trading Plan for 29-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens with a 100+ points gap up, it is likely to face resistance near the 24,453 - 24,563 range, which is marked as the Opening Resistance / No Trade Zone . Observe price action here. If Nifty sustains above 24,563 , it may target the Profit Booking Zone around 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to break above the resistance, expect a potential retracement towards the Opening Support at 24,282 .
– In case of strong selling pressure, Nifty could pull back further, aiming toward 24,162 as a potential support.
Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close)
With a flat opening, focus on the initial 30 minutes to gauge market sentiment. If prices sustain above the 24,453 level, we may see a push toward 24,563 . A breakout above 24,563 will likely lead to a bullish trend targeting Profit Booking Zone at 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to sustain above the No Trade Zone , expect sideways movement or a dip toward 24,282 .
– Any move below 24,282 could potentially extend towards 24,162 , testing the Last Intraday Support level.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
In a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,282 level as the immediate support. If it holds, Nifty may attempt to retest the Opening Resistance Zone around 24,453 . A breakout above this level could bring sideways or bullish momentum up to 24,563 . Failure to reclaim 24,282 may lead to further downside pressure, potentially pulling prices to the Last Intraday Support at 24,162 .
– Watch for price stability around 24,162 if it is reached, as this may serve as a potential reversal point.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Consider setting a defined stop-loss for each options position based on volatility levels; hourly candle closes can be useful for managing intraday risk.
Avoid over-leveraging. In options trading, position sizing should reflect the inherent risk and potential for quick price changes.
Utilize trailing stops to lock in profits if Nifty moves favorably. This is particularly effective in highly volatile sessions.
Summary and Conclusion
Today, focus on the key zones: 24,453 - 24,563 as resistance and 24,282 as support. A break above or below these levels could set the day's trend. Use a balanced approach, aligning with the prevailing sentiment indicated by the chart structure.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on personal views and technical parameters. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Technical bounce in Nifty today, recovery can be a long processToday what we saw can be called as technical recovery by Nifty in the process of bottom formation. Actual recovery can still be a long process. Bulls can be back inn business only if we get a closing above mother line of 50 days EMA that is at 24898. 24898 is a critical level because mid channel resistance for the current parallel channel as well as Mother line. Whether Nifty can weather the storm and move ahead is only a question which time will answer in the short term. Long term investors can see current situation as partial entry zone for large and mid-caps which have given a good result this quarter or are giving a good result.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23865, 23684, 23464 (Father line Strong support 200 days EMA) and 23626 (Strong Parallel Channel Bottom Support).
Resistances for Nifty Remain at: 24492 (Today's high and strong Trend line resistance), 24679, 24898 (Strong Mid-channel and Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA), 25221 and 25623.
Strong momentum and positive action has potential to take Nifty back to 26K+ levels. As on date even after strong resilience shown by Nifty FIIs are still on the selling side as they were net sellers of Equity worth Rs.3228 Crores. DIIs and Retail investors have been on the buying side at every dip. This is what is not allowing the Nifty to fall currently beyond 200 days EMA. Let us see who given in first. Very interesting tussle going on between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors combination. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to slightly positive but it is hanging by a thin thread. (Approach for long term should be cautious but positive. Approach for short term is still very cautious as we are not out of deep waters).
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 28-Oct-24 to 01-Nov-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 28-Oct-24 to 01-Nov-24
Nifty closed at 24192 (Last week 24854) and touched high & low of 25971-24197
RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down to the bottom. market Broke the key short term support at 24560 and went down.
Last week Market was down as expected by more than 700 points but slightly recovered on last day of trading of the week similar to previous week. FII pulled out money and investing in China, Japan in Oct 2024. Indian Stock Valuation after Q2 results, Middle East tension are the reason for the fall.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE ( Currently 22.8) is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high and advised those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these time. My Stock Pick will be provided in this week.
Nifty 24854 Short term ( Short Term : Neutral)
Nifty short term resistance 24450 & 25365
Support at 24000, 23885
Medium Term next target is 25750 ( if move up decisively above next target is 25370), 26268 ( all time high), 26968
Medium term Support 22800.
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance).
Support at 21900
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 28/10/2024Today gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening expected downside upto 24050 level in today's session and this downside rally can extend for further 100-150 points in case nifty starts trading below 24000 level. Downside 23850 level expected in today's session. Any upside rally only expected if nifty sustain above 24050 level and give reversal from this level.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 28-Oct-2024
**Previous Day Recap**: Nifty experienced volatility yesterday, with a downward bias. Major support levels held around the **24080-24100** mark, indicating potential buying interest. However, resistance levels remain active, with **24,276** serving as a pivot zone. For today, trends are illustrated as follows:
- **Yellow** trend signifies a sideways market.
- **Green** trend indicates a bullish outlook.
- **Red** trend reflects a bearish sentiment.
Opening Scenarios for 28-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more)
If Nifty opens with a gap up of 100+ points:
- Immediate resistance can be seen at **24,276**. A break above this may push the index towards the **24,392** level, which acts as the Last Resistance for Intraday .
- Consider booking profits if Nifty approaches the **24,531 - 24,589** zone (highlighted as Profit Booking Zone ) as sellers might attempt to re-enter.
- If resistance at **24,276** holds and shows weakness, expect a potential pullback towards **24,143** for support.
Flat Opening
In case of a flat opening near **24,210**:
- Initial support is at **24,191**, followed by a stronger base around **24,143**.
- If Nifty moves up from these levels, the next resistance can be expected at **24,276**. Watch closely for consolidation in this area, as a breakout could trigger a rally toward **24,392**.
- A failure to hold support at **24,143** could signal a downtrend, targeting **23,998** and below.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more)
For a gap down opening of -100 points or more:
- Initial support will likely emerge around **23,998**. If this holds, a bounce is expected toward **24,143**.
- If **23,998** breaks, the next significant support level sits at **23,740**, marked as the Possible Bottom Zone for Current Trend . This is a critical level; a breach could lead to a deeper correction towards **23,590**.
- A recovery from this lower level may indicate reversal buying, ideal for intraday long positions up to **24,086**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Always define your stop-loss levels based on the nearest support/resistance zones to manage risk effectively.
- Avoid aggressive positions in high-volatility scenarios like gap openings. Start small and scale up if the trend confirms.
- Be cautious of time decay when trading options, especially if the price is near critical support or resistance zones.
- Consider hedging positions if holding overnight, given the volatility in global markets.
Summary and Conclusion
For 28th October 2024, key zones to watch are **24,276** on the upside and **23,998** on the downside. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could determine the day’s trend. Remember that the market may consolidate before choosing a direction, and it’s wise to wait for confirmation at these levels before entering trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty 500 Looks set for a bounce. A sharp one.Nifty 500 looks set to break the local high it created before falling and is set to bounce 1300 points from here. However, this bounce would be used to exit and would eventually become a sell on rise opportunity for institutions. Use this bounce to exit longs, as we head in to choppy few months.
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 28-1st Nov 2024. Nifty Nosedives! This week, the Nifty took a dramatic plunge, closing a hefty 700 points down from the previous week at 24,180. The bulls fought valiantly, pushing the index to a high of 24,978, but the bears ultimately prevailed, dragging it down to a low of 24,073.
Key Levels Breached and Tested: My predicted range for the Nifty this week (25,550 - 24,350) was unfortunately shattered on the downside. Furthermore, the critical support level of WEMA21 was breached for the first time since October 2023, a potentially bearish sign.
Is a Short Squeeze Brewing? With many retail investors now anticipating a continued downtrend, a counter-intuitive uptrend might be on the horizon. This could be a strategic move by the bulls to trap those who are shorting the market.
Next Week's Crucial Levels: Buckle up, because next week is a pivotal one for the Nifty. If the index can defend the crucial support zone of 23,900-24,000, we might witness a surge testing resistance levels around 24,500-24,600. However, a breach below 23,900 opens the door for a further decline towards 23,600 and even the psychologically important 200-day moving average (23,500). This is where I, for one, will be getting "greedy" by considering adding Niftybees and some fundamentally strong stocks with favorable risk-reward ratios. Remember the age-old wisdom: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." The time to be greedy for value might be just around the corner!
S&P 500: Holding the Line (for Now): Across the pond, the S&P 500 failed to surpass its previous week's high of 5,878 and experienced a correction of more than 1.5% from its weekly peak of 5,866. The silver lining? It managed to hold above the crucial support level of 5,762. The upcoming week will be critical as well. If the S&P 500 can maintain a position above 5,863, it could potentially surge towards a significant Fibonacci retracement level of 6,013, which could also provide a positive tailwind for the Indian markets. However, a dip below 5,700 could trigger a correction ranging from 1.6% to 3.3%, potentially dragging the Nifty down with it.
Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous Diwali. Enjoy
Bank Nifty Long - Riding the Wave • Technical Analysis:
• Trend Analysis: The Bank Nifty has been showing a robust upward trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows over the past month.
• Support Levels: The index recently bounced off a significant support level, confirming strength in the ongoing trend.
• Moving Averages: Bank Nifty is trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a strong indicator of continued bullish momentum.
• RSI & MACD: Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) show bullish divergences, indicating that the upward movement has room to continue.
The decision to go long on Bank Nifty was driven by strong technical signals and positive economic fundamentals. This position is intended to capitalize on the potential upward trajectory forecasted by both market sentiment and statistical indicators. I will be monitoring this position closely and plan to adjust my stop-loss and take profit points as the market evolves.
#BankNifty #LongPosition #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Bank Nifty Long - Riding the Wave Last Friday, I initiated a long position on Bank Nifty, anticipating a bullish trend driven by a combination of positive economic indicators and sector-specific momentum. This analysis will break down the strategic reasoning behind this decision, supported by technical indicators and market sentiment.
Trend Analysis: The Bank Nifty has been showing a robust upward trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows over the past month.
• Support Levels: The index recently bounced off a significant support level, confirming strength in the ongoing trend.
• Moving Averages: Bank Nifty is trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a strong indicator of continued bullish momentum.
• RSI & MACD: Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) show bullish divergences, indicating that the upward movement has room to continue.
Today we received first signals of bottom formation. Today Nifty gave first indication of bottom formation after a long time. Will the bottom hold is a question which only time can answer. Nifty staged good recovery of 107 points from the day's low that was a positive sign. MMI (Market mood index) for Nifty on Ticker tape shows that Nifty is currently in the Extreme Fear zone of 26.5. Usually good money is made when you buy in extreme fear zone and sell in extreme greed zone. The supports for Nifty for the next week remain at 24102, 24703, 23366 and 22821. Resistances for Nifty for the next week remain at 24408, 24547, 24714, 24996 and 25338. Above 25338 Bulls can come back into full action mode and can take Nifty towards 25656 in the best case scenario.
The Critical Mother and Father resistance for the hourly chart are at 24547 and 24966. Critical Mid channel resistance is near 25338. Channel Bottom support is in the zone of 24102 to 24072.
To know more about Parallel channel and my Mother, Father and Small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Kindle and Paper back version. You will learn a lot about Fundamental analysis, Candle Sticks analytics, Profit booking and behavioural finance from the book. The book is currently one of the highest rated books on Amazon in the financial analysis and strategy category. I assure you it will be worth every money spent.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/10/2024Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected nifty will consolidated between 24400-24500 zone. Bullish rally only expected if nifty gives breakout of 24500 level and sustain above this level. Downside expected if nifty starts trading below 24400 level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/10/2024Slightly gap up opening in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 24500 level then possible upside rally upto 24700 level. Strong downside expected below 24400 level. 24400-24500 will act as a consolidation zone for nifty. Downside next support will be 24200 for nifty.