Niftytrend
#NIFTY This PUT Targeting 1100 % PUMP#NIFTY This PUT Targeting 1100 % PUMP..
There is an expectation of a major correction in Nifty, which could lead to a pump of over 1100% in this put. Option trading should be done with caution, keeping in mind the risks and proper risk management.
NIFTY : Prediction levels and plan for 19-Dec-2024
Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's chart, we observed Nifty approaching a deep retracement zone (113% level at 24,098) and tested the must-try zone for Wave C completion as highlighted. Price remained within the "No Trade Zone" for a considerable period, indicating indecision and sideways movement. The sideways yellow trend was respected, with no significant breakout.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan the opening scenarios considering a gap opening of 100+ points in either direction, or a flat opening, using key levels for action.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens above the Opening Resistance for Retracement at 24,359, this signals initial strength.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for price action confirmation. If Nifty sustains above 24,359, we may see a move towards the Last Intraday Resistance at 24,488 (red level).
- Aggressive traders can look for long opportunities with a stop loss placed at 24,227 (blue level) on an hourly candle-close basis.
- However, failure to sustain above 24,359 can lead to a retracement back towards the No Trade Zone (24,169).
- Action Plan:
- If the price closes an hourly candle above **24,359**, initiate longs with **targets** at **24,488**.
- If it fails to hold above, avoid fresh trades and wait for price to return to the retracement zone.
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens near the No Trade Zone (24,169 - 24,227), caution is required. A sideways price action is likely within this range.
- Price needs to break out from this "No Trade Zone" to give clear direction.
- Upside breakout above 24,227 could lead to a retracement test towards 24,359.
- Downside breakdown below 24,169 can trigger a test of the Wave C correction zone at 24,098 - 24,029.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading in the "No Trade Zone" to minimize risk.
- For longs, wait for a confirmed breakout above **24,227**.
- For shorts, wait for a breakdown below **24,169**, targeting **24,098** first and then **24,029**.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens near or below the Must Try Zone at Wave C completion (24,098 - 24,029), it signals a bearish start.
- Watch for signs of support formation in this range. A strong bounce can lead to a reversal back toward 24,169.
- However, if Nifty fails to hold this zone and breaks 24,029, further downside towards 23,600 could unfold (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for buying opportunities if price holds above **24,029** with confirmation on the hourly chart.
- If **24,029** breaks decisively, initiate short positions targeting **23,600**, with a stop loss above **24,098**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Always use stop losses based on an hourly candle close to manage risks.
Avoid trading in uncertain zones (e.g., "No Trade Zone") where the risk-reward ratio is unfavorable.
For options, consider deploying spreads (e.g., Bull Call Spread or Bear Put Spread) to limit risk during gap openings.
Avoid chasing trades in case of a sharp gap-up or gap-down; let the price stabilize for 30 minutes.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty remains at a critical juncture near the Wave C correction completion zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 24,227, 24,359, 24,488
Downside: 24,169, 24,098, 24,029, and 23,600
Focus on breakouts or breakdowns for actionable trades, avoiding sideways moves.
The yellow trend reflects sideways movement, green indicates a bullish reversal, and red shows bearish continuation.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
As Expected Mother Line resistance has come into playAs we had expected in Yesterday's message the closing below Mother line yesterday meant that Mother line resistance was supposed to come into play today and it did. Nifty made a high of 24394 and ominous mother line resistance was near by as can be seen in the chart and Nifty got rejected from there. Now Nifty is tossed into bottom searching mode. Today's low that is 24149.85 was a support zone and we saw a closing above it at 24198 which is the silver lining in the cloud. If 24150 is respected tomorrow we can start seeing some range bound upside. If the support of 24150 is not respected and we get a closing below this level the further supports for Nifty will be at 23904, 23803 or Strong Father line support at 23689. If 23689 is broken we can see a low of 23291 or so as of now.
On the positive side if the support of 24150 is respected by Nifty the resistances on the upside will be near 24311, 24435 (Strong Mother line resistance), 24627, 24793 or even 24960. 24960 is a strong resistance to cross but if and when it is crossed we can see more upside as Bulls will start calling shots above this level.
Thus the most critical supports are 24150 and 23689. Most critical resistances will be 24435 as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 19, 2024The Nifty intraday trend is likely to be bearish tomorrow ie December 19, 2024. The positional trend also looks bearish till the end of the month. There are strong support zones for Nifty spot on the positional side at 23678 and 23381 by end of December 2024.
For the positional Nifty trend forecast chart, please refer to the post dated on 30th November 2024 published for Trading view members only.
The content provided here is only for the educational purposes.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/12/2024Today will be gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 24250 level then strong fall expected upto 200+ points. Any upside rally only expected if nifty susitan above the 24300 level. Upside 23500 level act as a strong resistance for today's session.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Dec-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Dec-2024
Previous Day Plan vs Actual:
In yesterday's uploaded chart, we identified key levels of retracement and reversal zones. The Wave C completion zone (24,097 - 24,009) was highlighted as a potential support for buyers. As observed in today’s session, the price reacted strongly to this zone with a pullback, respecting the reversal area as anticipated. Additionally, the Golden Retracement Zone acted as intraday resistance, with prices consolidating sideways as shown in the Yellow Trend . Moving into 18-Dec-2024, we will adjust our plan based on the identified opening levels and trends.
Trading Scenarios for 18-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,319)
If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 24,485 or near the Golden Retracement Zone , we should be cautious of immediate selling pressure. The first resistance to monitor is at 24,547 . Price action here will determine further moves:
If prices sustain above 24,547 , expect an extension toward 24,686 (Last resistance for Intraday).
Failing to sustain above 24,547 could lead to retracement back to 24,319 (Opening Support).
Action Plan: Wait for a retest of support levels after the gap-up before initiating fresh longs. Avoid chasing prices.
Tip: For option traders, focus on at-the-money call options with tight stop losses if support holds.
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Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,319 - Opening Support/Resistance Zone)
If Nifty opens flat near the Opening Support/Resistance at 24,319 , we must observe whether buyers or sellers take control:
If prices break above 24,319 and sustain, look for a move toward the Golden Retracement Zone at 24,454 - 24,485 .
Failure to hold 24,319 could trigger selling pressure toward 24,150 and deeper levels like the Wave C completion zone.
Action Plan: Observe 15-minute candle confirmation before taking any trade. Maintain a favorable Risk/Reward Ratio of at least 1:2.
Tip: For options, consider selling put options if support holds or buying call spreads to minimize premium risks.
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Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,319)
If Nifty opens with a gap-down near the Wave C completion zone (24,097 - 24,009) , this area will act as strong support for buyers:
Look for reversal signs (bullish candles) in this support zone for potential long entries with stop losses below 24,009 .
If prices fail to reverse and sustain below 24,009 , expect further downside toward 23,950 .
Action Plan: Focus on reversal confirmation at Wave C completion for long positions. Avoid shorting unless a clear breakdown occurs.
Tip: For options, buying in-the-money call options at reversal zones reduces the impact of time decay.
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always keep a defined stop-loss for every trade to protect your capital.
Avoid holding options positions overnight, especially during high volatility.
Use spreads (e.g., Call/Put Spreads) to minimize the impact of premium fluctuations.
Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Monitor the VIX index to gauge overall market sentiment and volatility levels.
Summary and Conclusion:
Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above 24,454 - 24,485 could trigger a move toward 24,686 .
Sideways Scenario: Consolidation in the Golden Retracement Zone may dominate intraday moves.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 24,009 could invite further selling pressure.
Yellow Trend: Sideways Consolidation
Green Trend: Bullish Move
Red Trend: Bearish Breakdown
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The analysis provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trade.
2 Red Candles throw Nifty back to support searching mode. 2 intensive Red Candles with big selling throw Nifty back to support searching mode. The strong support zone is round the corner. The chart shows Nifty is nearing 2 major trend line supports at 24257 and 24175. If these 2 supports are broken further supports for Nifty will be at 23904 and 23803. Final Mega support for Nifty will be 23684 (200 day's EMA or Father Line Support) and recent low of 23291. On the upper side resistances galore at 24445 (50 day's EMA or Mother line) followed by 24627, 24793, 24960 and finally 25209.
The selling has come on the back of Rupee hitting all time low and fears over US FED slowdown in the Rate Cuts in the year 2025 as inflation is not abetting and is continuing to grow. US Markets have already priced in 25bps rate cut for the ongoing FEd meeting. But more worry is regarding the commentary about 2025 and 1 or 2 more US FED meetings decisions before Trump administration takes over. With Nifty nearing critical support levels mentioned earlier volatility, bulls Vs bears FII Vs DII intense struggle is on cards. Bears have had an upper hand so far this week but Bulls can stage a fierce fight back any time within this week itself once Nifty confirms support.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/12/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above the 24550 level then expected continue upside rally. Major downside expected below the 24450 level. Upside 24750 will act as a strong resistance for nifty. Any major upside rally expected above this level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.12.2024On Monday, Nifty opened negative, made an initial high of 24781.25 but slipped to a low of 24601.75 during the session. It closed at 24668.25, losing 100 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24180.80 - 24342.50
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23927.15 - 24188.45 (tested)
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (Current price inside the zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024):
In yesterday's plan, we identified the No Trade Zone near 24,696-24,750 and the Opening Resistance at 24,830, expecting sideways movement if prices hovered in this range. As seen in the chart, the price respected the No Trade Zone, consolidating before a pullback. The Opening Intraday Support at 24,526 provided a critical holding point, and prices staged a rebound.
Today's plan will analyze multiple opening scenarios, key levels, and likely trends, helping traders prepare for action.
🔹 Nifty 50 Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 24,750 (No Trade Zone), the next critical resistance is at 24,830 (Opening Resistance). Sustaining above this level on an hourly candle close can trigger sharp short-covering, leading the index toward 25,041 (Profit Booking Resistance for 25,630).
🔹 Plan of Action:
Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe if the gap up sustains.
Enter long positions above 24,830 only if prices hold for an hourly close.
Immediate stop loss can be placed just below 24,750 for risk control.
🔹 Bullish Continuation Target:
Immediate Target: 25,041.
🔹 Risk Management:
For options traders, consider ATM or slightly ITM CE options to manage premium decay.
Avoid chasing the opening; let a pullback confirm strength.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (near 24,648-24,696)
If Nifty opens flat, the No Trade Zone at 24,696-24,750 will play a critical role. This zone might act as a sideways region (Yellow Trend) if prices struggle to break out.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Stay cautious inside the No Trade Zone as there may be choppy moves.
A breakout above 24,750 or a breakdown below 24,526 will signal the direction.
Go long above 24,750 with a stop loss below 24,696.
Go short below 24,526, targeting 24,484 and lower levels.
🔹 Bullish or Bearish Confirmation:
Bullish breakout: Above 24,750.
Bearish breakdown: Below 24,526.
🔹 Risk Management:
Use defined stop losses, and avoid overleveraging positions.
For options, consider buying spreads to reduce premium risk.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near or below 24,526 (Opening Intraday Support), the 24,484 and 24,309 levels will act as crucial supports.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Observe price action at 24,526. If support holds, expect a bounce back toward 24,696.
If 24,526 breaks, initiate short positions targeting 24,484 and 24,309.
If prices drop below 24,309 (Last Intraday Support), it could lead to a sharp decline (Red Trend).
🔹 Key Levels for Shorts:
Immediate Targets: 24,484 → 24,309.
🔹 Risk Management:
Manage trades with strict stop loss above 24,526 for shorts.
For options traders, consider buying OTM PE options for risk-limited trades.
🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Avoid holding positions overnight in volatile market conditions.
Use defined stop losses and trail profits to protect gains.
Prefer spreads (CE/PE spreads) instead of naked buying to manage risk and decay.
Wait for hourly candle closes at critical levels for better confirmation.
🔹 Summary & Conclusion:
Above 24,750, expect bullish continuation towards 25,041.
Flat opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution; wait for breakout/breakdown.
Below 24,526, bears can take control, with levels 24,484 and 24,309 acting as key supports.
Watch price action near support/resistance and avoid random entries.
🔹 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty searching for upward momentum. Nifty has again held on to the Motherline support of 50 Hours EMA today and if it is able to cross the resistance of 24698 more upside can be on the cards. In such a scenario the resistances on the upside in addition to 24698 will be at 24775, 24852, 24975 and finally 25147.
The supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at Mother line of 50 Hours EMA which is at 24852, 24398 Father line support of 200 hours EMA, Mid channel support at 24290 and finally the support is at 24174. Below 24174 Nifty become very weak. Above 25147 there will be a parallel channel breakout and Bulls will become very powerful. The signs are positive and despite a negative day on the browsers shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 17, 2024I am bullish tomorrow. While calculating the Nifty spot levels, gaps on the either side are not taken into account. So levels may vary.
The content provided here are only views and the real-time market may not be in line to my forecast. Use it only for educational purposes.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/12/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if it gives breakout of 24800 level then possible strong bullish rally upto 25000+ level in today's session. Below 24750 expected reversal upto 24550 level. For today's session 24550 level will act as a strong and important support for nifty. Any major downside rally only expected below this support zone.
Nifty 50 16 Dec 2024 ViewKey Observations:
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support 1: 23,884.60
Support 2: 23,264.60
Resistance 1: 24,769.95
R2: 25,193.80
R3: 25,646.70
Trendlines:
The chart shows a rising wedge/channel with price trading upwards near Resistance 1.
The current upward trend may face resistance at higher levels, particularly R2 and R3.
Harmonic Patterns:
Shark Pattern (Left side): Indicating a reversal in earlier phases.
ABCD Patterns & Cypher: Multiple harmonic patterns suggest significant retracement zones and reversals.
Volume Analysis:
Noticeable volume spikes during corrections, hinting at strong buyer interest during pullbacks.
Outlook:
Watch for a breakout above Resistance 1 for further upward momentum.
Breakdown below Support 1 could trigger a reversal toward Support 2.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am a long-term options seller, and my positions may differ from short-term trading perspectives. Always consider your risk appetite before making investment decisions.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.12.2024On Friday, Nifty opened on a negative note, dropping to a low of 24180.80, entering the Daily Demand Zone. However, it staged an impressive recovery, reaching a high of 24792.30, testing the 15m Supply Zone, and closed strong at 24768.30, up 219 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) is positive, signalling strength in the short term.
Demand/Support Zones
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23927.15 - 24188.45 (tested)
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24772.60 - 24857.75 (tested)
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
Note:
Resistance at 24700 breached: Nifty crossed this critical level and closed above it, a positive sign. Since Nifty is now trading within the Weekly Supply Zone (24567.65 - 25234.05), staying cautiously optimistic is recommended.
#nifty50 - 16th DECEMBERNSE:NIFTY
Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - Key Insights & Trading Plan
Key Observations:
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: 24,497 | 24,586.95 | 24,662.40
Resistance: 24,783.85 | 24,837.90 | 24,891.90
Price Movement:
The price witnessed a downtrend followed by a strong recovery.
A sharp upward movement has brought the price near 24,783.85, a significant resistance level.
Current Position:
The price is hesitating near the 24,783.85 resistance level, signaling a critical decision point.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Above 24,783.85:
Target: 24,837.90 → 24,891.90.
Stop-Loss: Below 24,750.
Bearish Scenario:
Rejection at 24,783.85:
Target: Support levels at 24,662.40 → 24,586.95.
Stop-Loss: Above 24,800.
Consolidation Strategy:
Range-Bound Movement between 24,662.40 (support) and 24,783.85 (resistance):
Buy near support,
Sell near resistance.
Summary:
Breakout → Go long (buy).
Rejection → Look for short opportunities.
Watch for volume confirmation during breakouts or rejections to confirm strength.
im not SEBI register.