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NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025Market Context: Nifty closed at 22,080.30, with key structural zones identified: 🔴 Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 22,188 - 22,230 🟠 No Trade Zone: 22,070 - 21,966 🟢 Opening Support: 21,966 🟢 Last Intraday Support: 21,889 🟩 Key Demand Zone: 21,613 - 21,889 (Potential Wave C Completion Area) With a 100+ point gap opening considered, let’s analyze different market scenarios. 🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,180) If Nifty opens above 22,180, it enters the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (22,188 - 22,230). Sustaining above 22,230 – A breakout above this resistance can lead to a potential move toward 22,356. Failure at 22,230 – A rejection from this level could push Nifty back toward 22,080, the previous closing level. If price consolidates near 22,230 without strong buying, it signals a possible reversal, making a short trade viable. 🔹 Trading Plan: Go long only if Nifty sustains above 22,230 on an hourly close, targeting 22,356. Sell below 22,188 if rejection is observed, with a target of 22,080. Options traders can consider 22,200 CE for longs and 22,300 PE if rejection occurs. 🟡 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 22,070 - 22,100) A flat opening near 22,080 places Nifty in a neutral zone, requiring clear direction. A move above 22,100 may lead to an attempt toward the resistance at 22,188 - 22,230. A drop below 22,070 would push price into the No Trade Zone, signaling indecision. A break below 21,966 will shift momentum bearish, targeting 21,889. 🔹 Trading Plan: Avoid trades inside the No Trade Zone and wait for a breakout. A rejection from 22,188 can offer a short trade opportunity toward 22,070. Long positions should only be considered above 22,230, with proper stop-loss management. 🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 21,980) A gap-down near 21,966 - 21,889 will bring price into Opening Support & Last Intraday Support Zones. Holding 21,889 – A strong bounce can occur from this level, offering a buying opportunity. Breaking 21,889 – If sustained selling continues, Nifty may move toward the Wave C Completion Zone (21,613 - 21,889). If price enters the 21,613 - 21,889 range, this zone could act as a major reversal point based on the daily chart. 🔹 Trading Plan: Look for buying opportunities at 21,889 if price shows signs of reversal. If breakdown below 21,889 occurs, wait for confirmation before shorting toward 21,613. Options traders can use 21,900 PE for breakdown trades and 21,800 CE for bounces. 📊 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading ✅ Use Stop Loss on an Hourly Close Basis – Avoid holding options without confirmation of direction. ✅ Trade Small in No Trade Zones – Wait for a breakout or rejection before increasing position size. ✅ Monitor India VIX – If volatility spikes, avoid aggressive short selling. ✅ Book Profits at Resistance & Support Levels – Avoid holding options till expiry unless confident in direction. ✅ Stay Disciplined – If market structure changes, be quick to adapt rather than forcing trades. 📌 Summary & Conclusion Bullish Scenario: Above 22,230, Nifty can rally toward 22,356. Neutral Zone: If trading between 21,966 - 22,070, wait for confirmation before trading. Bearish Scenario: Below 21,889, weakness can extend toward 21,613, where a bounce is expected. 🔹 Best Risk-Reward Trades: Buy near 21,889 if support holds. Sell below 21,889 for a breakdown. Buy only on a confirmed breakout above 22,230. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Is still Panic Ahead? In Continuation of my last analysis on 27-Jan-2025 Updated on Daily Charts Bullish Wave Completion (Wave 1): The initial upward move saw prices reach a bullish wave completion zone between 21,179 and 22,481. This zone represents the culmination of a strong impulsive wave, with consolidation occurring around the lower band (21,179) after peaking. The support held firm, indicating potential for further upside initially. Extended Wave C or Wave 3 Profit Booking (Wave 2): Following the bullish peak, an extended Wave C or Wave 3 profit-booking zone was identified between 22,086 and 22,636. This zone triggered a sharp decline as prices hit the upper band, suggesting overextension and exhaustion of bullish momentum. The drop broke below the support of this zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Correction Wave (Wave 3): A corrective wave formed, confirmed by a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior upward move. This retracement level acted as a natural pullback point, with prices stabilizing briefly before resuming their downward trajectory. This wave indicates a healthy correction within the larger trend. Support and Further Correction (Wave 4): Prices found temporary support within the correction wave zone of 22,758 - 23,054. However, this support failed, leading to a further decline after the formation of Wave 4 on a minor wave. The chart marks this as part of an extended correction wave completion zone (21,613 - 21,894), where current price action is converging. Current Market Position and Outlook: As of the chart's context (March 2023, with the current date being March 4, 2025), prices are trading toward the extended correction zone (21,613 - 21,894). This zone represents a critical level where buyers might step in, but a break below could signal deeper losses. Short-term resistance is noted around 23,054, while a sustained move below 21,894 could target the Primary Wave 4 bottom at 19,683. This level aligns with a significant long-term support zone, making it a key area to watch for reversal or continuation. Trading Implications: Bullish Case: If prices hold above 21,894 and show signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume), traders might anticipate a bounce toward 23,054. Bearish Case: A break below 21,894 with strong momentum could open the door to 19,683, especially if broader market sentiment turns negative. Risk management is crucial, with stop-losses recommended below key support levels and targets set near resistance zones.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 04.03.2025Monday’s session started on a positive note with a gap-up, as Nifty touched a high of 22,261.55 but failed to sustain and dropped to 22,004.70. It later recovered slightly, closing at 22,119.30, losing just 5 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains negative, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) is now in oversold territory. Demand/Support Zones Near Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 22,508.40 - 22,625.30 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 22,720.30 - 23,049.95 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 23,222 - 23,807.30 Outlook Nifty has declined 4,272 points (16%) in the last 5 months from its All-Time High of 26,277. The Daily 50 SMA is now oversold, which could lead to some buying near the 22,000 psychological level. However, multiple gaps and fresh supply zones on the Daily and Weekly charts indicate that any upside move is likely to face selling pressure at higher levels. A Sell-on-Rise strategy remains favorable until a strong reversal is confirmed.
NSE:NIFTY
by PriteshPalan
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty closed flat of much drama Technicals: Nifty opened gap up in line with global cues to find sellers at every high. Nifty made new low around 22000 and bounced back to close flat below all DEMAs The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index closed below 30 suggesting oversold markets. Support/Resistance Major Support 21900 Immediate Support 22000 Immediate Resistance 22250 Major Resistance 22400, 22500 Trend: Overall Trend is Bearish, Sell on Rise Options Data: Highest CE OI was at 22500 with highest addition at 22400 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 21900, highest Put writing seen at 22000, 21900 - No major support PCR is 0.7 which indicates Bearishness Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 16%/84% FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +3K with no change in shorts Nifty Futures price was flat with small addition of OI Outlook for Next Session: Nifty is weak Sell on every rise Approch: Short at higher levels for target 21500 with SL 22600 My Trades & Positions: Holding Shorts in March monthly contract from 22850 levels (booked half at 22050 levels)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 04-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on March 4, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,142 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,042), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests a potential breakout from the current consolidation range, indicating aggressive buying interest. If the price sustains above 22,142, it could target the resistance zone of 22,300–22,460. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,300–22,460, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,118–22,042 (opening support/consolidation zone and previous close). Should the price break above 22,460 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 22,600 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,142 , targeting 22,300–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,042 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,300–22,460, aiming for 22,118–22,042. Place a stop-loss above 22,460 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points indicates a potential breakout from the 21,889–21,600 consolidation range. Waiting for a retest of 22,142 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,300–22,460 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum resurfaces. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,042–22,118) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,042–22,118, it suggests a balanced market continuing its consolidation phase with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 22,118 could drive prices toward 22,300–22,460, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 22,042 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 21,889 (first buyer’s support) or even 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,118 , targeting 22,300–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,042 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,042 , targeting 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. Set a stop-loss above 22,118 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 22,042–22,118 range indicates the market is still consolidating, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 22,118 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 22,042 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 21,942 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,042), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing the lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 21,889 (first buyer’s support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,042–22,118 could occur. If 21,889 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level for a reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 21,889 , targeting a pullback to 22,042–22,118. Use a stop-loss below 21,600 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 21,889 , targeting 21,613–21,600. Place a stop-loss above 21,889 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 21,889 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 21,889 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 21,613–21,600 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,300 or 21,889) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,118 → Target: 22,300–22,460. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,042 → Target: 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,042–22,118 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on March 4, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Key Levels & Trading Plan for the Current Market Trend1. Identified Key Levels Type Price Level (Approx.) Significance Major Resistance 22,700 - 22,800 Previous support turned resistance; strong rejection possible. Minor Resistance 22,400 - 22,500 Short-term bounce zone; potential sell-off area. Current Price Zone 22,100 - 22,200 Market hovering near key support; decision point. First Major Support 21,800 - 21,900 Next critical level; breakdown could accelerate selling. Second Major Support 21,500 - 21,600 Deeper demand zone; last line of defense before more downside. 2. Trading Strategies Based on Key Levels Bearish Continuation Trade (Higher Probability) • Entry: Look for a pullback to 22,400 - 22,500 for short positions. • Stop-Loss: Above 22,700 to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout. • Take-Profit 1: 21,900 - 22,000 (First major support). • Take-Profit 2: 21,500 (Next strong support). Bullish Relief Rally (Lower Probability) • Entry: If price forms a bullish engulfing candle + high volume around 21,800 - 22,000. • Stop-Loss: Below 21,600 to limit downside risk. • Take-Profit 1: 22,400 - 22,500 (Short-term bounce area). • Take-Profit 2: 22,700 (Stronger resistance). 3. Risk Management & Confirmation Signals • Bearish Confirmation: • Price rejection at resistance (22,400-22,500). • Low bullish volume on pullbacks. • Large red candles breaking support. • Bullish Confirmation: • Strong reversal candle at key support. • Increase in buying volume. • Break above 22,400 with momentum. Final Outlook • Primary Bias: Bearish → Look for short opportunities on pullbacks. • Secondary Bias: Bullish only if price shows strong reversal near 21,800 - 21,900.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by pvnm82
Detailed Forecast of the Market Trend Based on the Chart1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis • The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend forming after a prolonged bullish run. • Multiple lower highs and lower lows confirm a bearish market structure. • The market has broken through key support zones, indicating sustained selling pressure. 2. Key Observations • Change of Character (ChoCH): • There are multiple ChoCH levels, signaling shifts in market sentiment. • The first ChoCH near the peak indicated the start of the downtrend. • The second ChoCH at a support break confirms the bearish continuation. • Liquidity Zones: • The price has entered a demand zone but has shown no strong reversal signs yet. • If buyers step in, a short-term relief bounce may occur. • However, failure to hold this zone could lead to a deeper price decline. • Volume Analysis: • Increasing bearish volume suggests that sellers are still in control. • Weak bullish attempts indicate a lack of buying strength. 3. Forecast & Scenarios Bearish Continuation (High Probability) • If the price stays below the recent support-turned-resistance, expect further downside. • Next potential support levels: • 21,800 - 22,000 region (psychological and technical support). • If broken, 21,500 - 21,600 becomes the next target. Short-term Relief Rally (Low Probability) • If bullish volume increases in the demand zone, a pullback towards 22,500 - 22,700 is possible. • However, strong resistance remains in this region, making it a potential shorting opportunity. 4. Trading Strategy • For Short Sellers: • Look for a pullback to resistance and enter short positions. • Stop-loss above 22,700 to manage risk. • Targets: 21,800, then 21,500. • For Long Traders: • Wait for strong bullish confirmation in the demand zone. • If price shows bullish engulfing candles + high volume, a short-term bounce trade is possible. Conclusion • Overall, the market remains bearish, and any bounces are likely to be short-lived unless major buying volume appears. • Traders should stay cautious and follow trend-based strategies rather than counter-trend trades. Final Outlook • Primary Bias: Bearish → Look for short opportunities on pullbacks. • Secondary Bias: Bullish only if price shows strong reversal near 21,800 - 21,900.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by pvnm82
1
#nifty50 Bhalu bhaiya maan jaao :)Nifty ended the week at 22,124, down 670 points from the previous week's close, with a high of 22,668 and a low of 22,104. As I highlighted last week, the formation of a gravestone doji was a bearish signal, indicating the market was under the influence of selling pressure—and we’ve now witnessed the impact of that pattern. Currently, Nifty is testing the critical support at the WEMA100 level, which could trigger a bounce. However, any rally should be seen as an opportunity to enter fresh short positions. As mentioned last week, if Nifty closed below the 22,400 level on the monthly chart, we were likely to see further correction, and that’s exactly what transpired. While it may sound negative, I anticipate the index heading toward the 19,500 mark . For long-term investors, there’s no need for concern. This pullback could offer a prime opportunity to buy fundamentally strong stocks at attractive prices. Traders, on the other hand, should focus on a “sell on rise” strategy instead of attempting to pick a bottom and risking substantial losses. Turning to the S&P 500, as I pointed out last week, the bearish M-pattern was in play. From the recent high of 6043, we’ve seen a 3.5% correction. On the weekly chart, the index has formed a long-legged candle, signaling that demand is emerging from lower levels. For the past four months, the S&P 500 has struggled to break through the significant resistance at 6000, failing to close above it on a monthly basis. A decisive monthly close above 6000 could open the door for the index to reach higher levels, potentially targeting 6225, 6376, 6454, and 6568. In conclusion, the market remains under pressure, with Nifty at a key support level and the S&P 500 facing resistance. Investors should remain focused on long-term opportunities, while traders should be cautious and adopt a disciplined approach to navigating the current market volatility. Stay strategic, stay patient, and let the market unfold.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty Future Analysis 1. Price Action & Trend Analysis The NIFTY Futures has been in a strong downtrend since October 2024, with lower highs and lower lows. A black downward trendline is clearly acting as a dynamic resistance, rejecting price multiple times. 2. Gann Fan Analysis: The Gann fan lines are visible, providing different angles of support and resistance. The key Gann angles to watch: 1/1 Line (Steep Downtrend Line): The price is trending below this, indicating a strong bearish trend. 2/1 and 3/1 Lines: These are acting as resistance levels, confirming the selling pressure. If price moves above the 1/1 Gann line, a potential reversal could be seen, but as of now, it remains below the bearish zone. 3. Volume & Market Sentiment Latest Volume: 9.18M, which is relatively lower compared to 1 week ago (30.2M) but higher than the previous day (7.25M). This suggests decreasing participation in the downtrend, which could indicate potential consolidation before the next move. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Zones: 22,200-22,400: Current support based on Fibonacci & previous price action. 21,600-21,800: Next strong demand zone if selling continues. 20,800-21,000: Long-term support (historical demand zone). Resistance Zones: 23,407-23,500: First resistance (Fib 0.382 & Gann fan level). 23,800-24,000: Major resistance (Fib 0.618, Gann fan rejection area). 24,500-24,760: Strongest resistance (Fib 0.75 + supply zone). 5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy Bearish Bias: The market remains in a strong downtrend. Possible Short Setup: If price breaks below 22,200, the next target would be 21,600. Bullish Reversal Above 23,500: A move above this level could shift momentum toward 23,800-24,000.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by WealthKraft
Market Still Searching for Bottom. Nifty is still searching for a firm bottom from where it can form a base and launch a comeback. RSI of Nifty on Weekly chart is at 34.15. The weekly RSI was this low only during COVID fall when market RSI had gone below the level of 20. Most of the levels are being broken down week after week and day after day. Now Nifty supports are at 22054 and 21813. 21813 seems to be a very strong support if this support is broken we have only 21281 support which was the Election day low where there was a fear of regime change. If 21281 is broken then 20507 and 19706 Father line of weekly Chart. Daily RSI is at 22.4 which indicates Nifty might be near the oversold zone. Upside resistances for Nifty are at 22588, 22743. Crossing these 2 hurdles will bring in a formidable Fibonacci resistance of 23214 and 23334 (Mother line of Weekly chart) into picture. Bulls can make a come back only after we get a closing above 23334. Amongst all these negative indications Nifty 50 PE valuations are at 19.7. The 10 year Average PE of Nifty 50 is at 23.5. Which means lot of stocks are trading below their 10 year Price to Earning average and value buyers can see an opportunity here for long term investment and they can start collecting fallen stars. Daily Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Intraday Trading levels and Plan – 28-Feb-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 28, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,763 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,763, it could target the resistance zone of 22,884–22,900. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,884–22,900, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,700–22,663 (opening resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 22,900 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,763 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,884–22,900, aiming for 22,700–22,663. Place a stop-loss above 22,900 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,763 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,884–22,900 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,663–22,700) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,663–22,700, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,700 could drive prices toward 22,884–22,900, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,663 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support levels). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,700 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,663 , targeting 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. Set a stop-loss above 22,700 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,663–22,700 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,563 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,663–22,700 could occur. If 22,356 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,356 , targeting a pullback to 22,663–22,700. Use a stop-loss below 22,268 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,356 , targeting 22,268–22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,356 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,356 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,268–22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,884 or 22,356) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,700 → Target: 22,884–22,900. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,663 → Target: 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,663–22,700 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 28, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
Long Term Nifty Outlook Based on 2023 Fibonacci levels. Based on the Fibonacci levels plotted from the point from where rally started on 2023 towards the peak and reverse Fibonacci from the same 2 points. We can make the following deduction: Major Supports for Nifty can be around: 22500, 22169, 21845. Negative scenario as of now seems to be near 21227, 20507, Father line support of Weekly chart 19710. Worst case scenario 19170 or 18769. (Possible but improbable) But you never say never. Major Resistances for Nifty will be at: 23214 Fibonacci level resistance, 23351 Weekly Mother line resistance, 24921 and then previous peak at 26277. Best case scenario for Nifty to make a come back with a bang and show us a new high near 28000+ levels (Possible but improbable) But your never say never. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment