Mother Line Stopping moves to Nifty to go ahead.As you can see clearly from the chart with daily candles that mother line of 50 days EMA is stopping Nifty from progressing ahead. Nifty since October 7 is unable to close substantially above the mother line. This is the power of Mother line resistance. Trend lines are merging and Squeezing the Nifty with very less space left for it to maneuver. Nifty is at exact crossroads with possibility of Breakout or Breakdown at time later during this week.
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Supports For Nifty are at: 24685, 24565, 24065 and Father line support of 200 day's EMA at 23417. (Below 23417 in unlikely situation of some major global escalation Bears will take total control of the market).
Resistances for Nifty: 24858, 25017 (Mother line Resistance of 50 day's EMA), 25321, 25469 and 25634. Above 25634 bulls can come back to action.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Niftytrend
NIFTY trading precariously - Down move head?NSE:NIFTY daily chart is looking bearish with multiple confluences signaling down move.
Trend line break
Head and Shoulders
5 waves down
If we get a negative close below H&S neckline then it would be second close below neckline and might trigger downfall. On the positive side, ideally we should see a deeper retracement of the 5 waves down-move before the down slide starts. At the minimum 38.2% which would also coincide with downward sloping 20 day moving average, currently around 25300.
Would this happen or not, only time will tell.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 21-Oct-24 to 25-Oct-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 21-Oct-24 to 25-Oct-24
Nifty closed at 24854 (Last Week 24964) and touched high & low of 25185-24557
Last week Market was down by more than 700 points but recovered on last day of trading of the week. FII pulled out money and invested in China more than 77000 Cr till date in Oct 2024.
Nifty Bank 52094 ( last week 51179), touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before to 54400 all time high and fell down, it started picking again, maintain support at 49900. Continue to Buy on dips.
RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down. Caution to be emphasized as still further room to go down. Q2 results, Global news( US Election results and Relaxation of middle east tension) awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market.
Nifty 24854 Short term ( Short Term : neutral) There will be comeback rally, however
Nifty short term resistance 25100 & 25376
Support at 24560 (last week low)
Medium Term next target is 25750 ( if move up decisively above next target is 25370), 26268 ( all time high), 26968
Medium term Support 24290 and 23885.
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800
US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 3 months as nifty PE ( Currently 23.4) is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42106 ( last week 42335 ) indices marginally decreased last week, Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 21-25th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,854, a 110-point decline from the previous week's close. Despite hitting a high of 25,212 and a low of 24,567, the index remained within its expected trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. Looking ahead, I anticipate the Nifty to continue trading between 25,400 and 24,300.
A breakdown below 24,486 , the WEMA21 support level, would signal a bearish trend, potentially leading to a decline towards 23,400 or 23,300 . Conversely, a sustained move above 25,144 could pave the way for a rally to 25,500-25,600.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index achieved a new all-time high weekly close of 5,864, up approximately 40 points from the previous week. This suggests a potential upward move of 2-2.5% from its current level, targeting the significant Fibonacci level of 6,013. It remains to be seen if this positive momentum in the U.S. market will translate into a recovery for the Indian stock market."
Nifty is trying to stage recovery but 3 big hurdles are nearby.Nifty has on Friday tried to stage a recovery. It ended up 287 points from day's low which was a remarkable feat. Now it is staring at 3 or 4 major hurdles before Bulls can come back in business. But well begun is half the job done. The three major resistances are at 24886 that is Friday's high, 24960 that is Mother line of 1 hour chart, and 25172 that is father line of 1 hour chart.
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After 25172 the major hurdle will be at 25211. Closing above 25211 the bulls can try to take Nifty to higher levels. Support zones for Nifty will be at 24611, 24559 and 24466. If we get a closing below 24466 the bears can pull the Nifty further down and create more downside.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Bank Nifty Mastery: Capitalizing on Volatility for Quick ProfitsToday’s trade exemplifies how strategic timing and keen market insights can turn volatility into opportunity. Leveraging technical analysis and precise risk management, we navigated the swings to secure a tidy profit in Bank Nifty. Dive into the details of our setup and execution strategy—perfect for traders looking to refine their approach in a dynamic market!
This caption is designed to attract attention, summarize the trade’s success, and invite other traders to explore your analysis further.
Nifty 50 Index - Head and Shoulders Pattern ConfirmedOn the daily timeframe, Nifty 50 has formed a textbook Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The left shoulder formed around late August, followed by a higher peak (head) in early September, and now the right shoulder is completed. The neckline has been broken at the 24,612 level, indicating further downside risk.
Key Points:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
Neckline : 24,612 (Broken)
Immediate Support: 24,459
Target 1: 23,348 (measured move from the head to neckline)
Volume: Increased during the right shoulder formation, confirming selling pressure.
RSI: Currently near the oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term relief bounce before resuming the downtrend.
Projection:
Short-term downside: The first target can be seen around 23,348, where the measured move would complete.
Risk Management: A close back above the neckline would invalidate the bearish outlook, with resistance now around 24,816.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/10/2024Nifty will open slightly gap down in today's session. After opening if nifty starts trading below 24700 level then possible strong downside fall upto 24450 level in today's session. 24750-24900 will act as a consolidation zone for nifty. Any bullish side rally only expected above 24900 level.
Nifty Next MoveNifty have formed harmonic pattern
we can expect a small down trend and after Rally
also the area is above 70% of the trend line formation so we can expect buyers in Discount area
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Nifty Plummets! All Targets Achieved in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: Nifty – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
Nifty provided a clear short trade setup with an entry at 25006.45 on 16th October at 2:45 PM. The trade has been highly successful, with the price reaching all designated profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 25006.45 – The short position was initiated here following a strong bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 25032.75 – Placed above recent resistance to manage risk against a potential reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24973.90 – The first target was quickly reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24921.30 – Further downside pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24868.70 – The bearish trend continued, achieving this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24836.20 – The final target, marking a complete and successful trade.
Trend Analysis
The price stayed firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The sustained selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong market momentum in favor of sellers.
The short trade on Nifty has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 24836.20. The precision of the entry and the guidance of the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/10/2024Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty near 25000 level. Bullish rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 25050 level. Below 25000 level there will be downside expected upto 24850 level. For today session 24850 level will act as an important support for nifty. Below this level strong downside expected in index.
Mother, Father lines and the trend line stopping NiftyEvery effort of Nifty is being stopped by mother line, Father line or the trend line. It shows weakness but the turnaround might be around the corner. The possible turnaround zones can be around 24915, 24684 or 24478. If we get a closing below 24478 bears can take over. Resistances on the upper side are 25045, 25088 and 25230. Above 25230 bulls can take a commanding position. Very delicately placed Nifty with a negative shadow of the candle. But some turn around can be expected within this week or the next when we get support from one of the zones mentioned above.