NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 20-Mar-2025
🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📌 Reference Close: 22,911.80
📏 Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ points
📈 1. GAP-UP Opening Scenario (Opening Above 23,010)
If NIFTY opens 100+ points higher — around or above 23,010 — it enters the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .
✅ Action Plan:
- If Nifty opens in the 22,995–23,067 zone, avoid aggressive long trades at open. This zone has historically triggered selling pressure.
- Observe the behavior near 23,067 . If candles start rejecting higher prices or form reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), plan short trades with SL just above 23,067 .
- If Nifty crosses 23,067 with momentum and volume, upside extension is possible toward 23,185 — the Last Intraday Resistance .
- Avoid shorting blindly above 23,067 . Let price consolidate or form lower highs before initiating any counter-trend short.
📌 Educational Note: Profit booking zones often create whipsaws. Let the market decide the intent before jumping in.
🚫 Don't chase gaps — instead, wait for re-entry opportunities once price confirms direction.
📊 2. FLAT Opening Scenario (Between 22,850 – 22,950)
If NIFTY opens within a tight 40–50 point range around its closing level (±50 points), it's considered a flat opening.
✅ Action Plan:
- Allow the market to settle for the first 15–30 minutes . Avoid early entries.
- If Nifty sustains above 22,995 , we may see a quick move toward 23,067 . One can consider intraday longs above 22,995 with a stop loss near 22,950 .
- If price faces rejection at 22,995 and drops below 22,912–22,880 (previous close zone), short opportunities may arise toward 22,800 (Opening Support) .
- Keep an eye on 22,800 as it is a key intraday support. Breakdown below it can lead to a deeper fall toward 22,728 and 22,632 .
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings often provide the best setups if you let price action settle. Stay nimble and neutral till breakout/breakdown confirms.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN Opening Scenario (Opening Below 22,812)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-down of 100+ points (around or below 22,812 ) — look for action near support zones like 22,800, 22,728, and 22,632 .
✅ Action Plan:
- If Nifty opens near 22,800 and holds, wait for a reversal pattern. Intraday long trades are possible toward 22,912+ .
- A clean breakdown below 22,728 (Last Intraday Support) may trigger a slide toward 22,632 (Buyer’s Support) .
- Avoid catching falling knives. Only buy near 22,632 if there’s clear bullish reversal with volume confirmation.
- If price opens below 22,728 and tries to retest and fails to reclaim that level, short trades can be considered with a stop above 22,728 .
📌 Educational Note: Big gap-downs often attract panic exits in the first 15 mins. Wait for a base to form before looking for reversal trades.
🧠 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS
💼 Use defined stop losses based on 15-min or 30-min candle close. Avoid emotional exits.
⚖️ Avoid buying deep OTM options during rangebound conditions — prefer ATM or ITM for better delta control.
🛡️ Use hedged strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads during high IV scenarios.
📉 On breakdown or breakout days, trade with the trend using limited-risk directional strategies.
💰 Never risk more than 1.5–2% of capital per trade — capital preservation is key for consistency.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
Gap-Up above 22,995: Profit booking zone. Wait for reversal signs or breakout to 23,185.
Flat Opening: Best setups possible — breakout above 22,995 or breakdown below 22,880.
Gap-Down below 22,812: Watch 22,800–22,632 support zones for potential reversal or breakdown.
🎯 Let price lead the way — react, don’t predict. Enter only on confirmation. Stay disciplined and respect the market structure.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any position.
Niftytrend
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 20.03.2025Market Recap:
On Wednesday, Nifty opened gap-up, dipped to a low of 22,807.95, and then rallied to a high of 22,940.70, entering the 75m Supply Zone (22,915.30 - 23,049.95). It closed at 22,907.60, gaining 73 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains negative, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) has turned sideways from negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,770.35 - 22,798.30
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 22,697.75 - 22,736.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,964.60 - 22,261.55
Far Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 22,915.30 - 23,049.95 (Tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,144.05 - 23,235.50
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,316.30 - 23,409.65
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 23,222 - 23,807.30
Outlook
As expected, Nifty held the Daily Demand Zone and rallied past the 50% retracement level (22,885.95). The short-term trend remains bullish, and if the momentum sustains, Nifty could extend the rally towards 23,103 or even the Weekly Supply Zone at 23,222 in the coming days.
🚨 However, caution is advised as Nifty has touched the 75m Supply Zone today, which may lead to some selling pressure.
Make or Break 3 key Resistances Approaching. Nifty saw 3 good days of recovery. Now the real test begins as we are approaching the 3 big daddy resistances.
1) R1 Mother line Resistance (50 days EMA) 22988.
2) R2 Long Term Trend line Resistance 23237.
3) R3 Father Line Resistance 23399.
If these 3 are crossed the Nifty has potential to hit 23809 in the medium to short term.
If Nifty rally does not have steam it can again fall back to the support levels at 22638, 22334 or even 21974.
IT has not contributed to the current rally Infact it has remained laggard. RIL has not contributed. HDFC has remained range bond. If some IT counters or Heavy Weights like RIL or HDFC join the rally we can see Nifty flying otherwise there is a potential for this rally to fizzle out again. Things are in balance right now. Shadow of the candle neutral as I write this. Very important closing weekly closing awaits us on Friday.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/03/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected resistance near 22950 level. Possible reversal from this level. Downside 22750 level will act as a support for nifty. Strong upside rally expected if nifty starts trading above 23000 level. This upside rally can goes upto 23250+ level in today's session.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 19-March-2025🔥 NIFTY – Intraday Trading Plan for 19-Mar-2025
Current Market Price (CMP): 22,848.75
Chart Time Frame: 15-min
📘 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 22,950, it would directly open into the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .
Avoid aggressive long entries near the opening if prices directly hit the profit booking zone, as early buying could trap latecomers. Wait and observe price action in the 22,995 – 23,067 range. If the index forms bullish consolidation with strength, breakout above 23,067 can push it towards the final resistance at 23,185. If rejection occurs near this zone, look for reversal signals like a 15-min bearish candle with follow-up selling to consider short scalps targeting back to 22,850 – 22,775.
🧠 Tip: Avoid call option entries if IVs are inflated and premiums are already factored in after a big gap-up. Time decay can eat your premiums fast.
📗 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (within 50-80 pts)
In case of a flat or minor gap opening near 22,800 – 22,850, the price will open just above the key consolidation zone: 22,727 – 22,801 .
Look for first 15-30 minutes consolidation. If NIFTY sustains above 22,801, fresh buying can push it to test 22,995. A failure to sustain above 22,801 and breakdown below 22,775 will drag prices back into the range. The downside targets then would be 22,656 and 22,532. No trade zone for flat opening: avoid trades inside 22,727 – 22,775, unless a directional breakout occurs.
🧠 Tip: For flat openings, best setups come after the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market decide the direction first—then align your trade.
📙 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ points)
A gap-down below 22,700 will place the index back into or below the consolidation zone. Major supports are at 22,656**, 22,532, and Buyers’ Support: 22,270 – 22,320.
Aggressive buying should be avoided unless NIFTY shows strong reversal signals from support zones like 22,532 or 22,270. If prices bounce from the Buyers’ Support Zone, a quick upside retracement towards 22,656 or even 22,727 is possible. However, if NIFTY breaks below 22,270, it could enter a deeper correction territory—so keep strict stop losses.
🧠 Tip: When buying the dip in a gap-down scenario, use options spreads (e.g., bull call spreads) to reduce premium decay risk while maintaining upside exposure.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
✅ Use defined-risk strategies like spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put)
✅ Avoid chasing momentum in the first 15 minutes of market opening
✅ Stick to 1–2 high probability trades per day
✅ Always place stop loss based on structure or candle close
✅ Never average into losing options trades—respect time decay
✅ Focus on ATM or slightly OTM contracts with 1–2 day expiry for best gamma moves
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
Key Zones to Watch:
🔸 Resistance Zone: 22,995 – 23,067
🔸 Support Zone: 22,656 – 22,532
🔸 Buyers’ Zone: 22,270 – 22,320
🔸 No Trade Zone: 22,727 – 22,775
Be reactive, not predictive. Let price action guide your trades based on these levels. Respect volatility and avoid emotional trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The above levels and insights are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any positions. Trade responsibly! 💼📉
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Gap up 150 points following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 22857 and closing at 22834 +1.45%
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed 1.5% in positive.
Candle Pattern:
Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside.
Daily EMA Positioning:
10dEMA 22540
20dEMA 22623
50dEMA 22992
200dEMA 23404
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma and 20dEma,
Daily MA suggests Buy
Hourly suggests Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index at 54
Momentum gaining towards Upside
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 22750
Immediate Support 22500
Immediate Resistance 22900
Major Resistance 23000
Trend:
Short Term Trend is Slight Bullish
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 23000 - Resistanc
Highest CE unwinding see at 22700 - Support
Highest PE OI was at 22500, highest Put addition seen at 22600, 22700 - support
PCR is 1.4 indicating Bullishness
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 24%/76% indicating slowly addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +7K with -2K change in shorts -Bullish
Nifty Futures price was higher with 0.7% OI addition - Bullish
Observation:
Overall looks a positive breakout above 22600, with good PE addition at 22600 & 22700 levels can see
higher levels if 22850 taken out for targets 23000 in shortterm
Overall Trend:
Sideways consolidating turning positive
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong above 22700, untill breakout above 23000 it might consolidate
Approach & Strategy:
Wait and watch as last 2 day’s strategy worked perfectly and Nifty has given around 500 points in 2 days, i would wait till 22900-23000 taken out for further Longs
My Trades & Positions:
Closed Long positions at 22800+ held from 22340.
Excellent Break Out by Nifty. Will the momentum continue?Today the Nifty had a good leap after a lot of consolidation. The key question is will the momentum continue or FIIs will again take this opportunity to book profit. Today FII is on the net buying side after a long time. If the buying continues or even if FII remains neutral there is a good chance that we can see upside from here.
Key resistances for Nifty remain at 22857, 22921 and 22985. Above 22985 Nifty can gain more strength and may try to regain the levels of 23044, 23147 and 23249. 23404 as of now remains a mega resistance which is also the 200 days EMA of 200 days Father line. This zone as of now is little difficult to cross. Closing above 23404 can give might boost to the Bulls and a new Bull run can begin post closing above this point. Supports for Nifty at this juncture remain at 22726 (200 hours EMA or Father line of Hourly chart), 22594 and 22543. A closing below 22543 which is the Mother line support of the hourly chart or the (50 Hours EMA).
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Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/03/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 22700 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 22750 level then possible strong upside rally upto 22950+ in today's session. Any downside or reversal expected near a 22700 level. Downside 22550 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Major downside only expected below 22500 level.
$NIFTY : Tested 22000 fib retracement. RSI Oversold. Long $NIFTYIn 2024 the light bearer of the developing markets was India and its index $NIFTY. It closely beat the S&P 500 in 2024. But 2025 has not been good for $NIFTY. The rotation trade sell India and buy Chinna by the large institutional investors has put immense pressure on the Indian indexes. The index almost fell into the bear market by collapsing close to 20%.
If you have been watching my blog space I made a case in point on 22 Feb 2025 that there is still some downside left in the chart. Since then, we have fallen another 2 % and sitting just at the bottom of the Upward sloping Fib Retracement channel drawn by joining the potential tops of the NSE:NIFTY weekly chart. The chart pattern on 22 Feb 2025 clearly indicated that we can touch the lows around 22000. We touched the lows of 22032 on 28 Feb 2025. Since the we have gained some lost ground.
Final verdict: Possible retest the 22000 levels and then go long from there on $NIFTY.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADING PLAN – 18th March 2025 (Tuesday)
🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📍Reference Closing: 22,515
📉 CHART STRUCTURE EXPLAINED:
Nifty closed near the middle of the Opening Resistance / Support Zone (22,508–22,547). There are clearly defined areas of support and resistance on both sides that help frame our intraday plan. Price action around these zones will provide direction for high-probability trades.
🟩 GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points): Above 22,617
If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance (22,617), it enters a potential breakout zone.
Avoid entering trades immediately after a GAP-UP above 22,617. Let the index retest this level for confirmation. If the price sustains above 22,617 for 15 minutes with higher volume, expect a continuation rally towards the Profit Booking Zone (22,727–22,801). Wait for a dip near 22,617 or even the upper band of 22,547. If the retest holds, go long with SL below 22,547. Profit booking is advised near 22,727–22,801 as this zone is likely to attract selling. Avoid fresh longs near 22,800 unless there’s a consolidation breakout.
🧠 Educational Note: Chasing GAP-UPs leads to poor entries. The best trades happen when price retests a broken resistance and confirms support.
🟨 FLAT OPENING (Within 22,508–22,547 Zone)
This is the Opening Resistance / Support Zone — a tricky area that demands patience.
Avoid trading in the first 15–30 minutes if price opens inside the 22,508–22,547 zone. It’s a chop zone, prone to false breakouts. A breakout above 22,547 with volume gives a long opportunity towards 22,617, and eventually 22,727. A breakdown below 22,508 brings the price into the Opening Support Zone (22,403–22,420). Watch for reversal signs here for possible bounce trades. Only consider directional trades once Nifty decisively exits this range.
🧠 Tip: In tight ranges, option premiums decay faster. Avoid entering trades without confirmation.
🟥 GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points): Below 22,403
If Nifty opens below the Opening Support Zone, volatility increases and levels become more critical.
Support is visible at the Buyers' Zone (22,210–22,247). If the index opens around this zone, wait for a reversal pattern like bullish engulfing or double bottom on 15-min chart. If 22,210 holds with a strong bounce, a long can be initiated targeting 22,403–22,508 with SL below 22,210. However, if 22,210 breaks with conviction, bears may drag the index to 21,950–22,000 levels. Avoid shorts immediately at open—wait for either breakdown retest or confirmation below 22,210.
🧠 Insight: Panic gap-downs often trigger short-covering rallies. Watch how price behaves in the first hour.
📘 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS:
🛡️ Risk management is your ultimate edge in the market. Follow these key principles:
Never trade options without a stop loss. Monitor levels, not just premium prices. Avoid selling far OTM options when market structure is trending. It’s a trap during sharp moves. If market is inside range, go with spreads instead of naked options to reduce Theta burn. Size your positions wisely—don’t risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single trade. Always book partial profits at target zones and trail the rest with a stop.
🧠 Options are like ice—they melt fast in choppy markets. Patience and timing are key!
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
✅ Resistance Levels: 22,617 / 22,727 / 22,801
✅ Support Levels: 22,403 / 22,210
✅ Critical Zones:
⚠️ 22,508–22,547 (Opening Decision Zone)
✅ 22,403–22,420 (Support)
🛑 22,727–22,801 (Profit Booking Zone)
👉 Wait for confirmation before entering. Let market structure guide your direction, not emotions.
❗ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Falt in line with global cues and saw buying from opening making a high of 22577 then to find some profit booking to close at 22509, 0.5% above previous day’s close.
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed 0.5% in positive.
Candle Pattern:
Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on uopside.
Daily EMA Positioning:
10dEMA 22476
20dEMA 22601
50dEMA 22999
200dEMA 23410
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma finding resistance at 20dEma,
Daily MA suggests Selling
Hourly suggests Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index rising above 42
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 22400
Immediate Support 22300
Immediate Resistance 22580
Major Resistance 22750
Trend:
Overall Trend is Slight Bullish above 22600
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 22800 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 22000, highest Put writing seen at 22500, 22300 - support
PCR is 1 indicating slight positive
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 21%/79% indicating slowly addition of Longs by FIIs
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +2K with -1K change in shorts
Nifty Futures price was slightly higher with no major OI addition
Observation:
Overall looks a positive consolidation day above 22500, with good PE addition at 22500 can see
higher levels if 22580 taken out for targets 22700-800 in currents wkly series
Overall Trend:
Sideways consolidating turning positive
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong above 22580 for tgt 22750-800
Approch & Strategy:
Long above 22580 for tgt 22750-800
My Trades & Positions:
Holding Longs from 22450 levels
Nifty holding above Hourly Mother line a good signalNifty holding above 50 Hours EMA or Mother line in the hourly chart is a good signal for the market if it holds above 22464 then there is a chance of further recovery. The supports for Nifty remain at 22464 (strong Mother line support), 22368 (Another strong trend line support), 22311 and 22205. If the support at 22205 is broken Nifty can go in a jiffy to 21976 or below. In case we get a closing above 22591 Nifty will become stronger and can jump to 22678 or 22722 levels. 22722 is a strong 200 Hours EMA or Father line resistance. A closing above 22722 can take us to next historical resistance levels of 22813, 22921, 23044, 23147 and 23249 levels. Closing above 23249 has potential to bring Bulls back out of ICU and Take Nifty further up.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
ABB India Ltd. (NSE: ABB) - Technical Analysis & Market OutlookABB India Ltd. (NSE: ABB) - Technical Analysis & Market Outlook
Overview:
ABB India Ltd. has demonstrated significant price action over the past few years, with a strong uptrend followed by a corrective phase. The current price action suggests a potential reversal from key support levels, presenting an opportunity for long-term investors and swing traders.
Key Observations:
Support Zone: The stock is currently testing a major support level around ₹5000 - ₹5200 , which aligns with a previous accumulation zone and historical resistance-turned-support.
200-Week Moving Average: Price action is hovering near the 200-week moving average, which has historically acted as a strong dynamic support.
RSI & Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into oversold territory and is now showing early signs of a potential reversal.
Volume Profile Analysis: The highest volume concentration is observed around the ₹6000-₹7000 range, indicating a major supply zone where price may retest if a reversal occurs.
Price Structure: The formation suggests a higher low structure , which is a positive sign for bullish continuation.
Potential Trade Setup:
Entry : Around the current levels of ₹5100-₹5200 with confirmation of bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss : Below ₹4800, as a break of this level may invalidate the bullish thesis.
Target 1 : ₹7000 (previous consolidation zone & high-volume area)
Target 2 : ₹9000 (previous swing high & psychological resistance)
Conclusion:
ABB India Ltd. is currently at a critical juncture, with strong confluence of technical factors supporting a potential upside move. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation before entering. If the support holds, the stock has a high probability of reversing towards higher levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/03/2025Expected gap up opening in nifty near 22500 level. After opening this is an important level for nifty. If nifty starts trading and sustain above 22550 level then expected upside rally upto 22700+ level. Downside reversal expected if nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 22500. Downside 22350 level will act as a strong support for today's session.
Nifty Data and Trading Strategy for 17 March 2018 NSE:NIFTY Analysis and Trading Strategy
Key Observations:
Nifty Spot Price: 22,397.20
Max Pain: 22,450This suggests that option writers will try to move the market towards this level by expiry.
PCR (Put-Call Ratio): 0.99PCR near 1.0 indicates a balanced market, with no extreme bullish or bearish bias.
A rise above 1.2 suggests bullishness, while a drop below 0.8 suggests bearishness.
OI (Open Interest) Data:Call OI Change: 430.58L (High call writing at resistance levels)
Put OI Change: 369.91L (Put writing suggests strong support)
Total Calls OI: 752.31L vs. Total Puts OI: 745.22L (Almost equal, indicating a neutral stance)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 22,500 (Strong Call Writing)
Immediate Support: 22,300 (Strong Put Writing)
Next Resistance: 22,600
Next Support: 22,200
Trading Plan (March 17, 2025)
Scenario 1: Bullish Setup (Breakout Above 22,450)
Entry: Above 22,450 (Confirm breakout with volume)
Target 1: 22,500
Target 2: 22,600
Stop Loss: 22,350
Reason:If Nifty moves above max pain (22,450), bulls will gain momentum.
PCR indicates a balanced market, but a breakout with volume can trigger further upside.
Scenario 2: Bearish Setup (Breakdown Below 22,350)
Entry: Below 22,350 (Confirm breakdown with volume)
Target 1: 22,300
Target 2: 22,200
Stop Loss: 22,450
Reason:Call writing at 22,500 suggests strong resistance.
Breakdown below 22,350 may lead to further downside towards 22,300 and 22,200.
Final Strategy:
Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Watch for breakout above 22,450)
Intraday Plan:If Nifty opens flat → Wait for breakout/breakdown confirmation
If Nifty opens above 22,450 → Buy on dips
If Nifty opens below 22,350 → Sell on rise
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.03.2025Thursday’s session saw Nifty opening with a gap-up, touching a high of 22,558.05, but it couldn’t sustain the momentum and dropped to a low of 22,377.35 by the end of the day. It closed at 22,397.20, losing 73 points from the previous close. Both the Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (15m): 22,329.55 - 22,370.20
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,964.60 - 22,261.55
Far Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 22,595.90 - 22,676.75
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 23,222 - 23,807.30
Outlook
The outlook remains unchanged from the previous update—if the Daily Demand Zone support holds, we might see Nifty testing 22,885 or even 23,100 in the coming days. However, continued selling pressure at resistance zones could keep the index range-bound.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 17-Mar-2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan – 17-Mar-2025
Nifty is currently hovering near the Opening Support Zone: 22,351 – 22,378, with a key resistance at 22,442 and profit booking zone near 22,617. Depending on how the market opens, we will plan our trades accordingly.
💡 Let’s analyze different scenarios:
🔥 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 22,442, the index will test the last intraday resistance at 22,551. A decisive breakout above 22,617 may trigger strong bullish momentum.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty sustains above 22,551, look for bullish price action and enter longs with targets of 22,617 and 22,680+.
If a sharp rejection occurs near 22,617, consider booking partial profits and trail SL.
Avoid chasing longs if Nifty starts showing weakness near resistance. Wait for a pullback.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,442 (Support) | 22,551 (Breakout Zone) | 22,617+ (Profit Booking Zone).
📢 Tip: In case of a fake breakout above 22,617, selling pressure may drag Nifty back to 22,442. Watch for reversal patterns before taking aggressive trades.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Nifty opens near 22,383 – 22,434, we will monitor price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone. The first 30 minutes will be crucial for direction confirmation.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty bounces from 22,351 – 22,378, look for long opportunities targeting 22,442 and 22,551.
If Nifty struggles to hold 22,442, expect sideways action. Trade only near major levels.
A breakdown below 22,351 will indicate weakness, leading to a test of 22,296 and 22,208.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,351 – 22,378 (Support Zone) | 22,442 (Resistance) | 22,551 (Breakout Confirmation).
📢 Tip: Use a wait-and-watch approach in the first 30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before making big trades.
🛑 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 22,351 could push Nifty towards the last intraday support of 22,296. If the selling extends, watch the golden retracement zone at 22,114, which is a high-probability demand zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty stabilizes at 22,296, expect a recovery towards 22,351 – 22,378. Scalping opportunities exist.
If selling pressure continues below 22,296, expect a further slide to 22,114, which will be a must-watch area for buyers.
Only consider fresh longs at 22,114 if strong reversal signs appear. Else, avoid catching falling knives.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,296 (Support) | 22,208 (Breakdown Confirmation) | 22,114 (Golden Buy Zone).
📢 Tip: Avoid aggressive longs in a gap-down scenario unless a clear reversal is seen at major supports. Watch for confirmation before entering any trade.
⚡ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Premium Decay Alert: If Nifty consolidates, avoid buying OTM options. Time decay will erode premiums.
🔹 Hedge Positions: If selling options, hedge using spreads to reduce risk.
🔹 Exit at SL: Do not hold options hoping for reversals. Stick to the predefined SL.
🔹 Avoid Trading the First 5-Minutes: Market volatility is high; let a pattern form.
🔹 Size Appropriately: If uncertain, reduce lot size and wait for confirmation.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Up: Watch for 22,551 – 22,617 resistance zones. A breakout can trigger further upside.
✅ If Nifty Opens Flat: First 30 minutes are crucial. Support at 22,351 – 22,378 should hold for longs.
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Down: Watch 22,296 for a reaction. If broken, 22,114 is a key buy zone.
📢 Final Note: The best trades come when price action confirms levels. Avoid emotional trading and respect stop losses.
📜 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty near important support holding it is key for progress. Nifty this week tried to consolidate and in the process lot a lost of ground covered last week. Holding the support level of 22314 is the key to move forward. If this major support is broken Nifty may again fall to the strong Bear zone of 21975, 21782 or even 21285 levels. If 22314 support is held the future resistances can be 22531, 22668 and 22842. If these resistances are crossed we will reach Mother and Father line resistances at 23018 and 23419. A monthly closing above Father line resistance that is 23419 can bring Bulls back into action. Shadow of the candle is neutral with slightly positive tinge.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Faces Range-Bound Phase,brace for volatility till Mid ApriNifty ended the week at 22,397, marking a decline of about 150 points from the previous week's close. The index reached a high of 22,676 and a low of 22,314, trading in a narrow range of just 360 points. This suggests that next week, Nifty could experience a wider range, with potential moves between 22,850 and 21,950 .
Despite the weakness seen on both the monthly and weekly charts, Nifty remains range-bound as long as the critical support level of 21,950 holds. However, with the end of March approaching, many investors will likely start booking losses to offset any gains they’ve made this year. This could trigger another round of selling pressure in the market. As a result, we may not see a meaningful recovery until mid-April, meaning we could face one more month of market volatility and pessimism.
It's crucial to keep cash ready to invest in fundamentally strong stocks during this period of market uncertainty. On the global front, the S&P 500 closed the week at 5,521, slipping below its 50-week exponential moving average (50WEMA). It seems likely that the index will test the 100-week exponential moving average (100WEMA) at around 5,240–5,250, which is about 4% below its current level. If this happens, we could see additional pressure across global markets, including India.
In summary, brace yourself for another month of market negativity before any potential relief arrives. Stay cautious and focus on high-quality stocks for the long term.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 13/03/2025Flat opening expected in index. After opening if nifty starts trading above 22500 level then expected upside rally upto 22650+ in today's session. 22650 level will act as an immediate upside resistance. Expected reversal from this level. Major downside expected if nifty not sustain above 22500 and starts trading below 22450 level.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 13-Mar-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 13-Mar-2025
Chart Reference: Nifty is currently trading near 22,468, with price showing rejection from near-term resistance. Multiple levels such as 22,435, 22,496, and 22,600 are key zones to watch.
Let’s break down the trading approach into opening scenarios 👇
✅ 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or above the Opening Resistance Zone – 22,600 to 22,626 :
📍 This zone has acted as a supply area earlier, and a gap-up into this area could trap late buyers if not sustained.
🟧 Scenario 1 – Rejection at Resistance:
🔻 If NIFTY opens within this resistance zone and shows early weakness (such as a bearish engulfing, evening star, or rejection wick), short trades can be considered.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,496 (Initial Support)
➤ 22,435 (Next Support)
🟩 Scenario 2 – Breakout Above 22,626:
✅ A strong 15-min bullish candle above 22,626 with volume confirmation can trigger a long entry.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
🧠 Tip: In gap-up opens, avoid immediate entries. Wait 15–30 mins for the market to establish direction. If upside sustains with strength, trail using VWAP or 5-min EMA.
⚖️ 2. FLAT OPENING (within ±100 points)
If NIFTY opens between 22,435 – 22,496:
This region is the Opening Support/Resistance Zone , meaning both bulls and bears will be active here. The key is to observe who dominates.
🟩 Long Setup:
If NIFTY holds above 22,496 and gives a breakout above 22,600, it will confirm bullish strength.
🎯 Upside Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800
🟥 Short Setup:
If price fails to hold above 22,435 and breaks below it with momentum:
🎯 Downside Targets:
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Intraday Support)
🧠 Tip: Use option strategies like straddles or strangles near this flat zone if expecting a breakout or expansion in volatility. Avoid naked directional trades unless there is strong confirmation.
🔻 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or below 22,319 (Opening Support):
📍 The area between 22,319 – 22,208 is critical for support. Watch closely for price action.
🟩 Reversal Setup:
If NIFTY opens near 22,208–22,319 and holds this support with signs of strength (bullish pin bar, morning star, or strong bullish volume), a reversal trade can be taken.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,435
➤ 22,496
🟥 Breakdown Setup:
If support at 22,208 breaks with a large red candle and follow-through, short trades can be initiated.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,140–22,100 Zone (Intraday Expansion Move)
🧠 Tip: Gap-downs can lead to high implied volatility. Be cautious of IV crush if reversal happens. Consider bear put spreads to manage premium risk.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Avoid buying deep OTM options post 12 PM unless there is strong trend confirmation. Always trade with a defined stop-loss. Use 15-min closing basis for better validation. Consider spreads (bull call, bear put) to reduce the impact of theta decay. On volatile days, reduce position size and hedge your trades. Don’t trade immediately after a gap — let the first 15–30 mins settle to avoid traps.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Zones:
➤ 22,600–22,626 (Opening Resistance)
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
✅ Key Support Zones:
➤ 22,435 (Pivot Zone)
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Support Zone)
🎯 Let price action guide your trade around these key levels. Remember — reacting to the market is better than predicting it.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
Vedanta at Crucial Zone – Breakdown or Breakout?🔹 Description:
Vedanta Ltd (VEDL) is trading at a critical price zone, where a breakout above ₹ while a breakdown below ₹ may invite further selling pressure with downside targets of ₹ .
🔸 Watch key levels closely:
Support: ₹
Resistance: ₹
Confirmation with volume and RSI divergence can help validate the move. Stay alert — a trending move is expected soon!
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