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Niftytrend

Reverse H&S formation in 15 minute chart of Nifty on cards.Usually we do not look at chart with less than 1 hour candles but an interesting pattern is forming which can yield us a fresh bullish move in Nifty so I am presenting it today. If Nifty manages to stay above 24109 and can close above 24189 we can have a fresh bullish rally in Nifty which can see it pivot very fast as high as 24538. with resistances at 24270, 24348, 24423 and finally 24538. The important levels will be the support at 24109 and resistance at 24189. Other than 24109 (which is the mother lie for 15 minute chart) important supports will be at 24124, 24063, 24024 (which is father line of 15 minute chart). Below 24024 Nifty will become weak again and Bears can then drag it to 23962 or even 23874 again. Again the important levels to watch for the next week on resistance side will be 24189 and on support side will be 24109 and 24024 (Mother and Father lines on 15 minute chart). This is what we can read from ultra short term chart of Nifty on 15 minute candle. To know more about the Mother, Father and Small child theory, trend lines, supports and resistances read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. In this book you will get to learn about Techno-Funda investment. Many reviewer who have read the book consider it as a hand book of investment. You can check the reviews on Amazon and google Play book. The book is available on amazon in Paperback and kindle version. E-version of the book also available on Google Play books too. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 29.11.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened flat, hit a high of 24345.75, and then saw a sharp decline below 24000, making a low of 23873.35 as it tested the 15m demand zone. It closed at 23914.15, losing 360 points from the previous close. Breaking below the key 24100 support (3-day low) triggered a strong downward move, dragging Nifty over 200 points. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain sideways, signaling caution. Demand/Support Zones Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23856.15 - 23940.30 (tested yesterday) Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23661.75 - 23731.25 Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60 Near Support: 23189.88 (61.8% FIBO) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 22642.60 - 22910.15 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 24257.65 - 24354.55 Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24447.65 - 24537.60 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24567.65 - 24978.30 (inside weekly supply) Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24636.75 - 24741.45 (inside Daily supply) Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05
NSE:NIFTY
by PriteshPal
NIFTY : Analysis and Levels for 29-Nov-2024 On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a significant shift in momentum. A Change of Character (ChoCH) was observed, indicating a possible transition between bullish and bearish phases. The index traded near the golden retracement zones, showing both buyer and seller activity. The yellow trend represents a sideways market, green signals a bullish trend, and red indicates bearish sentiment. After a consolidation, NIFTY has shown a significant trending move on last trading session, so most probably nifty can trade sideways or in a range on Friday, but based on the chart, I have prepared trading plans for three possible opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down openings. Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more above ₹23,957) Resistance Focus (₹24,112-₹24,250): If Nifty opens above ₹24,057, it will directly test the golden retracement zone for sellers. Watch for bearish patterns, such as shooting stars or evening stars, in this area. If selling pressure emerges, initiate a short position. Action Plan: Entry: Short below ₹24,200 after confirmation of rejection. Target: ₹23,957 (the current close) and ₹23,807 (demand zone). Stop Loss: Above ₹24,300 to manage risk. Breakout Potential (₹24,250+): If Nifty breaks above ₹24,250 with strong volumes, it may head toward the Resistance Zone (₹24,544-₹24,656). Consider a long trade upon breakout confirmation. Action Plan: Entry: Long above ₹24,250 after a 15-minute candle close. Target: ₹24,544 and ₹24,656. Stop Loss: Below ₹24,100 to safeguard against false breakouts. Flat Opening (Near ₹23,957) Golden Retracement (₹24,112): If the market consolidates around ₹23,957, wait for a decisive move. The immediate focus will be the golden retracement zone at ₹24,112. Action Plan: Entry: Long above ₹24,112 if the price breaks this level with volume. Target: ₹24,250 and ₹24,544. Stop Loss: Below ₹23,900 to minimize risk. Demand Zone (₹23,807): If Nifty fails to sustain above ₹23,957, it could test the Golden Retracement Zone for Buyers (₹23,807-₹23,497). Look for bullish reversal patterns in this zone for long entry. Action Plan: Entry: Long near ₹23,807 if bullish candles like hammers form. Target: ₹23,957 and ₹24,112. Stop Loss: Below ₹23,497 to protect against breakdowns. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more below ₹23,957) Demand Zone Test (₹23,807-₹23,497): If Nifty gaps down and opens near or below ₹23,807, focus on the demand zone. This zone is critical for potential reversals. Action Plan: Entry: Long near ₹23,807-₹23,497 after confirming bullish patterns. Target: ₹23,957 and ₹24,112. Stop Loss: Below ₹23,497 to limit losses. Breakdown Scenario (Below ₹23,497): A breakdown below ₹23,497 signals strong bearish momentum. Short positions can be taken if confirmed by volume and candle patterns. Action Plan: Entry: Short below ₹23,497 after confirmation. Target: ₹23,300-₹23,100. Stop Loss: Above ₹23,600 to avoid unnecessary risks. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Limit your position size to ensure no single trade risks more than 2% of your capital. Use hedging strategies, such as buying protective puts or selling covered calls, to offset potential losses. Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes of market opening, as this period is highly volatile. Monitor implied volatility (IV) for options and select contracts with reasonable premiums to avoid overpaying. Summary and Conclusion This trading plan is designed to cater to multiple scenarios, ensuring you're prepared regardless of the market's direction. The key lies in observing critical levels like ₹24,112 and ₹23,807 and waiting for confirmation before entering trades. Remember: Yellow trends indicate sideways movement, green signals bullish momentum, and red shows bearish sentiment. Stick to the plan, respect stop losses, and prioritize capital preservation. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor or conduct your analysis before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Resistance zone of Trendline Mother Line on stopping BullsOn the Daily candles chart of Nifty we can clearly see that Mother line and the trend line resistances are acting upon the Nifty and restricting it's further flight. Today we saw creation of another Doji like Monday. The Gap theory probably is also adding pressure on the Nifty. (Gap Theory is a very interesting subject about which we will sometimes do a special video.) Most of the gaps when a stock or index takes a leap should be filled in future as per the theory (in short). There was a gap up on Monday due to Maharashtra election results. In my opinion not all gaps are supposed to be filled there are some substantial gaps which never get filled. However we will do a webinar on this subject in future some day. Right now the major resistance zone is here for Bulls this zone starts from 24354 and ends at 24396. Nifty might need some consolidation or strong FII+DII buying to fly above this zone. If this zone is conquered further resistances will be at 24530, 24673, 24893 and 25253. Above 25253 there is pure Bull territory. Supports on the lower side are at 24135 major support (Higher Cradle of The Gap on Monday), 23948 (Lower cradle of the Gap), 23563 Major support from the 200 days EMA or the Father line, 23362 and finally 23254. Below 23254 we have a strong Bear territory. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation . Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 28-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 28th November 2024 Introduction: On 27th November 2024, Nifty remained range-bound within the Opening Support / No Trade Zone (24,225–24,277), marked by the Yellow Trend, indicating indecision. Attempts to breach the "Opening Resistance Zone" near 24,379 were met with rejection, suggesting the need for stronger momentum to push prices higher. The Last Intraday Support (24,175) held well, showing signs of bullish activity, while the zone 24,096–24,062 acted as a critical reversal area for deeper corrections. The chart also highlights Green Zones for bullish trends and Red Zones for bearish momentum. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Close): If Nifty opens between 24,379–24,449, the focus should be on price action around the Opening Resistance / Consolidation Zone. A breakout above 24,449 could push Nifty towards the Last Intraday Resistance (24,603), which serves as a key Profit Booking Zone. Rejection near 24,449 can result in a pullback to 24,379. A failure to hold this level could bring prices back to the "Opening Support Zone" (24,277–24,225). If Nifty opens directly above 24,449, avoid immediate longs. Wait for retests or pullbacks to 24,449 or 24,379 before entering fresh positions. Risk Management Tip: Use call spreads (e.g., 24,400 CE - 24,500 CE) to hedge risks and reduce premium exposure. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close at 24,277): A flat opening near 24,277 requires patience. Avoid trades within the "No Trade Zone" (24,225–24,277) to prevent getting trapped in sideways movements. A sustained move above 24,277 can trigger long opportunities targeting 24,379 and 24,449. A breakout above 24,449 can lead to a bullish extension towards 24,603. On the downside, if Nifty breaks below 24,225, short trades can be considered, targeting 24,175 and 24,096, provided there is an hourly close below these levels. Risk Management Tip: Deploy straddles or strangles to benefit from potential volatility after a flat opening. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Close): A gap-down opening between 24,175–24,096 requires careful observation for bullish reversal patterns. A strong bounce from the Green Zone (24,096–24,062) can lead to a recovery targeting 24,225 and 24,277. A breakdown below 24,062 could accelerate selling pressure towards 23,950, opening opportunities for put options or short trades. Avoid chasing shorts near 24,096 unless there is decisive volume confirming bearish momentum. Risk Management Tip: Use put spreads (e.g., 24,100 PE - 24,000 PE) to control risk and leverage potential downside moves. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading: Avoid overleveraging in options trading, especially during volatile market conditions. Use defined stop losses based on hourly candle closures to minimize losses. Deploy hedging strategies (like spreads) to manage risk and reduce time decay. Gradually scale into positions to confirm market direction before committing full capital. Avoid trading against strong momentum; wait for confirmed levels to act. Summary and Conclusion: For 28th November 2024, the following levels are critical: Bullish Trend: Sustained move above 24,277, with targets at 24,379, 24,449, and 24,603. Bearish Trend: Breakdown below 24,225, with targets at 24,175, 24,096, and potentially lower. Respect the "No Trade Zone" (24,225–24,277) to avoid false breakouts or choppy movements. Patience and disciplined execution of the plan will help navigate the market confidently. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 27-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 27th November 2024 Introduction: On 26th November 2024, Nifty traded within a defined range, with price movements largely respecting key levels. The chart revealed a consolidation phase highlighted by the "No Trade Zone" (Yellow Trend) around 24,238–24,303, indicating indecision among market participants. Bullish momentum (Green Trend) was observed above 24,459, while bearish pressure (Red Trend) dominated below 24,109. The market continues to exhibit structural clarity, with specific levels marking key support and resistance zones. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Close): If Nifty opens above 24,303 but below 24,459, wait for price action confirmation. A breakout above 24,459 with an hourly candle close suggests bullish momentum towards the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,603, where profit booking is advisable. If Nifty opens directly near or above 24,459, avoid immediate entry. Wait for retracement near 24,303–24,459 for a better risk-reward setup. Monitor bearish rejection candles near 24,459, as this could signal a reversal towards the "No Trade Zone." Risk Management Tip: For options, consider buying 24,600 CE with strict stop loss based on the hourly close below 24,303. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close at 24,192): If the market opens flat, avoid trading immediately within the No Trade Zone (24,238–24,303). Allow the price to break out or break down from this range. A breakout above 24,303 targets 24,459, while a breakdown below 24,238 may lead to bearish momentum toward 24,109. Monitor price reaction around 24,109 (Best Buy Zone), where retracement buyers might step in for a potential reversal. Risk Management Tip: Utilize strategies like selling Iron Condors to capitalize on the consolidation phase while staying protected. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Close): If Nifty opens below 24,109, watch for support around 24,025–24,002. This zone represents the Last Support and is ideal for reversal trades if bullish price action appears. Avoid chasing shorts immediately after a gap-down. A pullback towards 24,109 could offer safer entry points for bearish trades. Below 24,002, bearish momentum strengthens, and traders can target 23,900 with appropriate position sizing. Risk Management Tip: For bearish plays, consider buying 24,000 PE with a stop loss above 24,109. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; use position sizing strategies to manage risk effectively. Trade liquid contracts to minimize slippage. Use hedging strategies like spreads to limit maximum losses. Exit positions early if the market invalidates your levels, rather than holding onto losing trades. Always base your entries on confirmations such as candlestick patterns, volume, or hourly close signals. Summary and Conclusion: For 27th November 2024, the chart suggests a clear game plan with pivotal levels to watch: Bullish above 24,303, targeting 24,459 and 24,603. Bearish below 24,109, targeting 24,025 and 24,002. Avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" (24,238–24,303) unless a decisive breakout occurs. By adhering to the plan and practicing disciplined risk management, traders can navigate Nifty's movements effectively. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trades.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Father Line not allowing Nifty but gap up support holding.Father line of 200 Hours EMA at 24212 has not yet allowed Nifty to fly freely up and above. today again like yesterday we got a closing below at 24194. Overall it was a flat day with positive movements mainly in IT, FMCG, media and Small Cap index. Once we get a closing above 24212 the next resistance will be at 24360, 24530, 24673 and 24893. After closing above 24893 Nifty has a chance to be in proper Bullish grip. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 24135, 23948 and 23912 (Major Mother line Support of 50 Hours EMA). Below 23912 bears can drag Nifty to 23616, 23362 and finally 23250. Below 23250 Nifty can have a free fall into strong bearish territory. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Massive Gap-up on expected lines, Which way will Nifty go now?After Maharashtra results as expected Nifty gave a gap up opening and sustained above an important level to close the day but can the rally sustain or will it fizzle out. If Nifty can consolidate in the range and cross the important resistance of 24360 while holding the ground above 200 hours EMA of Father line at 24213 we can see a really very bullish rally in Nifty. The supports for Nifty remain at 24213, 24135, 23948 and finally 23821. Below 23821 which is the 50 Hours EMA or the Mother line the rally may Fizzle out and bears will again dominate the scene. Resistnace for Nifty remain at 24369 important trend line resistance, 24530, 24673 and 24893 before we gain 25K levels and we can move ahead. Above 25K we will be in a predominantly Bullish territory again. To know more about Mother and Father lines, trend lines and supports and resistances mentioned in the message and to find them on your own in addition to knowing more about Techno-Funda investing in a nutshell you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Kindle and Google Playbook in E-version and on Paperback edition on Amazon. It is one of the highest rated books in that category. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 26-Nov-2024Trading Plan for NIFTY - 26th November 2024 Previous Day's Chart Analysis: NIFTY showed a volatile movement after hitting day high at 25351, and closed near resistance zone that I had already highlighted in yesterdays plan. (highlighted in Yellow ) within the "No Trade Zone," respecting the resistance at 24,432 and support near 24,243 . Bullish momentum ( Green ) was seen towards the upper resistance zones, while bearish ( Red ) price action retraced near the support zones. The key levels of 24,609 (Profit Booking Zone) and 24,041 (Best Buy Zone at Retracement) acted as crucial points for traders. Trading Plan for 26th November 2024: Gap-Up Opening (Above 24,432): If NIFTY opens with a Gap-Up above the critical resistance of 24,432 , it is crucial to observe the price behavior near 24,609 . A sustained breakout above 24,609 indicates bullish continuation, targeting higher levels. However, if rejection is observed near 24,609 , a pullback towards 24,432 is likely, which could act as support. Wait for a retest before entering long positions. Flat Opening (Near 24,250): A flat opening within the "No Trade Zone" requires patience. A breakout above 24,325 (upper range of the zone) signals bullish momentum, with targets of 24,432 and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below 24,243 could lead to bearish moves targeting 24,105.95 and 24,041 . Avoid trading within the zone to minimize false signals. Gap-Down Opening (Below 24,243): A Gap-Down opening below 24,243 will turn the focus to key support levels. If prices stabilize near 24,105.95 or 24,064.15 , look for signs of recovery to enter long trades. Failure to hold these supports could trigger further bearish moves towards 23,899 . Aggressive traders can short with tight stop losses. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid aggressive positions during the first 30 minutes of opening to let the trend settle. Use strict stop losses and avoid over-leveraging. Monitor the option's premium decay and implied volatility if the price remains within the "No Trade Zone." Diversify between directional and non-directional strategies depending on market conditions. Summary & Conclusion: The key to successful trading lies in patience and discipline. Focus on the levels discussed ( 24,609 , 24,432 , 24,041 ) for directional trades, and avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" ( 24,325–24,243 ) to prevent unnecessary risks. Both bullish ( Green ) and bearish ( Red ) scenarios offer opportunities, provided traders respect the levels and manage their risks effectively. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels for 25-Nov-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 25-Nov-2024 Introduction: In the previous session, Nifty displayed a recovery after testing lower support levels mentioned in plan and closed near day high, with buyers stepping in near the retracement zone ( Green ). The index faced resistance in the 23,873–23,920 range ( Yellow ), leading to sideways movement. For today, the market behavior will depend on how Nifty reacts to key levels, with breakout potential to 24,261 or breakdown risks toward 23,411 . Trading Scenarios for 25-Nov-2024: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above 23,920 , the focus will be on the immediate resistance level at 24,261 : A breakout above 24,261 could lead to a strong bullish trend, with potential targets at 24,350 and beyond. Look for price consolidation above 24,261 before entering long trades. Failure to sustain above 24,261 may result in a pullback toward 23,873 , offering a short-term reversal opportunity. Wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering trades to avoid whipsaws. Flat Opening: A flat opening near 23,873 will bring the "Opening Support / Resistance Zone" ( 23,845–23,920 ) into focus: A bullish breakout above 23,920 could target 24,261 as the next resistance. A bearish breakdown below 23,845 may trigger selling pressure toward 23,759 or 23,684 . Avoid trading within the range ( 23,845–23,920 ) until the trend direction becomes clear. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens below 23,759 , the immediate support lies at 23,684 , followed by 23,605 : A breakdown below 23,605 may lead to accelerated selling, targeting 23,411 . Monitor volume and price action for confirmation. A bounce from 23,684 or 23,605 could indicate a recovery, with potential upside back to 23,759 and 23,845 . Be cautious, as a gap-down opening may lead to heightened volatility. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Use strike prices close to the spot price for better liquidity and responsiveness. Implement strict stop-losses based on support and resistance zones. Avoid trading during the initial 15-30 minutes after market opening, as volatility may produce false signals. Limit your position size to manage risk effectively during uncertain market conditions. Summary and Conclusion: Nifty is at a critical juncture with key levels at 23,920 and 23,845 acting as immediate resistance and support. A breakout above 23,920 could drive bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 23,845 may lead to bearish continuation. Follow the trading plan and avoid impulsive trades. Always prioritize risk management to safeguard capital. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The analysis shared is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox