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Niftytrend

Nifty might be turning corners if there is no further bad news.The medium term outlook of Nifty is that it might be turning corners if there is no further bad news on Global or Local front. RSI is also turning in the positive or bullish zone. 23251 which was the 50 Weeks EMA or the mother line was almost taken and Nifty took a support at exactly mid channel support. This level be the key going forward. In the monthly closing or thereafter if this support is broken then we might see a bear attack once again. In such a scenario next supports will be at 22825. If this support is broken the next supports will be at 21324, 20313 or even 19133 in case of a global catastrophe of some unexpected even from Ukraine / Russia / Iran / Israel front. As of now 23251 seems to be the bottom. The medium term resistances on the upper side remain at 24432, 25073, 25732 and 26152 before Nifty gains previous highs. Nifty channel top currently seems at 27100 levels. There will be a lot of consolidation and it will take a long time before we reach there (2 to 6 or more months). Difficult to predict exact time frame due to lot of uncertainties on the local and global front.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty chart explains Mother-Father & Small Child theory and RSICurrent Nifty daily chart explains Mother-Father & Small Child theory and RSI very well have a look. As we can see and explained in my previous articles in Smart Investment as well as my book, The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and kindle version. The book in E-version is also available on Google Play books. Every time and again Nifty for cooling down from the overbought zone, consolidation, finding support and finding bottom in case of a bear market looks towards taking blessing or ashirwad from mother regularly and father some times. Wherein we call 50 EMA the Mother, 200 EMA of the father and movement of the candle sticks as movement of a 3 year old kid who is moving in a garden. The theory has been explained in depth in my previous articles and books but what you read above is in a nutshell. This time as there were serious issues related to FIIs selling continuously, issues regarding inflation, consumption and domestic demand being weak we saw a steep correction in Nifty from its high. The global issues like escalating Iran Vs Israel tensions, US elections, Ukraine Vs Russia war again gaining momentum also played a spoilsport for bulls along with new episode of Adani saga. The correction might not be over we do not know for sure where the exact top and exact bottoms are but we can predict zones that can provide resistance and supports accurately. Mother and Father lines we consider major supports and well as major resistances. They are major and most important supports if price of the particular stock or index is above the lines and they will be major resistance if the price of the stock is below them. On Friday we got a strong closing above the 200 days EMA which means if we get a follow up bullish candle on Monday and index continues to sustain above 200 days EMA things can go North in favour of Bulls. If Bulls can manage to get a closing above 50 days EMA or mother line the rally can enter a very strong zone. Another noteworthy point is that Nifty also hit a near channel bottom support as well as RSI also hit an oversold zone. Thus getting a positive closing to next week and further extending the closing above Mother line will be very important going forward. Supports for Nifty remain at 23542(Strong Father line Support), 23259, 22801 and 22139. Resistances on the upper side are 23965, 24259, 24417 (Strong Mother line resistance) and 24909 before we again reach 25K+ levels. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Levels for 22-11-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 22-Nov-2024 Introduction: In the previous session, With a Opening Drop in Nifty displayed a consolidation pattern near the support zone with a lack of strong follow-through on either side. The index closed near 23,346.75, hinting at indecision among traders. Key levels have been identified for today's trading, with distinct zones marked: Yellow for sideways movements, Green for bullish trends, and Red for bearish trends. Trading Scenarios for 22-Nov-2024: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above 23,414 , it will likely face resistance near 23,522 . Look for price action in this zone: If rejection occurs at 23,522 , a retracement towards the 23,414 level is possible, offering a shorting opportunity. If an hourly candle sustains above 23,522 , it can target the next resistance at 23,669 . Wait for clear breakouts or rejections before entering trades. Avoid chasing prices in a strong gap-up scenario to minimize risk. Flat Opening: In case of a flat opening near 23,346 , monitor the immediate support at 23,295 : A breakdown below 23,295 can lead to a bearish move towards 23,231 . If Nifty holds the 23,346 level and moves above 23,414 , a bullish momentum toward 23,522 is likely. Trade cautiously in the flat opening zone, as the initial price action might remain range-bound. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens below 23,231 , the 23,120 support zone will be crucial: A breach of 23,120 could trigger a sharp sell-off towards 22,986 . If prices reverse from the 23,120 level, expect a recovery rally back to 23,231 or 23,295 . Watch for rejection or reversal candlestick patterns at these levels before entering trades. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes of market opening to let volatility settle. Use defined stop losses based on hourly candle closings. Focus on at-the-money options for higher liquidity and better premiums. Limit your risk to 1-2% of your total trading capital per trade. Summary and Conclusion: The market's direction today hinges on how it reacts to key levels around 23,414 (resistance) and 23,295 (support). Keep an eye on broader trends and ensure to wait for confirmation signals before initiating trades. Practice strict risk management to safeguard against market volatility. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 21-Nov-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 21-Nov-2024 Intro: On 20-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a volatile session, with the index struggling to sustain above 23,712 , the last intraday resistance. A yellow-shaded "No Trade Zone" highlighted indecisive price action between 23,561 and 23,622 . The index tested support near 23,296 , which aligns with an SMC entry zone and buyer’s support after a liquidity sweep. The green trend depicted potential bullish moves, while the red trend reflected bearish reversals, helping traders prepare for possible outcomes in the upcoming session. Trading Plan for 21-Nov-2024: Gap Up Opening (100+ points above 23,561): If Nifty opens above 23,622 , monitor for a breakout above 23,712 . Sustained movement here could target the Profit Booking Zone (23,815–23,860) . Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to gauge market direction. Failure to hold above 23,622 might indicate a reversal, pushing the index back into the "No Trade Zone." Flat Opening (Near 23,561): A flat opening within the "No Trade Zone" requires patience. Look for a breakout above 23,622 to go long, targeting 23,712 . A breakdown below 23,468 may trigger bearish momentum toward 23,296 or lower. Avoid entering trades in the yellow-shaded zone to reduce risk from whipsaws. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below 23,468): A gap down below 23,441 may result in bearish momentum towards 23,296 , where buyers could provide support. If 23,296 holds, watch for a pullback toward 23,468 or higher. A breakdown below 23,296 could open doors to deeper bearish moves, targeting 22,964 . Use tight stop-losses for short positions. Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: Use stop-losses based on the hourly candle close to avoid getting trapped by intraday volatility. Avoid trading large positions in the "No Trade Zone"; focus on directional confirmation. For gap openings, consider strategies like spreads to manage premiums and volatility. Limit risk to 1–2% of your capital per trade to safeguard against sudden market moves. Summary and Conclusion: Key levels to watch are 23,712 on the upside and 23,296 on the downside. Trade cautiously within the "No Trade Zone" ( 23,561 – 23,622 ). Let the price action guide your trades, with trends expected to be influenced by intraday volatility. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors: Key Considerations for the Journey: 1) Economic Growth : India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth. Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise. 2) Corporate Earnings : A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher. 3) Institutional Participation : Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum. 4) Policy Support : Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts. Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth. 5) Global Markets and Trade : Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important. Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory. Risks to Watch : Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario. Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by ganesanselvaraj
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that. 1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump). 2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version. 3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days. These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action. Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory. Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty 50 - Short-Term Relief Rally in Progress?Analysis: Nifty 50 seems to be showing signs of recovery after a correction phase, with a potential inverse Head and Shoulders pattern indicating a bullish reversal. The neckline near the 23,700 level appears crucial, and a sustained breakout above this level could drive the index towards 24,042 and 24,461 in the coming weeks. Key support levels to watch are 23,327 and 22,755 , as they represent areas where buyers might step in. Meanwhile, the RSI indicates that the index might be exiting the oversold zone, adding weight to the recovery thesis. A zig-zag consolidation can be expected before a sharp move higher, as shown by the projected trajectory. A breach of 24,816 could signal a strong rally toward 25,600 and beyond .
NSE:NIFTYLong
by AngshumanSaikia
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 19-Nov-2024Trading Plan for 19-Nov-2024 Intro: Previous Day’s Chart Analysis On 18-Nov-2024, the market exhibited a mix of bullish recovery and consolidation. Yellow regions indicated sideways movement, suggesting indecision in the market. Green zones demonstrated bullish recovery attempts, while Red zones highlighted bearish breakdown scenarios. Intraday resistance at 23,725 played a key role in limiting gains, while support at 23,324 helped prevent a deeper sell-off. Gap-Up Opening Scenario (+100 Points or More): If Nifty opens around 23,600–23,700 , look for rejection near the resistance zone at 23,657 . Wait for a confirmation candle before entering short positions, targeting the 23,456 support. If momentum sustains above 23,657 , expect bullish continuation towards 23,725 . Initiate longs after a retest of 23,657 , with a stop loss at 23,600 . Avoid initiating trades if Nifty stays within 23,657–23,725 without a clear breakout or breakdown. Flat Opening Scenario (+/- 50 Points): A flat open near 23,462–23,475 would place the market in the No Trading Zone . Observe price action in this zone to gauge direction. If the index breaks below 23,456 , short with targets at 23,396 and 23,324 , maintaining a stop loss at 23,475 . For bullish setups, a breakout above 23,475 could lead to a move toward 23,657 , with stop losses placed at 23,450 . Gap-Down Opening Scenario (-100 Points or More): If Nifty opens near 23,324–23,350 , monitor for a pullback to 23,396 . Short positions can be initiated on rejection at 23,396 , targeting 23,291 and 23,123 . A strong recovery above 23,396 could indicate bullish reversal potential. Longs can be considered after confirmation, with targets at 23,475 . For aggressive selling, watch for a breach below 23,291 , which may trigger further downside to 23,123 . Use tight stop losses to manage risk. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid chasing trades immediately after the opening bell; let the first 15–30 minutes establish a clear trend. Use stop losses based on hourly candle closes to reduce the impact of market noise. Limit position sizes in volatile zones and avoid holding positions into key economic events. Keep track of implied volatility (IV) levels to assess premium pricing; avoid overpaying for options. Summary and Conclusion: The market's reaction near critical levels such as 23,657 (resistance) and 23,324 (support) will determine the trend for the day. Bullish momentum above 23,657 could target 23,725 , while failure to hold 23,324 may lead to a retest of 23,123 . Follow disciplined trading, and remember that patience and risk management are key to navigating uncertain conditions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty near Mid channel & 50 Weeks EMA (Mother Line) support. Nifty after closing below the 200 days EMA Father line on daily charts, may find support near 50 weeks EMA (Mother line of Weekly chart). The 50 weeks EMA is at 23233. Before reaching there today's low of 23350 will also be a support. If by chance both these levels are broken the mid channel support for Nifty seems to be at at 22800 zone. Below which the bears have potential to drag Nifty further down to 22500 or even below 22K levels. To know more about Parallel channels and how they work or my Mother Father small child theory you can read my book The Happy candles way to wealth creation. Available in Paperback or E-version on Amazon and Google Play book. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 23658, 24122, 25012 and 25898. Above 25989 Nifty will aim to make a new all time high again as channel top currently seems to be near 27K. RSI is also suggesting that Nifty can make a substantial come back any time now. Bollinger band lower band width has been pierced today both in daily chart as well as weekly chart indicating that market is heavily oversold and short covering can lead to a moderate recovery or substantial recovery sooner than later. The signs of bottom formation are clear unless FIIs begin another round of aggressive selling. The selling by FII has been continuous but seems to have decreased in the last few sessions rising further hopes for recovery. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
In Depth Analysis for Nifty 50 Index (1-Hour Chart)Symbol: Nifty 50 Timeframe: 1-Hour --- Technical Analysis: The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23,559.60, moving within a well-defined downward-sloping channel. The price is nearing a crucial support zone (23,480-23,570), which could act as a potential area for a short-term bounce. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a breakout occurs above the resistance levels. --- Key Observations: 1. Trend: The index is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within the channel. The bearish sentiment remains dominant. 2. Support & Resistance: Immediate Support: 23,480-23,570. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,200. Immediate Resistance: 24,070-24,540. These levels correspond to the midline and upper boundary of the channel. 3. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes on the recent down move indicate a potential loss of selling momentum, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback. 4. Potential Reversal Zone: A break above 24,070 could trigger a short-covering rally, pushing prices toward 24,540. --- Trade Setup: 1. For Bulls: Entry: Consider going long near 23,480-23,570, provided there are bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle. Target: 24,070, and an extended target of 24,540. Stop Loss: Below 23,450, to minimize downside risk. 2. For Bears: Entry: Look for shorting opportunities on rejection near 24,070 or at the channel’s upper boundary (24,540). Target: 23,480 and further downside to 23,200. Stop Loss: Above 24,600. --- Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Breakout: A decisive close above 24,070 will confirm a breakout from the channel, opening doors for a move toward higher levels. 2. Continuation of Downtrend: If the index fails to hold the 23,480 support, it could continue its bearish trajectory to 23,200.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradeAXN