NIFTY - Pre - Budgetary AnalysisHello Traders,
I hope this message finds you well. I am pleased to share an insightful analysis with you, which illuminates the continuation of the market shift in accordance with the budget.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, comprises three phases and bottomed out at 22,786 on January 27, 2025 (~120D) . Given the recent decline, it is considered a correction within a correction, and we anticipate a retracement to higher levels before resuming the trend in a more significant manner.
The analysis is supported by the fact that a crucial time resistance for the down trend lies at 17 February 2025, where the market is anticipated to conclude the ongoing correction phase and initiate a new trend.
Phase I:
Following a brief rally in the pre-open and open periods, the market is expected to decline towards lower levels between 9.15 - 11 AM to the following levels.
SI: 23,300
SII: 23,140 (Stronger)
SIII: 23,041 (Potentially for extension to 23,000)
*Please note that these values are indicative and not actual.
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current interim upward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R 24,120 levels) + static support.
R I – 23,950
RII – 24,120 ~ 24,225
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
**Budget commentary that I expect: **
1. There will not be any change in corporate tax rate.
2. Personal IT may see a small slab change, accompanied by an increase in standard deduction.
3. No changes to STT, LTCG / STCG (revision(s) will undermine the integrity of the decisions from FM).
4. Reduced borrowing costs accommodating leveraged capex.
5. Incentivization (PLI, infra, agricultural & make in india).
6. Semi conductor push.
Overall, I am expecting a neutral budget – Neither hawkish nor dovish.
The markets will do what they have to….!!!
**Important Note:**
This entire analysis holds true only until the market breaks 22,786.90, although I believe not today.
** Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% support level coinciding with the 22,146 ~ 21,245 -support level.
**Strategy:**
Given the implied volatility increase, it is prudent to adapt to changes as they appear to transpire.
1. Sell until phase I.
2. Buy for phase II (Conservatives may await some confirmation with strict SL @ 22,786).
3. Exit any open position after phase II completion and await cues.
Fellow Traders,
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Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative that you conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
Niftytrend
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near the 23700 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 23750 level then expected upside movement in index. This upside rally can goes upto 23950+ level. Below 23700 downside possible upto the 23550 support level in today's session.
Any major downside only expected below this support level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 07.02.2025Thursday’s session saw Nifty opening with a gap-up, touching a high of 23,773.55 in the opening minutes, but failing to sustain. It dropped to a low of 23,556.25 before closing at 23,603.35, losing 93 points over the previous close. The Weekly & Daily Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23,327 - 23,381.60
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 23,686.70 - 23,701.90
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty broke above a key Daily Supply Zone but couldn't sustain, falling from 23,800 to 23,500. The next crucial resistance lies at 24,000 - 24,250. Only a breakout and sustained move above this zone could shift the trend from sideways to bullish.
NIFTY : TRADING LEVELS AND PLAN – 07-Feb-2025📌
🔹 Previous Close: 23,628.05
🔹 Important Zones to Watch:
🟥 Profit Booking Zone: 24,024 - 24,155
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,900
🟧 Opening Resistance: 23,747
🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,566 - 23,656
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 23,442
🟢 Support for Sideways Market: 23,346
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 23,750)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up of 100+ points above 23,750, it will enter the Opening Resistance Zone (23,747 - 23,900).
🔹 Bullish Strategy:
If NIFTY sustains above 23,900, expect a strong move toward the Profit Booking Zone (24,024 - 24,155).
Ideal entry will be on retracement near 23,900 with SL below 23,850.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If rejection is seen from 23,900 - 24,024, a short trade can be initiated targeting 23,750 - 23,650.
Stop loss for short trade above 24,100.
📝 Pro Tip: A direct gap-up into a resistance zone often leads to profit booking. Avoid aggressive longs unless a breakout is confirmed.
📊 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 23,566 - 23,656)
A flat opening within the No Trade Zone (23,566 - 23,656) suggests uncertainty. Traders should wait for a clear breakout or breakdown.
🔹 Bullish Plan:
A breakout above 23,656 can trigger a long trade targeting 23,747 - 23,900.
SL for longs should be below 23,600.
🔻 Bearish Plan:
If NIFTY breaks below 23,566, expect a drop toward 23,442.
Short trade can be taken with SL above 23,600.
📝 Pro Tip: A flat opening often leads to range-bound price action initially. Avoid taking trades in the first 15-20 minutes unless a clear trend emerges.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,450)
If NIFTY opens below 23,450, it enters the Last Intraday Support Zone. Watch for a reversal or further breakdown.
🔹 Buying Opportunity:
A bullish reversal from 23,346 - 23,442 can give a long trade opportunity targeting 23,566 - 23,656.
Stop loss for longs should be below 23,300.
🔻 Breakdown Plan:
If 23,346 breaks, expect further downside toward 23,200-23,150.
Short trade can be taken with SL above 23,400.
📝 Pro Tip: A gap-down below key supports often triggers panic selling. But if a quick pullback is seen, it might be a bear trap—wait for confirmation before shorting.
⚠️ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
✔ Option Buyers: Trade ATM (At-the-Money) options and avoid OTM options when volatility is low.
✔ Option Sellers: If IV (Implied Volatility) is high, selling OTM strikes can be a good strategy.
✔ Always Use Stop Loss: Risk management is key to capital preservation.
✔ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to planned trades and don’t force setups.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🚀 Bullish above: 23,656 (Target 23,900 - 24,024)
📉 Bearish below: 23,566 (Target 23,442 - 23,346)
⚠️ Key Zones to Watch: No Trade Zone & Profit Booking Area
📊 Expect Volatility: Let the market establish a clear direction before taking trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking any trades. 📢📊
#NIFTY #TradingPlan #StockMarket #OptionsTrading 🚀
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Price Action :
Nifty saw selling from the opening to close just above 23600
Technicals:
Nifty opened flat and saw selling from opening and found support around 23550 levels and managed to close above 23600 levels forming a Bearish Candle . A small profit booking was seen above 23700 levels but over all looked strong and stable Nifty closed below 50 and 200 DEMA but above 10&20 DEMA
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index was down to 53
FII Sold Rs. 3550 Cr in cash market
Support/Resistance
Major Support 23400
Immediate Support 23500
Immediate Resistance 23650
Major Resistance 24000
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish but short term Nifty is bit positive till it trades above 22300
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 followed by 23600 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23600 followed by 23500 and 23000 - Support
23700CE 23600CE saw major addition signaling Shorts added & 23700 is Resistance
PCR is 0.82 which indicates neutral
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 16.5%/83.5%
FII exited 4K Longs in Future at 38K and Shorts intact at 1.9L contracts
Nifty Futures price was in negative, a slight decrease in price alongside slight increase in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates slight Bearishness
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty in Strong above 23500
Approch:
Maintain Long positions with 23500 SL
avoid shorts
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
still holding Long in Feb Series CE waiting for a big Short covering above 24100
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near the 23800 level. After opening if it's starts trading and sustain above 23800 level then expected strong upside rally towards the 23950 level in today's session. 23700-23800 is the consolidation zone for nifty. Any major downside rally expected below the 23700 level.
Nifty tried to consolidate today after the BO yesterday. Nifty did well to consolidate and end above 50 and 200 days EMA today Nifty closed at 23696 and the Mother and Father lines are at 23664 and 23620 respectively. These Two lines will continue to act as support for the coming days and sessions. Nifty faced a very stiff resistance today as expected near 23800. It will not be easy to cross this resistance. This was made clear by us in earlier messages. Exit poll results, followed by RBI rate cut followed by actual Delhi state election results in favour of market expectation can lead to a positive sentiment build up and these levels can be taken down and Nifty can even regain 24K levels in the coming time.
Nifty supports remain at: 23664 (Mother line), 23620 (Father Line), 23346 and 23222. Below 23222 weekly closing Nifty will become very bearish.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 23809, 23883, 23984 24108 and finally 24197. Above 24197 Weekly closing Nifty will become very bullish.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty consolidated hitting a high of 23800 taoday and closed in slight negative
Technicals:
Nifty opened above 23800 and traded below it for whole day in a narrow range and closed at lowest point of day forming a small Bearish candle. A small profit booking was see at 23800 levels (from downward trend line from previous highs) but over all looked strong and stable managing to close above 10.20,50,200 DEMA.
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index improved to 56
Support/Resistance
Major Support 23500
Immediate Support 23600
Immediate Resistance 23750
Major Resistance 24000
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish but short term Nifty is bit positive if trades above 22300
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 ( swa some addition) - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23500 (saw addition) - Support
23700CE 23800CE saw major addition signaling Shorts added & 23700 is Resistance
PCR is 0.9 which indicates not Bearish
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 12%/82%
Nifty Futures price was in neagative, a slight decrease in price alongside slight decrease in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates small profit booking
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty in Strong above 23500
Approch:
Maintain Long positions with 23500 SL
avoid shorts
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
still holding Long in Feb Series CE waiting for a big Short covering above 24100
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 06-Feb-2025📌 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 06-Feb-2025
🔹 Previous Close: 23,685.10
🔹 Important Zones Identified:
🟥 Sharp Profit Booking Zone: 24,065 - 24,154🟥 Opening Resistance: 23,848🟧 Opening Support / Resistance: 23,683 - 23,658🟩 Last Intraday Support: 23,567🟢 Buyer's Support: 23,374 - 23,345
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 23,785, it will move toward the Opening Resistance (23,848) and may attempt to test the Profit Booking Zone (24,065 - 24,154).
🔹 Bullish Strategy:
If NIFTY sustains above 23,848, expect a continuation towards 24,065 - 24,154.
An ideal entry can be on a pullback towards 23,848, with a stop-loss below 23,750.
🔻 Bearish Reversal Plan:
If NIFTY shows rejection around 24,065 - 24,154, a short trade can be initiated.
Target for shorts: 23,848 - 23,685.
Stop-loss for short trades: Above 24,200.
📝 Pro Tip: If NIFTY opens directly in the Profit Booking Zone, avoid aggressive long positions. Wait for a breakout or a reversal setup.
📊 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 23,683 - 23,658)
A flat opening means NIFTY is near the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (23,683 - 23,658). Patience is required to confirm the direction.
🔹 Bullish Plan:
If NIFTY breaks above 23,685 with strong volume, a long trade can be considered.
Targets: 23,743 - 23,848.
Stop-loss: Below 23,650.
🔻 Bearish Breakdown:
If NIFTY breaks below 23,658, expect a decline towards 23,567.
Short trades can be initiated with a stop-loss above 23,700.
📝 Pro Tip: Flat openings often result in choppy movement for the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before entering trades.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,567)
If NIFTY opens below 23,567, it enters the Last Intraday Support Zone and may attempt to test the Buyer's Support (23,374 - 23,345).
🔹 Buying Opportunity:
A strong bullish reversal from 23,374 - 23,345 can provide a long opportunity.
Target: 23,567 - 23,685.
Stop-loss: Below 23,300.
🔻 Further Breakdown Plan:
If 23,345 is broken, expect further downside towards 23,200.
Short trades can be initiated with SL above 23,400.
📝 Pro Tip: If NIFTY gaps down but quickly recovers above 23,567, it could be a bear trap—watch for bullish confirmations.
⚠️ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
✔ For Option Buyers: Select ATM (At-the-Money) strikes to avoid time decay. Enter only when price action confirms the trade.
✔ For Option Sellers: If IV (Implied Volatility) is high, consider selling OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options near key resistance/support levels.
✔ Always use SL: Protect capital! A good Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio is essential for long-term success.
✔ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to planned setups—don’t force trades.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🚀 Bullish above: 23,685 (Target 23,848+)📉 Bearish below: 23,658 (Target 23,567 - 23,345)⚠️ Watch Key Zones: No Trade Zone & Profit Booking Area📊 Expect Volatility: Let the first 15-30 minutes settle before aggressive trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking any trades. 📢📊
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 05/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected nifty will continue it's bullish rally towards the 23950+ level in today's session. 23650 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Major downside only expected if nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 23600. Below this level sharp downside expected upto the 23400 level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 05.02.2025Tuesday’s session was strong for Nifty, as it opened with a 149-point gap-up, made a low of 23,423.15, and surged to a high of 23,762.75, entering deep into the Daily Supply Zone. It finally closed at 23,739.25, gaining 378 points over the previous close. The Weekly & Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23,327 - 23,381.60
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Far Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20 (Current price is deep inside the zone)
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
After taking support at the Daily Demand Zone on 27th January, Nifty has already rallied 975 points (22,857 to 23,762). However, the Weekly & Daily Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways. To break the lower high - lower low structure, Nifty must sustain above 24,250 in the coming days.
Superb closing above Mother and Father Line Resistance. We had a very good closing today by Nifty at 23739 which is above Mother and Father line of resistance but there is a trendline resistance now at 23745 which Nifty was not able to cross today after briefly hovering above it as it made a high of 23762.
The next resistances in line for Nifty if it is able to cross 23745 swiftly will be at 23883 and 24108. Closing above 24108 can bring the Bulls back into the game and take us to the next resistances at 24281, 24596, 24898 and finally 25K+ levels.
Supports for Nifty are at 23663 (Mother Line support), 23619 (Father line support), 23421 and 23222. Below 23222 Nifty will become weak again and in such a scenario Nifty can fall to below 23K levels of 22976, 22797 or even 22316.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
nifty50NSE:NIFTY
ONE SHOULD WAIT FOR FURTHER Breakout ON WEEKLY BASIS.
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Management and Risk Appetite.
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NIFTY - Trading levels and Plan for 05-Feb-2025🔹 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 05-FEB-2025 🔹
📍 Previous Close: 23,707.70
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance Zone: 23,743 - 23,845
🔹 Opening Support Zone: 23,591 - 23,644
🟢 Last Intraday Support: 23,491
🟩 Buyers’ Strong Support: 23,345 - 23,388
🎯 Profit Booking Zone: 24,067 - 24,155
🔵 POSSIBLE OPENING SCENARIOS & TRADING STRATEGY 🔵
📈 Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 23,807) – Bullish to Cautious Approach
📌 If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,807+ , traders should wait for initial price action.
📌 A sustained move above 23,845 can trigger bullish momentum towards 24,067 - 24,155 (Profit Booking Zone).
📌 If Nifty struggles near 23,845 , expect sideways movement or a potential reversal to test 23,743 - 23,707 .
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy on retracement if 23,743 acts as support after a pullback.
🚨 Avoid aggressive buying near resistance without confirmation.
↔️↔️↔️
📊 Flat Opening (Between 23,683 - 23,743) – Key Zone for Decision Making
📌 A flat opening within 23,683 - 23,743 keeps the market in a neutral-to-bullish zone.
📌 If Nifty holds above 23,707 , we can see a push towards 23,845 .
📌 Failure to hold 23,707 might bring weakness towards 23,644 - 23,591 (Opening Support) .
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ If Nifty stays above 23,707 for 15-30 minutes, a breakout trade towards 23,845 is possible.
🚨 If it breaks below 23,644, avoid longs and wait for a deeper support test.
↔️↔️↔️
📉 Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,607) – Caution Required
📌 A gap-down below 23,607 will bring pressure on support levels.
📌 23,591 - 23,491 is a key demand zone; a strong bounce from here can offer buying opportunities.
📌 If selling continues and Nifty breaks below 23,491 , the next major support is 23,345 - 23,388 .
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Look for reversal signs near 23,491 - 23,345 before entering long trades.
🚨 If Nifty breaks and sustains below 23,345, expect further downside.
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT & OPTIONS TRADING TIPS ⚠️
🔹 Use strict stop-losses based on an hourly close.
🔹 Avoid chasing trades at extreme levels; wait for pullbacks.
🔹 For options trading, consider ATM/ITM contracts for better liquidity.
🔹 Time decay will impact weekly options—exit early if momentum slows.
🔹 Hedge positions if volatility spikes unexpectedly.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION 📌
✅ Bullish Bias above 23,743 targeting 23,845 - 24,067.
❌ Bearish Break below 23,591 may push towards 23,491 - 23,345.
📊 Key Zone: 23,707 - 23,743—market reaction here will decide the trend.
📌 Wait for confirmation at crucial levels before entering trades!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
🔹 I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only.
🔹 Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 04/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading and sustain above 23400 level then expected upside rally upto 23600 in today's session. Expected reversal from this level in nifty. Major downside expected if nifty starts trading below 23350 level.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 04-Feb-2025📌 NIFTY Trading Plan for 04-Feb-2025
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance for Profit Booking: 23,672
Resistance Zone: 23,544
No Trade Zone (Opening Support/Resistance Zone): 23,345 - 23,422
Opening Support: 23,256
Last Intraday Support: 23,178 - 23,202
Buyer's Support Zone: 22,950 - 22,990
🚀 If NIFTY Opens with a Gap-Up (100+ Points)
A gap-up opening near 23,500+ means price will be closer to the resistance zone. In this case:
If NIFTY faces rejection near 23,544, look for a shorting opportunity with a target of 23,345-23,422.
A strong breakout above 23,544 with good momentum and volume can push NIFTY towards 23,672 (profit booking zone).
If NIFTY consolidates around 23,500 and holds, look for buying opportunities after a retest with a stop-loss below 23,422.
📌 Pro Tip: If you are trading options, watch for IV (Implied Volatility) spikes. Avoid buying options at the open when IV is high. Wait for a pullback or confirmation before entering.
📊 If NIFTY Opens Flat (± 30 Points)
A flat opening means price will likely be inside the No Trade Zone (23,345-23,422). This zone can act as both support and resistance.
Avoid aggressive trades in this zone and wait for a clear direction.
A breakout above 23,422 can push NIFTY towards 23,544.
A breakdown below 23,345 can lead to 23,256 first and then towards 23,178-23,202.
📌 Pro Tip: When trading inside a range, avoid taking large positions. Instead, use Iron Condors or Credit Spreads in options for range-bound profits.
📉 If NIFTY Opens with a Gap-Down (100+ Points)
A gap-down near 23,178 - 23,202 can bring initial buying support. However, if this level breaks, we can see a quick move towards 22,950-22,990.
If NIFTY finds support around 23,178 and reverses, we can go long with a target of 23,256-23,345.
If it struggles near 23,256, this can be a sell-on-rise opportunity for a downward move.
📌 Pro Tip: For put buyers, ensure there is confirmation of weakness before entering. If the market shows strength after the gap-down, avoid holding puts for too long.
📌 Risk Management & Option Trading Tips 🛡️
✅ Keep Stop Loss Tight – Markets can be volatile, and a fixed SL helps in capital protection.
✅ Avoid Trading Inside the No Trade Zone – Let the price break out clearly.
✅ Hedge Your Positions – Use spreads instead of naked options to minimize risk.
✅ Don't Chase the Market – If you miss an entry, wait for the next setup.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 📢
🔹 Bullish Above: 23,422, targeting 23,544 → 23,672.
🔹 Bearish Below: 23,345, targeting 23,256 → 23,178.
🔹 No Trade Zone: 23,345-23,422 (Wait for confirmation before trading).
🎯 Always stick to the plan, manage your risk, and follow the levels carefully.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI registered analyst. This is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
This plan ensures structured decision-making across all scenarios. Let me know if you need modifications! 🚀📊
Global Markets crack fearing Trump Tariff plans.Global markets cracked downwards today fearing the tariff imposed by the new Government in US. The action has strengthened already strong USD$ as US is trying to flex it's financial muscle. How long this strength in USD can sustain is a question as it is looking far away from support having given an ATH against Rupee. The Tariffs as of now have been imposed by US on Canada, Mexico and China but other countries can also receive a similar treatment including India. So that space has to be watched continuously.
Under such global perfect storm Nifty actually did pretty well to close at 23361 after making a low of 23222 which is a remarkable 139 points recovery. This might be due to the Budget announcements. There is also a talk that RBI might go for a rate cut. This can further give some strength of Financial and Banking and some other stocks. Global factors and FII selling are the main issues along with strength of Dollar that are hampering the Indian market. The results so far have been below par compared YonY but better than some market experts expectation. So even on that front it is a mixed bag.
Supports for Nifty are at: 23222, 23136 and 22976. If we get a closing below 22976 Nifty can fall in a total Bear territory and fall further to 22797, 22316 or further down.
Resistances for Nifty are at: 23381, 23555, 23618 (Father Line Resistance), 23660 is the (Mother line Resistance). After we get a weekly closing above 23660 we can think of getting back to the more bullish territory of 23745, 23883 and finally 24K+ zone. Shadow of the candle right now seems to be neutral to negative.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/02/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty near the 23400 level. After opening if it's sustain above 23400 level then possible upside movement in nifty 23600 level. For today's session 23600 will act as a strong upside resistance for nifty. Major downside expected if nifty starts trading below the 23350 level this downside can goes upto 23150 level after the breakdown.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 03-Feb-2025NIFTY Trading Plan for 03-Feb-2025
Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zones: 🔴 Intraday Resistance Zone: 23,622 - 23,672🔴 Profit Booking / Sideways Zone: 23,822
Support Zones: 🟠 Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 23,475 - 23,565🟢 Opening Support at Retracement: 23,367🟢 Last Intraday Support (Must Try Zone): 23,229 - 23,259🟢 GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points) (Typically above 23,600 region)
➡️ If NIFTY opens above 23,565 and sustains, we need to observe price action at 23,622 - 23,672 (intraday resistance zone).
Bullish Scenario: If price consolidates above 23,672 and breaks out with volume, expect a rally towards 23,822 (profit booking zone). 📈📌 Entry: Above 23,672🎯 Target: 23,750 - 23,822❌ Stop Loss: Below 23,600
Bearish Rejection: If price rejects from 23,672 and fails to sustain, expect a pullback towards 23,500 - 23,475 .📌 Entry: Below 23,620 after confirmation🎯 Target: 23,500 - 23,475❌ Stop Loss: Above 23,680
📝 Educational Tip: In strong gap-up scenarios, avoid chasing the market immediately. Let the price consolidate near key resistance levels before taking a trade.
↔️ Sideways Possibility: If NIFTY stays between 23,565 - 23,672 , it may remain range-bound. Wait for a breakout.
⚖️ FLAT Opening (Near 23,470 - 23,500) ➡️ A flat opening would indicate market indecision and a need for further confirmation.
Bullish Bias: If price takes support at 23,475 - 23,500 and starts moving up, it can retest 23,622 , then 23,672 .📌 Entry: Above 23,500 after bullish confirmation🎯 Target: 23,622 - 23,672❌ Stop Loss: Below 23,450
Bearish Breakdown: If NIFTY breaks below 23,475 , expect a move towards 23,367 or even 23,259 (last intraday support).📌 Entry: Below 23,475🎯 Target: 23,367 - 23,259❌ Stop Loss: Above 23,525
📝 Educational Tip: Flat openings require patience. Let the market establish a clear direction before entering. Avoid overtrading in a choppy market.
🔴 GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points) (Typically below 23,375)
➡️ If NIFTY opens below 23,367 , it indicates weakness and possible downside towards 23,259 - 23,229 .
Bearish Continuation: If price sustains below 23,367 , expect selling pressure towards 23,259 and 23,229 .📌 Entry: Below 23,367🎯 Target: 23,259 - 23,229❌ Stop Loss: Above 23,400
Bounce Back Scenario: If NIFTY takes support at 23,259 and shows strong reversal, we may see a move back towards 23,367 or even 23,475 .📌 Entry: Above 23,275 after confirmation🎯 Target: 23,367 - 23,475❌ Stop Loss: Below 23,220
📝 Educational Tip: In gap-down scenarios, watch for institutional buying or aggressive selling. Avoid counter-trend trades without confirmation.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders ✅ Trade with Defined Risk: Always set a stop loss before entering a trade.✅ Avoid Overleveraging: Keep position sizes within your risk tolerance.✅ Watch for Volatility: Sudden spikes in IV (Implied Volatility) can impact options pricing.✅ Exit at Key Levels: If a trade reaches resistance/support, book partial profits.✅ Use Spreads for Safety: Instead of naked options, consider spreads to minimize risk.
📊 Summary & Conclusion Gap-Up: Watch for resistance at 23,672 ; breakout targets 23,822 . Flat Opening: Key support at 23,475 ; break above 23,500 can lead to bullish movement. Gap-Down: Below 23,367 , expect 23,259 - 23,229 ; bounce possible from support.
🛑 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
🚀 Happy Trading & Stay Disciplined! 💰
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 03.02.2025Saturday’s special trading session saw Nifty opening flat and rallying to 23,632.45, just missing the 75m Supply/Resistance Zone (23,645.05 - 23,726.85) before facing selling pressure and dropping to a day low of 23,318.30. It later recovered slightly, closing at 23,482.15, down 26 points from the previous close. Both Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways, indicating a consolidating market.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low from 4th June 2024)
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20 (Tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
With Nifty hovering near key resistance levels, watch for breakouts or reversals in the coming sessions. A move above the 75m Supply Zone (23,645 - 23,726) could trigger further upside, while a failure to sustain may lead to a retest of lower support zones.
#nifty50 Week ahead, 3-7th Feb 2025The Nifty ended the week at 23,482, up nearly 400 points from last Friday’s close, with a high of 23,632 and a low of 22,786. With Saturday's budget announcement and tax break news, all eyes will be on Monday, which could be a game-changer. The new tax slabs will bring relief to many in the middle class, but institutional investors are carefully assessing its impact on the broader market. Monday’s closing could give us a clearer picture of how they’re positioning themselves, making it a critical day to watch.
Looking ahead, I anticipate Nifty may trade within the range of 24,000 to 22,950 next week. However, the weekly and monthly charts are still in a bearish phase, and until we see a shift toward a bullish trend on at least a weekly timeframe, the best approach remains to "sell on rallies."
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 closed at 6,040, about 60 points lower than last week. It tried to break through the strong resistance at 6,100 but couldn’t manage it. The weekly chart suggests a potential "W" pattern, but for that to play out, the index may need to drop and test support levels of 5,880-5,850. If that happens, it could trigger selling pressure on global markets, including India.
It’s going to be a crucial week ahead—prepare for a potentially volatile market environment!
Further FIb levels for nifty after budgetResistance sell opportunity 1st level 23673
Resistance sell opportunity 2nd level 24025
Support Buy on dip level 23124
📢 Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only. Investments in the stock market are subject to market risks. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.