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Nikkei225index

The third wave of a larger wave is formingDear FRIEND, I hope you're doing well and that the new year has started on a good note for you. I wish you success in your business endeavors and a happy new year with your loved ones. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it to be a valuable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. I am sharing my analysis with you. However, please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My goal is to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions. In the attachment, I have included my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily). I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished. Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, (Mr. Nobody)
INDEX:NKYLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Nikkei 225 Trade Idea for 20thDec2023 Super BullishNIKKEI 225 trade idea for 20/12/2023. Major catalyst BOJ is out of the way now, Nikkei shows super bullish continuation from the monster move today. Text book bull flag break out just after the close to 500 points move after BoJ press conference. Price consolidated after that and shows another bull flag in the after hours trading. Plan for 20/12/2023 Entry: Ideally pull back at the open at bull flag base -33353 or at 33227 - yesterday's VWAP Targets: 33632, 33681, 33808 and 34030 Support: 33227,33096 Happy trading, feedback welcome to improve my analysis. Thanks for reading
EIGHTCAP:JPN225Long
by trikkone
Expanded Diagonal??Hello! I am a big fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find very interesting and useful for market analysis. I have developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that could occur in the market. While I would like to share my analysis with you, please note that I am not providing a buy or sell signal. My primary intention is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can utilize it as a guide to make an informed decision. To build your confidence in my analysis, I always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare and see the progress. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, which should make it easy for you to understand. I hope that my analysis is useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. I am looking forward to hearing from you. Lastly, I would like to mention that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, just like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you. Sincerely,
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
One Wave Upside Before DropGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week. I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further. I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you. I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market. However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time. If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes. It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is. No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get. We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities. Let's mention a few opinions and ideas! Based on mathematics. I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future. Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success. Best regards, Mr. Nobody Keep trying and never give up. Good luck!
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Bear market, you may be careful (Next idea)Greetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week. I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further. I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you. I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market. However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time. If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes. It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is. No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get. We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities. Let's mention a few opinions and ideas! Based on mathematics. I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future. Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success. Best regards, Mr. Nobody Keep trying and never give up. Good luck!
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Short
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Selling Nikkei into a rally.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 28280 (stop at 28505) Buying pressure from 27629 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. Our profit targets will be 27705 and 27605 Resistance: 28505 / 29295 / 29710 Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:NIKKEI225Short
by VantageMarkets
Nikkei to find sellers at previous support?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 27310 (stop at 27425) Previous support level of 27266 broken. Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at oversold extremes. Short term bias has turned negative. A higher correction is expected. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 26980 and 26700 Resistance: 27390 / 27815 / 28500 Support: 27040 / 26700 / 26270 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by OANDA
Is the Santa Claus rally real?As we approach Christmas, for yet another year, we wonder if Santa is real, or rather if the Santa Claus Rally is real. Some hypotheses about the Santa Claus rally include the lowered Institutional liquidity as traders go on holiday (just like us, soon!). That leaves the retail crowd, proven to be bullish on just about anything, pushing markets higher. There have been many studies on this effect on the US markets with results ranging from slightly better than a coinflip chance to none at all. We thought to experiment with this idea and look at the same effect but on another market instead. With the massive benefit of hindsight, a simple, buy the Nikkei 225 in the middle of December and sell at the high/low before March comes around strategy, giving a win rate of 70% and an average win return of 10.3%, while the average loss was -11.3%. Interesting, but nothing much better than a coin toss with some variance. Now as a Trader, we always try to position ourselves in highly expected value situations and find a unique edge where others might not look. In this instance, how we can re-position ourselves is perhaps by looking at the spread between the US Index against the Japanese Index, before trying to identify the seasonal factor (Santa Claus Rally). But before we go further, it’s often good to think about how or why this trade might just work out: 1) Holiday impact – generally the Christmas holiday holds greater cultural importance in the US, hence it is likely that more will be on holiday in the US during this season. 2) Diverging monetary policies - The Bank of Japan remains one of the last central banks which stick to its negative interest rate policy (NIRP) even as inflation creeps higher. While the US Federal Reserve has led the world with its ultra-hawkish stance, raising its policy rates in a steadfast manner. The differences in monetary policies could nurture different directions for equities in respective markets, namely hawkish or tight conditions for the US vs dovish easing condition for the Japanese market. 3) Difference in accounting/Financial years – Differing accounting practices and book closure dates mean flows will differ for each market as institutional traders prepare to close their positions for their financial year. 4) Investors trying to front-run the January effect, where investors re-establish their positions after tax loss harvesting in December. These factors combined drive the Japanese and US markets differently, especially over this, year-end, holiday season. On to specifics, one way to look at the spread between the US and Japanese market could be to use the S&P500 Futures and Nikkei 225 Futures as proxy for the individual markets. Adjusting each Futures contract by the point value, $50 USD x S&P 500 Index point for the S&P500 Futures and $5 USD x Nikkei Stock Average for the Nikkei 225 Futures allows us to compare the two on a contract value/dollar for dollar basis. Applying the same, buy in the middle of December and sell before March strategy, gives a similar 60% win rate, but the average win now returns 71.4% while the average loss is -18.3%. A very rough back of the napkin expected value calculation gives this strategy a rough 35% expected return while the strategy on the Nikkei 225 alone returns roughly 4%. While one could try this strategy, we intend to provide a starting point to reflect on how we could creatively pair products to extract more value out of decades-old strategy. For example, on CME the listed Japanese Index Futures suite alone consists of products, such as the Dollar & Yen denominated Nikkei 225 (NIY/NKD) and Topix (TPY/TPD), all of which could be used to form variants of the above strategy. Something to think about as we head into the holiday season and prepare ourselves for an even better trading year ahead. And just like that, we are on our last piece for the year. We will be taking the rest of the year off and back in January with more! Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone! The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Sources: www.jstor.org www.fool.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
CME_MINI:ES1!
by inspirante
15
Elliott Wave Analysis: NIKKEI Remains BullishHello traders and investors! Today we will talk about Japanese Index NIKKEI 225 in which we see very clear bullish pattern. As you can see, NIKKEI made an A-B-C corrective decline from the highs and the main reason why we think it's a correction within uptrend is because of a triangle within wave B in the middle. We know that triangles cannot occur in wave 2, so it must be wave B as part of an A-B-C correction. The Next very important evidence that A-B-C correction is completed is recent five waves up from the lows and we know that a five-wave reversal indicates a change in trend, so NIKKEI will probably stay in the uptrend. However, in EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows, so before we will see a continuation higher, be aware of a corrective slow down with ideal support in the 28800 - 28300 zone. Of course, pullbacks could be even deeper, so count remains valid as long as the price is trading above 27400 May lows. Be humble and trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share the idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
TVC:NI225Long
by ew-forecast
1
East vs. West; The Nikkei will obliterate the Dow!!... And that's without even the currency differential factored in! (... which should add an additional +8%-13% to the down-side.) This spread currently sits right at the Quarterly Pivot. As it stands, under even the most unlikely circumstances (worst case scenario) this spread, the Short DJIA / Long Nikkei225 , is a 4.5:1 R/R trade. A trade that anyone should take, especially if one finds oneself being forced to stay long equities - for some inexplicable reasons. The Weekly;
TVC:DJI
by Nemo_Confidat