Nikkei225trade
Buy on dip at 50DMA in Nikkei Japanese index Nikkei 225 (NI225) is in a nice bull run since Uncle Warren loaded up on the cheap Japanese equities.
The index made a top at 33770 and has been consolidating since then for the last few weeks. Recently the index made a triple bounce at the 50 day simple moving average with the last push happening on the day of the BoJ MPC meeting decision.
The price action on the index is nicely bullish and seems to be heading toward previous highs of 33770.
Nikkei in a bullish channelNIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 32535 (stop at 32295)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Previous resistance level of 33068 broken.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 32770, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 33135 and 33285
Resistance: 34015 / 35000 / 36110
Support: 32030 / 30800 / 29810
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
UPDATE Nikkei reached first target at 32,652W Formation formed on the Nikkei.
We then had a strong breakout with high inclination.
The price has since rocketed to our first target.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target 32,652
It's still extremely bullish, but we can expect the price to come down consolidate in a range before we get the next buy signal.
I'll let you know.
Nikkei to find support at previous high?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 28250 (stop at 28075)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 28695 and 28745
Resistance: 29295 / 29710 / 30300
Support: 27880 / 27395 / 27050
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nikkei rallies to be limited by a swing high?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 28330 (stop at 28530)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Prices spiked higher and stalled at resistance in early trade.
Further selling pressure led to a reversal in price action.
The current move lower is expected to continue.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 27760 and 27395
Resistance: 28505 / 29295 / 29710
Support: 27880 / 27395 / 27050
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nikkei to stall at previous support?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 28135 (stop at 28340)
Buying pressure from 27458 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We look to sell rallies.
Our profit targets will be 27550 and 27395
Resistance: 27880 / 28505 / 29295
Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nikkei remains a long.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 28098 (stop at 27940)
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (25535 - 28653) and we expect this to continue.
Short term bias is bullish.
Bespoke support is located at 28098.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 28469 and 28509
Resistance: 28276 / 28588 / 28731
Support: 28098 / 27864 / 27629
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Selling Nikkei into a rally.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 28280 (stop at 28505)
Buying pressure from 27629 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 27705 and 27605
Resistance: 28505 / 29295 / 29710
Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Has Nikkei found a swing low?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 27430 (stop at 27235)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 27990 and 28505
Resistance: 27880 / 28505 / 29295
Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nikkei 225 Cash index looking great with C&H to 30,629Cup and Handle formed on the Nikkei225 Cash.
The price broke above the brim level showing buy side liquidity on the up.
7>21>200
RSI>50 to 70
Target 30,629
My concern is that the price broke above the brim with a large green candle. Now as a trader, I would wait for a bit of a pullback to the brim level as a retest getting in at a conservative level.
INTERESTING FACTS
The Nikkei 225 is a stock market index that tracks the performance of the 225 largest companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE).
The index was first introduced on September 7, 1950, by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) newspaper, hence the name "Nikkei 225".
It's most widely quoted average of Japanese equities, and is considered a barometer of the Japanese economy.
The Nikkei 225 has a base value of 176.21, which represents the closing price of the index on September 7, 1950. Interesting because most base values of indices start at 100.
Some names you would know in the index is Mitsubishi, Sony, Toyota, Honda, Panasonic and Toshiba to name a few
Nikkei to stall at resistance.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 27700 (stop at 27850)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 27700 level.
Our profit targets will be 27280 and 27055
Resistance: 27880 / 28505 / 29295
Support: 27395 / 27055 / 26710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Buying Nikkei on dips.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 27280 (stop at 27140)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 27670 and 27890
Resistance: 27890 / 28505 / 29295
Support: 27395 / 27055 / 26710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nikkei to find sellers at market?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 27545 (stop at 27635)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 27545 level.
Our profit targets will be 27290 and 27050
Resistance: 27880 / 28505 / 29295
Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nikkei to find sellers at previous support?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 27310 (stop at 27425)
Previous support level of 27266 broken.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Short term bias has turned negative.
A higher correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 26980 and 26700
Resistance: 27390 / 27815 / 28500
Support: 27040 / 26700 / 26270
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Selling Nikkei into current swing highs.K225 - 21h expiry - We look to Sell at 26635 (stop at 26855)
Buying pressure from 25931 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 26015 and 25795
Resistance: 26435 / 26830 / 27150
Support: 25795 / 25060 / 24120
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NIKKEI 225 CFD BEARISH PATTERNJapan is currently facing an inflation high not seen in 40 years. The weak yen and the increased cost of foreign supply for industrial commodities and manufacturing parts are slowing down the economy of the country.
On the technical front the index has broken the support of the triangle pattern and a bearish move might be expected. RSI indicator is heading below 50 neutral line and MACD histogram is below 0.
If the pattern continues the price might test the support levels of 27831. In the opposite scenario, the price might try to reach its previous resistance at 27929.50
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NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022
We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 4.56%, rising 3.68% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 25th percentile according to ATR and 83th according to JNIV
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 4.7%
BULLISH Candle : 3.1%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 23.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 26600
TOP: 28630
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 27600 (already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 25600
Range bound Nikkei, Bullish mean revThe range bound Nikkei is rebounding off support at 25,750 and heading back to the mean at 27,875 and possibly to the resistance at 30,000. The last pivot low has created bullish hidden divergence which could mean the Nikkei breaks out of its range and rallies higher.
Why markets will fall this week (JPN225 analysis) Last week we saw a rally in all the stocks.
Looking at the indexes, we are seeing all of them being overbought on H4, h1, m30 and m15.
We are seeing the weakness in H1 and M30 and M15 on Nikkei.
We will sell with 500 pip stop loss and target close to 2000.