Nikkeitrade
Buying Nikkei at previous resistance.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 26840 (stop at 26560)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 27630 and 27820
Resistance: 27400 / 27820 / 28505
Support: 27060 / 26720 / 26235
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Selling Nikkei into current swing highs.K225 - 21h expiry - We look to Sell at 26635 (stop at 26855)
Buying pressure from 25931 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 26015 and 25795
Resistance: 26435 / 26830 / 27150
Support: 25795 / 25060 / 24120
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NIKKEI225 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 NIKKEI225 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.16%, up 2.05% from last week according to DVOL data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 38th percentile,
while according to VIX, we are on 25th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.82% movement
Bearish: 1.74% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 22.4% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 28309
BOT: 27170
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
73% probability we are going to touch previous high 27955
27% probability we are going to touch previous low 27419
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 64% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Daily timeframe indicates 21% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
4H timeframe indicates 7% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
NIKKEI 225 CFD BEARISH PATTERNJapan is currently facing an inflation high not seen in 40 years. The weak yen and the increased cost of foreign supply for industrial commodities and manufacturing parts are slowing down the economy of the country.
On the technical front the index has broken the support of the triangle pattern and a bearish move might be expected. RSI indicator is heading below 50 neutral line and MACD histogram is below 0.
If the pattern continues the price might test the support levels of 27831. In the opposite scenario, the price might try to reach its previous resistance at 27929.50
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Jamie Gun2Head - Selling NikkeiTrade Idea: Selling Nikkei
Reasoning: Targeting 78.6% Fibonacci, price breaking below support
Entry Level: 26708
Take Profit Level: 25893
Stop Loss: 26871
Risk Reward Ratio 5:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Jamie Gun2head - Selling JPXJPYTrade Idea: Selling JPXJPY
Reasoning: Breaking trendlines, looking for an extended selloff
Entry Level: 27753
Take Profit Level: 27029
Stop Loss: 27923
Risk/Reward: 4.26:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Nikkei Mapping A CorrectionNikkei is currently correcting the bullish advance from its August low, bulls will be looking for bullish reversal patterns at the current C wave equality objective just ahead of 29000, demand here would then set the platform for a minimum 5th wave objective of 31789. A failure to defend 28265 would warn of a more significant topping pattern opening a move to test 24180
INDEX - Nikkei 225 - Model ForecastModel Forecast for NI225:
- Line of Least Resistance EW Corrective Wave found.
- Wolfe Wave at Top Distribution Level.
- Weakening rally rejected at top of channel.
- This time the support will break.
- US Markets to follow.
Soon the V's will stop. Easy come easy go.
GLHF
- DPT
Nikkei225 - Great trade Opportunity! Nikkei 225 - Great Trade Opportunity!
What a great set up, right? I've been shorting NI225 for while. If you're subscriber of our weekly newsletter, you probably got in earlier at a better risk/reward! If you are subscriber - Thanks I appreciate it and if you aren't you're missing out! I post my analysis late on Trading View for great trade ideas...Subscribe now - Link will be down in the comment section (It's FREE & always will be) We will be changing the privacy settings soon for ONLY subscribers to see our content!
Now let's dive into the exciting Technical aspects:
Longer Term pattern: Triangle
Shorter Term Pattern: Bear Flag / Wedge
Key Support & Resistance Areas: 28000 - 28400
Key Tip: You could go to towards lower time frames to get a better price.
All the best,
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
Chinese Stocks to pay attention to KonicaAs a company on the technical this is within a growth economy that has underperformed in 2021. I like this because it has a huge under evaluation and falls into a demand zone on the monthly. With a great sign of manipulation performed by monthly spring. With market structure break north side I look for a return to origin to buy. This 78.6% retracement should see more room for this stock to rise.
This is likley to run out of steam soon, ...too. - But not before US Equities do!!
(Made a lot of money on these longs until now and especially being Short DJIA/Nikkei225 Spread!)
... and given the currency differential, the Nikkei225 is still a helluva lot better deal than US indexes.
Here is the SP500/Nikkei225 Spread
Short it until it can be shorted no more!
Here is the Weekly;
SPX vs. NIKKEI225 SELL; Massive SHORT!!SHORT this spread endlessly!!
Here is the Weekly
The "math" bears this out, readily! NIKKEI225 has a 13%-15% advantage - including FX - over the SPX. This is by far the best Equities/Risk spread out there if one must be long equities. (... which one ought Not to want to do under any circumstance, at these levels! :-)
Here is the FX component - USDJPY
NIKKEI225 LONG; Best of the G10, long term.Currently the best outlook of the developed markets.
- As opposed to the DAX and US Equities, the former being an absolute dog, the later under a mass delusion price wise.
The DAX
E.g. If one must be long Equities, the proper spread would be LONG NIKKEI, CAC, SHORT Dow, DAX.
This spread has an annual 8%-10% advantage, including FX differentials, over any other G10 Equity Long!