ridethepig | Nikkei Market Commentary 2020.09.19📌 The Nikkei would have freed some space to the downside with a technical break last week, but given that we have not pierced the support line and buyers are still well-placed we must be wary of a retest in the highs of the multi year top at 24,000 - the same level we have been tracking since 2018!!
The more interesting notion comes from the Global Equity board with breaks being led by NY and following through with Europe on the quadruple witching flows.
A simple move here would be playing the breakdown for a quick test of the 200 day MA which is +/- 22,000 and on the other perhaps opening up the panic leg towards the lows at 20,300 if the rest of the flows play along. Any moves to the topside lack conviction and the RSI destroys all winning chances for buyers as we approach the highs.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Nikkeitrade
JP225 on the break of the triangle 🦐JP225 on the daily chart has retraced till the 0.382 fib level before moving in a consolidation range.
The market has bounced twice on the daily support creating a double bottom where it took the liqidity to start a new impulse to the upside.
If the market will break the triangle and consequently will break the upper daily structure, at the retest of it, we can set a nice long order according with our strategy.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Nikkei 225 Possibilities of DowntrendYen is getting nasty leading against the dollar and some comdolls which might create pressure for Nikkie. Japan seeks to quarantine all overseas arrivals for 14 days which might create some issue to the travel and tourism sectors. The likelihood of the manufacturing recession deepening in the coming months is high. The latest data showed a sharp fall in inventories of inputs, which firms are going to find challenging to replenish in order to sustain factory production. Hits multi-year lows from manufacturers and non-manufacturers on today's Tankan reports.
Nikkei Follow BAT Pattern So far, the closest match to the human coronavirus has been found in a bat in China’s Yunnan province. A study5 published on 3 February found that the bat coronavirus shared 96% of its genetic material with the virus that causes COVID-19.
Walking based on BAT because of BAT.
#NIK225,Signal with huge potentialPerfect resistance line, the NIK225 has already been stopped twice in the above resistance line and it seems that this time it will also fail to break.
The Stochastic in Overbought, and has the same model as it had in the previous 2 times.
The trend is an uptrend but following the data we mentioned above, we recommend sell
Target: 22000
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Buyers in ControlNikkei shows Elliott Wave bullish sequence from December 26, 2018 low and August 26, 2019 low. This suggests that buyers are in control and favors further upside in the Index. The pullback to 21079 ended wave ((2)) and the Index has resumed higher in wave ((3)). Internal subdivision of wave ((3)) takes the form of a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure.
Wave (1) of ((3)) is currently in progress as a leading diagonal. Up from 21079, wave 1 ended at 21650, wave 2 ended at 21325, wave 3 ended at 22265, and wave 4 ended at 21905. Expect Index to soon complete wave 5 of (1). Afterwards, Index should pullback in wave (2) to correct the cycle from October 3 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 21079 low stays intact.
Nikkei 225 index formed bullish Shark | A good long opportunityPriceline of Nikkei 225 index has formed a bullish shark and entered in potential reversal zone.
I have defined the targets using Fibonacci sequence as below:
Buy between: 20094.62 to 20460.02
Sell between: 20779.31 to 21503.43
Regards,
Atif Akbar (moon333)
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Looking for More DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in Nikkei suggests the decline to 19900 on August 6 ended wave (3). The Index is currently in wave (4) bounce and the internal subdivision is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 19900, wave W ended at 20795 as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of W ended at 20650 and wave ((b)) of W ended at 20220. Then the move higher to 20795 completed wave ((c)) of W.
The Index then pullback to 20075 which ended wave X with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of X ended at 20300, wave ((b)) of X ended at 20765, and wave ((c)) of X ended at 20075. Wave Y is in progress with the internal subdivision of a double three in lesser degree. Up from 20075, wave ((w)) ended at 20685 and wave ((x)) ended at 20450. Near term, while above 20075, Index has scope to extend higher towards 20974 – 21530 area to end wave Y of (4). Expect sellers to appear from the above area and Index to either resume lower or pullback in 3 waves at least. We don’t like buying the Index.
Nikkei Potential Head and Shoulders?The Nikkei is showing a potential head and shoulders pattern on the 2 hour chart. If we do break below the support at 21620,
then we would await for a lower high which would be a retest of the break.
However, ideally, would like to see a bounce and then a lower high which would make the head and shoulders pattern.
Price is turning at a resistance zone (21800) zone which adds further confluence.
This is a trade that can possibly play out next week. Keep it on your radar!