TESLA looking bearish on the dailyLooking at Tesla on the daily chart I have broken down how I am playing this one for the long and short-term.
So clearly TSLA is looking pretty bearish along with most of the major stocks these days. Today we see price breaking down and setting up to potentially test that very strong support level and low of $700 from a couple of weeks ago.
Since Tesla hit all time highs on November 4th the stock has had a few failed breakout attempts. On one occasion it looked pretty promising to break all time highs only to hit 1200 resistance.
$1000 is a very important psychological price level and on this chart we can see lots of areas of support and then breaking through that level so now 1000 is resistance.
Price also hit some resistance at the 950 level as well.
The plan for the bulls would be for of course 700 to hold and for price to start making higher highs and higher lows. A break back above any whole number is a start, 800 then 900 and then that 950 wall.
Once TSLA is breaking back above 1k I would feel pretty confident for the bulls but until then I see this looking more on the bear side.
NIO
Chinese Stock sinking ..!I believe this process will not end soon, do not try to catch a falling Chinese knife..!
Charlie Munger has tried this with BABA and I do not think he is happy with his decision!
Consider this:
What would happen if China and Taiwan situation escalate..!
Best,
Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NVDA 182 PRICE TARGET - BY MARCH 21NVDA should hit a price of 182 on or before March 21st - if this level does not hold, it should continue down near the 160 range.
The Volume and On Balance Volume helps confirm this. As far as patterns go, NVDA seems to be at the top of a strong channel, and has plenty of room to descent.
I will be looking for puts on NVDA in the coming days.
NIO 14.50 PT BY MARCH 16 NIO will be at 14.50 give or take .50 on or by March 16. The On Balance Volume shows strong selling pressure on NIO, with a clear downtrend channel.
Couple these technical facts with the FED rate hike in one week, and earnings approaching (which I predict to be less than pleasant, given the Geo-Political and economic climate the past two months) NIO will have a hard time breaking resistances.
Quantitative Models or Analysts Ratings???In these charts, you can see the performance of Tesla, Lucid, NIO, and Rivian in 2022, which is -22%, -36%, -43%, and -59% respectively..!
In the below analysis I added the Technical rating and Analysts ratings from the overview page of these tickers:
My observations:
1- Technical rating show "Sell" for all 4 tickers!
2- Analyst ratings show Strong buy for NIO, buy for Tesla & Rivian, and Neutral for Lucid.
It seems this new feature "Analyst Rating" completely indicates the opposite direction..!?!?
Questions:
1-Who is/are the analyst(s)?
2-Why their opinion is so different from numbers and indicators/Oscillators?
3- What are the metrics these analysts use???
4- How should users interpret these contradictory ratings?
5- Do contradictory make trading easier???
As a user who use this platform for more than a decade, I think this is not good to add non-quantitative ratings to a platform that should move toward quantifiable trading/investing models..!
Why?
Because in the past decade Quantitative funds beat the performance of the market, hedge funds, and asset managers..!
Conclusions:
1- Indicator ratings are closer to the reality of the performance of the underlying assets because they are not emotional..!
2- Analyst ratings is far far far away from markets reality
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NIO LongAnalysis done on 30 minute and daily candles. Electric vehicle shares rallied today with NIO being one of the leading performers after their announcement to have a second listing on the Hong Kong Exchange. This is good news for investors because means the company will be able to bring in more capital from a new pool of investors. 2021 was a very tough year for NIO and Chinese stocks in general, the stock was trading at a high of nearly 70.00 at one point, but the rising fears of Chinese delistings and overall market correction has brought down its market value. Looking at the short term, today's rally brought NIO's daily candle up to the 10 day MA line on the daily, but wasn't able to breakout above it. Going into the rest of this week, your best case scenario is NIO gaps above that MA line and continues its rally. That would involve NIO breaking above the 23.15 resistance, which it would then have a price target of 24.50-25.00. If NIO fails to move above its moving averages then it can decline to test the 21.00 support. If it breaks below then it can see 20.00.
NIO Inc (NYSE: $NIO) Announces Listing In Hong Kong! 🌏NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China. The company offers five, six, and seven-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. It is also involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; marketing, design, and technology development activities; manufacture of e-powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after sales management activities. In addition, the company offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery swapping service; Public Charger, a public fast charging solution; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for Power valet service, where it offers vehicle pick up, charging, and return services. Further, it provides repair, maintenance, and bodywork services through its NIO service centers and authorized third-party service centers; statutory and third-party liability insurance, and vehicle damage insurance through third-party insurers; courtesy car services; and roadside assistance, as well as data packages; and auto financing services. Additionally, the company offers NIO Certified, a used vehicle inspection, evaluation, acquisition, and sales service. NIO Inc. has a strategic collaboration with Mobileye N.V. for the development of automated and autonomous vehicles for consumer markets. The company was formerly known as NextEV Inc. and changed its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017. NIO Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
NIO is going to hurt youThis is one of the most bearish signs you can see and it's so easy to spot that lots of people choose to ignore it.
Nio is very likely going to come down in the range of 10 to 15 dollars. Since this has the same sentiment as a meme stock i won't try to trade it short.
It's more a warning for bullish people that they could get rekt big time. Especially when trading with leverage.
NIO - Not too optimistic on this one!-NIO declined for a few valid reasons. Namely, the fundamentals behind the stock aren’t as pretty as you might think and its valuation is too extreme.
-Now the logical question to ask is whether its current, lower price makes NIO stock a buy.
-Technical analysis may show that the stock is now oversold. This does not mean that in mid $20s the stock is a bargain. Do not confuse value with price.
-In the third quarter of 2021, NIO reported an increase in vehicle sales of 102.4% from Q3 2020 and 9.2% from Q2 2021. Total revenues of $1.52 billion showed an increase of 116.6% from the third quarter of 2020 and an increase of 16.1% from the second quarter of 2021. The gross margin was 20.3%, compared with 12.9% in Q3 2020 and 18.6% in Q2 2021. All of this is positive news.
-So what are the red flags from the Q3 2021 earnings report that most investors are overlooking?
First, the vehicle margin was 18%. In Q3 2020 it was 14.5% and in Q2 2021 this figure was 20.3%. According to NIO, “ ehicle margin is the margin of new vehicle sales, which is calculated based on revenues and cost of sales derived from new vehicle sales only.”
-Margin declined on a quarterly basis and should be monitored closely over the next quarters as NIO has plans to increase its manufacturing capacity, start delivering the luxury ET7 model next month and its midsize ET5 sedan in September.
-Profitability continues to be a riddle hard to solve for NIO. In fact, the firm reported a net loss of $443.7 million in Q3 2021. That’s a 140.7% jump from Q3 2020 and a 333.6% leap from the results reported in Q2 2021.
-Its operations losses added up to $153.9 million in Q3 2021 — a 4.9% increase from Q3 2020 and 29.9% increase from Q2 2021.
-Meanwhile, the cost of sales in the third quarter of 2021 increased 98.3% from Q3 2020 and 13.6% from Q2 2021. These details gain further meaning if you consider this comment by NIO itself: “The increase in cost of sales over the third quarter of 2020 and the second quarter of 2021 was in line with revenue growth, which was mainly driven by the increase of vehicle delivery volume in the third quarter of 2021.”
OUR TARGET PRICE:
$19-$20
NIO - How can you not be bullishNIO is currently in an ascending triangle formation sitting at resistance. Its creating higher lows and struggling to break resistance at $24.67...The break out will occur tomorrow, if not it will break down. The upside is great.
Target #1 - $25.95
Target #2 - $27.30 (Gap fill resistance)
Risk level depending on how much breathing room you like $23.09(black lines) Anything below that and you know its gone beyond any point of return. Tighter if you see fit. Good Luck tomorrow.
XPEV the real Tesla of ChinaXPeng is beating Nio and Li deliveries.
Xpeng 12,922 deliveries in January Market Cap 29.562B
Nio 9,652 vehicles in January Market Cap 36.79B
Li 12,268 Li ONEs Market Cap 27.712B
They have cheaper cars and Ark invest keeps buying XPEV stock constantly.
In the chart, the price bounced from the strong support of 31.5 and is heading to the $41 resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Nio to Drive Lower? NIO - Short Term - We look to Sell at 27.16 (stop at 29.98)
We look to sell rallies. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 28.00. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 28.26 from 33.80 to 19.31. 20 1day EMA is at 26.50. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 27.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 19.36 and 16.80
Resistance: 28.00 / 34.00 / 45.00
Support: 20.00 / 15.00 / 10.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Nio Analysis 02.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Short $NIO $29.30Short $NIO $29.30. Falling channel. Downtrend will continue in my opinion. Price was rejected at 200 SMA early December 2021. Made lower lows since then. Recently Tried to break above $34 area but failed to maintain the momentum. Soon will test $27 area for support. Any further sell off in this name, going to push the price down my short target of $22 area.