NIO
My top 3 China Stocks If you have been following me, you would know that I love China and its stocks.
Below are 3 of my top 3 China stocks that have given me triple digit returns todate :
1. NIO : 476% ROI
2. Meituan Dianpin :158% ROI
3 . Xiaomi : 170% ROI
Here's one of my favourite quotes from Peter Lynch :
I think the secret is if you have a lot of stocks, some will do mediocre, some will do okay, and if one or two of them go up big time, you produce a fabulous result.
I have highlighted the importance of self-motivation in this lonely game of trading/investing.
I play back these charts every once in a while when I too got setbacks (like 2-3 consecutive forex losses) or not in the mood to do research, etc. We are like a gardener and constantly need to prune the plants to avoid overgrowing , keep it in shape, and if those that are already damaged or rotted, we have to remove them immediately else the damage will spread to the healthy ones. We constantly look for complementary or new varieties to add on to our garden, to make it even more beautiful. The important thing is not to overly focused on getting new ones (buying new shares) and neglected the existing ones.....
Just like a garden, not all will blossom, you have to ensure it gets the right amount of light, water, soil type, fertiliser, etc. Maybe, you got it to blossom once, but the next time it died. Are you going to follow through and try again (ie. go back to the chart and trade/invest once more?) or you forget about it and go hunt for the next beauty ?
There is no right or wrong strategy, just what suits you better. Everyone have a different idea how they want their garden to look like at the end of the day.
NIO : Correction is happening. NIO uptrend reach our first checkpoint 42$ mark and now it doing some correction around 38$-44$ mark. After finishing this correction it complete its uptrend towards over second checkpoint 47$ mark.
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Nio Analysis 24.11.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
JD - ARC ENDING - UP OR DOWN?All,
JD looks like it's going to make a pretty sizeable move here. My honest guess is the downside. With that said I don't think they are a bad company by any means. Decent earnings etc. I just don't see the traffic/high level interest to really keep the momentum up. That being said I always plot both theories up and down so of course do your own DD. Like most of these plays I would do 1:1 puts/calls and drop the other when you have conformation.
APPLE - AAPL - CAN APPLE GET THE PARABOLIC STEP? OR RETRACE DOWNAll,
I think Apple has a chance here to actually breakout big to the upside it needs to keep this new trend line a form some tight higher lows. There is quite a bit of darkpool / options activity on Apple and lots of hedges going on. I can see why. If it holds up here and gets a tight few higher lows over next 2 weeks it would probably hit $200. Flipside if it loses this new trend and market turns down it could see pretty significant retrace out the bottom.
Watch for:
-market (always first)
-any positive/negative Apple news
-give it a little time this is a weekly chart set some alerts
-if you wanted take a straddle or 1:1 ratio short mid range split see if you can hit a small profit on a hedge
Nio~nio looks to be in the midst of completing this very long phase of consolidation \ accumulation.
currently above ichimoku cloud and poised for a breakout.
i've counted it as an abcde \ triangle for the primary wave 4.
if it breaks out of this triangle, catch the bullish retest of it, and let it ride.
upside target is hard to calculate for something that went this parabolic, but i'd give it $100+ at the minimum.
----
update to:
PYPL- SPEED FAN BOUNCE - TRADE OF THE YEAR- BE PATIENTAll,
This is almost too perfect. Weekly everything lining up. WATCH THE SPEED FAN BOUNCE AT BOTTOM.
This Speed fan bounce and trend line bounce is going to be EPIC. This is a $200-$210 PT. Then bounce down on speed fan down to 190s 180s again then it should break 220+. How you want to play that is up to you I am aiming for 200-210 the second it gets 185-180. Risk I am willing to take. I see this as easily 200%+ considering IV is in the shi**er. Probably long term 400-600% assuming market doesnt tank or something news related.
Fib trend bounce here
Fib retracement here
Stoch RSI literally dead at 0
reg RSI sub 20 WEEKLY holy hell
long term trend line underneath $180
NIO: The No Longer TSLA Sympathy PlayCan't put my finger on NIO. Money that last year would've gone to it as a sympahty TSLA play have move to Rivian and Lucid. I loved this name and felt like $55 was happening. I took some off at a 15% loss as I don't like it unless it gets through $40 and $44 ultimately.
CRAZY Swing trade on DIDIA falling flag could be forming, at the same time as a cup with a handle, if we wait for the resistance to break, the height (h) of the cup could be projected, it is a graphic representation only.
Pray and trade
Long | NIO | Intraday | 11/2/2021NYSE:NIO
Possible Scenario: LONG
Evidence: Price Action
Entry point: buy order : 40.35$
TP1: 41.5$
TP2: 42.5$
TP3: 44.5$
Call options, Strike 41$, 11/05/2021
Call options, Strike 42$, 11/05/2021 500 Contract at 44$ cost is 25k and profit is 100k,
Call options, Strike 43$, 11/05/2021
*This is my idea and could be wrong 100%
NIO Inc has a nice cup and handle setup forming on the 6HBack in mid Oct I was able to nail that reversal break. I jumped and grabbed some NIO myself at that time. For those who don't know NIO (stock) is a Chinese car manufacturer also known to be called 'The Tesla of China'. It for sure is one to watch. It would appear now on the 6H NIO has formed a nice looking cup of a cup and handle patter. I have the projection area marked as to what I would like to see from the handle part of the pattern. Trying to find a good candle confirmation to get in... but I might have to wait on Monday.. havnt decided yet.. Anyway, be sure to keep an eye on this one. Big things in the long term.
DIPS YOU HAVE TO WATCH - DKNG/PYPL/UPST/BIDU/NIO/ROKU/FIGSAll,
BE PATIENT. Let the market do it's thing and get conformation. There is ALOT of money to be made here if you are patient with call options. I see ROKU/PYPL as immediate buys once market turns around. UPST as well but not tons of support.
FIGS id watch every 30m this one is positive ER really undervalued here on serious support basically a wedge. I like FIGS if it holds or breaks below id watch that even more. FIGS whenever it fully stops I will probably take.
Tesla, NIO, More EV Charging Ecosystems To Fully Enmesh in ChinaBy October 2021, members of the China EV Charging Infrastructure Promotion Alliance have built 1.06 million public charging piles.
Tesla landed its 1,000th charging station in China's mainland on November 1 in Shenzhen. In the meantime, NIO erected its 600th swap station. The two EV innovators have chosen different ways of providing charging services. Tesla rejected swap stations for high costs before NIO vindicated them. The latter's idea is to make it a part of the multi-layer charger system, which the NEV industry is hammering hard to build, based on different speeds. Moreover, this market has been designing faster solutions. The great leap of NEV facilities has caused low asset utilization that will likely stimulate charging networks to be open to each other.
A structural revolution
China's EV charging facilities are experiencing a structural revolution. In the early stage of mobility shifting to NEV, companies must roll out home charge suites to persuade consumers to buy EVs. But the speed can’t satisfy consumers that use cars frequently. Thus, many companies build their multi-layer charging networks, including fast direct current (DC) charges. The most typical companies that have two layers of charging networks include XPeng, Li Auto and BYD. They give consumers free seven kilowatts for home charging piles and supercharging stations that support 120 to 180 kW charging. But investing in DC infrastructure is costly, which stops some companies being able to afford hyper-charging stations. Instead, they leverage this service through third-party charging specialists such as TELD or Starcharge. Nowadays, buying cars from nascent brands like VOYAH, GAC Aion, or Weltmeister means one is free to use their networks.
More subtly, Tesla gives clients an additional solution destination charging stations that offer low-speed charging (22 kW) in places like hotels.
Among complicated charging network designers, NIO is an epitome. Apart from three ways of charging, it offers 20 kW home charging piles for selections and swap battery services. The inception of swapping batteries starts with the separation of vehicle and battery whereby consumers don't need to pay battery cost in front. The station can store a dozen batteries and finish the swapping process in five minutes.
Except for NIO, a few brands are also building swap stations. BAIC's fourth-generation swap station can reserve 60 batteries and swap faster than NIO's. Geely's future electric truck will support battery swap as well. Not only OEMs, but the government also supports and unifies the development of the swap station industry. As part of the big scheme of shifting to EV, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China has pushed several cities to test swap stations for future deployment.
A long way to go
Although the swap stations have accelerated the process of replenishing energy, they also face many problems. A critical one is that the sector lacks non-standard batteries that enable cars to switch the battery in stations of other brands.
Swapping stations place huge capital pressure on OEMs. For instance, building a swap station costs USD 300,000 compared with USD 100,000 for a hyper-charge station. According to Orient Securities' estimation, in China, the sector needs to invest over USD 2 billion in 2022 to build enough swap stations. The figure is projected to reach USD 11 billion by 2025.
Besides, OEMs are developing ultra-fast charging solutions. Tesla is said to be preparing to upgrade the current supercharging network to 300 kW. Xpeng has disclosed (link in Chinese) an 800-volt platform.
The fast-evolving industry is facing some problems. Low asset utilization is a critical one. China's EV industry started ten years before, and supported facilities emerged at the same time. According to the investigation published on d1ev.com (link in Chinese), a specialized auto portal focusing on the Chinese market, some charging facilities located in the suburb are badly maintained, charge high parking fees, which made them vacant most time. Although NEVs got popular in recent years, this problem still exists.
The openness of various chargers can be improved. According to CAAM (link in Chinese), the utilization rate of charging piles is 3% to 5% and 10% is the threshold for the industry to profit. Unharmonized infrastructure is intensifying the issue. Charging stations of various brands do support other brand cars to plug in. But this isn't always the case. For example, Tesla V3 charging isn't accessible for NIO, XPeng cars, which these two are compatible with each other. As these NEV companies build more charging stations, vacant piles appear and NEV players must collaborate to increase utilization. Therefore, it's very likely for them to open charging facilities to each other fully.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
Keysight Selected by NIO to Verify Connectivity in EV'sKeys has had a great run throughout the last 12 months but has been pulling back down to its previous support / resistance area where it will be interesting to see if it bounces or continues down.
I did spot that in todays news, NIO has announced that they will be using KEYS to help test various connectivity functions within their Electric Vehicles. NIO is a pretty pumped stock so I wonder if there will be any flow on affect across to KEYS when the news spreads wider.
One to watch.
12 month view
NIO : Correction.NIO uptrend reach our first checkpoint 42$ mark and now we can aspect a correction can happen around 42$-45$ mark. If it keep moving like this then we can aspect NIO to reach trendline 47$mark and then do any correction.
Previous Analysis.
If you agree then like idea and support me.
Mention your ideas in comment :)