$NIO #NIO NIO Nio Day 2021 To Be Held Dec. 18 #NioDay #WYCKOFF NIO announced on October 18 that NIO Day 2021 will be held on December 18 this year at the Olympic Sports Center in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province, a city located about 100 kilometers west of Shanghai. NIO is expected to unveil models including one called the ET5 at that time, as well as another unknown model.
NIO
Trading XPEV amid FUD/uncertainty with hedge against its peers.Currently there is a lot of FUD about delisting for all Chinese listed stock. While I like the long-term growth potential of XPEV, I'd also like to hedge against recent market volatility. One strategy is to long XPEV while short one of its Chinese EV peers. I choose NIO in the chart based on its worse performance on price action and various other factors but you can also consider LI, depending on your view on either company.
Reasoning: Any potential sellout in one Chinese EV due to FUD will most likely affect them all, but looking at price XPEV has out-performed among its 2 other peers:
YTD (45% vs Nio):
6m (>40% vs Nio):
3m (30% vs Nio):
even 5 days chart it has recovered faster by 10% after recent sellout.
Furthermore 2 other analysis
1) Position cost distribution from last session (available on other trading platform)
- Nio Avg cost is $39.17 and closing is $32.15 (this means ~90% distribution cost is above current close)!
- Xpev Avg cost is $44.41 and closing is $43.8 so there is much more room for upside potential.
2) Estimated share price held by institution (e.g. available Info from fintel.io with paid subscription) shows that price paid by NIO is much lower; therefore institutions have a much lower price point for profit!
- Nio lowest est. price point is given as <$10 for over 100 millions of share held by various institutions!
- Xpev lowest est price point is given as at least $19.55 (even for Alibaba), hence institutions paid relatively much more and almost retail-ish price.
Anyway with this info, you can trade XPEV against NIO and adjust your overall strategy as long/neutral/short based on your ratio of XPEV long/NIO short.
NIO LONGS 📈📈📈Expect LONG on NIO on long-term perspective, from a HTF point of view price is squeezing right now into a bullish triangle that should be broken to the upside way above 40.00 level. For a better long opportunity wait for the price to consolidate above psychological area 40.000 bullish confirmations and go LONG.
What do you think ? Comment below..
Nio Analysis 01.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NIO : Gap is filling.NIO uptrend reach our first checkpoint 42$ mark and now it doing some correction around 38$-44$ mark. And filling the gap after that it complete its uptrend towards over second checkpoint 47$ mark.
Previous Analysis.
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ALF - DEMAND ZONE - PIVOT ON FADE - LOW FLOAT - BANGERAll,
ALF I think is going to pop huge pretty soon we all know how wild she is when she gets going. This is now a waiting game. I have about 5 alerts set on ALF 2 or 3 below 1 slight above if it moves up and a volume alert. I think extremely soon we see ALF rip again. Make sure to actually watch this one. Actually decent company/future.
Keep in mind how long this stock has been on the market as well. Looks like some garbage downtrend stock, but in reality it hasn't been on the market long enough to even make that true. This could easily be a blimp on the radar. So always keep time on market in the back of your head.
DKNG - HIGHER WATCHLIST THAN ANY OTHER STOCK HERE All,
Put DKNG top of everything on your watchlist. HUGE demand area down here first long term retest. Confluence support trends downard that have popped 20-50%. I HIGHLY suggest watching DKNG over almost any stock in the next few weeks. I think DKNG once it bottoms here 3-6mo out will get you 200-300%. Just be patient or scale in in 30-32 range. Watch for options activity + big candles (hedges,insiders,tutes) buying in. I promise DKNG will return, sports will NOT stop due to COVID. Even Biden clearly said shutdown is not happening.
NIO - BIG MOVE INCOMING - DIAMOND (MIDDLE?) LOLAll,
Definitely forming a dimaond on daily, usually very large moves out of diamonds sort of a weird spot here you could argue short term diamond top or mid term diaomond bottom. Either way I think this moves big up or down keep close eye on it closer to next week, maybe sooner.
My top 3 China Stocks If you have been following me, you would know that I love China and its stocks.
Below are 3 of my top 3 China stocks that have given me triple digit returns todate :
1. NIO : 476% ROI
2. Meituan Dianpin :158% ROI
3 . Xiaomi : 170% ROI
Here's one of my favourite quotes from Peter Lynch :
I think the secret is if you have a lot of stocks, some will do mediocre, some will do okay, and if one or two of them go up big time, you produce a fabulous result.
I have highlighted the importance of self-motivation in this lonely game of trading/investing.
I play back these charts every once in a while when I too got setbacks (like 2-3 consecutive forex losses) or not in the mood to do research, etc. We are like a gardener and constantly need to prune the plants to avoid overgrowing , keep it in shape, and if those that are already damaged or rotted, we have to remove them immediately else the damage will spread to the healthy ones. We constantly look for complementary or new varieties to add on to our garden, to make it even more beautiful. The important thing is not to overly focused on getting new ones (buying new shares) and neglected the existing ones.....
Just like a garden, not all will blossom, you have to ensure it gets the right amount of light, water, soil type, fertiliser, etc. Maybe, you got it to blossom once, but the next time it died. Are you going to follow through and try again (ie. go back to the chart and trade/invest once more?) or you forget about it and go hunt for the next beauty ?
There is no right or wrong strategy, just what suits you better. Everyone have a different idea how they want their garden to look like at the end of the day.
NIO : Correction is happening. NIO uptrend reach our first checkpoint 42$ mark and now it doing some correction around 38$-44$ mark. After finishing this correction it complete its uptrend towards over second checkpoint 47$ mark.
Previous Analysis.
If you agree then like idea and support me.
Mention your ideas in comment :)
Nio Analysis 24.11.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
JD - ARC ENDING - UP OR DOWN?All,
JD looks like it's going to make a pretty sizeable move here. My honest guess is the downside. With that said I don't think they are a bad company by any means. Decent earnings etc. I just don't see the traffic/high level interest to really keep the momentum up. That being said I always plot both theories up and down so of course do your own DD. Like most of these plays I would do 1:1 puts/calls and drop the other when you have conformation.
APPLE - AAPL - CAN APPLE GET THE PARABOLIC STEP? OR RETRACE DOWNAll,
I think Apple has a chance here to actually breakout big to the upside it needs to keep this new trend line a form some tight higher lows. There is quite a bit of darkpool / options activity on Apple and lots of hedges going on. I can see why. If it holds up here and gets a tight few higher lows over next 2 weeks it would probably hit $200. Flipside if it loses this new trend and market turns down it could see pretty significant retrace out the bottom.
Watch for:
-market (always first)
-any positive/negative Apple news
-give it a little time this is a weekly chart set some alerts
-if you wanted take a straddle or 1:1 ratio short mid range split see if you can hit a small profit on a hedge
Nio~nio looks to be in the midst of completing this very long phase of consolidation \ accumulation.
currently above ichimoku cloud and poised for a breakout.
i've counted it as an abcde \ triangle for the primary wave 4.
if it breaks out of this triangle, catch the bullish retest of it, and let it ride.
upside target is hard to calculate for something that went this parabolic, but i'd give it $100+ at the minimum.
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update to: