NIO
NIO ? Are traders ready to love it again LONGNIO on the daily is 95% below its ATH Winter of 2021 and 50% lower YTD. In China NIO is
competing well with XPEV, LI , BYD and TSLA while it makes further penetrative into the
EU market. Its unique concept in action is battery leasing and battery swapping making
charging time no longer relevant. Apparently, the battery swapping time from a depleted
battery to one carrying a charge is 15-20 minutes. Being a bottom-seeking bargain hunter quite
often, I will take a long trade here with a planned duration of two earnings periods.
NIO (NIO): High Risk, High Reward - do-or-die!NIO, a stock we've previously analyzed and profited from, remains highly volatile and is currently trending downwards. From its all-time high of approximately $67, it has plummeted to $5.21. This drastic decline occurred over just a bit more than three years, which is relatively short in the stock market.
Several factors contribute to this volatility. Firstly, the automotive sector is inherently volatile. Additionally, the electric vehicle (EV) segment has faced political challenges over the past few years. NIO, being a Chinese company, has also been affected by EU subsidies for electric vehicles, adding to the stock's difficulties.
Despite these challenges, we consider NIO a compelling investment from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Currently, NIO is holding the High-Volume-Node Point-of-Control on the New York Stock Exchange, suggesting that a bottom may be forming. This level is critical to watch as it could indicate potential stabilization and a reversal point for the stock.
Short-Term Analysis
Examining the 4-hour chart for NIO, we observe a low-volume node between $6.32 and $7. Whenever the price entered this zone, it quickly moved through it, indicating the nearest possible resistance levels. Thus, the levels of $6.32 and $7.04 are particularly interesting.
Around $4.12, the Point-of-Control on the 3-day chart holds, but we could see a further decline towards the $3 mark. We are considering multiple entry points, employing a dollar-cost averaging strategy down towards the all-time low of $1.19.
Strategy
For NIO, this seems like a do-or-die situation. The potential upside is significant, with gains of nearly 400% if the price moves from $3 to Wave 4. We plan to place multiple entries and dollar-cost average downwards.
However, if the price falls below $1.20, it would become unsustainable for NIO. While the potential upside is vast, it's important to recognize the risk of the stock continuing to decline towards zero.
Given the current volatility, we find an entry before $3 too risky and volatile, so we are holding off on investment until the price stabilizes at more attractive levels.
NIO 8 AFTER EARNINGS !! NYSE:NIO
Record Delivery Expectations: NIO shares soared over 9%, hitting $5.40 on record delivery expectations. Analysts foresee surpassing last year's high due to discounts. This indicates a positive market response to NIO's potential performance, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Market Sentiment: The market's response to NIO's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if NIO continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $8.
Strong Quarterly Earnings: NIO has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price rising after reporting strong earnings. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for NIO, with some predicting a potential rise to $8. These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Industry Outlook: The electric vehicle industry is expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for sustainable transportation solutions. As a leading player in this space, NIO is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Innovative Product Line: NIO is poised to add two sedans to its offerings this year. This expansion of its product line could drive sales and revenue growth, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
NIO Shares Surged Over 9% on Sales Growth ExpectationsNIO Shares Surged Over 9% on Sales Growth Expectations
As evidenced by the NIO stock price chart, yesterday's trading closed at $4.93, while today the NIO share price is around $5.40, indicating an increase of over 9%.
According to MarketWatch, the rise is driven by expectations that the Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer's deliveries are likely to reach record levels.
The existing record was set in July last year when the company achieved monthly sales of 20,462 cars. However, analysts believe this result could be surpassed in May this year due to ongoing discounts on new cars and batteries.
The daily chart of NIO shares today shows that the price is in a long-term downtrend (indicated by the red trend channel) due to the global decline in demand for electric vehicles.
However, there are fundamental reasons to expect that the downward trend will be broken:
→ China is intensifying its efforts to develop electric vehicles – the State Council has presented an action plan for decarbonisation.
→ This month, the International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2024 from 4.6% to 5%.
Technical analysis of the NIO stock chart shows that:
→ The price is in a downtrend and below the median line, which can be expected to provide resistance.
→ Resistance may also be encountered at the $7 per share level, which acted as support at the end of 2023.
→ The $4.77 level has changed its role several times but has provided support over the past 10 days, giving the bulls a foothold.
→ The minimum C is at the 50% level of the A→B impulse, which is a sign of a bull market.
On June 6, NIO will present its report for the first quarter of 2024. If the report is strong, it could give the bulls more confidence and lead to attempts to reverse the long-term downtrend.
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$RIVN 15 DOLLARS AFTER EARNINGS ? NASDAQ:RIVN 15 DOLLARS AFTER EARNINGS ?
Rivian Automotive has confirmed that its next quarterly earnings report will be published on Tuesday, May 7th, 20241.
The earnings conference call is scheduled for 5:00 PM Eastern on the same day1.
Stock Price Movement:
As of now, Rivian’s stock price stands at $9.21 per share1.
The stock has been volatile, and investors are closely watching its performance.
Market Expectations
While Rivian has faced challenges, including supply chain disruptions and production delays, the market remains optimistic about its long-term prospects. The company’s plans to expand its fast-charging network and its innovative electric truck and SUV models have garnered attention.
Keep an eye on Rivian’s stock price after the earnings report. If the company delivers positive surprises, we might see movement toward your mentioned target of $15 per share. However, stock prices are influenced by various factors, so it’s essential to stay informed.
NIO, doing LAST CALL for buyers at the current DISCOUNT PRICE!NIO is registering significant accumulation at the current price level. Net buy volume has increased significantly this past few days -- hinting of an incoming upside reversal.
Higher lows creation on weekly data histogram has been created -- suggesting the current price point to be the last baseline before the coming series of ascend.
The stock is currently hovering below the 78.6 FIB LEVEL -- a major order block where buyers converge. This is a discount area.
Another key note: WEEKLY DOWNTREND LINE BREAK has materialized. HUGE HINT.
Spotted at 7.00
TAYOR
Safeguard capital always.
FUNDAMENTAL NEWS:
______________________________________
NIO revenue for the twelve months ending December 31, 2022 was $7.143B, a 25.97% increase year-over-year. NIO annual revenue for 2022 was $7.143B, a 25.97% increase from 2021. NIO annual revenue for 2021 was $5.671B, a 127.59% increase from 2020. NIO annual revenue for 2020 was $2.492B, a 121.68% increase from 2019.
$NIO - $3 Price Target (Weekly Chart)Bearish Channel is intact on the Weekly Chart. Heading lower in the longer time frame with a Support Zone from 3.56 to 2.37. The mean reversion of this zone puts the price target object to around $3. Bear flags have been setup for continued downside. Short on flag resistance for continue leg down. Short at break of flags.
NIO SHORT to $5.70, then $4.0 NIO - Chinese automaker
Fundamental
According to carnewschina.com in Q1 2023 year NIO sold 31,041 EVs - 2.46% only.
"Nio is currently having difficult times in China. Because of the price war, its sales declined, resulting in a noticeable revenue decrease. So, Nio was forced to also join the price war by cutting the cost of every model by 30,000 yuan (4,200 USD). They are obviously in need of keeping the customers’ demand high. The newly launched ET5 Touring can help them for a short period. But station wagons don’t sell hot in China. So, Nio has to push its international deliveries to start as soon as possible."
read NIO to hit the Europe soon. - I can't believe it. European market is not empty. Volkswagen, BMW, Tesla, Toyota, Honda, Hyundai and many others sell a lot right now. Top EU Electric Cars
I watched a lot of presentations, reviews. Nio EV's are really good. But the prices..
Y/Y
Gross Margin % 7.73
Operating Margin % -37.06
Net Margin % -35.01
Income -2463.40M
Sales 7.03B
Cash is melting, debt is growing.
Technical
NIO's chart goes down in the channel.
Just now price is
- near the top level of downtrend channel - Resistance $10.5
- RSI 23 is 63% (bounced from 70%). Always when RSI is on this level the price falls 30% min.
- next strong support level is $5.70
Conclusion
NIO chart is going down in the channel.
Buy for $5.70, then $4.0 and keep for 2-3 years.
$NIO - BEAR FLAG has broken - 1st PT is $3Have you shorted yet? Did you sell before the flag breakdown? As I have been discussed in my previous chart, there are bearish flags setting up. 1st target is around $3. Remember length of the flag pole = Measured downside. Continue to sell on strength with more downside profit
Nio: Home Stretch 🏁Nio is now trading around the level of March 5. According to our primary expectation, the share is likely to fall below this level once again before the magenta-colored wave (C) and thus the superordinate beige-colored wave II comes to an end. Only when this low has been established should the stock return to a sustainable upward structure. Initially, the blue wave (i) should ensure a rise above the resistance at $7.02.
China's NIO & CATL Collaborates to Create Longer Life BatteriesIn a strategic move to drive innovation and lower the overall costs of electric vehicles (EVs), Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) has partnered with battery giant CATL to develop longer-lasting batteries. This collaboration aims to address the critical challenge of extending the lifespan of EV batteries, ultimately enhancing the affordability and sustainability of Nio's electric fleet.
Pioneering Battery Technology for Enhanced Efficiency:
Nio's founder and CEO, William Li, emphasized the significance of addressing the longevity of EV batteries, highlighting it as a critical issue facing the entire industry. By leveraging the expertise and resources of both companies, Nio and CATL are poised to pioneer advancements in battery technology that will significantly impact the "full life cycle" costs of EVs. This collaborative effort underscores a shared commitment to driving innovation and sustainability in the automotive sector.
Extending Battery Lifespan and Lowering Operating Costs:
With warranties typically covering EV batteries for eight years, Nio recognizes the urgency of extending battery lifespan to maximize the value for customers. By extending the lifespan of swappable batteries and reducing monthly rental fees, Nio aims to lower the overall costs of EV ownership, making electric vehicles more accessible to a broader range of consumers. This strategic approach aligns with Nio's commitment to delivering exceptional value and driving widespread adoption of sustainable transportation solutions.
Investing in Core Technologies and Infrastructure:
Despite external investments and strategic partnerships, Nio remains dedicated to investing in developing core technologies such as batteries. The company's focus on commercializing advanced battery technologies, including semi-solid-state batteries with a range of up to 1,000 km, underscores its commitment to innovation and leadership in the EV market. Additionally, Nio's investment in infrastructure for battery charging and swapping reflects its commitment to providing convenient and efficient charging solutions for EV drivers.
Driving Towards a Sustainable Future:
As Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) continues to expand its footprint in the electric vehicle market, the company remains committed to driving sustainable transportation solutions. With plans to unveil its second brand, Ledao, Nio aims to target a wider range of consumers and further solidify its position as a leader in the EV industry. By forging strategic partnerships, investing in innovative technologies, and prioritizing sustainability, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) is poised to drive the future of electric mobility and contribute to a cleaner, greener future for generations to come.
NIO STOCK TO 10 BUCKS REASONS !!Strong Fundamentals
NIO has been consistently improving its fundamentals. The company’s vehicle deliveries have been growing quarter over quarter, demonstrating strong demand for its EVs. NIO’s battery-as-a-service (BaaS) model is also a game-changer, providing a competitive edge over other EV manufacturers.
Innovative Partnerships
NIO’s recent partnership with CATL to produce EV batteries that can last up to 15 years is another bullish indicator. This collaboration could lead to significant cost savings for NIO and its customers, potentially boosting NIO’s market share in the EV space.
Expanding Market
The EV market in China, the largest auto market globally, is expanding rapidly. The Chinese government’s push for green energy and the growing consumer awareness about environmental sustainability are driving this growth. As a domestic player, NIO is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend.
NIO (NIO): Downward Journey and the Glimmer of Long-Term HopeNIO (NIO): NYSE:NIO
NIO has recently slipped below the $7 mark, signaling a possible continuation of its significant downward trajectory. After peaking at $66.99, NIO has been on a prolonged decline that shows no immediate signs of concluding. While the descent is expected to persist, it's critical that the price stays above the $1.19 threshold to maintain a bullish outlook for NIO's future, preventing a drastic plummet towards zero—a scenario that seems less likely given the limited downside left.
Within this framework, we're observing the development of Wave (C) emerging from Wave (B), structured as a five-wave decline aiming lower. Notably, Wave 3 touched the 161.8% extension at $8.84, succeeded by Wave 4. We're now bracing for Wave 5, which might approach the $2.13 support zone.
Setting a broad stop-loss might seem risky, yet the potential for an upward surge is compelling. If NIO is indeed navigating through an overarching Wave II, poised for a multi-year rebound, it could dramatically exceed its all-time high of $67, hinting at an increase well over 3000%. This optimistic projection aligns with a possible long-term bullish trend following the current decline.
Currently, it's too early to pinpoint exact entry points, given the substantial risk of further drops. Attempting to do so now would be akin to catching a falling knife without adequate support nearby. Patience and vigilant monitoring are crucial at this juncture to avoid premature entries. Once signs of market stabilization or a trend reversal become apparent, we can then identify strategic entry points to capitalize on NIO's potential long-term growth. This cautious approach aims to balance risk management with the prospect of significant returns, awaiting the market's eventual recovery and NIO's ascent.
NIO's Side movements are getting close to a break Out/Down !Either we are consolidating, for Wave B then C down or this is some how could be counted as a base for Wave 3 trying to establish a ballistic move up. I have analyzed it extensively mentioning all probable bullish/Bearish out comes with statistics and probabilities. In a nut shell seasonality is favoring a bearish move Vs fundamentals, car production, that are favoring a bullish move. It looks very clear that we have completed a Macros ABC down from ATH. Now this is part, more probably, of a bullish macro move with ups/downs . Risk down is, if you are bullish, (-30%) according to probabilities Risk up if you are bearish is +200% according to probabilities.
NIO - What now after loss?NIO hit the first TP of our trade set up and then violently reversed. We had a SL at 6.99 that got triggered and we took a loss for the rest of the position.
Although we took a loss, we can see how well our levels were respected, and why a SL at 6.99 was key. As soon as we fell below 6.99 we proceeded to fall another +10%, and now we sit at 6.34.
There is no trade set up as of yet, nothing in terms of the technical analysis we preach is suggesting we might reverse. However, this is an idea:
I KNOW IT'S NOT A FORMAL HARMONIC. But the fib extensions line up perfectly and 5.8-5.6$ is a massive area of support - as shown below:
So our plan is to wait and see what we do, it is possible that we spring back above $7, if that happens we will reassess and potentially open a trade there. The more likely event is that we move around between 6-7 dollars for a bit before reaching our 5.8-5.6 pocket where we could react at the 1.618 extension and bounce to $7 which is already a 22% move and a potential entry.
Stay tuned as another opportunity will arise, but it could take a while. BABA is an identical example where we fell below 78 (our stop loss) headed to 70, then back to 78 and now at 69. We stated that we would reconsider if we spring back above 78 (failed) or reach the 60 support (on the way).
It's not been the best of markets so far but we will be ready for the next opportunity with an strong mindset.
NIO Long on Disappointing EarningsNIO's disappointing earnings were not a surprise. Given the context of China's recession, NIO
did better than many expected. TSLA is down as well. NIO is doing as well as most of its peers.
On the 120 minute chart, NIO is down 60% from the end of the year highs. The RSI indicator
confirms that NIO is in oversold undervalued territory. NIO is at the bottom of the high volume
area of the profile and has been trending down with the first lower VWAP line as resistance.
I see NIO as likely to trend up as the China economy improves and for that to be reflected
in the next earnings report. NIO's innovative battery swapping program where the car owner
buys a car without a battery and is able to swap out an energy depleted battery for a freshly
charged one in 3 minutes at any of the NIO owned battery stations as a way for NIO
to excel no matter competition from the others in China including TSLA. NIO is now selling
cars in Scandinavia which should serve as steeping stone to further expansion in Europe.
TSLA to NIO market cap comparisonOn a down market day I decided to look at the comparision of market cap between TSLA and NIO by a share price ratio basis. On the daily chart, albeit with fluctuations, TSLA is continuously gaining market cap compared with NIO. This ratio allows for a tool to help decide whether to buy TSLA or NIO.
In short, TSLA is a buy at the low pivots of the ratio, while NIO is the buy at the high pivots which is right now.
Conversely, TSLA is a sell or short at the high pivots while NIO is a sell at the low pivots.
The trade right now is sell TSLA to decrease the position and use the proceeds to buy
NIO either in bulk or in increments to average in.
NIO: The Chinese Electric Vehicle Company Taking on Tesla This is one of my favorite Leap Options positions for 2024 and let me tell you why....
In the Chinese electric vehicle market, there exists a formidable contender that stands toe-to-toe with the mighty Tesla ( Ok a bit exaggerating but you get the gist) . This company, known as NIO, has been turning heads in the industry with its innovative technology and luxurious designs.
Founded in 2014, NIO has quickly established itself as a major player in the Chinese EV market. With a focus on high-performance electric vehicles, NIO has set itself apart from the competition by offering a range of cutting-edge features, such as battery-swapping technology and a sleek, modern design aesthetic.
In terms of sales, NIO has been steadily closing the gap with Tesla in China. In 2023, NIO delivered over 120,000 vehicles, a significant increase from the previous year. This growth can be attributed to the company's expanding product line, which now includes the ES8, ES6, EC6, and ET7 models.
One of the key factors that has contributed to NIO's success is its commitment to customer service. The company has established a network of NIO Houses and NIO Spaces, which serve as exclusive clubs and showrooms for its customers. Additionally, NIO has developed a strong online community through its NIO App, which allows users to connect with one another and share their experiences.
While Tesla continues to be a dominant force in the global EV market, NIO is proving to be a worthy competitor in China. With its innovative technology, luxurious designs, and commitment to customer service, NIO is well-positioned to continue its rapid growth and challenge Tesla's position in the Chinese market.
The Technicals: NYSE:NIO reached a major support level at $5.60 enduring the bear market and we are in good position for a major upside at this discounted level. Ready set GO!