Nio's Uphill Battle: Losses Mount Amidst Intense EV CompetitionNio Inc., ( NYSE:NIO ) once hailed as a trailblazer in China's electric vehicle (EV) market, faces mounting challenges as it grapples with widening losses amidst fierce competition. Despite strong delivery numbers and revenue beats, the company's annual deficit has expanded, reflecting the intensifying battle for supremacy in the world's largest EV market.
Navigating Financial Turbulence:
Nio's ( NYSE:NIO ) latest financial report paints a sobering picture, with the company reporting a staggering annual loss of $2.9 billion in 2023. Despite posting sales that exceeded expectations, Nio's net loss widened, highlighting the uphill struggle the company faces in turning a profit amidst fierce competition and rising operational costs.
Strategic Shifts and Product Innovation:
In response to mounting losses, Nio's management has outlined a series of strategic initiatives aimed at shoring up its financial position and bolstering its competitive edge. These include prioritizing business objectives, enhancing system capabilities, and optimizing cost management. Additionally, the company is exploring the launch of a mass-market brand to broaden its product portfolio and compete more effectively with rivals like Tesla Inc.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Despite facing headwinds, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) remains optimistic about its future prospects, leveraging its technological prowess and innovative solutions to drive growth. The company's aggressive promotion of battery-swap technologies and strategic partnerships with key players in the industry underscore its commitment to staying ahead of the curve and addressing consumer concerns about range and charging times.
Investor Confidence and Market Outlook:
Nio's struggles have not gone unnoticed by investors, with the company's US-listed shares experiencing a significant decline this year. However, there are signs of resilience as the company continues to attract strategic investments and forge partnerships to support its growth initiatives. Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Nio's long-term prospects, emphasizing the importance of prudent financial management and product innovation in navigating the evolving EV landscape.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Nio's journey underscores the inherent challenges and opportunities in the rapidly evolving EV market. While the company faces significant headwinds, its commitment to innovation and strategic partnerships positions it well for future growth.
NIO
UCAR a penny China stock now at bottom 300X upside LONGUCAR, a NASDAQ penny stock and a Chinese auto dealership enterprise is experiencing a huge
relative volume spike. UCAR had a great week in very active trading.
Now priced at about 0.07 per share, my near term target is 1.58
representing a consolidation pivot on the chart.
The all time high is the is 300X upside more or less. This is a risky play. It could get delisted
although NASDAQ will give it some more quarterly reports to make a case for regulatory
compliance and stock price stability I will take a small position here given the
risk. Warren Buffet got in on the cheap with BYD over the counter, he has been massively
rewarded for his very large position. Retail traders can make good profits with undervalued
penny stocks. I think that this right now is one of them. I will use a zig zag strategy
to take profits at high pivots and add into the position at low pivots along the way.
Long NIO Super BullishNYSE:NIO one of the hottest EV stocks on the market has bottomed and looking to make an uphill clime. One of the best opportunities in the market for a leap options calls this year. Gear up for a rocket ship ride to the rise of EV in the chines markets with NIO being a competitor to TESLA!
NIO - Will Rise From Ashes 🦅Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NIO has been overall bearish, trading within the falling wedge pattern in red.
Currently, NIO is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge acting as a non-horizontal support.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone at 5.0 marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NIO is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NIO - more downside soon? Target 5.50I am following NIO with one eye, now switching to two eye. Even though NIO could have a bright future for the long run (years), I see more downside incoming.
The formed head and shoulder within the symmetrical triangle broke to the downside (breaking also the triangle), and as expected retested the HOS neckline (and the triangle). As expected, it got rejected, also bumping into the 200 SMA (4hr)with a huge rejection, confirming it is still in a strong bear-trend now. We are also way below on the 200day SMA, and also the 200week SMA.
On the weekly, we are loosing momentum, but some upside is expected on the short-term.
I assume (but price actions will tell), this short term uptrend will help to finish the smaller formation on the new Head and Shoulders, which I highlighted with paintbrush in white.
Currently, we are in the consolidation zone, chances are, we are going up a bit to create the top of the right sholder with the target of 9.40-9.60, then going back down to the consolidation zone.
Also, there is a possibility we have a very shallow right shoulder almost formed already, going down directly, I will wait for confirmation.
We are also below the 9day&15 day MA, and also below the 21day EMA. All theese will possibly be huge resistance.
Very short-term : uptrend target - ~9.40
Short-term: downtrend target: ~8.80
Low Mid-term: downtrend target: ~8.00-7.70
High Mid-term: downtrend target: ~7.10
Long-term: downtrend target: ~5.50
NIO - A Hidden Opportunity? NIO - NYSE:NIO
I have a feeling this will be an unpopular recommendation but the chart is telling there is an opportunity at hand to take a low risk trade.
▫️ NIO is 90% down from $66 ATH
▫️ MAX China FUD (contrarian senses tingling)
▫️ TA allows risk adjusted entry
The Chart
✅ RSI Bullish Divergence
⌛️ Potential green weekly reversal candle now
⌛️ Pending breakout from OBV pennant (coiling)
⌛️ Break above 200 Day (pending)
The chart has a similar pattern to the 2019-2021. Confirmation of the upward trend in 2019 was a break above the 200 day SMA and finding support on it (green circle), this also coincided with a break out of the coiling OBV in 2019 (green circle). These two signals are very useful as at present we are coiling within the OBV in similar fashion. A break out above the OBV resistance line in 2024 could infer the beginning of an upward move 👀
There may be a positive divergence in play here also which helps the bullish argument.
DOWNSIDE PROTECTION
If the OBV breaks to the downside losing the underside diagonal support, we exit the trade. We could watch for a loss of the lower RSI resistance line also but will likely occur in sync.
THE IDEAL ENTRY
Ultimately the best entry would once price finds support on the 200 day SMA. At present that's a close above c.$8.20. Worth noting that $8.20 is just above the Point of Control - the most traded price level in volume terms.
WHY ENTER NOW?
An initial small position can be placed now as we have had a 90% decline from ATH (a 90% discount for a long term investment isn't bad). We also have a positive RSI divergence and we have the OBV and RSI lower support levels to watch to exit to protect ourselves from the downside.
In the event we move higher, break out of OBV coil ,we can then add to the position, and if we break above the 200 MA and find support on it, we can add again. This allows for a low risk initial entry and as the trade moves in our favor we can add to the position as the conviction builds. We will either be quickly stopped out and lose very little or get in early entry with a 90% discount and get to play this long term investment position nicely.
Position size is key here folks, that first position is an amount your don't really care about as we do not have any confirmation of a trend change yet. This is early doors.
PUKA
LI AUTO TP 35 BEFORE EARNINGS Li Auto, a China-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has been receiving positive attention from investors and analysts. Here are some reasons why:
Ambitious Goals: Li Auto’s management has set an ambitious vehicle-delivery goal1. They aim to sell at least 400,000 units of the Li L7, Li L8, and Li L9 in 20241, which would exceed their total of 376,030 vehicles sold in 20231.
Innovative Ideas: Li Auto is trying out an interesting idea similar to what Nio is doing1. This could be referring to Nio’s flagship showroom, known as Nio House, which is a unique vehicle showroom that resembles a home1.
Strong Partnerships: Li Auto has a partnership with Nvidia, where Nvidia’s Drive Thor autonomous driving chip will power Li Auto’s ET9 electric sedan1.
New Launches: Li Auto is gearing up to launch its flagship multi-purpose vehicle, the Li MEGA, on March 11.
Positive Analyst Recommendations: Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.10, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations made by five brokerage firms
Nio: Can This Fallen Angel Get Its Wings Back? Lets find out Today, we're taking a deep dive into Nio, given how low its price has fallen. By examining key valuation metrics like the P/S ratio, which is currently at its lowest ever point, we can ask: Could Nio be poised for a strong comeback? Let's put this to the test using my groundbreaking Nio chart analysis method, EW 2.0.
Curious about my EW 2.0 method? Catch my latest trade ideas below – you might see how it unlocks hidden patterns in NYSE:BABA & CRYPTOCAP:ETH charts.
NYSE:BABA :
BINANCE:ETHUSDT :
China’s Auto Exports Surge 58% to Record High in 2023 The development follows another milestone for Chinese auto exports after they hit more than 3 million vehicles in 2022 and over 2 million in 2021, the report said.
The latest record was driven by a surge in exports of new energy vehicles, which climbed 77.6% in 2023 to more than 1.2 million units, according to the report.
Overall auto sales in China climbed 12% year over year to 30.1 million units, while output rose 11.6% to 30.2 million units, Xinhua added.
Nio:
- Trading at 35% below our estimate of its fair value
- Revenue is forecast to grow 22.58% per year
The Unraveling Tale of NIO Amidst the EV Industry Challenges
In the ever-evolving landscape of the electric vehicle (EV) industry, one player that has found itself caught in the whirlwind of challenges is NIO Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ). The once high-flying stock has witnessed a staggering 90% decline from its peak in 2021, raising concerns about the company's resilience in the face of intensifying competition and industry saturation.
The EV Industry Blues:
NYSE:NIO 's struggles are not isolated but are symptomatic of the broader challenges plaguing the EV sector. Even Tesla, often regarded as the gold standard, has faced a 28% drop from its 2023 high, yielding ground to competitors like BYD. The sector's smaller players, such as Mullen Automotive, Canoo, and Fisker, are grappling with cash burn, further contributing to the overall industry turmoil.
Market Saturation and Global Competition:
NYSE:NIO 's unique focus on the Chinese market, once considered a strategic advantage, has become a double-edged sword. China, flooded with electric vehicle brands like Xpeng, Li Auto, BYD, and Tesla, has become a battleground where companies vie for market share. Additionally, NIO faces fierce competition in Europe, with concerns arising from the EU's review of China's EV subsidies. The fear is that Chinese companies, including NYSE:NIO , enjoy subsidies, making their products more affordable than those produced within Europe.
Financial Lifeline and Global Expansion:
Despite the challenging landscape, NYSE:NIO has made strategic moves to secure its financial future. A recent $2.2 billion deal with CYVN from Abu Dhabi provides NYSE:NIO with a financial lifeline, tapping into a region experiencing exponential growth driven by tourism, finance, and energy sectors. This influx of funds positions NYSE:NIO well for the future and reduces immediate concerns about its financial stability.
Deliveries Surge Amidst Margin Pressures:
While NYSE:NIO managed to boost its deliveries, reaching 160,038 vehicles in 2023, a 30.7% YoY increase, the company grapples with thinning margins. The gross margin dipped to 8% in Q3 2023, down from 13.3% the previous year. NYSE:NIO attributed this decline to the industry-wide trend of slashing prices to remain competitive. The delicate balance between increasing market share and preserving profit margins remains a pivotal challenge for the company.
Technical Downturn and Bearish Outlook:
Technically, NYSE:NIO 's stock price has experienced a persistent downward trend, breaching key support levels and remaining below crucial moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping below 50 further underscores the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
NYSE:NIO 's journey in the coming months will undoubtedly be a test of its adaptability and strategic prowess. As the EV industry undergoes a seismic shift, NYSE:NIO 's ability to navigate these challenges, secure global partnerships, and maintain a delicate balance between growth and profitability will determine whether it can rise from the current slump and redefine its position in the competitive electric vehicle landscape.
$NIO - MAJOR BEARISH CHANNEL $4.70 1st TargetA Major Downward Channel is still at play with ta 1st major Gap area that needs to be filled at around $4.70. If it breaks, then there is another gap below that with multiple support areas that could break. Final support at at the $1.19 area. Short at each break for maximize profit
NIO - Massive long at what could be the absolute bottom. I posted this a week ago but not much has changed. It was taken down by moderators because I mentioned something that went against house rules. Nonetheless:
ORIGINAL POST:
Nio has double bottomed on the weekly at local level with bullish divergence on the MaCD. It is also showing a clear shift in momentum on the 4H and Daily timeframes. We took this position a few days ago, and have already taken very small profits at the first tp level. I was unable to post here as my account has been hacked for the past 3 weeks and I have only just gotten it back, hence the lack of updates overall. Having said that the community took this trade.
I am posting this now as I believe that if we get above 8.36 then one could strategise a trade on a backtest of that level, so you guys could enter there if you haven't already.
The weekly is posted below
NIO: Important reaction at support level! But be careful - D & WNIO shares reached our first target of $9.22, set in our last public study, the link to which is below this analysis, as always.
We now see a correction down to the 21 EMA, which is to be expected, given that it has just hit a target. In addition, we see a reaction in the price, which could be a bottoming signal if confirmed. Such a reaction makes sense, since the medium-term trend on the daily chart is bullish, and the reasons are simple: 1) The price has been making HH/HL since its last bottom on December 12; 2) The price is above the 21 EMA, which is rising.
I said in my last analysis that swing trades with a focus on the medium term are technically plausible, and that's still true, but remember that all caution is needed, as the weekly chart is still in a downtrend, and this week's candlestick is a reminder of this.
If the price closes below the average on the weekly chart, we could see another top signal, suggesting further bearish continuation for NIO shares. In any case, I see $7 as the main support point, both in the long and medium term.
We see that NIO is trading around a critical point, near mid-term support levels and long-term resistance levels. Whichh one will prevail? It is too soon to tell, we need to see a clear breakout to confirm any thesis. I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis, and support this idea, if it helped you.
All the best,
Nathan.
$NIO potential double bottom in value areaNIO high time frames look to be putting in a double bottom at the .886 fib node, considered to be a deep value area.
Monthly bullish engulfing candle if it closes around here on Friday.
Invalidation could be multiple weekly candle closures below $8.38, low from Oct ‘22, would let this run potentially to $20 region if it really gets going.