NIO
NIO: Breaking Through Important Resistance Levels - but beware!We see a strong bullish reaction in NIO's shares, which have been rising steadily since last week, when they approached their bottom at $7.
Around $7, we see a region of multiple support, present since June, but which has suffered several attempts to be breached during November and December, without success.
Now, the price has made a strong enough reaction to break through some important medium-term resistance points, such as the 21 EMA, and more recently, the previous top at $8.51.
In doing so, NIO's shares are sending a clear message that the medium-term trend is now upwards, as it is operating above various supports, and breaking through previous resistances.
In theory, the next resistances are NIO's next targets, such as $9.22, or even the gap open at $10.22. Remember, gaps act as magnets when the price reverses a trend.
Although this is a reading for the medium term, it's important to point out that NIO shares still face some problems in the long term, as seen in the weekly chart below:
Clearly, the area around $7 is the most important support here too, but since November 2021, the price has been in a persistent downtrend. We don't see rising tops and bottoms, and the 21 EMA could still be a resistance point, although the price is above it this week.
So, while buying with a focus on the medium term is technically plausible, caution is advised as the weekly chart is still in a downtrend.
I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses, and if you liked the post, remember to support the idea.
All the best,
Nathan.
China's Nio to Get $2.2 Bln Investment From Abu Dhabi's CYVNKey Takeaway
NYSE:NIO published a press release announcing that it was on track to receive a new round of investment funding from CYVN Holdings -- an Abu Dhabi-based holding company. Per the agreement, CYVN will invest $2.2 billion in NYSE:NIO and receive 294 million shares of stock at a price of $7.50 per share.
Technical Analysis
NYSE:NIO has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel in the medium long term. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development.
NYSE:NIO has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
NIO - A 10% Pre-Market Burst (Allowing for a structural trade)NIO
✅10%+ move indicated in pre-markets
✅This will put NIO above the PoC(Point of Control)
✅ With the RSI Bullish Divergence this presents and opportunity to enter a trade above PoC and to place a stop under it with an almost 8:1 Reward to Risk.
I have a long term medium sized position in NYSE:NIO so i have been watching the chart for opportunities.
⚠️Obviously we are below the 200 day SMA and it is still sloping downwards so this is a major concern and thus the stop loss is critical and should be a hard stop if this is a short term trade.
For long term position folk, we will watch and wait as our long term positions are in place and just got a 10% boost today. lets see how price reacts to the 200 day SMA once we meet it.
PUKA
Potential future of SOLANA. Silver and NIO. Agree?It's just an interesting fractal that I think is plausible. Personally, I don't hold WHITEBIT:SOLUSDT and don't expect ATH to be updated in the new cycle.
Technically, the project is unstable and looks more like a beautiful marketing. For example, WHITEBIT:EOSUSDT has much more advantages technically and is safer as an investment.
TVC:SILVER and NYSE:NIO NIO's share are very similar. NIO is also a very beautiful marketing that has a lot of problems.
Credit Suisse AG Acquires 879,832 Shares of Nio Inc - (NYSE:NIO)Credit Suisse AG boosted its holdings in shares of Nio Inc - (NYSE:NIO) by 19.1% in the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The firm owned 5,497,075 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 879,832 shares during the quarter. Credit Suisse AG owned about 0.33% of NIO worth $53,267,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. BlackRock Inc. boosted its stake in NIO by 7.8% during the 2nd quarter. BlackRock Inc. now owns 66,794,714 shares of the company's stock valued at $647,241,000 after purchasing an additional 4,835,232 shares during the period. Vanguard Group Inc. boosted its stake in NIO by 2.2% during the 3rd quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 51,370,117 shares of the company's stock valued at $810,108,000 after purchasing an additional 1,113,194 shares during the period. Norges Bank bought a new stake in NIO during the 4th quarter valued at approximately $155,344,000.
Legal & General Group Plc raised its holdings in NIO by 0.8% in the 4th quarter. Legal & General Group Plc now owns 11,086,052 shares of the company's stock valued at $108,089,000 after acquiring an additional 92,662 shares in the last quarter. Finally, First Trust Advisors LP raised its holdings in NIO by 20.8% in the 1st quarter. First Trust Advisors LP now owns 8,128,289 shares of the company's stock valued at $171,100,000 after acquiring an additional 1,399,601 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 42.32% of the company's stock.
NIO STOCK BULLISHNIO stock is forming a bullish divergence on the weekly & daily RSI chart. This stock has been absolutely hammered the last couple years due to inconsistent supply issues as well as getting out of unprofitably that most new companies struggle with. However I do believe with projected earnings being over 2B the company should be getting over its hardest time & hopefully moving upward again soon. This stock has an average price target of 12, and while I believe that is quite low - it’s still a 70% INCREASE FROM CURRENT LEVELS. I do think it will run to 21-22 area for a 200% RETURN.
NIO If you haven`t sold NIO at this crazy valuation:
or after the BMW comparision:
or reentered before the breakout:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 7usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.47.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$NIO - $1.19 Price target potential double bottomDownward Channel is still intact and looking for further short selling. To maximize profits, short at top of channel for a leg lower. first targets is around $4.70 to $3.22. Nio could potentially hit $1.19 since the stock has had meteoric rise and should consolidate at the lows to grow into its valuation.
Tesla - Remember, The Ponzi Always ContinuesSo, you've realized that Teslas aren't particularly great cars, EVs becoming a worldwide trend is a hoax, and that Elon Musk isn't any kind of very saintly very MAGA saviour of humanity during the end times.
And now that price is down a lot, we want to victory lap and short, because the public relations firms that are running the campaign needed to produce liquidity for banks and big money funds to buy told you to.
The problem with the short Tesla thesis right now is that Musk pledged a significant volume of his shares as collateral to get big money to finance his acquisition of Tweeter, (now known as Xeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeter), which by some accounts is worth some painful $15 billion compared to the $45 billion he (they) paid for it.
And so what this means is that there's been significant incentive to sell in the $250 range and buy back lower as a form of risk hedging, with the ultimate purpose of selling higher.
All for the sake of just making all the money without losing any of the money when Xeeeeeeter inevitably goes public in the future because Musk made it the manifest Western form of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit apparatus, WeChat, because Shanghai Gigafactory bro just loves the way the Party does things.
But the risk for bulls, and the economic system alike, is that "the best laid plans of mice and men oft go awry," which is to say that when it comes to gambling on Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party, a fool is a fool.
One should oppose the CCP because it's responsible for the 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, and the campaign of live organ harvesting genocide that came with it.
Although that campaign was launched, and continued, at the hands of former Chairman Jiang Zemin, and Jiang is dead now, Xi is still the head of the Party, and the first thing you do when slaying a red dragon is sever its head.
Actually, the first thing you do when slaying a red dragon is sever its tail. Former Premier Li Keqiang, who was Xi's right hand man for a lot of years, recently died "of a heart attack," which is likely code for "was knocked down by Wuhan Pneumonia."
If the pandemic in Mainland China is killing the Xi Faction, the world has big time problems.
And it seems to me the recent conflict in Israel and the war that's being launched into Syria and Iran is probably to create a gateway to Mainland China, since Iran connects to Pakistan and Afghanistan, which are already U.S. controlled.
Everyone wants control of China and its 5,000 year history when the CCP finally falls.
So back to Tesla.
The logic is fairly simple.
Because 2023 started uppy, we expect 2023 to finish uppy. We do not expect things that start the beginning of the year on a moon mission to correct into the end of the year, because generally speaking the scam isn't played like that.
Which means that all dips are a dip to buy, and especially when we're finally printing prices under "$200," it's a dip to buy.
But the MMs are the most annoying of the most annoying people and like to run things to lows that are less comfortable. Shipping under $180 from $197 is a further loss of another 10%+, which means options expire worthless/devalue effectively, and everyone is a winner, winner, chicken dinner, except for you, who gets to finance happy hour, strippers, and cocaine at 1:31 p.m. on Halloween Tuesday.
Either way, it's worth expecting the May pivot to hold as a low, a higher low to form, and then we really do see the $320 parade into the end of 2023.
Ho, ho, ho, Happy Santa Rally.
Remember, the Ponzi always continues. By the time the ponzi stops continuing, all the bears will have long since been liquidated. The disaster sequence is when they take down bulltards who buy the dip, buy the dip, and buy the dip as it races towards zero.
And Tesla doesn't have that MULN-style landslide apocalypse pattern. That only happens when big bags are empty and nobody ever buys something again.
So all the price action is just shareholder printer selling.
Yet.
$NIO - $4.60 Price Target intact with 2nd Bear FlagI called the previous bear flag which did eventually completed the bear flag and continued to leg down. A 2nd bear flag has now formed. Imminent further breakdown. If the initial bear flag plays, out, price target should hit around $4.60 (length of pole of flag = measured downside).
PSNY: First buy signal. With Supertrend Indicator1. First buy signal with supertrend indicator
2. Gap to fill around $3.00 to $3.12 (Thanks to Barclays downgrade :S )
3. Second gap to fill (Wall Street dropped the stock after last earnings/results)
Before buying a few hundred or thousand shares, I'll wait for a consolidation of about 5-10 days, and especially for the EMA 9/20 to cross on the daily chart. Too many times we've been caught buying too early or not waiting long enough.
And if, by any chance, Wall Street decides to push the price up by +50%, I'm already on the train with thousands and thousands of shares... lol 🚀💰
NIO BIG MOVE SOON!Shares of Nio (NIO -2.11%) slumped this week and were trading 17% lower through 11 a.m. ET Friday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Despite a positive opening on the last trading day of the week, Nio stock has now lost more than 40% value since Aug. 1, thanks to this week's extended weakness.
$NIO - $4.60 Price Target with cracked flag, WEEKLY Death Cross I have been posting ever since the weekly flag has been setting up, the stock has finally cracked below the flag. If you have shorted on the crack, kudos to you. Potential downside is to $4.60. Remember the length of the flag pole equals to the potential measured downside which normally equates to about same length of the original bearish flag pole. We also see a bearish death cross on the weekly MACD and the squeeze mod is also curling over in a bearish downturn.
$NIO - $4.60 price target on Weekly Bear FLAGI posted on last two charts saying that there looks to be a bear flag setting up. The flag is now setting up nicely on the Weekly Chart and is rock solid intact. The longer it solidifies the flag, the more likely it plays out. Watch for a imminent break, if cracked flag, measured move to the downside is around $4.60 which is also around a past support area.
NIO BUYHi, based on my analysis of NEO stock, there is a good buying opportunity. The stock appears to be in a positive state. The stock returned to a very strong area of strong support at level 10. In which a green candle with a tail was formed, indicating a strong entry of buyers, as well as a retest of the downtrend. The presence of the 200 moving average, which in turn constitutes another support. Good luck everyone
NIO - Why Are You Long On Another Shanghai Disaster?So NIO makes electric cars and is a company from Mainland China, which means that by default it's a Chinese Communist Party state-run enterprise because of the realities of Chinese law and living under the CCP's jurisdiction.
Earnings are tomorrow morning and IV on options are juiced to 150% at the money expiring September 1 and 75% expiring January '24.
It might be pretty easy for this company to print a beat considering estimates are only $1.2~ billion compared to the $1.7, $2.5, $1.8, and $1.5 billion in the prior segments.
But as we've seen with earnings on stuff like AMD
AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits Breed
Target
Target - Why Is Everyone Desperate To Long Disasters?
Snowflake
Snowflake - Is It Time To Stop Gambling On Chop?
and Disney
Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down?
That a short lived earnings-linked climax has been the optimal moment to enter short and ride the move towards the bottoms.
The problem with companies rooted in Shanghai is that Shanghai is the toad's den, the headquarters of the faction of former Chairman Jiang Zemin, who died, and is solely responsible for the 24-year-long persecution and organ harvesting campaign against Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual practitioners.
But even if the company were rooted in Shenzhen, Beijing, or Guangzhou, the problem would be that any company that relies on Mainland Chinese demand to fuel sales, including companies as big as Apple, are in big trouble.
The reason is simple. If you look at Our World In Data and examine how many people died from Coronavirus Disease 2019, the Chinese Communist Party under Xi Jinping claims that 121,563 people have died since the pandemic began.
The United States with less than 1/4th the population has reported over 1.2 million deaths by comparison.
And on top of that, everyone knows how the CCP covered up and lied to the world about the 2003 SARS pandemic.
So let's say for a minute, considering China's population of 1.4 billion compared to America's 355 million people, and that China is the epicentre of the pandemic, that as few as 10 million people actually died.
Now, consider the number of people counting as eligible buyers who have died in China is even higher than this number because of the huge amount of flooding, natural, and manmade disasters that have occurred over the same period of time.
Let's be generous and say that only 15 million people have died.
How does that impact the sales of companies like NIO, Tesla, Apple, and everyone else who has become reliant on the Chinese market?
Perhaps it isn't enough to cause a 2008-style bubble deflation yet, but we're certainly seeing the impact on the balance sheets, aren't we?
And yet people are telling you to get long on NIO.
Technically speaking, the monthly bars show us that since the October dump, every candle, no matter how big the retrace has been, has simply respected the gap created by the dump.
And this is significant because that dump was an astonishing 63 percent in two months.
And at today's prices of $11 this company is still claimed to be worth $15 billion, even while Evergrande has become a penny stock, the Yuan is in huge trouble, and the entire Chinese economy is on the brink of collapse.
Something I have enlightened to in recent times is that reversal patterns are not reversal patterns unless the market has traded to its true bottom.
This was the problem everyone who was trying to long Tesla, Meta, and Amazon all the way down kept running into.
If you buy too early then you have to sit there in drawdown waiting for 25% miracle candles just to break even for a single day.
And so you always have to ask yourself if the market has traded to its true bottom before you decide to donate your retirement funds to the Party longing a retrace.
On the weekly, the breakout to $16 would be bullish, if $7.5 were the bottom
But the problem is that the most meaningful gap on weekly bars was never retraced to after it broke up and it ran away towards $60, and that gap starts at $5.59, almost 50% away from where we traded today.
So is NIO a long? Social media wants you to get long because every dumpster pattern that looks like a disaster is a long, for some reason.
But NIO is not likely to be a long, no matter how nice of a car and how much of a Tesla killer they may arguably make.
But with a $1.2 billion earnings estimate, that's pretty beatable, and so we may see a real retrace tomorrow, however short lived, that could see smart call buyers who exit early or immediately bagging a nice profit.
For everyone else, perhaps it really is worth buying puts at $14 expiring in March of 2024 and closing them off at $5.5
Because NIO is a Shanghai dumpster fire, this thing can go down and down and down and down in accordance with the Hang Seng Tech even if the Nasdaq and the SPX rallies in Q4.
In the meantime, perhaps September will be a bit of an early autumn for the markets, and perhaps for the world-at-large.
Be careful. Shanghai is the "Babylon" spoke of in The Book of Revelations.
Babylon is a city, not a person.
And everyone who put roots there is dirty, perhaps including Tesla and Elon Musk, the man who wants to turn Twitter into the CCP's social credit keystones Wechat/TikTok.
Copper - Did Social Media Tell You To Long The CCP Again?They call copper "Doctor Copper" because it's said to forecast the overall world economic conditions on account of being tightly wed to manufacturing.
Well, what people are really yammering about with that over the last 20 years is whether or not the Chinese Communist Party is healthy, and the world by proxy being healthy because it tied itself to the most heinous regime in history, the one responsible for the 24-year persecution of Falun Gong by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the accompanying organ harvesting and genocide.
Unfortunately for all the blind bulls, the early 2021-2022 price action was a pretty good indication of a top, and that top is really confirmed by the fact that since October of '22, this bounce has been pretty weak, and starting this month, with all the drama surrounding the slow collapse of the Chinese economy, took out the previous two months' lows.
Monthly shows you that August price action took both the July and June lows.
Like, that's not the kind of "signal" you want to see to get long for a new all time high.
When something is retracing to take out major highs, you want to see lows rarely violated with something of a freight train towards the old highs.
Weekly bars show us something of a subtle pattern where it looks like it's just taken some lows and is consolidating and continually flirting with going back up.
But in reality the market makers are, most likely, just selling more under the previous $4.00 area.
And if that's really true, it means another gap down is imminent, especially after an entire quarter of ranging.
If you ask me, the first area that you can look for a long that is more than a scalp on copper is under $2.8, which is a critical pivot from September.
And a more likely target in the next 12 months is the $2.00 mark, which was barely swept out in the COVID drama.
The reality is, my friends, the Chinese Communist Party is going to fall overnight in our lifetimes. Not five or ten years from now. But very shortly, and everything is going to change.
Whether that is caused by Xi Jinping throwing away the CCP to protect himself and China from being taken over by the International Rules Based Order as it uses Taiwan as a soft proxy war, or because the whole world collapses under the results of the persecution of Falun Dafa, since everyone's been going to Shanghai to worship the toads and the Devil Red to get financial benefits.
This is the danger.
The danger is imminent.
But copper trades painfully slowly, so if you want to do this you have to have long duration, ignore the noise, and be willing to suffer some drawdown.
China under the CCP is never going to recover. Things are never going to be okay ever again.
Things will be okay once mankind returns to tradition.
But there won't be an international stock market like this anymore that day.
NIO - are the fundamentals good enough?Analysts have adjusted earnings estimates and thus, an earnings beat does not always translate to good prospects for some of the businesses:
Earnings Estimate Management
From the earnings forecast by Investing above, we can note the following:
The coming EPS forecast (for the period ending 06/2023) is worse than the previous period ending 03/2023.
In fact, the EPS forecast is expected to be the worst at record -2.96 since 06/2022.
For the revenue forecast, it is expected to be lower than the previous quarter. It stands at 9.16B compared to the forecast of 11.93B from the previous quarter ending 03/2023.
This is in fact the lowest revenue forecast since 06/2022.
In the event that NIO beats both EPS & revenue forecast in the coming earnings, is the company doing better? In my opinion, it is a “NO”.
Beating such an estimate is not something to brag about as the company remains unprofitable with “falling” sales. It can be too early to call this a falling trend but the quarterly signs are there.
Conclusion
Before we embrace any content from news agencies or investing portals, let us do our due diligence.
One quarter does not define a trend and thus, looking at the business as a whole from afar can help to put some objectivity and remove the impact of seasonality. This will help to put things in a better context as we even out peaks from new launches and service offerings.