NIO
YINN - a leveraged bullish ETF for Chinese stocks.YINN is a 3X leveraged bullish ETF of Chinese stocks. As can be seen on this one hour chart,
YINN has jumped nearly 30% since the beginning of the moth. On the chart is a moving average
ratio indicator ( with settings SMA7 / SMA28 ratio ). When the ratio crosses the zero line, the
shorter average is rising faster than the longer average demonstrating bullish momentum. Here
I used it as an entry signal. ( the exit signal would be the ratio dropping below the zero
horizontal line which has not yet occurred) For confirmation and further entry justification,
the volatility indicator shows spikes above the running average volatility in order to be
that there is enough volume and price action to get into a good trade in the direction of
the trade. Fundamentally, the Chinese economy is open and growing. the CCP has resisted the
urge to raise prime rates as compared with Western central banks. ( BABA and NIO have
good current price action.) Given the guidance of the chart, YINN seems to be a
good long trade I will continue to add to the trade when the chart tells me the time is right.
Teslas ninja bro - chopping before move to $13.50Tesla, Lucent, Rivian, Nio not too many new names entering the scene in the last year... Nio will boost the worst has been put in. IMO 6 month call options OTM $13 plus should be pretty safe. Lots of potential direct or indirect headline catalysts here through EV, AI, and Tesla tailwinds.
TSLA tyring to get to blue skyTSLA on the daily chart descended from a triple top Summer '22 into a downturn which
reversed after earnings in late January. Since then with the usual waves of up action and
retracement it has risen into its current range also going through a cup and handle pattern
from early April into late May. On the chart with the volume profile and anchored VWAP
overlaid, price is at the confluence of the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP - over the
past year the highest volume of trading was at about $185. RSLA is now above that
bullish momentum. TSLA short-selling bears are getting destroyed right now. Their buying to sell
is the genesis of a potential short squeeze. The latest trend started after an announcement of
partnership with Ford regarding charging stations. I have drawn onto the chart what I see
as horizontal resistance lines for targets in a trade. Aslo on the chart is a set of zero-lag EMAs
to provide further context. I will take a trade of four additional call options with a strike of
$185- I will close one for each horizontal target reached. I will run the last contract on a
trailing stop loss of 20% while expecting an overall conservative realized take profit of over
300%. The stabilization of macroeconomic headwinds in both the US, Europe and China
will allow significant tailwind to push TSLA higher. One of those tailwinds could be the
imperative that a rising price places on short sellers including a vast array of put options.
PSNY break out above the Ribbon (Setting up for Mark Up phase)PSNY has been relatively stagnate for a while.... which is good after an emotional dump into a new low. It means its accumulating. This company is undevalued compared to the other electric car companies out there. I wouldn't expect this stock to move a lot up front. However its cheap to do a leap on this til jan 24 and let it do its own thing. Out of all of the electric car stocks this one seems the healthiest financially and is actually delivering 100k of vehicles with goals to out do its self this year.
The indicator is the ESVO it shows where price and volume are in sync and when price breaks out above them its a sign that its hit accumulation and preparing for a mark up phase. The push back down into the ribbon is the last step before it takes off... This should bounce off the ribbon when it comes down and continue to make for new highs until it runs out of steam. This could be days , weeks , months, or even years..... depending on what time frame its doing it in and what part of the bigger move its in. Look at ENPH when it was $50.
by iCantw84it
05.02.23
NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NIO here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NIO longs for an earnings playNIO has earnings coming up at a good time when the China ecomony is recovering from
the lockdown and holding interest rates down to support economic expansion. NIO is also very
busy selling their EVs in Scandinavia. On the one-hour chart, NIO has risen above the demand/
support zone and seems to be retracing the recent downtrend. The indicator shows momentum
and RSI to have crossed the 50 line but money flow is lagging. Volume is picking up in the last
few weeks and price has now crossed over the POC line of the volume profile as another sign
of bullish buying pressure and dominance. I will trade a long trade in NIO now before the
earnings expecting good price action and volatility will yield decent profit in the trade.
The stop loss will be below the support zone and the first TP at $8.00 being the top of the
high volume area of the profile while the 2nd TP will be $8.50 and final at $9.00.
NIO Stock: Is a Spring Reversal Imminent?I had been shorting NIO stock due to the very apparent downtrend as portrayed by the 50 and 100 EMA. However, I noticed that the swings from high to low were getting narrower, signaling a loss in momentum. Throwing some zones on the chart, you can see a small trading range has formed.
I compared the Wyckoff accumulation schematic to the NIO chart. The schematic calls for hard selling followed by strong buying and consolidation. In NIO, there was hard selling in March and May, with strong volume. This indicates that there were large interests selling their shares during this time.
However, in November 2022, we saw a selling climax with strong volume. This was followed by a bounce in price called the automatic reaction (AR). This bounce is likely due to institutional investors buying up the supply. The secondary test, which occurred on expectedly lower volume, further supports this theory.
The millionaire-making question is whether we have seen an ST in phase B. If we have not, it is likely that the trend will continue lower to the sub-$5 range. However, if we have seen an ST, it is likely that we are seeing a spring. A spring is a shakeout before institutional investors decide to take the stock higher.
I think it is important to note the increase in volume during the month of May when the spring started. High volume during a spring suggests that big money is scooping shares for cheap. I believe that this is the perfect time for institutional investors to swoop in and use earnings as an excuse to push the stock higher.
What are your thoughts?
TSLA Cup & Handle Bullish ContinuationTSLA as shown on the 60 minute chart has been in a cup and handle since the last earnings
report. Trading volumes increased then and the print is a gradual downtrend reversed to a
gradual uptrend then the handle formation and finally the breakout above the lip of the cup.
TSLA and Ford this week announced collaboration on a charging network primarily with Ford
customers getting use on existing TSLA stations and both companies expanding the network.
Perhaps this mutually benefits both companies. China holding interest rates and perhaps
lowering them more easily allows financing of new Telsas in TSLA's biggest market. Based
on the technicals about the cup and handle and the height of the cup. the pattern which has
good reliability predicts bullish continuation of $40 upside. In consideration of this I will
take a trade of an additional 2 contracts ( strike $180 Exp mid November).
BABA @ Long Term SupportOn the 4H Chart, BABA is sitting in the the demand zone at a double bottom retest. Earnings
two weeks ago beat expectations. Fundamentally, China is holding interest rates down and
may even decrease their prime rate. Domestically, chaos continues with more rate increases
possible and the debt ceiling issue impending resolution versus diseaster. I see trading and
investing in foreign based intruments such as BABA , NIO along with ETFs diversified into
China, Europe, Korea Japan and maybe others to be a useful means to diversify risk. I will take
a long trade in BABA because I believe it will rise from its usual bottom.
FSR follows TSLA / NIO in uptrendFor the month of May on the 15-minute chart Fisker is up 27% while the general market QQQ
is up merely 4%. FSR riding an ascending parallel channel tested the channel yesterday. This
was met with high relative buying volume. (Fundamentally, TSLA and NIO are rising as well
as EV stocks gain some momentum ) The Better RSI indicator is oscillating between oversold
and overbought providing reasonable entries. The volume profile shows the highest volume
support from $ 61.0 to 6.65. The uptrend started at 5.10 and the POC line which is the likely
Fib 0.5 level on a future retracement combined in context suggest a target of 7.10 for the
current uptrend. I find this to be suitable for a long trade setup also factoring in a stop loss
at 6.55 just below the parallel channel.
ARVL Penny EV Stock Momentum from EarningsOn the 2H Chart ARVL is always been underneath the Ichimoku cloud. Since earnings this has
changed. The earnings were nothing special. ARVL as a startup is still losing cash; it is priced
on the potential of the future. ARVL is in the delivery truck and bus segment of the growing
EV industry. It does not compete directly with TSLA. On the chart relative strengh also rose
over its cloud going from 40 to 70. Notably it crossed above the Ichimoku cloud simultaneously
with crossing over the POC line. Traders including myself watch for confluences to support
bias and a trend.
My feeler call option with 5 DTE trade was taken on Friday is up 228% over the weekend.
I will now take ten more but extend the DTE to 6/2 I see this as a typical penny stock high
reward high risk. This is like TSLA in its infancy. Also the higher it gets away from delisting risk
the more momentum it might have. This compares well and perhaps better than
LCID NKLA and PSR because it has a niche focus which protects it from the center
of the competition with other EV stocks.
TSLA is pushing againTSLA on the 4H chart started 2023 with an upward trend taking it from basically $100 to a
doubling by February 15th then a reversal in a fibonacci retracement fashion to mid level
level by March 10th with a bounce up and then resettled in the same area by April 20th
then holding above the upper of a VWAP band until its reversal a week later. At present,
TSLA is pushing higher and has crossed ever a low VWAP band as well as the mean from the
anchored VWAPs. TSLA reversed on April 27th at the bottom of the high-volume area of the
profile and is now progressing through it. I believe that this is a good long setup. The stop
is VWAP at $178 The target is $ 196 which is the neckline of the head and shoulders from
February as well as the April 1 pivot high. i believe that TSLA has enough interest and
typical momentum to push $10-11 despite headwinds like interest rates and loss of
market share in China and the Nordic countries due to USD strength. The volume indicator
shows relatively high volume compared with this past winter. I think this accumulation will
result in price appreciation as things progress ( as per Wycoff).
NIO breakout from descending wedge NIO is shown on a 4H chart. It has been downtrending for 3 months. Howver, April and May
has high relative volume trying to reach the capitulation of a bottom. Thursday May 4th
marked a near term bottom. NIO is now rising and breaking out of a falling wedge drawn onto
the chart. It has crossed over the POC line of the volume profile ( This is the price level of
the highest volume of trading). Price is impending a mean anchored VWAP. Relative strength
has spiked. With this confluence of bullish signals, I have taken a long position which has
appreciated 4.6% in the first half of the trading day having opened the position in the pre-
market. I will now take a trade of call options striking $ 7.00 DTE 7/21. The rising dollar
strength has confounded TSLA's sales in China and the Nordic countries. NIO is on the ready to
pick up the slack.