NIO Inc Falls Hard! All Targets Hit in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: NIO Inc – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
NIO Inc presented a strong short trade opportunity, with an entry at 6.76. The price has reached all profit targets, confirming the strength of the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Entry: 6.76 – The short trade was initiated at this level after a clear bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 6.83 – Positioned above resistance to guard against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 6.68 – The first target was reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 6.54 – Continued downside pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 6.41 – The bearish momentum carried the price to this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 6.32 – The final profit target, marking a successful and complete trade.
Trend Analysis
The price remained well below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The steady selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong downward momentum in favor of sellers.
The short trade on NIO Inc has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 6.32. The clear downtrend and guidance from the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
Nioinc
Nio’s Stock Soars 16% on $1.9 Billion Investment Deal Nio Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ), the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) giant, has once again made headlines as its U.S.-listed stock surged to double-digit gains, spurred by a significant investment announcement and renewed optimism in China's stock market. The stock climbed over 15% in premarket trading on Monday, marking its biggest jump in nearly five months. In this article, we’ll explore both the technical and fundamental drivers behind this surge, while also examining whether investors should proceed with optimism or caution.
The Strategic $1.9 Billion Investment
At the heart of Nio's stock rally is the news of a cash injection totaling RMB13.3 billion ($1.9 billion) from existing shareholders and strategic investors. This includes a mix of Nio's own cash and funds from key stakeholders such as Hefei Jianheng New Energy Automobile Investment Fund Partnership, Anhui Provincial Emerging Industry Investment Co., and CS Capital Co. These investors will contribute RMB3.3 billion in cash for new shares in Nio Holding Co., commonly known as Nio China. Meanwhile, Nio Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) will invest an additional RMB10 billion to bolster its China unit, although this will reduce its ownership stake to 88.3% from 92.1%.
This strategic investment is a major lifeline for Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ), which has been burning through cash and reported a Q2 2024 loss of RMB4.5 billion. Despite these losses, the company posted quarterly sales of RMB17.5 billion, surpassing expectations even amidst weakening demand in the EV market. Morgan Stanley analysts have pointed out that this new capital infusion will ease concerns around Nio’s liquidity, enhancing its near-term cash flow and solidifying its balance sheet.
Nio’s ability to attract investment from strategic players familiar with the Chinese EV landscape, such as Hefei Jianheng and Anhui Provincial Emerging Industry Investment, is notable. These entities were part of a $1 billion investment deal in 2020 that played a key role in alleviating cash flow concerns at the time. Given the fierce competition in China’s EV sector and the pressures from overseas tariffs, this cash injection provides Nio with the necessary fuel to continue its R&D investments in battery-swapping technology, charging infrastructure, and next-generation EV technology.
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has also been proactive in securing additional future funding. The company retains the option to invest up to RMB20 billion in Nio China by the end of 2025, further demonstrating its commitment to maintaining a dominant position in the rapidly evolving EV market.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Nio’s recent price action has been nothing short of impressive. Monday’s 16% premarket surge catapulted the stock to new highs, defying expectations that the stock had already entered overbought territory. As of Friday, Nio’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 70.85, a level that typically signals overbought conditions. Despite this, the stock continued to rise sharply following the investment news, raising eyebrows among investors.
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has been trading in oversold territory for over five months, with its stock price battered by a mix of macroeconomic headwinds, slowing demand, and stiff competition within the EV space. Yet, the stock’s resurgence is now riding high on renewed optimism, especially given the company’s strengthened balance sheet and the positive reception of its strategic partnerships.
Nio’s key moving averages reflect a continued bullish trend, with the stock trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The surge in price has broken through several resistance levels, creating a fresh wave of momentum. However, investors should remain cautious given the stock’s RSI and the broader context of the market.
While Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) is currently riding high, key indexes like the NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 were not faring well in early Monday trading. This disconnect between Nio’s performance and broader market trends could signal that a correction may be on the horizon. The stock's support pivot at $5.64 remains a critical level to watch, and any negative developments—such as missed earnings or macroeconomic shifts—could see Nio retreat toward this level.
Industry Outlook: China’s EV Market and Nio’s Competitive Edge
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has consistently focused on differentiating itself within China’s highly competitive EV market by investing in advanced technologies like battery swapping and autonomous driving. The company’s robust R&D spending, paired with its strategic partnerships, places it in a strong position to benefit from China’s continued push towards electrification.
China remains one of the world’s largest EV markets, with significant government support driving growth across the sector. However, Nio faces challenges from both domestic competitors, such as BYD and XPeng, and international giants like Tesla. The intense competition and shifting consumer preferences mean that Nio must continue innovating to retain its market share.
Nio’s long-term prospects are further bolstered by its multi-brand strategy and ambitions to expand beyond China. The company has set its sights on penetrating broader markets and leveraging its premium EV offerings through brands like ONVO. This diversified approach could be instrumental in driving sustainable growth, even as competition intensifies.
Conclusion: A Balanced Opportunity with Risks to Consider
Nio’s recent investment announcement and subsequent stock surge have given investors a reason to cheer, but the road ahead is not without risks. The company has taken significant steps to improve its balance sheet and strengthen its competitive position in the Chinese EV market. The strategic investments from key players underscore Nio’s leadership in the sector and provide much-needed cash for its ambitious growth plans.
On the technical side, while the stock’s recent surge has been impressive, the overbought conditions reflected by its RSI suggest that a pullback could be imminent. Investors should remain vigilant, especially in light of broader market uncertainty.
For long-term investors, Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) offers a compelling growth story, backed by innovation, strategic partnerships, and strong government support. However, in the short term, it may be wise to wait for a potential cooldown before making any new investments.
Nio’s journey in the EV space is far from over, and as it navigates both challenges and opportunities, it remains one of the most intriguing players to watch in the global electric vehicle market.
NIO Surge 12% On Q2 2024 Financial ResultsKey Highlights
- Nio cuts losses while setting a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2.
- Deliveries jumped 143.9% year-over-year, and vehicle sales surged 118.2%.
- Nio’s Q3 guidance beats forecasts, showcasing resilience in a competitive EV market.
Overview
Nio, one of China’s leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of market challenges. The company set a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2, with 57,373 units delivered—a 143.9% year-over-year increase. Vehicle sales grew by 118.2% to 15.68 billion yuan, showcasing the company’s ability to scale production and meet growing consumer demand.
Despite ongoing industry-wide pressures, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) managed to reduce its Q2 losses to 5.05 billion yuan ($694.4 million), a 16.7% improvement from the previous year. The company’s gross margin expanded significantly from 1.0% a year ago to 9.7%, driven by vehicle margin improvements, which nearly doubled to 12.2%. This indicates a stronger control over production costs and a focus on high-margin segments, especially in premium electric vehicles priced above 300,000 yuan ($42,327), where Nio commands over 40% market share.
Forward Outlook and Strategic Positioning
Founder and CEO William Bin Li emphasized Nio’s strong market positioning, highlighting their expectation for Q3 deliveries to reach another all-time high of between 61,000 to 63,000 units. This bullish outlook shows Nio’s continuous expansion efforts, including the launch of new models and enhancements in battery technology. The company’s projected Q3 revenue range of 19.11 billion yuan to 19.67 billion yuan further underlines its growth trajectory, surpassing analysts’ expectations.
With a robust cash position of 41.6 billion yuan ($5.7 billion) as of June 30, 2024, Nio is well-equipped to invest in research, development, and further scaling its production capabilities. This financial stability provides a buffer against potential market volatility, including ongoing tariff and regulatory pressures from global markets.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Nio's stock (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has shown encouraging signs of recovery after a prolonged decline. The stock recently traded up 3.30% at $4.38 premarket, rebounding slightly from its 50% year-to-date drop. The recent surge in Nio’s ADRs suggests growing investor confidence, driven by the company’s strong Q2 performance and optimistic Q3 outlook.
The stock price is testing its 50-day moving average, a critical resistance level that, if breached, could signal a bullish reversal. With momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a climb from oversold territory, Nio’s shares could be positioned for further upside if delivery and revenue growth trends continue.
Moreover, the volume of call options has increased, suggesting that traders are positioning for upward movement in the stock, particularly as Nio continues to solidify its market share in the premium EV segment. If the stock manages to break above the psychological $5.00 mark, it could trigger additional buying interest, supported by improved sentiment around China’s stimulus measures and consumer demand recovery.
Conclusion
Nio’s impressive Q2 performance, coupled with a strong forward outlook, positions the company as a formidable player in the global EV market. While broader industry challenges persist, Nio’s ability to cut losses, achieve record deliveries, and expand margins reflects sound management and strategic foresight. As Nio continues to navigate market complexities and execute its growth strategy, investors may find renewed optimism in the company’s long-term potential, bolstered by both fundamental strength and technical recovery signals.
Nio’s journey may still face bumps along the road, but its recent achievements suggest that the company is on track to emerge stronger, setting a solid foundation for future success in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.
NIO stock - when to buy (NEW)NIO stock remains in a strong downtrend.
Generally we expect major indices such as NASDAQ and SPX to continue the downtrend as they already saw rejections from the major resistance line.
NIO looks kinda similar as it couldn't break the resistance. We expect the next leg down from where we are. The target for shorts and the buy area to play the bounce would be around $4,50 - 5 $.
If we see these prices, NIO stock would be down 93% from its ATH.
From there we expect to see some nice rally.
Reaching the buy area most likely will happen in Q1 2023. We will scoop up some for sure!
The Unraveling Tale of NIO Amidst the EV Industry Challenges
In the ever-evolving landscape of the electric vehicle (EV) industry, one player that has found itself caught in the whirlwind of challenges is NIO Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ). The once high-flying stock has witnessed a staggering 90% decline from its peak in 2021, raising concerns about the company's resilience in the face of intensifying competition and industry saturation.
The EV Industry Blues:
NYSE:NIO 's struggles are not isolated but are symptomatic of the broader challenges plaguing the EV sector. Even Tesla, often regarded as the gold standard, has faced a 28% drop from its 2023 high, yielding ground to competitors like BYD. The sector's smaller players, such as Mullen Automotive, Canoo, and Fisker, are grappling with cash burn, further contributing to the overall industry turmoil.
Market Saturation and Global Competition:
NYSE:NIO 's unique focus on the Chinese market, once considered a strategic advantage, has become a double-edged sword. China, flooded with electric vehicle brands like Xpeng, Li Auto, BYD, and Tesla, has become a battleground where companies vie for market share. Additionally, NIO faces fierce competition in Europe, with concerns arising from the EU's review of China's EV subsidies. The fear is that Chinese companies, including NYSE:NIO , enjoy subsidies, making their products more affordable than those produced within Europe.
Financial Lifeline and Global Expansion:
Despite the challenging landscape, NYSE:NIO has made strategic moves to secure its financial future. A recent $2.2 billion deal with CYVN from Abu Dhabi provides NYSE:NIO with a financial lifeline, tapping into a region experiencing exponential growth driven by tourism, finance, and energy sectors. This influx of funds positions NYSE:NIO well for the future and reduces immediate concerns about its financial stability.
Deliveries Surge Amidst Margin Pressures:
While NYSE:NIO managed to boost its deliveries, reaching 160,038 vehicles in 2023, a 30.7% YoY increase, the company grapples with thinning margins. The gross margin dipped to 8% in Q3 2023, down from 13.3% the previous year. NYSE:NIO attributed this decline to the industry-wide trend of slashing prices to remain competitive. The delicate balance between increasing market share and preserving profit margins remains a pivotal challenge for the company.
Technical Downturn and Bearish Outlook:
Technically, NYSE:NIO 's stock price has experienced a persistent downward trend, breaching key support levels and remaining below crucial moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping below 50 further underscores the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
NYSE:NIO 's journey in the coming months will undoubtedly be a test of its adaptability and strategic prowess. As the EV industry undergoes a seismic shift, NYSE:NIO 's ability to navigate these challenges, secure global partnerships, and maintain a delicate balance between growth and profitability will determine whether it can rise from the current slump and redefine its position in the competitive electric vehicle landscape.
Credit Suisse AG Acquires 879,832 Shares of Nio Inc - (NYSE:NIO)Credit Suisse AG boosted its holdings in shares of Nio Inc - (NYSE:NIO) by 19.1% in the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The firm owned 5,497,075 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 879,832 shares during the quarter. Credit Suisse AG owned about 0.33% of NIO worth $53,267,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. BlackRock Inc. boosted its stake in NIO by 7.8% during the 2nd quarter. BlackRock Inc. now owns 66,794,714 shares of the company's stock valued at $647,241,000 after purchasing an additional 4,835,232 shares during the period. Vanguard Group Inc. boosted its stake in NIO by 2.2% during the 3rd quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 51,370,117 shares of the company's stock valued at $810,108,000 after purchasing an additional 1,113,194 shares during the period. Norges Bank bought a new stake in NIO during the 4th quarter valued at approximately $155,344,000.
Legal & General Group Plc raised its holdings in NIO by 0.8% in the 4th quarter. Legal & General Group Plc now owns 11,086,052 shares of the company's stock valued at $108,089,000 after acquiring an additional 92,662 shares in the last quarter. Finally, First Trust Advisors LP raised its holdings in NIO by 20.8% in the 1st quarter. First Trust Advisors LP now owns 8,128,289 shares of the company's stock valued at $171,100,000 after acquiring an additional 1,399,601 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 42.32% of the company's stock.
NIO BUYHi, based on my analysis of NEO stock, there is a good buying opportunity. The stock appears to be in a positive state. The stock returned to a very strong area of strong support at level 10. In which a green candle with a tail was formed, indicating a strong entry of buyers, as well as a retest of the downtrend. The presence of the 200 moving average, which in turn constitutes another support. Good luck everyone
NIO to continue in the downward move?NIO - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 10.48 (stop at 11.28)
Prices have reacted from 16.18.
Short term momentum is bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A break of the recent low at 10.50 should result in a further move lower.
In our opinion this stock is overvalued.
We look for losses to be extended today.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 8.48 and 8.08
Resistance: 11.33 / 12.00 / 12.50
Support: 10.50 / 10.00 / 9.50
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NIO | Solid Price Action At The Current BottomHi,
Nio is a leading electric vehicle maker targeting the premium segment. Founded in November 2014, Nio designs, develops, jointly manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles.
The company differentiates itself through continuous technological breakthroughs and innovations such as battery swapping and autonomous driving technologies.
Nio launched the first model, its ES8 seven-seater electric SUV in December 2017, and began deliveries in June 2018. Its current model portfolio includes midsize to large sedans and SUVs. It sold over 122,000 EVs in 2022, accounting for about 2% of the China passenger new energy vehicle market.
Technically NIO looks attractive; I like the way it found a support level from my previous call(s) at TradingView. I like the previous monthly close and if somebody is interested in it then I can give a technical confirmation. Technically it is solid but you have to consider fundamental risks to invest in China and etc.
Technically haven't seen such a price action that can be attractive for me on the NIO chart. I cannot say that it is the best but first time, since the all-time high, it looks solid and I would like to share it - odds should be in our favor ;)
NIO price got a rejection upwards from the minor horizontal area, there was also the psychological number of $10 and a gap fill from 2020. These criteria held it, got a rejection, and now in the last week it found a great volume and it brought the price to another obstacle which is around $15. So a little pullback was expected.
A strong area around $15 can act, and actually has already acted, as a solid resistance level. Still, I'm waiting for that retest because we have some short-term new higher highs, a strong bullish weekly candle close above the Weekly Moving Average of 50 (orange line).
* Considering the recent price action then we should see the retest and an optimal buying zone should stay between $9.5 to $12.5
* First targets updated on the chart room
Good luck!
NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NIO here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$NIO 1H viewQuite interesting setup.
Also below are interesting points to consider:
1. RMB vs us dollar, approx +8% gain favor RMB
2. Most commodities are priced in US dollar, a rise in RMB is comparable to a discount in metals of -8%
3. NIO selling mostly in China benefits from the strengthen of RBM
3. Commodity prices are down on average -30% from peak levels
4. Lithium prices are down on average -20% from peak levels
5. China energy inflation much lower than Europe and US
NIO Inc. Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the $15 strike puts when i wrote you this article, which are trading now at $3.50 from $1.14:
Then you should know that looking at the NIO Inc. options chain ahead of earnings, i would buy the $12.5 strike price Calls with
2022-11-18 expiration date for about
$0.38 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NIO Inc. Bull flagNIO earning report shared with the market their ambitions and expectations on Q4.
China Covid lockdowns are being lifted at some regions, specially Hefei (outbreak early October) where NIOs plants are located.
This change will correct the delays in deliveries.
Sales growth YTD +32%
“ CEO William Bin Li said in a statement that the company has seen strong interest in its new ET5 sedan, which he expects “will support a substantial acceleration of our overall revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2022.” The ET5, the company’s second sedan. “
Nio Finally Bullish? NIO
Short Term - We look to Buy a break of 23.79 (stop at 21.92)
We look for gains to be extended today. Price action has broken from the previous formation. The reaction higher is positive and highlights a clear reversal. Short term oscillators have turned positive.
Our profit targets will be 28.11 and 32.51
Resistance: 28.00 / 34.00 / 45.00
Support: 23.00 / 20.00 / 13.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NIO Price TargetPrice target for NIO is $21.
All the Chinese stocks are primed for a strong recovery after China`s top administrative authority said it would work to stabilize the stock market and boost economic growth!
Traders are expecting the Chinese government would support the stock market like the FED did in the US.
Nio to Drive Lower? NIO - Short Term - We look to Sell at 27.16 (stop at 29.98)
We look to sell rallies. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 28.00. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 28.26 from 33.80 to 19.31. 20 1day EMA is at 26.50. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 27.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 19.36 and 16.80
Resistance: 28.00 / 34.00 / 45.00
Support: 20.00 / 15.00 / 10.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.