Nison
BTC: SMA 3/12 Long PlanI've got my plan figured out now. If SMA 3/12 on Daily does not Dead Cross I'm back in long. This strategy has been extremely profitable and low risk for me over the years in major situations. I used this method to get into this up wave on the Weekly chart and it now proves itself relevant on the Daily. I love this strategy and I definitely recommend you consider this in clinch situations. Here is a Daily chart showing how a failure to Dead Cross would confirm a Change of Polarity (resistance becoming support), as well as confirming resistance if it does Dead Cross. I love these binary decisions! On the Weekly chart I circle when I last used this method to enter this up-wave. Seriously, just waiting to trade these types of setups on Weekly and Daily charts makes everything so much simpler and super profitable. It's also an excellent way to stay long. You can simply hold until it looks like there's a high risk the MAs may Dead Cross again. I love it.
Bitcoin: Buy- Weekly Trend/Momentum is repeating DeMark 9-13-9 patterns.
- Multiple Doji hint that buyers are absorbing supply.
- Bollinger Lower Band.
- 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
- Oscillators oversold.
- Nison PB&J buying sweet spot is on pullback into SMA 10 / EMA 30.
- Pivots S1 support.
T1: $ 80,300
T2: $105,300
T3: $230,600
Bitcoin: Nison - 3 EMA's System & 5EMA 8EMA Cross Over SignalsBitcoin: Nison - 3 EMA's System & 5EMA 8EMA Cross Over Signals
101D:
- Fibonacci 161.80 target hit.
- TradingView Technical Strategy Oscillators: Sell.
69D:
- Fibonacci 161.80 target hit.
- TradingView Technical Strategy Oscillators: Sell.
- Stochastics %K / %D oversold dead cross.
1W:
- DeMark 5/9 Buy Setup.
- KAMA dead cross.
- RSI(5) breakdown.
- MACD dead cross.
- DMI trend reversal.
1D:
Nison: 3 EMA's System
Nison: 5EMA AND 8EMA CROSS OVER
Short Opportunities: 49,459.71.
Short Opportunities: 5 ticks below Daily candle close, trailing under Daily candle close on higher lows until executed.
Bitcoin: Nison - PB&J Short SignalsBitcoin: Nison - PB&J Short Signals
Bitcoin hit Pivots Target R1/R2 and began it's reversal in the form of two High Wave Candles ("The market is confused" - Nison) followed by a bearish Engulfing Pattern on DeMark Sell Setup 7/9. The high reached just under $65,000, achieving $64,895.22.
The market fell and SMA 10 / EMA 30 Dead Crossed on DeMark Buy Setup 8/9. Candles 7, 8, & 9 found support in the $47,555 area, with the DeMark Perfected Buy Setup 9 candle reversing off of TDST support.
Drawing a Fibonacci Retracement from the Low to the High, we see that price has bounced into the PB&J short Sweet Spot between SMA 10 / EMA 30 after a Dead Cross, at 61.80% Fibonacci resistance.
If today's candle closes as a bearish candlestick reversal signal such as a Doji (maybe, indicating that "The market is tired" - Nison), Dark Cloud Cover, Bearish Engulfing Pattern, or Evening Star, this would give a short signal per candlestick analysis.
Short: Bearish candlestick reversal pattern (candle close)
SL: Above 50% Fibonacci level and EMA 30
T1: Above 78.60% Fibonacci level
T2: Above Hammer support
T3: Above Monthly Pivots S2 support
T4: Above 127.20 Fibonacci level and Hammer support
T1: 51,300
T2: 47,600
T3: 45,050
T4: 43,500
Note: If you don't rigorously follow a risk management strategy, don't short markets.
ETHUSDT - DeMark, Nison, FibonacciEntry: Now
SL: 2200
T1: 2500
T2: 3250
T3: 3500
RR: 2.11, 9.89, 12.48
1W:
- DeMark 5/9 Sell Setup, TD Risk breakout
- Fibonacci pullback from 161.80%, possible support at 127.20%, next target 261.80%
1D:
- Nison Hammer
- Support from Bollinger Basis
- Potential RSI(5) bounce
4H:
- Potential Williams %R breakout
- Potential PB&J Golden Cross
- Bullish MACD & Fisher
1H:
- Hammer within Nison PB&J Sweetspot near EMA 30
- TD Sequential 1/9 Sell Setup
- CCI ~oversold
BTTBNB - Nison: PB&J Low-Vol High-Vol SqueezeBTTBNB - Nison: PB&J Low-Vol High-Vol Squeeze
Entry: Now
SL: 0.00001550
T1: 0.00002550
T2: 0.00002900
T3: 0.00003250
LTCBTC - Nison: PB&J Shadow-30LTCBTC - Nison: PB&J Shadow-30
A Nison PB&J trading pattern may trigger a long condition if a candle closes as a ~Hammer, with the Shadow piercing the 30 EMA, if and only if that candle's volume is higher than the previous candle. SL would be set below the low of the ~Hammer.
BCHBNB - Nison: 20 SMA with RSI(5) - Change of PolarityBCHBNB - Nison: 20 SMA with RSI(5) - Change of Polarity
- BCH has overcome Pivots P and pulled back to P after hitting R1.
- P shows a potential Change of Polarity (old resistance becoming new support).
- The pullback candle closed as a Piercing Pattern, setting horizontal resistance at the low of the pattern (1.8).
- The reversal came on a pullback to SMA 20 (Bollinger Basis).
- Nison 20 SMA with RSI(5) strategy wants RSI to close above 50, pull back, and find support. That will be a long entry signal.
SL: 1.795
T1: 2.175
T2: 2.42
T3: 2.8
RR: ~ 2.17, 4.21, 7.37
Additional Strategy:
Nison: EMA Crossover
- Wait for 4H EMA 5/8 Golden Cross on candle close.
- Set a buy order 2-5 ticks above the next Daily close which has a lower high.
- Trail buy order down until the trade executes.
- Close the trade 7 candles later, including the candle which triggered your entry.
Binance - Long Signals31D:
- 20 Days until TD Sequential trend exhaustion.
- Pivots (Fibonacci) targets R2 & R3 within reach.
1D:
- Above Nison Strategy 'Trading The 9' EMA.
- Williams %R crossing mid range up.
- RSI bounce from mid line on Piercing Pattern in PB&J sweet spot.
12H:
- Piercing Pattern within PB&J sweet spot.
- TD Sequential bullish flip.
8H:
- Above Bollinger center band.
6H:
- Between EMAs suggesting potential bullish reversal.
6H:
- Change of Polarity (old resistance becoming new support)?
- Shadow-30 PB&J pattern long signal within PB&J sweet spot.
- Support bounce on Inverse Fisher ALMA.
- Deep within Fibonacci pullback between 38.2 - 23.6.
4H:
- EMA 50 support.
3H:
- Change of Polarity.
1H:
- Hammer
- Hammer on Bollinger lower band.
- Ichimoku potential reversal area.
PB&J: Shadow-30PB&J: SHADOW-30
If you are new to trading, then start with this pattern!
It is easy to identify, easy to learn, and easy to trade.
What more could you ask for?
HOW TO TRADE THE SHADOW-30 CHART PATTERN
This can be an "everyday" pattern because of its reliability.
It is easy to spot and simple to trade.
THE SETUP
The name Shadow-30 refers to a "shadow" that slices through the "30" period exponential moving average.
This looks like a Hammer on the chart but it doesn't have to be perfect to be considered a Shadow-30.
- The color of the real body is not important.
- The shadow on the chart flushes other traders out of their position.
Note: There is nothing special about the 30 period moving average. It is just a reference.
Look to the left on the chart to determine support and resistance.
When you are trading any kind of long lower shadow or Hammer pattern, always look for volume to be higher than the previous day .
- This suggests that many traders were shaken out and demand is picking up.
- This is important!
THE ENTRY
If you are able to trade during the day then buy on the day of the Hammer near the end of the day. You do not need any kind
of "confirmation" or anything else. You only need to see that price is at a support level and that demand
is coming (volume). That is all the confirmation you need.
If you cannot trade during the day then place your buy stop above the high of this Hammer day. The next
day you'll have to check to see if your order gets filled and then place your stop loss order. You could also use a bracket order.
THE STOP LOSS ORDER
There are two options for the placement of your stop loss order. Each has advantages and disadvantages. You decide what
is right for you.
Option 1:
- Put your stop under the low of the Hammer. The advantage to this is that your stop is far away from your entry price
and you will not likely get stopped out prematurely. The disadvantage to this is that because your stop is so far away, you will
have to buy fewer shares in order to comply with your money management rules.
Option 2:
- Move down to the 1H chart and put your stop below the support area closer near the real body of the candle.
The advantage to this is that you get to buy more shares because your stop is closer to your buy price. The disadvantage to
this is that because your stop is so close, you may get stopped out more often, before a big move happens.
TAKING PROFITS
When you are trading wide range days like Hammers you will find out that many times the chart will trade sideways for a day or two. That is fine.
You are already in the trade just waiting for other traders to enter. Also, the days that follow a Hammer are typically low volatility, narrow
range days like Doji.
Be patient! Do not get anxious to move your stop up. Wait for price to actually move in your favor before you begin trailing your stop.
Once price moves in your favor, then you safely begin to trail your stop loss using your favorite exit strategy to lock in profits.
TRADING TIPS
Focus on those charts where the real body of the candle is close to the 30 EMA. You want as many traders as possible shaken out of this
before you get in.
This setup is reversed for short positions except now your are looking for charts with a Shooting Star pattern through a declining 30 EMA.
Give more weight to setups where price gaps away from the previous candle to end the day in a Hammer.
Always look to the left on the chart to make sure price is at a significant support or resistance area.
WHEN GOOD CHART PATTERNS GO BAD
Yes, you will have losing trades with this pattern.
There is no pattern that will guarantee all winning trades!
But with proper money, trade, and self management, you can do very well with this setup.
BTCUSD: 200 EMA SYSTEM - Potential Buy Setup200 EMA SYSTEM:
- The 200 EMA SYSTEM is very simple and easy to follow.
- It's very appealing with the potential to bring you hundreds of ticks a month.
- Trades with the trend and effectively buys low and sells high.
- Helps identify the main trend - whether the market is going up or down.
Why 200 EMA? Why not use other EMA's like 100 EMA, or 50 EMA or 20 EMA or 10 EMA?
- Because 200 EMA is one very popular indicator used by lots of traders.
Here’s what you need to know about the 200 EMA:
- When price is above the 200 EMA, that’s an uptrend.
- When price is below the 200 EMA, that’s a downtrend
How it works:
- The 200 EMA SYSTEM is a multi-timeframe strategy.
- It uses the Daily chart, the 4H chart, and the 1H chart.
- First, after placing the 200 EMA on your Daily chart, see if it’s an uptrend or a downtrend.
- The Daily chart determines the main trend.
- Next, switch to the 4H chart and see where the 200 EMA is relative to price.
- Is it in the same trend as the Daily chart?
- If so, switch to the 1H chart and check if the 1H chart is in the same trend as the Daily and the 4H charts.
- Your trade entries are executed when the trend in the 1H chart is the same as the 4H and the Daily charts.
- “Buy the dips” and “Sell the rallies” in the 1H timeframe.
Here's how to do it:
Step 1: Check the Daily timeframe: Is the trend up or down?
Step 2: Check the 4H timeframe: is the trend the same as in the Daily chart?
Step 3: Check the 1H timeframe: is the trend the same as in the 4H and Daily chart?
Step 4: Wait for price to come to the 200 EMA and trade the bounce of price on the 200 EMA line.
How to trade the bounce on the 200 EMA line:
- The best way is to use price action by the use of reversal candlesticks.
- Once you get confirmation with a bullish reversal candlestick (for an uptrend trade, place a buy stop order 3-5 ticks above the high of that bullish reversal candlestick.
- Or once you get confirmation with a bearish reversal candlestick, place a sell stop order 3-5 ticks below the low of the reversal candlestick (if this is a downtrend and you are selling short).
- Your stop loss should be placed at a minimum 10-15 ticks outside of the 200 EMA line.
- Use the previous swing high or swing low on the 1H chart as your profit target.
Managing your trade when profitable:
- Use the trailing stop technique: move your stop loss and behind each subsequent swing lows or high as your trade moves in your favor so that you continue to lock in your profit as price travels towards your take profit target level.
Some issues with the 200 EMA strategy:
- What happens if the 1H trend is different from the 4H and the Daily timeframes? Wait until the 1H trend is the same as the 4H and the Daily and then trade the bounce off the 200 EMA.
- What happens if the 4H and the 1H trend are the same and the Daily is different? Same answer as above: Every timeframe has to match and have the same trend. If one timeframe is different, you wait until all are the same trend.
Daily:
4H:
1H:
Netflix: Weekly/Daily Analysis - Exit Long PositionsNFLX Weekly/Daily:
Weekly:
The Weekly chart's ADX numbers are falling such that I'm considering this may break below the PB&J Sweet Spot and potentially dead cross, changing the asset into short mode. It is however within the PB&J buy zone so a bullish reversal candlestick is certainly possible here as well. Bearish MACD divergence and a declining +DI seem to support that this is the end of the bullish wave.
Daily:
As far as Nison's SMA 10/20/200 strategy, shorting this is out of the question until both SMA 10/20 are below SMA 200, and they Dead Cross following. SMA 200 is a 4% drop from here and prior similar price action in this area precipitated an additional -15% drop before reversing bullish after 2 Weeks trading under SMA 200. Given the Weekly and Daily perspective I would close any open positions and only consider reentry on a solid bullish reversal from the SMA 200 zone, and only following a pullback into the SMA 10 / EMA "Sweet Spot" zone after a Golden Cross.
Also, Netflix should pay their damn taxes.