NKE
Nike's Head and Shoulders!This is a bit of a tricky one because the World Cup is just around the corner. You'd think investors would be optimistic at the prospect of Nike's exposure on the largest sporting event in the world. Looking at how the price has trended it might be that all of that optimism might've been priced-in already and it's the pull back in anticipation of the end of the event. That being said, whatever the reason there's looks to be a clear head and shoulders forming meaning there might be a pull back on the horizon.
The preliminary strategy for now, at least unil I can find more evidence over the weekend to the contrary, would be to short the stock and place the stop just above VWAP. Afterwards, I'm looking for evidence around the first indicated resistance level (royal blue) at $ 73.82 to cover the short. I'll do the same at the next resistance level (light blue) at $ 72.96 but by then there must more evidence to support the short but that's light years from now in trading time. But for now we'll rely on the evidence we have that is the MACD using the Ichimoku conversion line as the moving averages under analysis.
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NKE 5-Day Ahead Prediction 04/30 - 05/04 PeriodArtificial Intelligence/Deep Learning Enabled 5 Day Ahead Predicted values for Nike Inc ( NKE ) have been plotted on the chart.
The method used in this prediction is Deep Learning/Artificial Neural Network based, and using complex mathematical models/methodologies to analyze and extract hidden time series features in vast amounts of NKE related data. The "trained" and optimized neural network then generates the multi-day ahead predictions which are plotted on the chart and given in the explanation below.
The expected 5 Day Change is 0.911 %
Predictability Indicator is calculated as : 0.689
Predicted 5-Day Ahead Prices are as follows:
Mon Apr 30 Tue May 01 Wed May 02 Thu May 03 Fri May 04
70.588 70.632 70.343 70.191 70.194
Please note that outliers/non-linearities might occur, however FinBrain's Artificial Intelligence/Deep Learning Enabled predictions indicate the softened/smoothed moving direction of the stocks/commodities/World Indices/ETFs/Foreign Currencies/Cryptocurrencies.
Potential Double TopHi guys. We have a potential entry set up in NKE. This is still very premature to short but it's worth adding this stock to our watch list. A strong breakout will be a reason for a long position but please notice the strong divergence which will favor a humble short set up. Thank you very much indeed.
Sep 26 Earnings: Nike - Reversal in PlayAfter several lackluster quarters on behalf of soft North American sales, the company's strategic efforts have regrew sales potential.
Strong growth in Emerging Markets and its eCommerce platform - Nike.com, expected to top $2B in sales contribution, have boosted overall sales growth.
I believe the company's strategic efforts will results in an easy earnings and sales beat and that the company will up their FY guidance.
I have a $58 to $60 PT for the post earnings move, lasting 30-60 days.
Bulls To Back NikeOn April 25, 2017, the Nike ( NKE ) 100 day moving average (DMA) crossed above its 200 DMA Historically this has occurred 19 times with a minimum gain of 0.495%. It has a median gain of 6.655% and maximum gain of 24.969% over the next 12 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 46.5981. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -3.6803. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock has ended its long-term move downward. The indicator had flattened out and is slowly beginning to move up, which is positive action for the stock.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0529 while the negative is at 0.9499. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up. The positive indicator recently crossed the negative and also is a good sign for Nike.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 58.7329 and D value is 70.9708. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the price action is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value, price action is trending down. The current reading declares the stock recently exited overbought territory. The stock does not need to drop much more for these indicators to begin moving up again.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction has the stock moving up. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in its trend channel, the stock could gain at least 1.63%% over the next 9 trading days.
Half of the companies 100 DMA crossing over the 200 DMA have occurred since 2000. The median gain is 4.902% while the minimum gain is 1.312%. Movement near this median gain level is not impossible. If the stock sticks to recent resistance trendlines, the conservative movement is a gain in the 1.63-2.20% range. I always plan for the conservative plays, but this stock has plenty of upside.