It is about time for NIKE to shine! Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ Support Level Strength:
Nike is currently trading around a strong support zone near $70, a level where the stock has historically shown significant rebounds.
In a previous instance, Nike rallied 27% in under two months after bouncing from this support—suggesting a similar move is possible.
2️⃣ Reversal Signals in Play:
The RSI is showing bullish divergence from oversold levels, further supporting the potential for a recovery.
Fundamental Strengths:
1️⃣ Brand Power:
Nike remains a global leader in the sportswear industry, with unparalleled brand equity and customer loyalty.
2️⃣ Financial Resilience:
Despite recent revenue declines, Nike has shown improved gross margins and strong free cash flow growth, highlighting its ability to manage challenges effectively.
3️⃣ Strategic Initiatives:
Under new leadership, Nike is doubling down on direct-to-consumer sales, innovation, and sustainability—three areas expected to drive future growth and profitability.
4️⃣ Global Expansion:
Nike’s market share, combined with its global reach and innovation in product lines, creates a strong foundation for sustained revenue growth.
Analyst Sentiment and Forecasts:
Analysts maintain a "Buy" rating on Nike, with price targets ranging from $85.92 to $92.47, representing a 14.68% to 30.53% potential upside from the current price of $70.84.
While short-term revenue challenges exist, forecasts suggest Nike’s strategic adjustments will drive a recovery, leading to appreciation in its stock price.
Why This Matters:
✅ Historical tendency to rebound from the $70 support level with significant gains.
✅ Strong global brand equity and market presence.
✅ Strategic focus on innovation, direct-to-consumer sales, and sustainability.
✅ Positive analyst sentiment and attractive upside potential.
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: $77 – Short-term target based on immediate resistance.
🎯 TP2: $88 – Just below the previous increase from support for a safe exit.
🎯 TP3: $95 – Aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
🎯 TP4: $110 – Corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
🎯 TP5: $124 – Matches the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
Nke_analysis
Nike's Technical rating "Indicator" since day one is flashing!The only other time we have had such a low readings we had (-76%) drawdown, we are setting on (-60%) this week therefore the risk down is another 16% correction. I have copied the following from Tradingview website to give u an insight on this indicator !
" Definition
Technical Ratings is a technical analysis tool that combines the ratings of several technical indicators to make it easier for traders and investors to find profitable trades.
Calculations
These are the criteria used to determine the rating of the individual indicators used. Note that changes from the last bar are used to determine falling or rising states:
All Moving Averages
Buy — MA value < price
Sell — MA value > price
Neutral — MA value = price
Ichimoku Cloud
Buy — lead line 1 > lead line 2 and base line > lead line 1 and conversion line > base line and price > conversion line
Sell — lead line 1 < lead line 2 and base line < lead line 1 and conversion line < base line and price < conversion line
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Relative Strength Index
Buy — indicator < 30 and rising
Sell — indicator > 70 and falling
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Stochastic
Buy — main and signal lines < 20 and main line > signal line
Sell — main and signal lines > 80 and main line < signal line
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Commodity Channel Index
Buy — indicator < -100 and rising
Sell — indicator > 100 and falling
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Average Directional Index
Buy — +DI line > -DI line and indicator > 20 and rising
Sell — +DI line < -DI line and indicator > 20 and rising
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Awesome Oscillator
Buy — saucer and values are greater than 0, or cross over the zero line
Sell — saucer and values are lower than 0, or cross under the zero line
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Momentum
Buy — indicator values are rising
Sell — indicator values are falling
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
MACD
Buy — main line values > signal line values
Sell — main line values < signal line values
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Stochastic RSI
Buy — downtrend and K and D lines < 20 and K line > D line
Sell — uptrend and K and D lines > 80 and K line < D line
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Williams Percent Range
Buy — indicator < lower band and rising
Sell — indicator > upper band and falling
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Bulls and Bears Power
Buy — uptrend and BearPower < zero and BearPower is rising
Sell — downtrend and BullPower > zero and BullPower is falling
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
Ultimate Oscillator
Buy — UO > 70
Sell — UO < 30
Neutral — neither Buy nor Sell
The numerical value of the Sell rating is -1, Neutral is 0 and Buy is 1. The group and overall ratings are calculated as the average of the ratings of the individual indicators.
Recommendations for the group or overall ratings are based on this numerical rating value and determined according to the following criteria:
— Strong Sell
— Sell
— Neutral
— Buy
— Strong Buy
The basics
The recommendations given by the indicator are based on the ratings calculated for the various indicators included in it.
The overall rating of the indicator includes two large groups of indicators. The first consists of SMAs and EMAs with different lengths (MA lengths are 10, 20, 30, 50, 100 and 200), the Ichimoku Cloud (9, 26, 52), VWMA (20) and HullMA (9). The second one is calculated on the following oscillators: RSI (14), Stochastic (14, 3, 3), CCI (20), ADX (14, 14), AO, Momentum (10), MACD (12, 26, 9), Stochastic RSI (3, 3, 14, 14), Williams %R (14), Bulls and Bears Power and UO (7,14,28). Each group's rating is calculated separately, so you can select the group in the indicator settings and its respective rating calculation will be displayed on the chart.
What to look for
The Technical Ratings tool is designed to have values that fluctuate above and below a zero line. Its values are plotted as a histogram of red, blue and gray bars, and depend on your selection in the Rating is based on field of the script's inputs, where you can choose to view the value of the MAs rating, the oscillators rating, or the average of both.
Columns are gray when the value of the indicator is between 0.1 and -0.1. Progressively more saturated blue columns indicate rising values above 0.1, and more saturated red columns indicate progressively falling values below -0.1.
The label at the end of the histogram displays the state of the MAs, oscillators, and the overall rating. Its color is determined by the value of the rating selected in the Rating is based on field: gray for neutral, blue for Buy or Strong Buy, red for Sell or Strong Sell.
Summary
Technical Ratings can be a valuable technical analysis tool for many analysts or traders. Many traders use a selection of complementary indicators to make better decisions. Technical Ratings simplifies this task by combining the most popular indicators and their signals.
Note: TradingView does not recommend that anyone buy or sell any financial instrument based solely on the recommendations of the Technical Ratings indicator. Recommendations merely indicate the fulfillment of certain conditions of a set of individual indicators that may help the user to spot potentially favorable conditions for a transaction, if this is consistent with his/her strategy. "
end of copy !
Nike Price Earnings Ratio is similar to 2017 or not ?
Quoting P/E Ratio meaning:
Investopedia
" What Is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio?
The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio measures a company's share price relative to its earnings per share (EPS). Often called the price or earnings multiple, the P/E ratio helps assess the relative value of a company's stock. It's handy for comparing a company's valuation against its historical performance, against other firms within its industry, or the overall market."
end of quote
NIKE: One of the largest brands on this planet! BUY NOWNIKE: One of the largest brands on this planet! BUY NOW! 50% Upside Ahead
If you believe Nike is a dying company or will lose to HOKA, ON, and whoever else as the years roll on you clearly haven't studied Nike hard enough and seen the continued destruction of EVERY SINGLE brand to try and fight them...Adidas, Under Armor, Puma, New Balance, Asics, Brooks, etc. etc. etc. The LIST WILL INDEED continue.
This name is not a H5 Setup...YET. But, I'm adding it to my watchlist as we have a beautiful Inverse H&S, Sitting on a Volume Shelf, Wr% divergence, and a Hammer Candle which typically means a reversal of a downtrend. All on the weekly chart!
I believe that Value and Dividend names will be the hot ticket stocks in 2025 due to how beaten down they all are and so much treasury and high-interest savings money flowing into the markets, choosing this category of stocks to be on the safer side as that is the type.
Once we get the BULLISH Green BUY signal on the H5 Indicator, it's all over, and you will not see Nike at these levels, most likely EVER AGAIN! You all realize Nike has a large MOAT and is one of the most prolific brands on the planet, right?! Ok, good, I thought you forgot!
Will update once we get the flip to a BUY! Will begin adding in my LT portfolio now due to the value on this company at these levels right now though.
NFA
Nike - Catch this reversal!NYSE:NKE continues its overall uptrend despite the recent drop of -60% to the downside.
All you need in order to catch the reversal of the decade is simply one line: a support trendline. Nike is currently approaching a support trendline, which has been sending prices higher for the past 30 years. Just this fact alone makes me believe that we will see (much) higher prices on Nike over the next couple of weeks and months, but we still need bullish confirmation first!
Levels to watch: $70
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NKE (NIKE, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 94.49On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 1 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 94.49
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
The Trend Is Your Friend... NYSE:NKE
FROM MY PRESPECTIVE!!!
Recently it just bounced off of its' sloping support... Heading into earnings Running Uphill...
Where does it go from the bounce off its' support? You're right, Uphill Towards Resistance!!!
You see the numbers, make an educated decision and don't blame me... I'm just here sharing what I see... Please, tell me, what do you see???
I am comfortable with both 88C expiring 9/27 and 88C expiring 10/4, 3 days after earnings!!!
NIKE | JUST BUY ITNike topped Wall Street estimates for first quarter profit on Thursday as higher prices of its sneakers and apparel helped offset a hit from waning demand and persistent cost pressures, sending its shares up about 8% in extended trading.
Nike (NKE) is the largest apparel company in the world, with leading positions across different categories and regions. The company is currently facing challenges such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Such issues have resulted in the stock dropping by 19% YTD. Although these headwinds are serious, I believe the company's durable brand, leading position, and high-quality products should allow it to come out stronger on the other end.
'Nike is a brand that is of China and for China' -John Donahoe
Like every other apparel and retail company, Nike thought post-pandemic demand would continue, so it increased production, which led to inventory levels hitting an all-time high in Q1-FY22, but as we know, that wasn't the case. Although NKE's inventory level is down from all-time highs, investors are still concerned, especially when inflation is eating into people's pockets and growth in China is slowing.
Inflation in North America has come down to 3.7% from its peak in June at 9.1%, but it is still a concern in Europe (6.1% in the EU union). As you can see from the graph below, sales in China have been decreasing for the past two years. There are multiple ways one can explain this: COVID related lockdowns resulted in the shuttering of some stores. Plus, Nike and other apparel companies started facing a backlash in China in 2021 due to the alleged use of forced labor in cotton production. However, if the company is successful at expanding into China, then we can expect a lot of room for growth.
Now that I have addressed the problems that are facing Nike, let me explain why I believe the company will overcome them. Nike sponsors the most well-known athletes such as Cristiano Ronaldo (+600 million Instagram followers), LeBron James, Michael Jordan, the late Kobe Bryant, Rafael Nadal, Tiger Woods, and more. This has helped the company build a loyal customer base and further boost its brand equity. With a loyal customer base comes pricing power, and as Warrant Buffet said:
Nike's pricing power is no joke. Its shoes have reached a level where they are considered luxury, with some selling for more than the $10,000 mark. In 2017, Nike's median price for a shoe regardless of gender was $80, which is $10 more than its biggest competitor, Adidas. I know 2017 was a long time ago, but shoe prices have increased since then, and I believe Nike is still in the lead given their dominant market position. Plus, Nike targets mostly the age demographic of 25 and 34. These are people who have not settled in yet. They just graduated college with extra income to spend on things such as expensive shoes. I believe this pricing power will continue as the company continues to sponsor talented upcoming athletes to build trust with customers.
Another way to measure Nike's brand power is by comparing its marketing spending against its peers. Nike's marketing budget in FY 23 was $4 billion, or 7.9% of revenue. On the other hand, Adidas spent 38% and Under Armour 11%. These companies have been allocating more of their revenue towards marketing but have experienced nowhere near the growth Nike has. NKE's association with well-known athletes in the U.S. has allowed them to have a 96% awareness rate, 53% usage rate, and 43% loyalty rate. Going forward, I expect the company's brand will remain high-quality due to sponsorships, high-quality products, and market-leading technology.
Founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1994, Nike has come a long way from its first store in Portland, Oregon. As of May 31, 2023, the company had 369 stores within the U.S. and 663 internationally, operating in more than 190 countries. Stores include franchised stores and third-party retailers. The firm owns multiple brands such as Jordan, Converse, and Nike. The company derives sales from four main segments and across four regions. I excluded Converse (4.74% of revenue) from the graphs below because I wanted to focus on the Nike brand. The company's app, NikePlus, has more than 160 million users.
On a trailing free cash flow basis, the stock yields over 3.3% relative to its enterprise value. My ~$104 May 24 PT implies a 28.00x P/E and 20.00x EV/EBITDA. Both multiples are below the ten-year NTM average and in line with the median. I project revenue to compound at a rate of 6.47% over the next three years, driven by market growth and new products, while shares decrease at a rate of 2.67%, driven by stock buybacks. The company is forecast to spend $12.1 billion on share repurchases over the same period.
Additionally, I believe the company still has room for margin improvement driven by price increases and DTC mix (direct-to-consumer). In FY 2019, DTC sales constituted 31% of revenue, and that figure stood at 44% in FY 2023. Although NKE is trading at a premium compared to peers, I believe it is reasonable considering its scale, high-quality products, and strong brand.
The first risk that I would associate with NKE is competition. The company competes with conglomerates such as Addidas, Puma, New Balance, Under Armour, and more. Additionally, e-commerce has made it very easy for anyone to start their own footwear brand. Other key risks to my rating include supply chain distributions, a recessionary environment, and slow growth in China.
Finally, we can point out that NKE appears technically oversold heading into the Q1 earnings report. From the chart , there has been relentless selling pressure over the last four months since NKE was trading at $130 per share.
The potential that NKE delivers a "good" earnings report with encouraging guidance, brushing aside fears the company is facing a deeper deterioration in its operating environment could be enough for shares to reprice higher. Simply put, our take is that NKE bears have gone too far, opening the door for bulls to take control.
The bottom line is that Nike is currently experiencing headwinds such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Every business goes through similar challenges at one time or another, but I believe Nike is well-positioned to overcome these issues due to its durable brand, high-quality products, and leading position. I expect the company to keep endorsing high-quality athletes to elevate its brand equity and further strengthen its pricing power. My valuation implies a price target of ~$104 for May 31, 2024.
If you into NIKE brand you can watch Air film and read Shoe Dog book as well
Nike Faces Stock Tumble Despite Earnings Triumph 📉Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), the athletic apparel powerhouse, saw its shares take a hit in after-hours trading despite outperforming expectations in its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings report. While the company reported robust revenue and profit figures, it issued a cautious outlook for the first half of fiscal 2025, sending ripples through the investor community.
The Numbers:
Nike's third-quarter revenue climbed to $12.43 billion, surpassing analysts' projections, accompanied by an earnings per share of 77 cents. However, the elation was short-lived as the company forewarned of a low single-digit decline in revenue for the first half of fiscal 2025.
Reasons Behind the Decline:
Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend attributed the anticipated revenue dip to the company's strategic shift in its product portfolio towards innovation. This pivot, while essential for long-term growth, poses short-term challenges, particularly amidst a subdued economic landscape globally.
Global Market Dynamics:
Nike's performance across different regions depicted a mixed picture. While revenue in Greater China showed a modest increase, the EMEA segment witnessed a decline, reflecting the complexities of navigating diverse market conditions.
Olympic Hopes:
With the upcoming Summer Olympic Games on the horizon, Nike is banking on several product launches and marketing endeavors to captivate consumers. The event presents a pivotal opportunity for the brand to showcase its latest innovations and amplify its brand storytelling.
Strategic Adjustments:
Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) is taking proactive measures to align its product offerings with evolving consumer preferences. This includes reducing the supply of classic footwear models in favor of newer, innovative products that resonate better with modern consumers.
Investor Reaction:
Despite the positive earnings report, Nike's stock experienced a significant drop in after-hours trading, signaling investor concerns about the company's near-term revenue outlook. The stock plummeted to its lowest levels since last October, reflecting the apprehension in the market.
Outlook:
Nike navigates through short-term headwinds, its focus remains on driving innovation and capturing market opportunities. The success of its strategic initiatives, coupled with the buzz surrounding the Summer Olympics, will be closely monitored by investors in the coming months.
In conclusion, while Nike's earnings beat underscores its fundamental strength, the stock's post-earnings dip underscores the challenges ahead as the company charts its course in a dynamic marketplace.
NKE Buy TF H1. TP = 111.70On the hour chart the trend started on June 1 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit. A possible take profit level is 111.70
But do not forget about SL = 102.72
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
Ready for tomorrow? NKE prediction for the next few days This is not financial and I barely, if at all, know what I am doing. But, please follow if you like my predictions.
I thought I would chart NKE because Cramer talked about it the other day and it's fun to watch his inverses. He said Nike was a good buy at the end of last week.
I figured with an economy that is in a recession (not technically), inflation out of control, supply issues, and Covid over in China that this would be a good opportunity to predict a severe downtrend.
There really isn't much in the chart that needs to be stated. The trend is really bad. It is on a steep downtrend and I am expecting a much more serious dip before the middle of July.
The only support I see in the long run is at about $95. If it breaks $95 then I could see an even stronger dip to $65. The last time it was at this level was in 2020. It is already making new lows.
Nike sitting on 20-year support lineJust an observation: Nike (NKE) is currently sitting on the Fibonacci Bollinger Band (FBB) plot line that has generally acted as support for the past 20 years. The weekly candles are printing long lower wicks which could suggest a bullish reversal is building along this line. The yearly chart is not overextended and fitting perfectly on multiple linear log trend lines that stretch back decades. Seems like a warning to those who are selling or shorting Nike at this level. Anyone feel differently?
Not financial advice.
NIKE ABC CORRECTIONMarket just finished 1-5 Elliot wave and started going down, we are waiting for it to bounce off of a 50% fib zone, retrace to a trend and go down to our demand zone, where we should enter the market for a long position and expect retrace to 50% fib zone of downwards movement.
AROON: Shows gain in a bearish momentum so it means we should hit our 50% fib zone
Supply/demand zone: Shows strong demand zone at 79$ zone where we should get our entry
entry: 79
invalidation: 48 (I will not be putting invalidation on my trade because Nike is on of the industry's giants and we should see rise in price in a long term.)
target: 118