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Nke_analysis

Nike - Catch this reversal!NYSE:NKE continues its overall uptrend despite the recent drop of -60% to the downside. All you need in order to catch the reversal of the decade is simply one line: a support trendline. Nike is currently approaching a support trendline, which has been sending prices higher for the past 30 years. Just this fact alone makes me believe that we will see (much) higher prices on Nike over the next couple of weeks and months, but we still need bullish confirmation first! Levels to watch: $70 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NYSE:NKELong
by basictradingtv
18
NKE (NIKE, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 94.49On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 1 (linear regression channel). There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 94.49 This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.” Using a trailing stop is also a good idea! Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you! Good luck! Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
NYSE:NKELong
by WeBelieveInTrading
The Trend Is Your Friend... NYSE:NKE FROM MY PRESPECTIVE!!! Recently it just bounced off of its' sloping support... Heading into earnings Running Uphill... Where does it go from the bounce off its' support? You're right, Uphill Towards Resistance!!! You see the numbers, make an educated decision and don't blame me... I'm just here sharing what I see... Please, tell me, what do you see??? I am comfortable with both 88C expiring 9/27 and 88C expiring 10/4, 3 days after earnings!!!
NYSE:NKELong
by FliCityOptions
NIKE | JUST BUY ITNike topped Wall Street estimates for first quarter profit on Thursday as higher prices of its sneakers and apparel helped offset a hit from waning demand and persistent cost pressures, sending its shares up about 8% in extended trading. Nike (NKE) is the largest apparel company in the world, with leading positions across different categories and regions. The company is currently facing challenges such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Such issues have resulted in the stock dropping by 19% YTD. Although these headwinds are serious, I believe the company's durable brand, leading position, and high-quality products should allow it to come out stronger on the other end. 'Nike is a brand that is of China and for China' -John Donahoe Like every other apparel and retail company, Nike thought post-pandemic demand would continue, so it increased production, which led to inventory levels hitting an all-time high in Q1-FY22, but as we know, that wasn't the case. Although NKE's inventory level is down from all-time highs, investors are still concerned, especially when inflation is eating into people's pockets and growth in China is slowing. Inflation in North America has come down to 3.7% from its peak in June at 9.1%, but it is still a concern in Europe (6.1% in the EU union). As you can see from the graph below, sales in China have been decreasing for the past two years. There are multiple ways one can explain this: COVID related lockdowns resulted in the shuttering of some stores. Plus, Nike and other apparel companies started facing a backlash in China in 2021 due to the alleged use of forced labor in cotton production. However, if the company is successful at expanding into China, then we can expect a lot of room for growth. Now that I have addressed the problems that are facing Nike, let me explain why I believe the company will overcome them. Nike sponsors the most well-known athletes such as Cristiano Ronaldo (+600 million Instagram followers), LeBron James, Michael Jordan, the late Kobe Bryant, Rafael Nadal, Tiger Woods, and more. This has helped the company build a loyal customer base and further boost its brand equity. With a loyal customer base comes pricing power, and as Warrant Buffet said: Nike's pricing power is no joke. Its shoes have reached a level where they are considered luxury, with some selling for more than the $10,000 mark. In 2017, Nike's median price for a shoe regardless of gender was $80, which is $10 more than its biggest competitor, Adidas. I know 2017 was a long time ago, but shoe prices have increased since then, and I believe Nike is still in the lead given their dominant market position. Plus, Nike targets mostly the age demographic of 25 and 34. These are people who have not settled in yet. They just graduated college with extra income to spend on things such as expensive shoes. I believe this pricing power will continue as the company continues to sponsor talented upcoming athletes to build trust with customers. Another way to measure Nike's brand power is by comparing its marketing spending against its peers. Nike's marketing budget in FY 23 was $4 billion, or 7.9% of revenue. On the other hand, Adidas spent 38% and Under Armour 11%. These companies have been allocating more of their revenue towards marketing but have experienced nowhere near the growth Nike has. NKE's association with well-known athletes in the U.S. has allowed them to have a 96% awareness rate, 53% usage rate, and 43% loyalty rate. Going forward, I expect the company's brand will remain high-quality due to sponsorships, high-quality products, and market-leading technology. Founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1994, Nike has come a long way from its first store in Portland, Oregon. As of May 31, 2023, the company had 369 stores within the U.S. and 663 internationally, operating in more than 190 countries. Stores include franchised stores and third-party retailers. The firm owns multiple brands such as Jordan, Converse, and Nike. The company derives sales from four main segments and across four regions. I excluded Converse (4.74% of revenue) from the graphs below because I wanted to focus on the Nike brand. The company's app, NikePlus, has more than 160 million users. On a trailing free cash flow basis, the stock yields over 3.3% relative to its enterprise value. My ~$104 May 24 PT implies a 28.00x P/E and 20.00x EV/EBITDA. Both multiples are below the ten-year NTM average and in line with the median. I project revenue to compound at a rate of 6.47% over the next three years, driven by market growth and new products, while shares decrease at a rate of 2.67%, driven by stock buybacks. The company is forecast to spend $12.1 billion on share repurchases over the same period. Additionally, I believe the company still has room for margin improvement driven by price increases and DTC mix (direct-to-consumer). In FY 2019, DTC sales constituted 31% of revenue, and that figure stood at 44% in FY 2023. Although NKE is trading at a premium compared to peers, I believe it is reasonable considering its scale, high-quality products, and strong brand. The first risk that I would associate with NKE is competition. The company competes with conglomerates such as Addidas, Puma, New Balance, Under Armour, and more. Additionally, e-commerce has made it very easy for anyone to start their own footwear brand. Other key risks to my rating include supply chain distributions, a recessionary environment, and slow growth in China. Finally, we can point out that NKE appears technically oversold heading into the Q1 earnings report. From the chart , there has been relentless selling pressure over the last four months since NKE was trading at $130 per share. The potential that NKE delivers a "good" earnings report with encouraging guidance, brushing aside fears the company is facing a deeper deterioration in its operating environment could be enough for shares to reprice higher. Simply put, our take is that NKE bears have gone too far, opening the door for bulls to take control. The bottom line is that Nike is currently experiencing headwinds such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Every business goes through similar challenges at one time or another, but I believe Nike is well-positioned to overcome these issues due to its durable brand, high-quality products, and leading position. I expect the company to keep endorsing high-quality athletes to elevate its brand equity and further strengthen its pricing power. My valuation implies a price target of ~$104 for May 31, 2024. If you into NIKE brand you can watch Air film and read Shoe Dog book as well
Editors' picks
NYSE:NKELong
by moonypto
20
Nike Faces Stock Tumble Despite Earnings Triumph 📉Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), the athletic apparel powerhouse, saw its shares take a hit in after-hours trading despite outperforming expectations in its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings report. While the company reported robust revenue and profit figures, it issued a cautious outlook for the first half of fiscal 2025, sending ripples through the investor community. The Numbers: Nike's third-quarter revenue climbed to $12.43 billion, surpassing analysts' projections, accompanied by an earnings per share of 77 cents. However, the elation was short-lived as the company forewarned of a low single-digit decline in revenue for the first half of fiscal 2025. Reasons Behind the Decline: Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend attributed the anticipated revenue dip to the company's strategic shift in its product portfolio towards innovation. This pivot, while essential for long-term growth, poses short-term challenges, particularly amidst a subdued economic landscape globally. Global Market Dynamics: Nike's performance across different regions depicted a mixed picture. While revenue in Greater China showed a modest increase, the EMEA segment witnessed a decline, reflecting the complexities of navigating diverse market conditions. Olympic Hopes: With the upcoming Summer Olympic Games on the horizon, Nike is banking on several product launches and marketing endeavors to captivate consumers. The event presents a pivotal opportunity for the brand to showcase its latest innovations and amplify its brand storytelling. Strategic Adjustments: Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) is taking proactive measures to align its product offerings with evolving consumer preferences. This includes reducing the supply of classic footwear models in favor of newer, innovative products that resonate better with modern consumers. Investor Reaction: Despite the positive earnings report, Nike's stock experienced a significant drop in after-hours trading, signaling investor concerns about the company's near-term revenue outlook. The stock plummeted to its lowest levels since last October, reflecting the apprehension in the market. Outlook: Nike navigates through short-term headwinds, its focus remains on driving innovation and capturing market opportunities. The success of its strategic initiatives, coupled with the buzz surrounding the Summer Olympics, will be closely monitored by investors in the coming months. In conclusion, while Nike's earnings beat underscores its fundamental strength, the stock's post-earnings dip underscores the challenges ahead as the company charts its course in a dynamic marketplace.
NYSE:NKELong
by DEXWireNews
1
Ready for tomorrow? NKE prediction for the next few days This is not financial and I barely, if at all, know what I am doing. But, please follow if you like my predictions. I thought I would chart NKE because Cramer talked about it the other day and it's fun to watch his inverses. He said Nike was a good buy at the end of last week. I figured with an economy that is in a recession (not technically), inflation out of control, supply issues, and Covid over in China that this would be a good opportunity to predict a severe downtrend. There really isn't much in the chart that needs to be stated. The trend is really bad. It is on a steep downtrend and I am expecting a much more serious dip before the middle of July. The only support I see in the long run is at about $95. If it breaks $95 then I could see an even stronger dip to $65. The last time it was at this level was in 2020. It is already making new lows.
NYSE:NKEShort
by Adventure_Joe
Nike sitting on 20-year support lineJust an observation: Nike (NKE) is currently sitting on the Fibonacci Bollinger Band (FBB) plot line that has generally acted as support for the past 20 years. The weekly candles are printing long lower wicks which could suggest a bullish reversal is building along this line. The yearly chart is not overextended and fitting perfectly on multiple linear log trend lines that stretch back decades. Seems like a warning to those who are selling or shorting Nike at this level. Anyone feel differently? Not financial advice.
NYSE:NKELong
by SpyMasterTrades
NIKE ABC CORRECTIONMarket just finished 1-5 Elliot wave and started going down, we are waiting for it to bounce off of a 50% fib zone, retrace to a trend and go down to our demand zone, where we should enter the market for a long position and expect retrace to 50% fib zone of downwards movement. AROON: Shows gain in a bearish momentum so it means we should hit our 50% fib zone Supply/demand zone: Shows strong demand zone at 79$ zone where we should get our entry entry: 79 invalidation: 48 (I will not be putting invalidation on my trade because Nike is on of the industry's giants and we should see rise in price in a long term.) target: 118
NYSE:NKELong
by vf_investment
1
Nike Playing the Short Game? Nike - Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 143.08 (stop at 148.92) Posted a bearish Flag formation. A break of 143.00 is needed to confirm the outlook. Closed below the 20-day EMA. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. The primary trend remains bearish. Daily signals are bearish. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Our profit targets will be 126.53 and 119.05 Resistance: 150.00 / 155.00 / 160.00 Support: 140.00 / 130.00 / 120.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NYSE:NKEShort
by Saxo