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Nkla

NKLA Market Makers Behavior HypothesisFrom the behavior of NKLA since it was exposed as a scam in September, it has appeared to hit certain price floors and then stop. For such a volatile stock with huge questions of its legitimacy and ability to remain an ongoing concern, it is striking that the price would sit within a narrow channel for weeks. Some have theorized that MMs are actively buying and selling within price channels to keep the price from plummeting. They would be doing this so they, their wealthy customers, and the company insiders can exit in an orderly fashion, without alerting the unwashed masses that the house is on fire. This orderly exit keeps the price up while the large blocks are slowly sold off to unsuspecting retail investors. Additionally, the MMs can sell options contracts for BOTH puts and calls, hedging their risk while taking in large insurance premiums due to the stock's inherent IV, which has run 150-200% for months. By holding it steady, they expire out short contracts. I believe I've found a pattern in the data. There are 4 periods of unusually calm prices, each running about 7-10 days and holding prices of 24, 22 and 18. There was a runup on the GM deal/no-deal around 12/1, but that dropped back down to the 18 level, again without continuing to drop, but hitting that 18 floor. If this pattern holds, the floor drops to 16 next week, but it could go to 14 or 12, and then will hold for 7-10 days.
NASDAQ:NKLA
by yolotwice
8
Nikola (NKLA): A Long Ways DownNKLA (18.59/share at the time of this writing) NASDAQ:NKLA In my humble non-expert opinion, Nikola has a long way down to go. I'm not hating on Nikola. In fact I think they're truck designs looks cool but...captain obvious may tell you that this is a no-brainer, and from a business standpoint I agree. I see no potential based on what the company has to offer as of today. The original deal with GM was "revised" AKA downgraded. That deal was worth $2 billion. The original deal already had me scratching my head. The revised deal still has me wondering what Nikola has to offer as a business. The original deal: GM provides fuel-cell technology to Nikola GM manufactures Badger (pickup truck) for Nikola GM takes 11% stake in Nikola in return for above services The revised deal: GM provides fuel-cell technology to Nikola GM gets paid in cash? Based on what Nikola has to offer, there is no reason for Nikola to have any value. What is their competitive advantage? What value is being created? Are they simply marketers? They need to come up with something. From what we first learned in the Hindenburg Report, they don't actually have any proprietary technology that is solely owned by Nikola. It's all third-party agreements. Seems like Trevor Milton is trying to become the Steve Jobs of EVs but without any of the proprietary Apple technology. He's charismatic and I guess he brings ideas together...? So what's left? Comments are welcomed. If you're still holding Nikola, why? And if you're not holding anymore, why not? --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You could argue that NIO is in the same boat since they also have a mega manufacturer (JAC Motors) creating vehicles for them. But there are key differences. 1. JAC Motors is state-owned. The Chinese government has every incentive to prop up their own EV companies even if they're friendly with US-based Tesla. They're not going to snub home-grown competition. 2. The Chinese government has committed to making all automobiles sold in China "eco-friendly" by 2035. Again, homegrown EVs have an advantage. 3. Nio has functional vehicles that run on electric batteries (not downhill gravity). 4. Nio has sales. 5. Prior to its 2020 pop, Nio had a dedicated fanbase to which they created Nio Clubhouses for (to cultivate and grow its cult). --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Refs: www.wsj.com www.wsj.com asia.nikkei.com hindenburgresearch.com www.azcentral.com --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: This is my non-expert opinion and not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NKLAShort
by traderman001
3
Nikola - Fugazi or Fugaizi , lets break it downNikola This stock goes to show that at the market anything can happen and fundamentals and technical analysis just don’t matter ! let me explain. What ever analysis you try implementing on NKLA chart you will receive no logic , no cycle, barely any resistance and support levels, and hardly the ability to analyze the price action movement according to any past movement -and that is for one reason only – SENTIMENT analysis! One of the more significant analysis in the world of stocks that is simply not mentioned enough. NKLA was not directly IPO’d and was traded under VTIQ (VectolQ acquisitions) and reached a market value of nearly 12 billion on mid May -why – “hot air” as I like to call it. Factory was fake, the truck they used was not even driving but was rolling down a hill, and the previous CEO was just a pure salesman, and a damn good one. Stock jumped several times as seen on chart purely on expectation and hype without completing one single vehicle, yet its traded from 25$ to 18$ in the last month in hope of a deal to be made with GM Motors which also isn’t even close to finalizing. GM Motors will be the exclusive supplier of fuel cells for Nikola class 7/8 trucks along with receiving 2 billion equity stakes in Nikola, in return they will basically build the Nikola Badger model for both electric and fuel cell vehicle. This stock moves on sentiment and sentiment only -no technical analysis applied whatsoever. If I had to invest I rather invest in my neighbors daughter lemonade stand before buying this stock as an investment, that being said I would flip it though! If this deal goes through, which doesn’t seem at the moment, the stock will make another guest star appearance on top winners in the screeners, but other then that its dead in the water! This is not an investment advice , just our personal opinion at fatdogoestrading team Trade safe!
NASDAQ:NKLAShort
by FDGT_academy
2
Nikola - Back at $18 - Another Run Up?Just using TA this time around. Checking back in with $NKLA. We got a lot of backlash on our last Nikola position, but ended up with a +44% profit trade in under 10 days. (Check out or last Nikola Post on September 24th.) The stock was beat, oversold, flooded with bad news, and found some support around the $18 range. We're right back at the same levels today, so we're going to try and ride this one again. This is strictly a short term set up and we'll be using a trailing stop loss to secure gains. Targets: 1. $26.30 2. $34.15 3. $42-45 range Stop loss at $16.20 RR: 3.49 Gain of 44% if it hits our first target alone Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates. Cheers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
NASDAQ:NKLALong
by MannyLo
1
NKLA trends lowerNow its pretty to point out that NKLA at the moment is stay way stock for share buyers. Today NKLA pumped maybe trying to short out novice investors by "buying the dip." NEWS -GM says it wont move forward with NKLA, which is a smart play as Trevor Milton is being investigated -SPACS are rumor to be in a bubble and NKLA bubble poped from past FORD ceo interview TA -Well we are in a downtrend (no shit), so the pump today still goes along with the downtrend, with so much negativity I personally wont be buyer till $9, but support lines add up to 11.09-13.95, which may be the new trading range for a long period of time -RSI is below 39.1, which according to bullish price action it would have to stay above -MACD is flipping bullish, but news catalyist doesn't look so hot Final Thoughts I personally have no stake, not even a put. I would be a small buyer between 11.09-13.95, but I would wait till it dips under 11.09 creating "despair" in the market cycle, which could be absolute bottom. This range would last until theres a breakthrough or even sales that come in which would happen in 3-4 years. Again not a buyer here and wait for the final drop of probably Trevor dumping and hitting stop loses of swing traders and long term holders. Plus the EV market is tanking, so not a good buying opportunity.
NASDAQ:NKLAShort
by nathanielx9
NKLA soon to deep below the bearish wedge support of $16.5.As it was expected, Nikola keeps moving to its ultimate destiny, of a penny stock. The technicals couldn't look worse for it, is likely to break the support line around $16.5 and deep to the lower fib extension lines, likely to stop around $8 bucks, by then $16.5 will be a resistance, and it would take a great deal of shenanigans to take it through. I tell you what I see, I see Nikola hitting 8 bucks before Jan, and then wandering around between $8 and $16.5 until it's next Earnings period in Feb just to deep lower from there. It is likely as well that it will sell way before the earnings date, so in mid Jan and beginning of Feb this thing should be on the move again. Fake technology, fake products, fake CEO, fake deals, fake everything, this is a penny stock company.
NASDAQ:NKLAShort
by Allenvik
Will Nikola fulfill its doom prophecy of going below 10 bucks?With so much happening against Nikola this year, some expected it to be already in the single digits, nevertheless the stock still trading around $35 bucks. However I think that after this coming December the speed in which the stock is falling could accelerate, as major stock holders will be able to sell at will its shares locked in contracts until then. So the first week of December should be revealing for Nikola, and I think it will move the stock to the bottom of this descending triangle, to retest the support, and eventually at some time in 2021, maybe deep below towards single digits. The company is a total fiasco with no products to show but empty promises.
NASDAQ:NKLAShort
by Allenvik
2
NKLA - Time to fill the gapsHello everyone, as you can see on the daily chart we have 2 gaps that haven't been filled and in stocks, usually those gaps like to be filled. I am well aware of the bad news for NKLA and the locked shares due to 3rd of December and this is another reason why I think that we will see big upside to fill those gaps and most likely we will see those shares being sold on 3rd of December. It's a risky play, but based on the huge buy volume that we saw which broke through the huge daily triangle, this stock has the potential to fly to atleast 40$. If we don't break through the resistance right now though, we will fall to 18$.
NASDAQ:NKLALong
by donaitelo