EURNOKEUR should be fairly strong in the coming weeks and we are currently at two support lines so I'm buying into the current retracement.
NOK
USD/NOK 1H Chart: Pair consolidates near four-month lowThe US Dollar has been trading in a channel down against the Norwegian Krone since mid-October. The bottom boundary of this pattern was tested last Wednesday when the pair hit a four-month low of 7.82.
It has remained relatively stable during the past week. The Greenback re-tested the aforementioned low a few sessions later but nevertheless failed to form a distinct wave either up or down.
It is expected that the pair continues to approach the upper boundary of both channels near the 7.88 mark. The steepness of the longer-term channel demonstrate that this pattern could be breached in the nearest time. However, the Greenback should still overcome a significant resistance cluster set by the 100– and 55-hour SMAs, the weekly PP and the monthly S3 circa 7.87; the 200-hour SMA is likewise located nearby at 7.92.
A successful breakout of these levels might suggest that the upside momentum towards the 8.01 area is to persist for several sessions.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Pair likely to breach triangle soonFollowing a southern breakout of a three-month ascending channel, the Euro started to weaken against the Norwegian Krone, thus resulting in a formation of an opposing channel. This pattern was likewise breached on Friday, thus leaving the rate in a symmetrical triangle—a pattern that has already reached its maturity.
Currently, the pair is stranded between the 200-hour SMA from above and the 55– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP from below. Given the strength of the southern barrier, it is more likely that the former is breached. In order to confirm a surge, the pair should also breach the monthly S1 and the weekly R1 circa 9.7050. A possible upside target in this scenario could be the monthly PP circa 9.85.
On the other hand, the 9.56 area should limit further losses in case bears take the upper hand.
Unhappy christmas for USD, and new year's eve too ;-)A negative market pressure on USD continue to push USD to lower prices.
This is really clear on crosses with huge movement.
On USDNOK a long term market pressure of -4.8 and a short term market pressure of -6.8 is driving the prices in a continue fall, and the market did'nt find an hard rock bottom.
This analysis is based on market pressure.
On my twitter profile twitter.com you can find everyday the market pressure value for all crosses.
Have a nice trading !
Target in aim EUR start to lose power and the cross want to go directly on the target delimited by the two supports in chart
A long term market pressure of - 11.7 confirm the downtrend
This analysis is based on market pressure.
On my twitter profile twitter.com you can find everyday the market pressure value for all crosses.
Have a nice trading !
USD/NOK 1H Chart: Breached long-term channelThe US Dollar has been appreciating against the Norwegian Krone in a channel up since late August.
During this period of appreciation, the pair managed to reach its six-month high of 8.4161 on December 21. After that, the bearish sentiment took over and thus allowed for a breakout of the aforementioned long-term channel earlier this week.
It is expected that the Greenback could be tended north during the following sessions; however, this upward movement might not be very significant. A possible target in this case might be the 8.2690 area, as the monthly and weekly PPs and the 200-hour SMA are located nearby.
By and large, the bearish sentiment should eventually prevail and thus push the rate lower.
USD/NOK 1H Chart: Greenback re-tests channelThe US Dollar has been appreciating against the Norwegian Krone in a channel up for the last four months. The trading range within this pattern, however, shifted upwards when the rate failed to reach the bottom channel boundary three weeks ago. The same situation occurred last week.
As apparent on the chart, the Greenback was trading between 8.2523 and 8.3509 since late November. A massive surge last week breached this range and allowed for a re-test of the upper channel boundary circa 8.39.
Technical indicators suggest that the rate is likely to either move lower or remain near 8.38 during the following day. The nearest resistance is the monthly R1 and weekly R2 circa 8.41, while significant support is set by the 100– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 8.31.
It is likely that the US Dollar starts weakening during the second half of this week, thus approaching the monthly PP at 8.2551.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Euro points to weaknessThe common European currency has been appreciating against the Norwegian Krone in an ascending since late September. This pattern has guided the pair up to the 9.9156 mark—its highest level during the past several years.
Apart from this channel, the pair is likewise trading in a junior one valid since November 21. Its slope is relatively steep; however, as apparent on the chart, the Euro has failed to initiate a solid wave up.
This suggests that a change in the bullish sentiment might occur soon. This assumption is likewise supported by technical indicators.
In terms of support, the pair might hinder near the 9.75 area near where the monthly PP, the 200-hour SMA and the weekly S1 are located.
Ready for a long risingThe USD is waking up and this cross seek higher prices.
This maybe a good entry point for the next target of a bull trend
The market pressure long term (+1.8) and short term (+5.5) give us the information that the cross is pushing up
USD/NOK 1H Chart: Rate stranded in wedgeAfter reaching the 2016/2017 low of 7.7018 on September 8, USD/NOK started a period of recovery in an ascending channel.
If looking at the current situation, the pair’s latest wave down began two weeks ago and it is gradually leading the US Dollar towards the bottom boundary of the previously-mentioned channel. This movement has been stranded in a falling wedge.
From a theoretical point of view, all indications point to a soon breakout north. Given that the pair retraced from the 50.0% Fibo, the Greenback might still push slightly lower down to the 8.09 area where the 38.2% Fibo and the weekly S1 are located. However, the rate’s subsequent movement should be to the upside.
Meanwhile, the steepness of the channel up is unlikely to hold for long now, and thus the pair could eventually break the bottom boundary of this pattern—most probably during next week. A medium-term upside target is expected to be the monthly R1 at 8.3142.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Pair tests triangleThe common European currency is trading against the Norwegian Krone in a channel up valid since mid-July. The latest test of its upper line occurred on October 31.
Along the way, the rate entered another patter—a descending triangle. The general characteristics of this pair suggest that the rate should break out to the upside.
The rate hindering near the upper triangle boundary might serve as an early indication of such a move. This scenario would set the Euro towards the upper boundary of a junior channel circa 9.56.
However, the rate has been stranded between the 55– and 200-hour SMAs for two sessions. A breach of one of these lines is likely to set the tone for the subsequent movement. In case the 200-hour SMA is breached, the aforementioned scenario should occur.
Conversely, a breach of the former should guide the pair towards the 9.43 mark in the short-term and possibly even lower.
USDNOK long for month of NovemberUSDNOK broke the moving average, suggesting a potential trend change. This in tandem with October's monthly bull candle gives me enough reason to believe an up trend is about to begin.
My orders are placed at fibonacci retracement levels 1.0, 78.6, 61.8, 50.0, 38.2, 23.6. and 0.0.
Each order contains a 30 pip stop loss and no take profit target.
These trades are designed to have 3 different exit strategies: 1) Stop out. 2) Manual closure. 3) End of month manual closure.
* End of month manual closure means that the month is over and trade parameters are no longer valid, therefore I will close the trades manually.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Euro tests three-month highThe common European currency is trading in two ascending channels against the Norwegian Krone. The senior pattern formed around mid-August and has since stranded the rate in a slight upward momentum. The junior one, on the other hand, has been valid for two weeks, having provided two confirmations on each side.
Following a surge mid-Wednesday, the Euro is consequently trading with low volatility along the upper boundary of the senior channel circa 9.48. This level that is likewise a three-month high is supported by the monthly R1.
Given that the rate has shown reluctance to move past the given area, the pair might respect the boundaries of the senior pattern and move lower. However, the steepness of the junior channel suggests that this decline might actually be sideways until 9.42 is reached.
In case the pair reverses near this mark, it is likely that the Euro breaches the senior channel and surges up to 9.56 where the monthly R2 is located.
USD/NOK tests channelThe US Dollar has strengthened against the Norwegian Krone since mid-August, thus forming a channel up.
If looking at the pair’s movement during the past two weeks, a junior ascending channel could also be distinguished. The Greenback is trading near the lower boundary of this short-term pattern, suggesting that a reversal might be in sight. This assumption is likewise supported by technical oscillators that are located near the oversold territory.
A possible point of reversal might be the weekly S1 circa 7.9344. The subsequent movement is expected to be north, as no indication points to a possible breakout of the junior formation. The nearest upside target is the 200-, 100– and 55-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 7.9850.
However, the rate might push even higher towards the weekly R1 at 8.0404. In the medium term, it should move towards the bottom boundary of the senior pattern in the 7.90/94 territory.
Usd Nok Ugly invert SHS not every SHS pattern looks like textbook
so check out this ugly friend of a SHS at Usd Nok..you can clearly spot a transition in price movement
waiting for a neckbreak n close to long this pair
