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ridethepig | NOK for the Yearly Close📌 NOK for the Yearly Close Now comes the traditional complex NOK and SEK map complex. I have mentioned a number of times SEK was in a very good position for sellers, now NOK is joining the disco because it is unlikely that dollar can manage to force the defence. A very amusing chart, for those with a background in waves we are playing the breakdown on a 5 wave multi-decade flow ending. Here we are dealing with a remarkable position for sellers, a staggering -12% downside to go to the nearest support ....meaning the manoeuvre is intended to put pressure on our opponent as one might suppose with capitulation. Invalidation can be defined above the latent outside reversal. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Short
by ridethepig
ridethepig | CADNOK Market Commentary 2020.03.02Eyes on the technical breakdown in CADNOK to kickstart the week, a few important updates to make here as intervention begins globally from Central Banks and OPEC. For those tracking Oil you will know we got the massive meltdown that we have been expecting in the chart-pack since last year: I am tracking a much larger than expected cut from OPEC at 1mbpd and would therefore recommend trading a bounce in risk markets. The view of a cut from BoC this week seems a done-deal too - this will start the round of global easing. On the technical side, targeting a fresh breakdown into the stops at 6.8xx. Invalidation is found above the recent highs. Thanks as usual for keeping the support coming with likes, comments and etc!
Short
by ridethepig
1
ridethepig | Apple in the worm for CADNOKA very good time to update the short-term flow setup for CADNOK after such a brilliant squeeze. For those tracking the 2020 Macro flows: This week we have a simple technical move in play. A textbook case of "Apple in the worm" as it seems to me a poor choice of the moment for buyers to continue the advance. Extending the characteristics position (= swing configuration) by letting buyers go overboard and bet on momentum while the macro defence can be a reliable guardian. A better move is to sell the 6.99xx highs here with targets located initially at the support levels 6.865xx.. and then perhaps 6.47xx. The business of a bullish NOK did not become an attacking instrument; stops can be kept comfortably above the 7.00xx handle. Good luck all those trading CADNOK in the coming sessions, as usual thanks for keeping your support coming with likes, comments and etc!
Short
by ridethepig