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Raytheon - A Potential Earnings Pump To WatchEveryone wants to get rich quick. Because getting rich quick means you: a) Get rich b) Quick Then you can wear big ugly sunglasses, a crappy t-shirt, flipflops, sit on the beach, eat a lot of meat, drink a lot of alcohol, and be promiscuous with women. This is the modern human's dream, right? And so everyone loves to speculate on potential earnings pumps and dumps. There really is more to aim for in life. Raytheon is one of the U.S. Military Industrial Complex cornerstones and is more or less a weapons mill for the NATO proxy war in Ukraine, which is of note because of the recent escalations of the conflict and how it can affect the U.S. Petrodollar, and thus bonds, oil, gold, equities, everything. DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia Geopolitically, the conflict between China and the International Rules Based Order is heating up. The current edict is to "de-risk but not decouple" from China (notice they never say "from the Chinese Communist Party"?). In mid-June CEO Hayes was quoted by the propaganda machines as stating that decoupling from China was pretty much impossible because of all the parts and components that are manufactured in the mainland. What this means, if you ask me, is that going forward, certain companies are going to have a very hard time meeting their target EPS and revenue estimates. Raytheon may very well be one of them, as foreshadowed by a salvo of sanctions the Xi Jinping administration placed on them and Lockheed Martin. The situation in China is very volatile right now. The IRBO wants control of China when the CCP falls. Xi Jinping and the other nationalists want to make sure that outside forces do not steal the motherland. And so one day soon, we may find that Xi has thrown away the CCP in the middle of the U.S. night, and the markets will have themselves a series of consecutive red days like we've all never seen before. Xi can weaponize the crimes against humanity that the Party and the Jiang Zemin faction have committed in the persecution of Falun Gong that started on July 20, 1999, and use the truth to protect both himself and China. Organ harvesting and genocide of a group of 100 million spiritual cultivators with upright faith is certainly enough of a weapon to handle all the threats the motherland can be facing. So why do you care about this if you're trading Raytheon? Because a basic principle of markets is they go up when big money is selling and go down when big money is buying. Raytheon and other military companies ironically never really pumped following the QE recovery from the COVID pandemic dump. It wasn't until the Ukraine War began that Raytheon finally ran the highs. And then it retraced. That kind of retrace is actually really bullish and what bulls should want to see if they want their $145 billion~ company to become a $1.4 trillion company. But the problem with the theory is more manifest on the weekly charts: 31 weeks of ranging and no breakout is not bullish. And yet, after taking lows, it continues to recover. The most notable price swing is the $105 to $92 leg that just occurred. I feel that Raytheon has some fundamental hidden bearish divergences to it and this is why it has traded this way all along, with the ultimate purpose of selling a lot high, and then selling it all above the all time high. This hidden divergence, I think, is that U.S.-based companies may find themselves cut off from the Chinese supply chain in the very near future. Only to tip all the bulls on their backs like stranded turtles and then dump and dump and dump and dump and not come back. So I believe that with the setup at hand, the catalyst is actually the July earnings. But if you look back at previous earnings, Raytheon doesn't have major pumps. It can go a bit and then it will run after. Implied volatility on options for the July 28 expiry are only 20%, slightly higher than the 17% average. But before we get there, I expect we're going to see prices return to the $92-93 range and give the best buying opportunity. The catalyst for this, I believe, will simply be market-wide correction, which I outline in the following two posts: Nasdaq - The Great Bear Trap And SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' In summary, there will be a shakeout in equities that will probably not be long lived, even if it's violent. And after that, things will make their final run up, many of which will set new highs or new 52W highs, etc. What's left for the remainder of 2023 and the start of 2024 doesn't look like it's going to be very pleasant, to speak frankly. So make sure if you see Raytheon at a new high, you don't go getting ahead of yourself, longing the top.
NYSE:RTXLong
by LordWrymouth
1
Is Northrop Grumman Set To Cool DownI was disappointed with my last call on NOC and hesitant to make this one. However, the RSI signaled a drop first and the other algorithms followed suit today. NOC is also at the top of the trading channel it has been in. All of these factors make me much more confident NOC is set to decline somewhat over the next month. The overall market has been hot. I am getting signals from multiple big name companies that are overbought and due for at least a brief cool down. In the case of NOC, 4 of my algorithms signaled a SELL on April 8, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the 2 Hour chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance. The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:NOCShort
by StockSignaler
LMT LONG/ Lockheed Martin is a giant of advanced defense industrIt is not a secret to anyone that Lockheed Martin participates in the production of the most important American warplanes, which are the backbone of the American air force, such as the F-22 and F-16 It produces the UGM-133A Trident II nuclear missile It is the most important line of US nuclear defense It produces many aircraft, missiles, advanced electronic systems and satellites And I think that this is the company with the unique technology that it owns. I expect it to continue going up and back to the technical analysis clearly rising. And financial analysis also gives a bullish signal By going back to history, you will notice that the company is a strongly bullish trend
NYSE:LMTLong
by TheMasons
NOC WEEKLY CHARTLooking at the price action in NOC, we can see how the price is starting to approach with range candles (which indicates strong buying volume) a downtrend line where after several rising lows and falling highs we expect it to break. We will watch the price on the daily chart for it to break through the declining highs and look for support. ---------------------------------------------- Viendo la acción del precio en NOC, vemos como el precio empieza a acercarse con velas de rango (Lo cual nos indica fuerte volumen comprador) a una directriz bajista en la que después de varios mínimos crecientes y máximos decrecientes esperaremos que rompa. Observaremos el precio en el gráfico diario a que rompa la directriz de máximos decrecientes y busque apoyo en esta misma.
NYSE:NOC
by alvarogctmr