Norwegiankrone
CADNOK: Final phase of the bull leg.CADNOK is on a strong 1D Channel Up (RSI = 69.678, MACD = 0.025, ADX = 55.588, Highs/Lows = 0.0757) that started on December 30th when the price touched the 6.72000 Support. It is well above the MA50 and appears to be repeating the previous bullish leg that rebounded on the 1D Support. The pressure zones are symmetrical as seen on the chart.
This Channel Up though is on its final phase as the 7.1250 1D Resistance is close. Pursue this late buy opportunity with proper risk management.
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USDNOK, Bounced from the Support/Resistance Zone..The price is above the Support/Resistance Zone.
I will look for an accurate Buy entry after the pullback to it.
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EURNOK: Buy opportunity on 1D MACD.The pair is trading within a long term 1M Channel Up (RSI = 53.878, MACD = 0.135, ADX = 43.274, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) since Q4 of 2017. At the moment the price seems to have found Support around the 1D MA200 (orange line) and withi the 1D MACD making a bullish cross over, is expected to rise.
According to a similar fractal in January 2018, the High of that spike could be around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. We place our Target at 10.0700.
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EURNOK and USDNOK SetupsEURNOK and USDNOK both been in a prolonged downtrend with multiple swings and we have reached an important support/flip zone on the daily chart.
Looking to see a reversal here and we already getting signs of trend exhaustion with a potential double bottom pattern and we could also create our first higher low swing here with a break above the highlighted zone.
A simple trade idea with good confluences. Await for the break and close to enter.
EURNOK is near the Support/Resistance Zone!We can look for accurate Buy entry above the Support/Resistance Zone.
The best trade will be after the false breakout and D1 candle will close above.
Potential profit will be 3 times bigger than the risk.
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ridethepig | CADNOK 2020 Macro Map A good time to map the strategy and flows for CADNOK as we approach year-end. As you will have noticed I am tracking for a major pullback in the cross over the first half in 2020, this is coming from large macro forces at play. Central bank coordination has opened up the opportunity for NOK to outperform CAD.
Firstly the reflation theme via USD devaluation is going to help Canada a lot less than the rest as Canada will receive a spillover from the US manufacturing recession.
Secondly we need to discuss the impact of Oil across both economies. CAD and NOK are affected by oil with divergencies in their breakevens. For example Canada breakevens are circa $45 compared with Norway at $23 per barrel. Meaning simply Norway has more breathing room for the fall in Oil:
The third and final leg to the stool is coming from yield differentials. After the more dovish than expected shift in stance from BoC, the window is open for a cut which has not been fully priced while Norges which was previously the last hawk standing has hit the pause button. I personally see room for another hike from Norges next year which is the leg I am looking to trade here.
Best of luck all those in CADNOK, a very good pair to add to your FX portfolio.
EURNOK: Buy opportunity on the Rising Wedge.The pair is trading within a 1W Rising Wedge (RSI = 59.298, MACD = 0.080, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). Yesterday not only it made contact with the Higher Low trend line, but also touched the 1D MA50 (blue line). This indicates that the price has more probabilities to rebound towards a new Higher High. Our Target Zone is 10.400 - 10.500.
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EURNOK is close to 2-Months High...EURNOK approaching to 2-Months High.
It's a huge probability that it will bounce down.
I will make an update when I'll open a Sell position.
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NOKJPY: Long term Buy Opportunity.The pair is trading on a long term 1M Channel Down (RSI = 37.681, MACD = -0.379, Highs/Lows = -0.5701) that has come close to the 11.460 1M Support where it rebounded last week. This can be an early signal for a trend reversal and buyers you have entered early can systematically aim at the gaps. First the 12.390 Lower High, which if broke should lead to the 1W Resistance (A) at 12.370 (not a coincidence that the 1W MA50 is currently there. Last gap to fill can be the 1W Resistance (B) at 13.230 where again it is not a coincidence that the 1W EMA200 is currently there. All these levels are Lower Highs on the 1M Channel Down.
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USD/NOK SELL SETUP AS PRICE LAST WEEK WENT DIRECTLY UP WHAT I DIDNT EXPECT, WE COULD BE LOOKING NOW AT THIS SETUP.
I BELIEVE NOW MARKET MAKERS HAVE ENOUGH LIQUIDITY TO CHANGE DIRECTION, AS MANY BUYERS WILL BELIEVE WE BROKE OUT AND COMING BACK FOR A RETEST TO CONTINUE.
BUT BE AWARE AS WE HAVE ALSO FUNDAMENTALS COMING ON THIS WEEK ON USD.
USE ALWAYS GOOD RISK MANAGEMENT!
USD/NOK BUY SETUP LITTLE PREDICTION ON THIS PAIR.
FIRST IM WILLING TO SEE HOW PRICE REACTS AT THE LIQUIDITY POOL.
BUT I BELIEVE IF WE MANAGE TO CLOSE OUR WEEKLY CANDLE AROUND THE BLUE ZONE WE COULD SEE SOME MORE UPSIDE POTTENTIAL,
AND WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A NICE BULLISH SETUP FOR THE NEXT WEEK.
IF YOU SHORT THIS PAIR AS I AM GIVING FIRST A SELL SETUP.
USE GOOD RISK MANAGEMENT! AS WE ALSO HAVE SOME USD NEWS COMING TOMORROW.
LETS SEE HOW IT PLAYS OUT.
EURNOK: Possible bearish move.The pair is consolidating on 4H (RSI = 49.952) awaiting for a break out. 1D has followed a perfect symmetry so far on 1D (Inverse Head and Shoulders) and if the 1D MA50 breaks, we expect the price to test the 9.6450 Support.
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