CHFNOK: Bullish break out.The price crossed the last 1D Resistance (8.78164) and being on an early bullish 1D technical action (RSI = 59.246, MACD = 0.048, Highs/Lows = 0.0073) is giving a long continuation signal. Our bullish TP is 8.9000.
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Norwegiankrone
USDNOK: 4H Rectangle. Scalp opportunity.The pair is ranged within a 4H 8.67182 - 8.80533 Rectangle and as long as 1D remains neutral (RSI = 51.622, ADX = 25.601, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) it will be an ideal scalping opportunity. Buy zone = 8.67182 - 8.69700, Sell zone = 8.7881 - 8.80533.
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NOKJPY: Sell opportunity and reversal scenario.The pair is trading within a strong 1D Channel Down (RSI = 34.726, MACD = -0.120, Highs/Lows = -0.0831) for the past month. Currently the Lower High zone holds (red rectangle) and should push the price towards a new Lower Low at 12.350. If 12.630 however breaks it will give a medium term bullish reversal signal and we will target the 12.800 1D Resistance.
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CHFNOK: Buy on every dip for the next year.CHFNOK is trading on a 3 year long 1M Cup formation (RSI = 52.266, ADX = 24.446, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) with a clear Resistance Zone (8.7770 - 8.9615). Having entered the second half of the pattern, every pull back on 1W can be bought, targeting the Resistance Zone. If the formation turns out to be fairly symmetrical expect a final test of 8.1351 and Higher Lows after towards the completion of the pattern near the Resistance Zone in about 1 year. We are buying the dip.
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USDNOK: Long term outlook.This pair is trading on a 1W Channel Up (RSI = 56.066, MACD = 0.088, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) which is currently struggling to get past 8.8277. The danger of creating a Double Top rejection is valid and since we are inside the 1W Resistance Zone, long term investors should start considering a short. However until the Channel Up breaks we are targeting 8.8277 and 8.99500 in extension. If 8.40550 breaks we will short with TP = 8.04405.
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GBPNOK: 1D Channel Up. Buy opportunity.The pair is trading inside a 1D Channel Up (RSI = 51.618, STOCH = 45.324, MACD = 0.059) and has just made a Higher Low. We are expecting a rise towards a Higher High next. TP = 11.6200.
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NOKJPY: Long opportunity on repetitive patterns.NOKJPY has been on a 4H Channel Up which according to its neutral RSI = 51.365 and Highs/Lows = 0.0000 has reached its Higher Low. This is a signal to go long. This Channel Up is identical to the previous sequence that made a 13.010 High. On 1D (MACD = 0.026, Highs/Lows = 0.0133, B/BP = 0.0028) the trend remains bullish as long as the 12.600 support holds. Our TP = 13.000.
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USDNOK: Short on the 4H Lower High.The pair has made a Lower High on the 4H Channel Down. With 1D a Channel Down also on bearish stochastics (STOCH = 35.614, STOCHRSI = 35.614) it is more likely to get a decline now towards a Lower Low. Based on the -1.40% metric, we have a short TP = 8.52100.
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GBPNOK: Long on Channel Up buy signal.The price is trading inside a 1D Channel Up, which has recently priced its Higher Low (RSI = 54.649, MACD = 0.000, Highs/Lows = 0.0111). We are expecting a Higher High now, hence we are long with TP = 11.200. In case the price reverses to test the support we will open an additional long at 10.800.
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CADNOK: Sell opportunity on a Channel Down.The pair has been trading within a 1D Channel Down pattern (MACD = -0.003, ADX = 20.845, B/BP = -0.0351) with the neutral RSI, Highs/Lows indicating that it is near a Lower High level, hence an optimal short spot. As seen on the chart the High - Low sequence has been fairly straight forward and although it may hit 6.4600 again, the current level offers a respectable R/R sell opportunity with TP = 6.3040.
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USDNOK: Approaching a bottom. Strong buy opportunity.The pair has been trading within a long term 1W Channel Up (RSI = 55.524, MACD = 0.145) since last April and according to its neutral Highs/Lows (0.0000), it is near a Higher Low. Based on the Higher Highs/ Higher Lows measurements, the next Higher High is projected on a +6.50% rise at 9.0000. We are going long setting however a more modest TP at 8.82250 (practically the latest Higher High).
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USD/NOKiBoth Eur/Noki and Usd/Noki seem likely to at least retrace the last 5 wave impulse (seem completed) they made which would likely break previous swing high. My friend posted exact entry and after I looked a little further they see to be turning down. I would have to recommend waiting to enter on a correction considering how far they already pushed down though, being off a top as it be.
NOKJPY: Channel Down approaching the 1W support. Cautious sell.The pair is trading within a 1D Channel Down (RSI = 44.336, MACD = -0.054, B/BP = -0.047) and it has recently priced its Lower High (Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The downside potential for a Lower Low is strong but attention is need as it may be limited by the existence of the 1W support at 12.9720. We are therefore selling for limited profit with TP = 13.1060 (previous Lower Low).
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Trading the CAD pullback=> This week we have BoC on deck with a widely anticipated rate hike. The sales and consumer prints last week came in softer than anticipated and we see this as a great valuation driven pullback.
=> Here we are targeting the recent highs with stops at the lows. From a technical point of view we can see the early longs had their stops run on the data pullback.
=> For the longer term Canada remains in great shape, with almost completely free trade by the end of the decade on track.
=> From a capital flow perspective, funds have been hesitant to get long CAD via oil. The aim here is we are isolating the oil risk via an inline/neutral Norges Bank.
=> Best of luck to all those trading BoC this week.
A bullish Riksbank=> Here we are tracking the Riksbank meeting on Wednesday with hikes expected to come in either December or February.
=> We expect December to remain on the cards and continue supporting a bullish SEK tone.
=> On the Swiss side, as you all know from our previous ideas Swiss investors positions in foreign assets remain largely FX hedged so there is little concern for a sudden appreciation for CHF.
=> The risk to our thesis will be a Riksbank taking December and February off the table (markets are not expecting).
=> Good luck all those trading this one in live