Nq!
How to Day Trade or Swing Trade S&P500 Futures No IndicatorsHey Traders,
So over the years I bout alot of courses about trading the markets. In one course I took I learned about a reversal strategy using candlesticks on daily charts. Although in the past I didn't consider myself a Day Trader I found this strategy to be appealing for it using the Stock Index futures. So now I sometimes do day trade the market if I get the right setup. The good thing about his strategy is that you only need to check the market once a day to see if there is a setup. Then you just place your stop orders and limit orders according to your risk management or you can also use options.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
NQ Intraday Analysis 04/19/23Hi all, welcome back to a new morning :) Without going into the nitty-gritty, NQ is holding a major zone right now (simplified to the most recent area) and the market has extended almost 300 points within a day. I am expecting two scenarios at the opening area which will define how I act for the remainder of the day:
Scenario 1: Mean reversion long - Bulls are able to hold the major zone and end with a maximum target around 13300. Expect possible shorts around 13300 if shorts begin to hold major zones.
Scenario 2: Breakout short - Bulls cannot hold the major zone and the market breaks the low of the zone with a close. If bears can hold this zone on a retest, expect short scalps with the first minimum target around 13025. Risk of reversal long back above the major zone should be taken into account.
Of course, this is not financial advice and I have my own data used to validate this opening plan; please always perform your own research and judgement! Good luck and I hope all of you have a great day!
Weekly Update: Is EVERYTHING about to come down together?Is a rare event when multiple planets are aligned in the night’s sky. It’s rarer still, when their aligned, and visible to the naked eye, and on-lookers do not require the use of a telescope.
Let me explain.
My crypto currency coverage list (SOL, ETH, BTC and ADA) have been rallying and hitting some of their initial sub-divided targets higher where I would soon expect them to retrace. Financials (XLF) could be completing a minor wave 4 high and now coming down in a wave 5. The SPX and the ES appears to have just completed their D-wave high in what I'm counting as a triangle and should be coming down as early as today. I suspect if I looked at some of the heavily weighted stocks of the SP500 they would show the same pattern and potential conclusion.
Is everything aligned?
The downside IN EVERYTHING appears clear enough, you don’t require a telescope to see that.
US30 DJI LONG SetupSee chart for analysis.
-Looking fro buying opportunites with price inside
demand zones.
-Overall trend = uptrend + short term = sideways
-Price above 200MA
-Look for buys with Lower timeframe confrimation.
4-17-23 nqgood morning,
here's another idea for you guys -
this one is quite neutral, and takes into account all of the current events which are currently taking place in the markets.
---
nasdaq looks to have completed 5 waves up from the lows of october.
(it could potentially go slightly higher to 13,666).
>5 waves is either the beginning or the end of something -
>in this case i will have to say it is the beginning of something based on the overall vibe of the market.
---
>what i am philosophizing about over here, is a very deep raid into may \ june to flip the current sentiment which is very bullish.
>only once this sentiment flip has taken place, do i believe we go to put in that C leg to the upside, to 15.6k
✌
NQ - Interesting area!NQ - Interesting area! CME_MINI:NQ1! GLOBALPRIME:NAS100
Another key resistance area
Highs: 13248.75
Lows:12957.00
Currently we are still within the ranges even though we've had CPI print we did escalate higher, but couldn't go above key resistance of: 13230 areas we could need break higher above that resistance to go towards levels of 13347.00. However, if we are to break below the lows I expect 12800 areas to be key support that could be reached!
Pay attention!
Trade Journal
Weekly Market Update: ES Waking up from a Bearish Slumber?Recently, the market has been reluctant to give back any gains over the course of the last three weeks.
But is that changing now?
Price action is a function of trader sentiment. Knowing that, every morning I wake up and ask myself, “WHY would any trader (fundamentally or technically) want to own stocks right here”? Seriously, there is no case to be made either on a fundamental or technical basis. Nonetheless, that is not how price patterns form. You need someone to take the other side of your trading thesis. Without that liquidity, I think the market would have other (more serious) issues.
Technically, I have the ES having just completed its D-wave in a triangle pattern that started on December 22nd. That means we should decline in a 3-wave pattern in our E-wave for completion of our larger B (as shown on the chart). This retracement down should ultimately complete around the area of BEST CASE: ES-4005 and worst case (if the triangle pattern is correct) ES-3877. However, determining that as a legitimate bottom will be whether we can decline and maintain positive divergence on the MACD indicator.
I’ll conclude by keeping this simple. If at anytime during my expected decline into the 4005-3877 area, MACD prints lower than the red-line on the chart... That is a clue we will get continuation…and we will continue to do so, until we can build a pattern of bottoms on positive divergence. Keep that top of mind over the course of the next couple weeks.
Short-Term Market Fluctuations: Analyzing the NQ CorrectionIn this article, I'll explore the recent decline in the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) index from the 13,200 level, focusing on its corrective nature and potential implications for short-term price action. By examining the 15-minute timeframe chart and considering the impact of tomorrow's scheduled economic release , we can gain insights into possible market moves and make more informed trading decisions.
Identifying the Corrective Nature of the NQ Decline
From 13,200, the NQ has experienced a decline that appears corrective rather than impulsive. If you examine the 15-minute timeframe chart, you'll likely concur with this assessment. The current targets for this correction sit around 13,000 or as low as 12,980.
Considering the Impact of Economic Releases on Short-Term Price Action
What makes me skeptical of further short-term downside is the fact that economic data is set to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM in premarket trading. If the NQ continues its decline to complete the correction, it's probable that we will witness a significant upside move following the release of the data.
Analyzing the Initial Move and Providing Actionable Information
My concern with the initial decline is that it consisted of three waves, rather than a clear five-wave impulse. For now, I'm ruling out the possibility of a major downside move tomorrow. Unlike some traders who provide vague content and only reveal their "conditional" orders after the fact, I aim to offer actionable information beforehand.
If the NQ drops into the 8:30 AM release tomorrow, we are more likely to see an upward move. Conversely, if the index rises overnight, we can expect a downside move following the data release.
Understanding the corrective nature of the NQ's recent decline and factoring in the impact of upcoming economic releases can help us better navigate short-term market fluctuations. By providing actionable information ahead of time and adapting my analysis as needed, we can make more informed decisions and improve our trading outcomes. Keep an eye on the NQ's price action as we approach tomorrow's data release and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
NDX/NQ/MNQ Pre-Market and Week OutlookAs we sit right now it looks like the NDX might gap on the open.
I'll be live trading streaming this week so tune into that, also update idea as week unfolds.
If we start on the upside the zone what we're watching is the August 2022 4D key level at 13,639.
A reach for the market would be the 4D extreme zone between 13,900 and 14,100 or so.
On the downside we see the obvious day momentum checks and bias checks as well as key levels and gaps.
One key area is the significant high anchored vwap at 12,918, if that gets tested and holds anticipate the highs will be breached.
Below that around 12,500 to 12,000 is the four day reaction zone which aligns with key reaction zones on the daily.
Should be obvious how to trade this week with these key reaction zones identified. wait for confirmation and trade for the RD 4-chart patterns.
US100 BUYHey, the NASDAQ market is in a positive state. With a very good candle in the daily frame. Also, this correction came to the impulse wave. At 0.50%, which is a very strong Fibonacci ratio. Backed at 1820. Good luck, speculator . Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
4/4 Watchlist + NotesSPY - We were spot on with our analysis going into today's session. Last night I mentioned that we had a strong close on the daily and weekly and that I wanted to see us push higher. We also stayed within a 1% range today as I had also hoped to see (.71% range total today). Didn't quite get the movement we were hoping for (Inside Day), but we still were accurate otherwise. We closed green on the day and made a smaller green candle than we did Friday, which signals a few things for me. Here are all the considerations I have currently for my prediction for tomorrow:
1) Slightly overextended on the daily + close to exhaustion risk, (Bearish)
2) Still have strong momentum on the daily and weekly, (Bullish)
3) We are nearing the top of a broadening formation created a few weeks back, (Slightly Bullish)
4) Finished green today with a healthy looking green candle (Bullish)
With all of this in mind, I think that we now need to target 412-413 range sometime this week. There is really nothing stopping SPY from continuing to run other than the fact that it is in extended territory. For tomorrow my prediction is simple: I am slightly bullish, but understand that we can move hard in either direction tomorrow. Tomorrow's movement will be heavily influenced by 2 things: Whether we gap up or down during PM, and whether we break today's high or low first. If we break today's high first (Not including PM movement) then I think 412.91 is our target for tomorrow. If we break the low first, then I believe we could see somewhere in the 406.50-407.50 range. The 3rd scenario I can see happening is we take out today's high and then proceed to dump and take out today's low, forming an engulfing day. I think the first two scenarios are the most realistic, but they are all valid scenarios I could see happening tomorrow. Overall: Skeptically Bullish
Watchlist + Bias:
SHOP - 3-1 Daily: Bullish
QQQ - 2-1 Daily: Neutral
MSFT - 2-1 Daily: Neutral
PYPL - 2-1 Daily and Weekly: Slightly Bullish
DOCU - 2-1 Daily and 3-1-1 Weekly: Neutral
Main Watch: SHOP and DOCU
SHOP - 3-1 Daily with a huge gap that is partially filled to the upside. I am hoping to break to break today's high tomorrow and push higher. I think it has really good momentum to keep pushing higher. Would love to target 48.57 tomorrow. Will maybe play downside too, but mostly just focused on the upside move
DOCU - This one still hasn't broken out of the inside week setup. it is now actively a 3-1-1-1, which is just unheard of for the weekly chart. Im open to playing either side. I think with this one being in a 2-1 daily, we will get to see which direction we will finally move in for the next few days/weeks. Considering swinging as well. Preferably want to play upside, but I will take what I can get.
Yesterday's Main Watch:
SQ - (Status:) Winner (Personally Trade?) Yes
we opened under our put entry, but the play was still valid from open in my opinion. Cons from my trade peaked around 23% and I actually ended up taking a small loss because I was looking for a better entry to swing puts, but ended up not liking the swing setup, so I just took a small loss on my starter position + the extra cons I added when averaging down. Overall was in for about 40% of my target position size, and took about a 12% loss on that which translates to a roughly 5% loss had it been a normal position for me. I still count this as a winner for the list because it saw solid gains from a very readable entry. Had I been day trading and not looking for a swing entry, I would have had a different outcome, but at the end of the day, I had a plan and followed it, which is something I can't and won't be upset over. Weekly is still not broken out of, so SQ remains on my personal watchlist for the rest of the week. I wanna see what tomorrow holds for SQ before considering a new position.
Watchlist Stats:
1/1 Spy Predictions
1/1 Main Watch Plays
Top Winner: SQ (23%+)
Personal Stats:
0/1 On Trades This Week
Overall Green/Red: Red (extremely small). Early in the week. Can easily come back from today's small loss.
Trade Smart Tomorrow!
QQQ Bullish Bias Continuation LONGQQQ has weathered federal action and the banking meltdown quite well.
It has trended upward from a double-bottom pivot March 1 to March 13.
The MACD has held steady without any bearish divergence from price action.
Sell order blocks are lurking at 325. QQQ is trending above its anchored
VWAP showing that buying pressure exceeds selling pressure.
I will trade the QQQ with call options in TQQQ expiring Friday April 6th.
Getting several of them will allow for partial position closures as the call
values rise as a form of risk management.
US100 SELLHello NASDAQ Market. Strong resistance arrived. There is a high probability of going down. for correction. Although the index remains in a positive state with the gains it achieved before .Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
SPY/NQ Short-Squeeze Setting Up Nicely.Are you following my research yet?
Last weekend, I published a YouTube video suggesting the NASDAQ/TECH were poised for a 15~20% rally - driving the SPY 7 to 9% higher.
Now, my SPY Cycle Patterns called today as a Pullback and tomorrow as a Momentum Rally.
Get ready for a massive SHORT-SQUEEZE over the next few weeks. April will start off with the Nasdaq/SPY targeting higher peaks.
Follow my research.
Weekly Outlook NAS100 Monday 27 MarchHere are some upside targets for you to study, please take note of the broker to match your chart.
Are you currently marrying an outlook that has not had the chance to form yet ..?
Here is an alternate perspective to consider maybe.
Note: Monday 27 March - low probability.
Good luck, may the Nasdaq forces be in your favour.
NQM2023 3/26-3/27 S/D LEVELSPublic reports that I saw on Twitter showed lots of insider selling from multiple companies this last week. Charts from the past reflect that we may have a huge sell-off if history does repeat itself.
Excited to see what this market offers this week.
White zones are my 1MIN entries found as overlaps within larger zones, but I refer to multiple time frames before entering.
CORRECT ES1! Chart for 3/23-3/24 S/D LevelsMy previous post is of NQM2023. This is the ES1! chart.
Day 7 of posting charts on Trading View's free plan.
Lots of overlapping zones, just learned that this is a strong concept and will start to apply it.
You will find these new additions as white texts on the white lines (text is on far right of chart).
NQ Bear TimeIts been a very eventful week. Tech has went on a massive run the past couple months and became the market leader again. I don't think this is sustainable in this global financial environment. Macro aside we had fomc today and based off the reaction (huge selling volume to end the day) I think we may have seen the highs on NQ today. The sell off caused a nasty bearish hammer candle with a huge wick upwards and closing at lows. This type of candle can signal distribution. On the hourly timeframe you can see very sizeable sell volume near NYSE close. Not a good sign for bolls imo. Could be wrong but we shall see. NEVER financial advice just a little trading journal. I may start posting my ideas more often again to see how my theories and insights play out.