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SPY/QQQ/GOLD Plan Your Trade - New Week Aug 12~16+Thank you for all the boosts and likes. I'm trying my best to deliver informative and intelligent information for traders to learn to make their own decisions. My goal is to teach you the skills to become better at identifying and selecting better opportunities for profits. Not to be right all the time - that's impossible. But, to learn to manage risk levels, trade more efficiently, plan your trades, and to execute better trades with detailed information and guidance. I hope I'm achieving those goals for all of you. Some of the comments have been wonderfully supportive. Of course I'm not right 100% of the time - no one is. I'm simply trying to provide the best analysis I can to help you plan and prepare for better trades. This video discusses what I expect from the markets over the next 5~10+ days. I believe the markets need to retest support before shifting into the new Vortex Rally phase. We need to watch Gold/Silver, the Transportation Index, Crude Oil, the US-Dollar, and how the SPY/QQQ react over the next 5+ days. It will be interesting to see how things play out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 9-9 Update : SPY Must Rally Above 532This is a quick update related to the Inside Breakaway Pattern today. The SPY must attempt to break above 532 in order to attempt a rally up to 539-542. I really believe the SPY is primed to move into a Ripper Rally phase between now and the end of next week. I will urge the Make-Or-Break (525-526) is still in play. If the SPY falls below 525 - the trend flips to BEARISH If the SPY stays above 525 - the trend is BULLISH. So, we need to see how today plays out. But, I believe a Ripper Rally is primed and ready to go where the SPY could rally up into the 540+ level very easily. It may play out as a rally to 545++ by mid-next week - but we may see it start today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-9 : Inside Breakaway VolatilityToday's Inside Breakaway pattern requires price to open within the body of yesterday's candle. Therefore, we need to see price move below $530.65 before the 930 opening bell in NY. If this happens, then the Inside Breakaway pattern is ready to play out, and I believe we have a much stronger chance (about 75%) for the price to rally higher today (leaving only about a 25% chance for a broader market pullback). The Current Flag formation on the SPY (and other major symbols) may present an extended range of volatility today and on Monday. I'm suggesting today's Inside Breakaway pattern will resolve to the upside. But I'm also warning there is about a 30% chance the markets will FLUSH-OUT to the downside today before resolving back into a Bullish price trend. The reason I'm making this suggestion/warning is because of the Flag pattern that is currently playing out. The closer we move toward the Flag Apex, the more likely we will see broader price volatility and bigger price swings. It is very common for price to become extremely volatile near Flag Apexes. This happens because the price has been coiling into the Flag Apex range for many hours/days and potentially weeks. That energy, when released, usually prompts a fairly large volatility range. Today, I warn that the $524-525 should act like a make-or-break level for Bullish or Bearish trending. I cover the SPY, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more in today's video. Remember, I'm trying to teach you techniques you can use for the rest of your life while showing you what I see on these charts. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BradMatheny
2
US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsNASDAQ-100 (US100) Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡 Previous Analysis Review: In the previous analysis, we anticipated the price to begin expanding higher after a significant move to the downside, which has occurred as expected. 📍 Current Market Overview: • Price Reaction: The NASDAQ-100 (US100) had a strong bullish reaction after sweeping the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) and tapping into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). • Expansion Higher: Currently, the price is expanding higher, moving into a premium zone as marked by the Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels: • PMH: Previous Month High • PWH: Previous Week High • PML: Previous Month Low • SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity • Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The levels that can be targeted if we go long. • Daily FVG: The Daily Fair Value Gap, where the price had a significant reaction. • 4H Bearish FVG: A 4-hour timeframe Fair Value Gap located above the current price. • Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Fibonacci levels (0.50, 0.62, 0.705, 0.79) indicating potential resistance or retracement areas in the current premium zone. 📊 Key Considerations: • Premium Zone: The price is currently in a premium zone, as identified by the Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is generally where we anticipate some form of retracement or consolidation. • Daily and 4H Bearish FVG: These gaps are significant resistance levels above the current price, which might act as targets if the price continues to move higher. • Possible Retracement: Given that we are in a premium zone, a retracement lower is possible. However, further upside cannot be ruled out, especially if the price breaks through to the daily or 4H bearish FVG. 📈 Bullish Scenario: • Sweep of Lower Time Frame SSL: For any new long positions, we need to see a sweep of lower time frame Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). After this, longs can be considered, targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. • Targets: The primary targets would be the Daily Bearish FVG and the 4H Bearish FVG above. 📉 Bearish Scenario: • Retracement from Premium Zone: Given the current position in a premium zone, we could see a retracement lower. If this occurs, the key levels to watch would be the SSL areas or any previous supports near the Daily FVG. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: • Bullish Expectation: We have seen the long scenario play out successfully. For new longs, wait for a sweep of lower time frame SSL before targeting BSL, with potential targets being the Daily and 4H Bearish FVGs above. • Bearish Expectation: Consider the possibility of a retracement from the premium zone. If the price shows signs of weakness, a move lower to previous supports or SSL levels could be expected. Conclusion: The NASDAQ-100 is currently at a critical junction in the premium zone, with the possibility of either further expansion to the upside or a retracement lower. The key to the next move lies in observing the price action around the Fibonacci retracement levels and the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. Any long positions should be taken cautiously after a lower time frame SSL sweep, targeting BSL levels, while keeping an eye on potential retracement scenarios. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-8 : Harami Means IndecisionThis update to my morning video was created to help you understand why a Harami pattern will likely prompt fairly large price rotation today. The Harami pattern is an indecision type of pattern. It suggests price is struggling to find direction and may attempt to test upper and lower boundaries. The purpose of the Harami pattern is to flush out weaker trading positions while, essentially, completing a minor Flag formation. The Harami pattern is an Inside Bar. By structure, this Inside Bar is a Flag setup (very short-term). The end of a Flag Formation means price will attempt to move into a new trending mode - or move back into a new Flag formation. Pay attention to how price constructs this Harami/Flag pattern today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-8 : A Volatile Harami PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Harami/Inside. Because of the recent price volatility and the current price FLAG setup, I expect today's Harami pattern to include a fairly large high/low price range. That means we may see very solid price trending (up/down) throughout the day - whereas today's open/close range should stay within yesterday's open/close range. If you've been following my research, I expect the SPY to attempt to mount a fairly strong rally over the next 10+ days (possibly longer). After the recent bout of volatility (the Kamala-Crush), I believe the US markets will attempt to move into what I'm calling a Vortex Rally based on simple fundamentals. In order for this to happen, we need to see a few things happen: - the US dollar continues to strengthen - crude oil should continue to slide downward (possibly targeting $65) - IYT (TRAN) should stay somewhat muted into the end of this year - Gold/Silver should continue to move upward - Global markets should continue to struggle If this happens, it will strengthen my Vortex Rally expectations into 2025 and beyond. Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not always 100% accurate. But they can provide a very clear context for expectations, and when used with other TA techniques and proper risk management - they can be incredibly helpful. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 8-7 : Perfect Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat/Down pattern played out perfectly. Now, as price nears support, we should be looking to position our trading for the next big move higher over the next 5+ trading days. If my research is accurate, the SPY/QQQ should begin to setup a base mid/late tomorrow and start to rally into Friday - carrying into early next week. Watch the video I created this morning to learn more. This short follow-up video will help you understand how my SPY Cycle Patterns work and how you can benefit from their interpretive capabilities. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : SPY Settles - Gold RalliesThis video highlights what I believe will be the best opportunities for the SPY/QQQ over the next 7+ trading days while highlighting how Gold is setup for a dual-leg rally phase (possibly moving up above $2550) over the next 7+ days. My continued efforts to deliver pertinent and actionable trade data to my followers are based on the concept that "I do the research—you make all the decisions." I'm not trying to tell you what to do or when to trade. I'm just showing you what I see on the charts using my skills and understanding of advanced price theories and technical analysis. If it helps you out - perfect. If not, then forget about my research and move on to something/someone else. Overall, my real objective is to provide very high-quality content (it doesn't matter if I'm right or wrong—I'll stand by my research/data every day). Today's video is very important. Please understand there are two or three big setups taking place in the SPY/QQQ and Gold over the next 7 to 10+ days. If my research is correct, this is a wonderful time to plan/prepare for these big moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
BOJ Rate Hike Causes Unrest in the Stock Markets: What next?When the Bank of Japan hiked its interest rate at the end of July, global markets went into turbulence. We will discuss what currency carry trade is, why the yen carry trade has caused this global volatility, and, importantly, whether the market will resume its uptrend. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Japanese Yen Futures Ticker: 6J 0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
9
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-6 : Caution Over The Next 48 HoursMy research suggests the SPY/QQQ will stall into a sideways upward-sloping price channel over the next 1~2 day before attempting to rally further. Watch this video to learn more. The Top-Resistance Pattern today may prove very accurate if the SPY rolls downward after filling the GAP. Get ready; The Vortex Rally is just starting after this Deep-V Bottom. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-5 - CAUTION: Extreme VolatilityThis video highlights why I believe skilled traders are taking minimal, targeted trades in the current market environment. With the current market volatility as crazy as it is, I don't believe anyone should be swinging for the fences. If you learn anything from my videos over the past few weeks - know this. The #1 rule for trading is to protect capital (at all times). You can be right or wrong while trading. But you have to learn to live to trade another day. This crazy market volatility could have made a small fortune for some people but destroyed others. Until we see the SPY move up above $535-$540, there is still a big risk the markets could fall further. Watch this video to learn more. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
NQ1! Historical Fall and Important LevelsThe price fluctuated by more than 5% prior to the New York session, an atypical occurrence that suggests increased risk for the week ahead. Volatility exceeding 130 should be regarded as a cautionary signal. It may be prudent to reduce trading risks this week This significant drop could be due to concerns that if the USA election results in a Trump victory, the USA might stop protecting Taiwan, which could cause major issues in semiconductor production. Important liquidity levels given in the chart. Ask any questions you might have in the comments and please boost if the idea helped you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by TradeConfirmed
US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsUS100 Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡Previous Analysis Review: In our prior analysis, we forecasted a price retracement to the upside. This expectation was realized, as the price indeed experienced a movement higher. 📍Current Market Overview: At present, the price has swept both the previous week’s low and the previous month’s low. These levels are crucial as they represent key sell-side liquidity areas. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels for Long Scenarios In addition to the fair value gap, there are other critical levels to consider for potential long scenarios, including: • Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): A level where buying interest may consolidate. • Previous Week High: A historical resistance level that could serve as support during a retracement. • Volume Imbalance (VI): Areas on the chart where significant volume was traded, often leading to price adjustments. • Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Larger time frame imbalances that can influence trading strategy. 📉 Key Considerations There exists additional sell-side liquidity just below the current price on the chart. This could potentially draw the market’s attention, prompting a move toward these levels. However, it’s important to note that the probability of such a move is somewhat diminished after the substantial downward trend that we have witnessed. 📈 Bullish Scenario Current conditions suggest potential long scenarios supported by a fair value gap on the four-hour chart, with upward expansion possible. However, due to the impending NFP news, we will not engage in trades today, but if price moves upward, we will target key levels including BSL, PWH, VI, and FVG. We recommend using lower time frames for more precise entry opportunities. 📉 Bearish Scenario For any potential short scenarios, we require a retracement back to higher levels. This could involve targeting lower time frame levels of resistance or buy-side liquidity that can be taken out before executing a sell. After this maneuver, we would then focus on targeting the sell-side liquidity present on the chart. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary We observed the anticipated retracement in price and noted significant sell-side liquidity levels being tested. Current conditions suggest potential long scenarios, supported by a fair value gap on the four-hour chart along with other key levels, though the likelihood of downward sell opportunities below the chart appears reduced after recent price movements. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-1 : Base Rally After Gap FillToday's BaseRally301 pattern is certainly giving us a run for our money. I expected a bit of a pullback in early trading today, but I didn't expect the SPY price to fall far enough to CLOSE THE GAP. This is a great example of staying agile and running with what price gives us. Now, as we have closed the GAP and still trying to find a base/support level to mount another rally attempt. Please watch this to learn how important the next 4 hours are related to the future rally trend for the SPY. Today should be very interesting if the SPY Cycle Pattern plays out as I expect. This video also includes Gold, Bitcoin, and the QQQ. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-1 : BaseRally301 Pattern TodayThis video is to help you understand the continued initiation of the Vortex Rally phase and how today's BaseRally301 pattern will play out. Within this video, I cover the SPY, QQQ, Gold, & BTCUSD. This should really give you a solid primer as to what I expect the SPY to do today and why I'm waiting for the first 30 to 60+ minutes to play out before looking for any trades. I expect the SPY to move in a consolidated downward price trend for the first 30-60+ min, then start to move into the rally phase. Plan your trade. Remember to use the allocation model I shared with everyone yesterday. A. Pick your Entry Price B. Pick your Stop Level C. The difference between your Entry Price and Stop Level becomes your RISK FACTOR (say $2). D. Pick how much you are willing to RISK AMOUNT on this trade (say $500) E. Divide Your Risk Amount (D) by the Risk Factor (C): 500 / 2 = 250. You are only allowed to trade 250 shares (or less) to maintain your risk containment levels. It is pretty simple once you get used to this structure. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-31 Mid-Day Update - POP May IntensifyPlease watch this video to learn how the already big rally phase (starting the Vortex Rally) may intensify over the next 10+ days. By my analysis, the SPY could rally to levels above $565 before mid August. But, the SPY Cycle Patterns still show a moderate price pullback is in order before we move onto any extended rally phase. I've also made some big changes to the new TradingView tools I've been working on. Very happy with the current mods/adjustments. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-31 Mid-Morning Update - POP DelayedIt looks like the POP pattern was suppressed by yesterday's Israel attack - pushing price downward and really creating a bullish launchpad type fo reversion move. The Nasdaq is up over 3% The SPY is up over 1.6% These are HUGE upward price moves. In my opinion, this is the POP pattern showing up a day late (disrupted by the Israel/Lebanon attacks yesterday). In this video I highlight what I think is still a potential for a bit more upward price trending. We will reach a peak today and likely stall downward a bit later in the day. But for now, this reversion rally seems very strong. Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-31 Morning UpdateThis video highlights the morning Gap and what to expect before price settles and attempts to move above $553-555 today. I fully expect the Vortex Rally to move price higher over the next few weeks/months. But, today is going o be critical to see if Price can attempt to move above the recent resistance area near $554-555. If price moves up to that level and rejects (downward) - I would still consider that a positive price reaction to the recent selling pressure. So, today and tomorrow are going to be very important related to Fibonacci Price Theory and watch to see if price CAN attempt to move to new Unique/Ultimate highs. So far, the Gap higher (to a new Unique high) is a very positive move. One of my friends wrote to me this morning saying his "lotto" call options (purchased yesterday near the close) resulted in a 1400% gain this morning. Love this. I love seeing traders use my tools/research and attempt to better their skills. That is a big Lotto Win for cheap $9 call options on the SPY. Let's see how it plays out today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-31 : Counter-Trend Base RallyFirst, I got up a bit late this morning. Been pushing really hard over the last few weeks. I guess I needed the rest. Next, this video is very important for ALL TRADERS. I want all of you to learn the proper skills to manage your trading, risk controls, and emotional aspects of trading, and really learn the skills to MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS. I know you may never fully master these, but knowing how to use these tools and how they can help you is very important. I'll keep this short, we are likely going to see a rally to to $553-555 in the SPY, then watch the price roll downward later in the day. Go Get Some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-30 - Pop Pattern Disrupted By NewsToday's POP pattern, which I suggested would present a very solid Bullish trending opportunity, was disrupted by news of Israeli attacks in Lebanon. I truly believe today would have resulted in a very strong reversion rally had the markets no been disrupted by the new conflict. Still, we need to play the markets and not rely exclusively on my SPY Cycle Patterns. In this video, you'll see me go over a number of symbols (SPY/QQQ/Gold/Crude Oil, others) and show you some of the new tools I've been working on to help traders stay on the right side of market trends. I still expect the Vortex Rally to take place over the next 30 to 90+ days - building strength as the US markets trend upward. I believe the conflicts and global economic uncertainty will drive capital into US-Dollar-based assets over the next 12+ months - creating the Vortex Rally. This will also drive hedge instruments higher. As the US markets shift into the preferred safe-haven asset class (again), we should have nearly unlimited opportunities for great trades over the next 12 to 24+ months. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8