Nasdaq 100 What Now?Who’s In The Nasdaq And What Are They Doing?
Nasdaq bulls are succeeding! I mean, most of the anticipated resistance in last week’s chat.. Have all broken and turned into support. On the 240, you can see the clear uptrend (higher-highs and lows)—However, there’s a wedge and bearish divergence. Furthermore, the Nasdaq 100 has been respecting said, “wedge” through-out last week. A possible 15,000 coming through. But, the usual “buts”.. This particular “but” is that of: a higher-low daily creation.
Remember I talked about the fact that we’ve got the bulls in the market—hence we need higher-lows to confirm their validity. Well, this might just be it.
A possible outcome: The market opens on Monday bulls are still hovering.. We get a move to 15,000. Yeah! everyone’s happy. Then—comes the bears. The big retest, the big pull, I mean: the daily still needs it’s higher-low—right? This pull determines the bulls strength. My support zones are: 14300/200. Support holds, everyone goes long, support break—panic starts. If the bulls win, The next resistance zone: 15400 creates a new higher-high and.. We’re bullish baby!
Similarly, if bulls fail, Then I will.. We should start another panic sell because—what’s their exact purpose? Haha, let’s see how it turns out. Next up, Major news, use that to know what the market’s decision will be. Don’t take trades during a major news so be notified.
Nasdaq100 High Impact News
Lot to comes this week. The end of March and beginning of a new dawn (April). Let’s see.. Monday is the only day that’s free of a major news. Oh! my, News packed week I see.
Tuesday, March 29th, 2022–By 15:00. We’ve got; Cb consumer confidence—“Cb” stands for: conference board. This major news measures the sentiment of surveyed consumers on economic conditions. The market reacts to this because—Consumer optimism is directly related to consumer’s spending, hence—it makes up for a large part of the country’s economic activities.
Wednesday, March 30th, 2022. At 13:15, We have the ADP national employment report. The Automatic data processing National Employment Report is a measure of the monthly change in non-farm, private employment, based on the payroll data of approximately 400,000 U.S. business clients. The release, two days ahead of government data, is a good predictor of the government’s non-farm payroll report. The change in this indicator can be very volatile.
P.s: ADP provides payroll services to US corporations, and they analyze data from around 400,000 customers to derive employment growth estimations.
Why should you care about the ADP? Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. What to expect: A higher reading should be positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower reading should be negative/bearish for the USD. Hence, watch out for that reading—might just save you this week!
More On H.I.N For Nasdaq
Thursday, March 31st, 2022. Another news is—Personal income also known as, Disposable income. This measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. For this news, like the ADP, A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. Traders should take this seriously because.. Income is correlated with spending, the more disposable income consumers have, the more likely they are to increase spending.
Finally, Friday The fools day—April 1st. DON’T BE A FOOL THOUGH. This is the day of the most anticipated for Nasdaq ..NFP (non-farm payroll). However, before the NFP, we have like three major news to watch out for. The first, Average hourly earnings. The Average Hourly Earning released by the US Department of Labor is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates.. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.
Secondly, unemployment rate. The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. However, unlike other major news, A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
More On Jobless Rate (Unemployment Rate)
A tip for traders, Although it’s generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country’s monetary policy.
Lastly, Non-farm Payrolls. This popular news; Reports the monthly change in the number of employed workers, albeit not including the farming and government sectors. In the markets, High volatility is usually seen before and after the report release. The number of unemployed workers is an important signal of overall economic activity since consumer spending is greatly correlated with labor-market conditions.
Furthermore, The major importance of knowing about the NFP is: Job creation. The foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
NQ
Nasdaq 100 Trade ReviewLessons From This Week's Trade:
1. Always wait for your setup
2. Divergences can be tricky. P.s: Next video explains this.
Watch the video below to understand my view
The market is currently in an uptrend but, I can't really take trades because of the issue no daily higher-lows and the rising wedge forming so soon. However, this week, I took just a single trade. My entry was from 14344 and target 14600, while risking just 1.15%. Great trade, Gained 2.6%.. How was your week and what lessons where learnt?
Nasdaq100 Weekly Review Hey y'all so I wasn't at my finest this week. Had loads of technical issues and I couldn't keep up. Haha! occupational hazard. Anyway, I was able to take a trade that gave me some great pips. This week, the bulls took us by surprise. This is how my week went, How did yours?
P.S: After this video, stay tuned for the strategy used and how to apply it.
Nasdaq What Now Bears ReignHey guys, It's the second week of March and I can say for a fact that: these bears are probably not done. However, the bulls keep leaving signs that they are coming back soon. signs like: bullish divergence, falling wedges..
I also, talked about the high impact news to expect for this week.
Wednesday has a lot going on for her so: be careful on Wednesday. Stay safe guys be sure to not miss my streams and I'll be back with more ideas.
Love,
Lazyluchi
Nasdaq 100 What Now?So it's a new week in Nasdaq and I can tell the bears are not done. we've got the market still struggling at the 13750/700 support level here on the 240.
Guys I've got a theory and trading plan. it all depend on the opening a bearish opening leave room for speculations likewise a bullish.
However, on the daily, we've got a cross where if the ears break, then we've got a wick to fill and if not, then another bullish divergence that takes us to create a higher-high
Levels to consider:
13750/13700---Our current deciding factor.
13500-13000---If the ears break past the 13700 support that should be a new target.
13700-14000---The bulls would prove their strength once these levels are broken.
Be sure to follow me, like and comment to keep the community of Nasdaq100 lovers alive.
Love,
Lazyluchi.
Nasdaq100 What To ExpectWho’s In The Nasdaq Market And What Are They Doing?
Presently, the bulls.
However, from the looks of things, it seems we are at equilibrium. The divergence that popped up on Thursday was no jokes. In the market presently, there are four different levels: The 14200, 14400, 14600, and 15000 levels respectively.
These levels all have resistance and at least some buyers and sellers ready to either take the market up or slash that damn—price. They are strong levels. If broken by the bulls, they become support meaning; the bulls become stronger. I mean for them to last, we need more support right?
What Chart Patterns Are Visible, The Current Market Structure, And Stage Of The Ndx
As for chart pattern visibility, That divergence and double bottom are pretty obvious right? Albeit, that empty daily wick the bears abandoned at the 13,000 level mean something as well. There’s an unfinished business by the bears at that level.
Who knows, maybe an inverse head and shoulder might form. Well with that—I think the bulls might just be winning this one. However, we need more signs—these bulls can’t leave us empty. If you know your market cycle well, you would know the current stage the market is at is—either: the dip or finally at the bottom. That accumulation might just be forming. An accumulation means, there’s hope.
Finally, the market hasn’t actually formed a new lower high yet. So like I said, “the bears definitely have an unfinished business”.. We need lower highs or higher high—the highs are still void at the moment. As for the lows, we have two lower lows. Hmm, what can that mean? The bears are probably saying, “we’ll be back”. On that note, “I’ll be back too”.
Have a great week.
Trade Review: I Quit Trading Here's WhyHey guys, There's been a change in my way of posting again. Due to trade hour reasons. Anyway, I made a video reviewing my trades and mistakes made. Terrible week, but...
Trades I Took:
Hey good morning, it’s currently 9:12am, Tuesday 22nd February, 2022.. I took another trade risking 0.794% to gain 2.43%. Well, I was a bit hesitant because I had no idea where my Target would—then I remembered my 5 fundamentals “anything can happen” and I remembered i’m learning to also trade like the casino. That was the motive behind taking this trade. Anyway, i’m looking to short Nasdaq100 from 13656 to 13413. The bears have been roaming the market although don’t really know when the bulls will be back but we’ll see. There’s this head and shoulder pattern involved and I’m just really playing along with the signals I received from my edge. Today I’ll be going over my journal and I’ll be posting this particular one. I’m really grateful for my growth.
Currently, 9:52am and I lost that one ($7.94).. The buyers are still roaming not back-down.. Didn’t take time at all. I’m actually grateful that I cleared my doubts and played along. Anyway, lessons digested as usual.
Now my weakness is in: executing trades.. I’ve got no issue with analyzing.
19:23 Tuesday, 22nd February, 2022 (same day). Took this a trade. Risking 1.42% to gain 2.16%. Got in at 13805 with 13588 target in mind and leaving at 13947 if i’m wrong (short). Funny because I found myself contemplating about it. If I needed to take it or not. The struggle and conflict still seems to be coming up. How ever, I remind myself of: anything can happen. Apparently, there’s a wick and bullish divergence still in the corner—so, I don’t know if the bulls are done. Anyway, the result will let me know. I realized that my executions need a lot of work—i’ve found my actual goal for the year. Execution. I need to be better at shooting and not just aiming.
21:04 I lost again.. The Bulls are still in charge—I guess this means the divergence wasn’t lying. I’m currently down 2.5% with a 45.45% win-rate.
Execution still terrible, targets are much better. Noticed i’m more confident and not too worried with my trades. Need more work.
Today Thursday 24th February, 2022 11:48am.. Took a trade. The Nasdaq 100 bears have been going mental. I woke to the market down a thousand points already—Got a slight pull and deceied to hop in the train. Risking 0.93% to Gain 1.44%. My entry is: 13153 and i’m trying to get to 13009. The fib levels are pointing towards 12754-12207.. If there are more sellers, then—this will be a good trade. If not, well..
Yet another loss at 15:32. The U.S market opened up bullish.. Still tiny pips away from my target then reversed. Hmm. Win-rate now: 41% I’m down 3.5% of my account now. Never thought I’ll lose this much. Still above the execution: Timing (pullbacks), Trust (gut feeling) and Target (zones). I guess I’ve been able to chase my fear of failure and losing money away. Unlike me—after several losses I become hesitant. All in I haven’t lost the $200 I risked yet. Still a good sign though. In terms of risk management and analysis, i’m solid.. My executions are just weak.
The last day of the week, is Friday, 25th February 2022. Took another trade at 9:13 am. haha—not funny but I took a sell. Risking 1.5% to gain 6.80%. The thing is, I don’t know if the bulls are done. The market has not been stable. Bears on the other hand keep leaving wicks around. Well, so far this is my fourth trade for the wick, three failed trades, and I don’t know the outcome of this one yet. Imagine, I even got hesitant because I have failed three times in a row. Then I remembered, “anything can happen”. Never thought I’ll say this, but—this exercise is tough. Well, journal let’s see how this one turns out.
What do you think happened? Watch the clip.
Love,
Lazyluchi
Ndx: Happy President's Day#nq It's 12am, the holiday continues due to the president's day and I thought, "make a video before you crash". Yup, I marked some levels on my chart as you can see.
These are levels I'm looking at. The Nasdaq100 is currently at the end of both the daily and hour 4 channels and I don't know what this means for the bulls. Two possible scenarios involves the market creating support and a possible divergence while bringing the bulls backs or it breaks and resistance is created whilst going for the 13k mark.
What's it going to be? Huh..
Levels:
Toc-14700
Moc-14300
Eoc-14000
Again, Happy president's day.
Ndx Trade Review: Trust, Timing, Target
Hey y'all, so for my trade review today. I speak on trades taken, what I discovered from them, that is, the lessons learnt. What I need to work on moving forward and what I've let go of. Be sure to watch the whole clip to get better at trading. Leave a like, comment how your trade week was and follow me. I'll love that. Appreciate y'all.
Lazyluchi.
2022 SPX/Index Prediction Continued, Will We Get a Pullback?So this is a follow up on my short fractal idea I posted last month. So far we are still seeing the short pattern develop BUT on the longer time frames we are still bullish and in an uptrend. There really isn't a big red flag yet in this market other than if you really pick through the internals of the market. Not to mention so many of the high flyer tech stocks are down 50 percent or more from their highs. I'm still potentially looking for a pull back into the 4300 area but I will continue to watch this closely to get a better idea as to what the market wants to do here. To be honest we have been in an observation period since the beginning of December trying figure out where everything wants to go. The index's are starting to look a little exhausted, but that doesn't mean we just fall from here. Its more of a critical time to watch and see what the smart money wants to do here. Stay safe out there. I will continue to update this idea.
Ndx: Last Days Of DecemberHow was your December/year?
In this video, I explain how the bulls and bears are now in a range. It's advised to stay out as we watch the watch-hour close. Be available every Saturdays for my teaching.
Happy new year!
Listen, trading is risky and not easy. Be sure to not trust anyone---even me!
Please leave a comment, like and follow-up if you enjoy my feeds or not. Haha! still follow me either way.
Ndx: Wait For The PullsHappy anniversary to me!
It's been a year since I decided it's Nasdaq and nasdaq100 only.
Trading this guy consistently for a year has been a blast.
Thank you all...
Erm, took a hilarious trade by 2am today. Wasn't a bad one though just hilarious Cos', it was a terrible risk to reward although my target was 16700. Took partials and left I just felt like I needed an excuse to close it though---Cos' I wasn't comfortable with the risk.
I'm having a deeper throat now-a days.
Anyway, my bias from yesterday still stands. We still need the bulls to be stronger. The "W" is almost completed and all I say we do now is, Wait.
Explained reason in the video, be sure to watch it.
Target---16771
Listen, trading is risky and not easy. Be sure to not trust anyone---even me!
Please leave a comment, like and follow-up if you enjoy my feeds or not. Haha! still follow me either way.
Ndx Watch Hour.. The Bulls Broke ItHappy new year guys. I'm saying "happy new year" cos'---my trade week has ended I'm just having fun with the remaining days left. Till we scream 2022!
Anyway, the bulls finally broke the barrier that was created since November 25th.
I feel like they actually didn't stand a chance Cos', I mean "the festive period" was kind of positive.
Spoke about future bull plans in the video so, I highly recommend you watch it.
If you loved it, do make sure to leave a like, comment and a follow-up.
I appreciate everyone of you!
L.luchi
Nasdaq100 Bulls Are Approaching The Bears AgainAlright y'all know our december has been a back n' forth battle with the bears...
The barrier created by these bears hasn't been exceeded yet.
For reasons best known to them.
But, with all the signs they've created. They might just get it right this time.
Watch the clip to get the tea.
Trading is risky, stay safe..
Ndx Bears Seem To Have Won, Spoke Soon!Hey y'all pip diggers, the Monday watch-hour gave us a bearish update. The weekly failed at creating a higher high instead---we got a lower high. The daily in the other hand... Completed it's head and shoulder pattern and a double top is chilling on the hour 4.
Hmm... All these bearish signs don't look like a mere coincidence.
Watch for my opinion.
Remember, because I won in the past doesn't guarantee my win now.