US100 H4 - Short Signal US100 H4
A slightly higher timeframe here on US100 as compared to the previous US30 analysis, that being said, we have some very attractive trading zones here, 20,500 certainly in the crosshairs, a good area of confluence, ATH price, H4 supply, H4 resistance and a half number trading at 100 points. Which holds as a psychological price level.
You can see we set our alerts for the price, now we simply wait patiently, there are lots of setups to play and trade from this week. After a struggle last week, getting those first sniper entries banked is really important for us. Starting the week strong and picking the best of the bunch.
NQ
NASDAQ #NAS100 #NQ BIG SHORT THIS WEEK?Market Makers' Bias:
-Non-Commercial traders, including hedge funds and large institutional speculators, have significantly increased their net selling positions compared to the previous week. This shift indicates a strong bearish divergence, suggesting that market sentiment has turned decisively negative.
Additional Fundamental Bias:
-The Nasdaq appears overbought relative to U.S. Treasury bonds, suggesting that tech stocks within the Nasdaq Index, such as #AAPL, #META, and #GOOG already falling in prices.
-We also have the Nasdaq Futures contract Rollover Price gaps, they normally act as a magnet to be filled.
US-Election year Seasonality - Heavily Bearish this week.
Technical Analysis portion:
-We are just hit the weekly covered daily Supply zone, price may now be ready for a bearish this week.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Let’s see how this plays out... 👀👀
$NQ outlook headed into OCT. 21 WEEKMarket structure still shows us that it is bullish based on Technicals.
No catalyst yet for a big bearish move/correction/pullback.
Friday ended as an inside bar /1 / harami.
Means an explosive move is coming.
Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday.
The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs.
Rejection off the order blocks from April time frame and the SEPT bounce off the imbalance created in AUG.
There's no real catalyst 'yet' for a big bearish move.
I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ
Similar to my NASDAQ:QQQ post a week ago, price is still respecting the upward trendline which is now annotated with the green triangle.
Watch for price for the rest of OCT attempt to take out ATH (Liquidity) at 20983.75 and potentially reverse/stall at 21,000. Why that number? Psychological level along with where many algos most likely set their orders along with those who went short at ATH set their stops ABOVE entry.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE but an OPINION.
#SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
Nasdaq Monthly Analysis - Possible Measured Move CorrectionThere may be a lot of choppy price action at the top of this trading range until price definitively starts to trend down to facilitate the correction or break out to make new highs. The reason for speculation that Nasdaq may be due for a correction is based on the current impulsive wave's similarity to the previous impulsive wave in both price and time.
If the current impulsive wave has reached exhaustion it will be an approximate measured move of the previous impulsive wave with increase factors of:
1.022 increase in price range (10,365÷10,142)
1.046 increase in days to climax (637÷609)
If the upcoming correction is also a measured move of the previous correction, using the calculated increase factors, the correction should be projected to occur over approximately 340 days (325×1.046) and decline by approximately 6,483 Points (6,344×1.022).
This would bring price to 14,309 (20,792-6,483) around the date of June 16, 2025, which would also bring price back to the trend line.
The projected correction, based the listed calculations, may retrace 77 Points below the 61.8% level (14,386-14,309). It is also worth mentioning that the previous correction retraced 76 Points below the 61.8% level (10,503-10,427). This difference in retracement below 61.8% is a factor increase of 1.013 (77÷76).
On the monthly timeframe, technical indicators such as Stochastic and RSI show price as overbought.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-18 : Tmp-Bottom PatternHappy Friday,
Today's pattern is a Tmp-Bottom pattern for the SPY Cycle Patterns. This pattern usually acts as price attempting to find immediate support in early trading, then moving into a moderate melt-up rally.
After yesterday's big opening gap (higher) on the SPY, I suspect the SPY & QQQ will attempt to rally back to those highs and possibly attempt to break those highs today.
In other words, I believe yesterday's opening price high was a reaction price level where price ran into immediate resistance. After watching price roll downward and now attempt to melt upward in overnight trading, I interpret this move as "failing to continue to establish new lower lows". Thus, price then shifts into a mode of "must attempt to make higher highs".
If my analysis is correct, we'll see the SPY/QQQ melt upward off the Tmp-Bottom pattern and possibly attempt to move up 1.25-1.50%+ today.
Gold and Silver are playing out very nicely - still moving in a solid rally phase.
Bitcoin continues to consolidate sideways. The length of time Bitcoin has consolidated could present a very big breakout or breakdown pattern over the next 2 to 5+ days.
So, be aware that any move away from the #3 & #4 consolidation phase of the Excess Phase Peak pattern could resolve into a very big price move for Bitcoin.
Currently, I suggest the downward price move has a slight advantage - simply because of the failed new highs (price rejection). But, that could change in an instant with a confirmed higher high/higher close.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-17 : CarryOver In CarryOver ModeGood morning,
Great to see the ES/NQ rallying higher this morning - in perfect alignment with my SPY Cycle Patterns & predictions.
Gold & Silver are also moving slightly higher - but remember My Gold patterns suggest Gold & Silver will consolidate a bit in early trading today.
BTCUSD is a really interesting chart, in my opinion. The multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns are playing into a potentially very large downward price move.
Pay attention to all of the content in this video today because we are moving into the end of this week - which means we need to prepare for the volatility that starts next week.
As I keep suggesting to everyone, trading is about attempting to time the best opportunities for success. Knowing when something may happen that creates an opportunity, setting your risk levels, and going for it.
I wish I could tell you, "Trading is like picking red or black". It's not.
Trader's have to develop almost a 6th sense to be able to see and visualize what is most likely to happen in the future. My tools help me see into the future a bit, but a lot of my analysis comes from within my head.
Anyway, the best way for you to learn these skills is from someone who can mentor you and show you what they are seeing on the chart. Teaching you the skills to improve your own abilities to make better decisions.
That is what I'm doing.
Over time, you will learn to use these techniques to make better decisions and become a better trader (at least that is my objective).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade: 10-16 UpdateLearn to watch for signs of major market contagion by watching key sectors.
In my opinion, the biggest sectors: Like Transportation, Financials, Gold, and Crude Oil, will lead any major market collapse - often by 7-10+ days.
This videos highlights what I believe most traders need to watch in terms of understanding when/where opportunities are for long trades while attempting to gauge risks related to any type of broad market collapse event.
Spend some time looking over this custom Crash Index and let me know if you see any correlations related to when the SPY/QQQ move more than 7-8% downward in any sudden price moves...
(XLF+IYT+GDX+XOP)/4
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-16: BreakAway PatternToday's video highlights what I believe may be a shift in market trend - which can happen.
My SPY Cycle Pattern highlight expected price activity/range based on a number of factors: Fibonacci price theory, Gann analysis, Tesla Price Amplitude theory, and more.
Yet, the one thing my SPY Cycle Pattern do not take into consideration is TIME.
Price shifting slightly forward or backward: where price exhibits an activity/range one day before or one day after the Pattern Date has happened before.
I've seen big CRUSH patterns happen +/- one day. I've seen topping/bottoming patterns happen +/- one day.
Possibly, we just experienced the sideways contraction I was expecting for Wednesday of this week happen on Tuesday of this week. This type of "time shift" if not out of the question in terms of how price reacts to external news/data.
What this means is we may be in for a moderate upside melt-up type of rally in the SPY/QQQ over the next 3+ trading days.
Gold & Silver are moving clearly into the Phase #4 of an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. If my analysis is correct, Gold and Silver will rally to a new "Ultimate High" throughout this process.
Bitcoin may have already reached the Ultimate High after yesterday's breakout rally phase. We need to watch the $68k level to see if price fails to rally above that level.
The next two weeks of trading should be very interesting for all of us - moving into an election and watching the global markets attempt to adjust for opportunities/risks.
Remember, ultimately, all of your decision-making should focus on three things:
_ Preserving Capital
_ Identifying Opportunities
_ Containing Risks
No matter what happens over the next three+ weeks, there will be time for more trading after the elections and in 2025 and beyond. Trading is a long game - where the #1 priority is to preserve capital while trying to find the best opportunities for profits.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-15 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a Gap Breakaway type of price trend. I believe this means price will attempt to Gap higher at the open and attempt to move into a moderate rally phase throughout the day.
Remember, we are just starting to move into Q3 earnings data, which will last well into mid-November. On top of that, we have the US elections and other data (external) that may drive market trends.
Near the beginning of this video, I show you some of my ADL (Adaptive Dynamic Learning AI) predictive modeling system outcomes for various symbols on Daily charts. It is important to understand price is the ultimate indicator and we don't want to fight price. We just let price do what it wants to do and try to time the best trading opportunities on the charts.
Given what I believe it currently taking place, I suspect the SPY/QQQ will melt upward over the next 5-7+ trading days - attempting to reach a peak price level near October 24-25.
Metals appear to be in a consolidation channel (downward) and are struggling to break away from that channel. Move metals do break away from that channel - we are going to see an explosive move to the upside. I suspect that could happen later today or tomorrow.
Bitcoin is playing the Excess Phase Peak Pattern perfectly - moving into consolidation and now setting up the #4 (A or B) setup for traders. The next move is going to be explosive - either setting an ultimate high, or breaking downward and returning to recent lows.
Should be some exciting trends for all of us over the next 10+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-14 EOD Update - Rally Rally RallyWhat a great day for my followers! I created my Roadmap for all of you, and the markets have started this week doing exactly what I expected regarding the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver.
Next, we should see the rally continue in the SPY/QQQ, and Gold/Silver are moving into an Apex Breakaway setup, which could be very explosive to the upside.
Remember, what I do behind the scenes to prepare and understand market conditions is much deeper than what you see in these videos. Every weekend (and most days), I spend quite a bit of time trying to understand what is really taking place beneath the price charts.
That is where I gain a deeper understanding of what to expect and how prices will react to changing market dynamics.
So, if you like what you see in my Plan Your Trade videos - remember there is much more to do this efficiently than what I'm showing you in these Videos.
Also, remember, a Win is a Win. Book it and call it good.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-14 : GapUp-Lower In Counter TrendGood morning,
This video highlights what I expect to happen in the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin over the next 5 to 7+ days.
Remember, I'm using my proprietary modeling systems, SPY/Gold Cycle Patterns, and other research to share a roadmap of expected price action 5- 7+ days into the future.
I don't know anyone else who can do this research accurately and provide such clear trade/entry/exit signals.
This week should be exciting as we'll see multiple opportunities in the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver.
Bitcoin is nearing a Phase #4 (consolidation) trigger near recent highs. At this point, traders need to wait for a breakout of the recent range before getting more aggressive with BTCUSD.
Let's get some this week.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-11 EOD UpdateOverall, this week has been rock solid. Even though the markets moved downward after the US Treasury auction early this week, the recovery and rally on Thursday and Friday were right on schedule.
Remember, I've highlighted my SPY Cycle Patterns more than three weeks into the future before the beginning of October. Mapping Daily price action like this is impossible for almost anyone.
The idea that I can identify price patterns weeks and months in advance and attempt to identify where and when trade opportunities may exist based on these advanced patterns is of real value.
I'm not waiting for price to move in some formation or setup, I know where price will likely base/bottom, or peak/top, and I know where opportunities should exist for profitable trades days or weeks in advance.
Now, you've seen how these patterns work and how I use other advanced TA techniques to identify real opportunities.
What are you waiting for...
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ at Key Level Break Higher or Move Lower✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Key Market Player
We'll break down recent price action and provide insights into potential future trends by analyzing critical market levels.
🚨 Previous Analysis Recap:
In our last review, we anticipated a move higher to break through the Previous Month High (PMH). Although we tapped into this level, there's still potential for price to push further into this zone.
📊 Current Market Overview:
Currently, price movement has slowed after taking out the PMH. On lower timeframes (LTF), there are opportunities to seek short entry setups targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). However, we remain aware that the market may still attempt another leg up, possibly deeper into the PMH region.
🕓 Key Levels to Monitor:
These are the critical zones that could drive price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone)
These levels help identify where price may seek liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) represent areas where the market may retrace before resuming its trend.
⏰ 1Hour Outlook:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish setup, we’ll watch the lower timeframes (LTF) for price to sweep Low Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity (LSSL). Once liquidity is grabbed, we can look for our entry model to target the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A short setup is viable even now, but the optimal scenario would be to take out Buy-Side Liquidity first. Following that, we’ll watch for entry opportunities on the LTF to achieve better entries and risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios.
📝 Conclusion:
Stay flexible as market conditions evolve. By keeping an eye on these key levels and potential setups, you can refine your strategy and spot high-probability opportunities.
🔮 Looking Ahead:
Keep following as we monitor NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets. Expect timely updates as trends unfold.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-11 : Inside Breakaway PatternHappy Friday.
Today's Inside Breakaway pattern for the SPY should prompt a solid rally attempt - where the SPY/QQQ should rally higher to close out the week. I'm targeting the 580+ level for the SPY over the next 5+ trading days.
Gold and Silver are moving into a Top-Resistance pattern. This suggests Gold and Silver will rally, form a peak, then roll slightly downward today. I'm still targeting the 2670-2680+ level for Gold as a peak today. Silver will lag, but will likely setup a peak near 32.00.
Bitcoin collapsed, then recovered overnight - forming a very large Deep-V base. Now, this recent recovery is setting up as a Bearish Excess Phase Peak pattern and may likely roll into the Downward Flagging phase.
Be aware, this type fo deep low was the result of a Bullish Excess Phase Peak pattern completing the full 5 phases - ultimately reaching the "ultimate low" with the Deep-V bottom.
This current setup in BTCUSD suggests price will attempt to recover as long as the Deep-V low price is not breached.
Volatility is here. Price ranges will continue to be volatile through and after the US elections.
So be aware that news, data, or other items may cause price to react very violently over the next 2+ months.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold & Silver Have Confirmed An Attempt To New ATHsWatch this video to understand how Fibonacci Price Theory suggests Gold & Silver are moving in a bullish price trend - attempting to break recent resistance levels.
I believe Gold and Silver will continue to rally, reflecting global capital risk factors, and break to new ATHs before the end of 2024.
My target for Gold by Dec 31, 2024 is $3030-$3250.
My target for Silver by Dec 31, 2024 is $34.5-$37.50.
Here we go.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-10 : Carryover in Carryover ModeToday's cycle pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ price action will be very similar to yesterday's price action. I believe the markets are starting to move away from the basing/bottoming phase and moving back into trending phase.
Thus, I believe the SPY & QQQ will begin a rally up to highs reached before October 20-21, then form a top, and toll downward just before the US elections.
Gold needs to find some support and move higher - away from the 2625 price level. It is critical that Gold stay above 2620 at this stage. if Gold falls below 2620 - there is a very strong chance Gold will move into deeper consolidation and fail to rally above the 2750++ level I expect.
BTCUSD has already reached my lower support zone. I do expect Bitcoin to consolidate a bit near this lower price channel, but the next move is to either revert higher, or breakdown even further. Currently, I suggest waiting 20 to 48 hours with Bitcoin to let price settle on a new trend.
Get some.
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: SP500, NASDAQ, DOW JONESThe 3 Indices are in position to move higher. I am looking for long setups only, as my bias is bullish. My targets are the PWHs, and potentially ATHs.
My bias changes with a break below the Weekly FVGs.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-9 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's video goes over why I believe today will be somewhat quiet in terms of trending and expectations. As I suggested in the video, today is a good day to trade with only 20-30% position sizes - or to take a day off and go golfing.
I don't expect any big moves today - even though today's pattern is a Breakaway in Counter-trend mode.
I believe the markets will pause today - seeking support/resistance and trying to establish a range for a bigger move on Thursday/Friday.
I hope you guys are learning how to use the Excess Phase Peak patterns more efficiently. They are not easy to learn - especially now that I'm showing both the Ying & Yang side of these patterns.
They happen everywhere and can be very important when making decisions.
Remember, price only does two things: Trends or Flags.
That's it. There is no other type of price action you have to prepare for.
Get Some.
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Gold Washout Low/Excess Phase Peak #3 Setup - Get ReadyThis short video highlights why I believe Gold is building a base near $2640 for a big rally move up to $2760++.
Yes, I highlight some concerns in this video.
I expected Gold to move more aggressively to the upside over the last 36 hours, but this is trading. Everything doesn't work out perfectly in all instances.
If you are trading Gold, this video should help you understand what is happening on the price chart and why it is so important for Gold to build a base and move higher from these lows.
If Gold breaks below $2620, all bets are off, and we may see a broader breakdown. But I don't think that is likely to happen with this move.
I still see the $2780 level as the upper target.
Get some.
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Analyzing BTCUSD Using Excess Phase Peak PatternsI've been getting lots of emails and comments about the Excess Phase Peak patterns I use on my charts.
They are really quite simple to understand once you learn their structure/process.
But, the hardest part of using them is they work as a YING/YANG type of price structure. While the bullish Excess Phase Peak patterns are operating, the other side of price action, the bearish Excess Phase Peak patterns, are also operating in price.
So, you have to be able to see what's in front of you from both sides.
In this example with BTCUSD, I try to highlight both the bullish and bearish Excess Phase Peak patterns for traders to learn to use them more efficiently.
Get some.
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