Weekly Outlook and overview of Nasdaq 100Bearish displacement on the weekly timeframe. Weekly Power of Three lined up with strong fundamentals. Tariffs.
Walkthrough of the weekly Price action and outlook for the next week
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
When will NASDAQ stop melting? You can't say I didn't warn you!I hate to say I told you but I warned about this crash at my analysis back at September 2024 for NQ1! (you can see it at related ideas below), anticipating market moves based on structure well before the narrative around election and tariffs even began circulating.
We often see markets engineer these kinds of dramatic dives below obvious lows. This projection towards the 4.0-5.0 zone looks characteristic of such a liquidity hunt, designed to clear out sell-side stops and shake out traders before a potential major move higher – a dynamic not unlike what we anticipated previously.
While the projected sharp drop on NQ1! below key levels like the Monthly Order Block near 3.0 and the AG (actual gap) level near 3.5 might look aggressively bearish, I'm viewing this as a potential setup for a significant buy opportunity.
My attention is focused on that "Possible reversal level 1" between 4.0 and 5.0. If price stabilizes and shows rejection signs within this zone, it could signal the start of a powerful rally, potentially targeting levels back up towards the 1.75 area or even revisiting prior highs.
Remember, these market structure plays can take time to fully develop, just as previous setups did. We could see NQ consolidate or even briefly dip lower within that 4.0-5.0 zone before the anticipated upward reversal truly gains traction.
Thanks for reading, boost and follow to stay liquid and not become liquidity.
Wish you safe and informed trading decisions.
___________
CME_MINI:NQ1! TVC:VIX
Weekly Market Forecast: Short Term Buys, Then Sells! In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of April 7 - 11th.
The Stock Market Indices may find support at current levels for a Bear Market Rally. Wait for the market structure shift to the upside before taking any buys. Let the market confirm it's intended direction first, then look for valid buy setups for a short term countertrend play.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
2022 NQ Bear Market Fractal scenarios Index has declined more than 20% and we've failed RSI 40 on weekly, indicating a bear market has started. Best case scenario, I could see it bottoming around 16,666/15000 and recovering very quickly with a blow-off top +100% in less than a year, similar to 2000, topping around 30k-33k.
Bear markets typically last 3M-3Y, with most ending in a year or less. This one topped mid Q1, so mid Q2, Mid-May, might be a great time to buy, if only for a few weeks. Bottoming there after 3M would fit close to orange pattern, or stretch it 3M to bottom mid Q3, October.
Green pattern is the only 1:1 with 2022 top to present, with a bottom around 1Yr and then blue and green are steeper variation bottoming a little later, mid 3Y.
Pink is more of a 2000 top with 3Y bear market, but would just be a recession.
Red is worst case scenario; great depression followed by rapid hyperinflation that sends markets screaming with exponential gains just to outrun inflation.
You can stretch the scales on idea to zoom in and out and see the patterns better, or try drawing your own.
Linked are my ideas from 2022 top. There is more confirming TA, but removed for clarity on an already busy chart.
QQQ: Tariff ReactionNASDAQ:QQQ As China strikes back with a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, the global trade landscape could see some serious turbulence. This follows Trump's tariff moves, and the market's already feeling it: QQQ’s daily chart shows capitulation volume on the table, suggesting a potential bounce— IF tariffs ease.
But until these trade tensions subside, it's likely to be a rocky ride. Tariffs push prices up, inflation lingers, and the Fed finds itself boxed in. The outcome? A market crash, recession, and stagflation—yet, there's still hope for a bounce, depending on how these factors play out.
Manage the levels with us at ChartsCoach.
NASDAQ tanking! Do the right thing and CUT RATES NOW Jerome!The market is collapsing, China is retaliating with 34% tariffs and Powell is making jokes!
Well that pretty much sums up the market news since yesterday, with Nasdaq / US100 having the worst day since the COVID crash 5 years ago while President Trump shouting 'the market is going to boom'.
Today China imposed 34% reciprocal tariffs on imports of U.S. goods and the worst of all.. Jerome Powell on his speech a little earlier was making jokes about his purple tie, avoiding to address the elephant in the room and take action!
Nasdaq is testing the August 5th 2024 Low, having crossed even under the 1week MA100 for the first time since May 15th 2023! At the same time the 1week RSI just got oversold at 30.00.
Reminds you of something? Yes that's right the last time Nasdaq broke under its 1week MA100 that fast and got oversold on its 1week RSI was on the week of March 16th 2020: YES the COVID crash.
What happened then? Well dear old Fed stepped up, did what they HAD to and cut rates to near zero (0.25%).
Even President Trump tweeted just a few hours ago that Powell should cut rates now and stop playing politics!
Tariffs are in place and they will pay off very well in the long term. On the shorter term, it is in Powell's hands save the economy.
-- Do the right thing and finally CUT THE RATES Jerome! --
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NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Dear Traders,
today I present you once again my current idea on the Nasdaq. We have swept a High Liquidity Area marked as my lower HTF PDA. Because of that we might see a stronger Pullback as shown on my Chart.
However, I will still keep my eyes open and wait for the 9:30 (UTC-4) Manipulation to look for a Market Maker Sell Model which I will only consider a after a Pullback into my Key Areas and Price Action showing interests of a bearish continuation.
(09:30 Manipulation, Liquidity Sweep + SMT Divergence, Break Of Structure, Any PD-Array)
Praise be to God
-T-
BUY NASDAQBeen a while since I last posted about the American market, you can buy and target the same level as mine.
Follow for more!
NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Hello again, once again I publish my current Idea on the Nasdaq. I expect a Bearish Day after a Pullback into a HTD PD-Array.
Following the Market Maker Sell Model and the Quarterly Theory I will look for a short setup in the NY Killzone.
Praise be to God
-T-
NQ! Long Idea, MXMM and Quarterly TheoryToday I will show you my current long Idea on NQ! following the rules of the MXMM Buy Model and the Quarterly Theory.
Praise be to God
-T-
Double Bullish Divergence Flashing on $SPY and $QQQWe’re spotting a double bullish divergence across two major indices: the S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) and the NASDAQ 100 ( NASDAQ:QQQ ).
On both daily charts:
Price is making lower lows, signaling continued downward pressure.
Meanwhile, the RSI is forming higher lows, revealing a potential loss of bearish momentum.
This kind of setup often precedes a trend reversal or strong relief bounce, especially when observed across multiple indices at once. The fact that both AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ are flashing the same signal gives added confluence and strength to this potential move.
Divergence = a potential bullish signal
Watch for confirmation: break of previous highs or strong bullish candles.
Caution: divergences don’t always play out — wait for confirmation before going long.
Are we looking at the bottom forming? 👀
Stay alert. A shift in sentiment could be underway.
NASDAQ Huge Bullish Divergence points to 21350 inside April.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 11 2024 High. The latest rally that started on March 11 2025 after a brutal 3-week downtrend/ Bearish Leg, got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as the market digested the disappointing PCE.
Despite this aggressive rejection, the price hit and rebounded yesterday exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up with the previous such contact going back to the August 05 2024 Low. Not to mention that both the March 11 2025 and August 08 2024 Lows were formed exactly on the secondary Higher Lows trend-line.
What's perhaps more critical than any of these though, is that the 1D RSI didn't make a new Low last week and remains above the oversold barrier on a Higher Low trend-line that is a huge technical Bullish Divergence against the price's Lower Lows.
As with the August 22 2024 High, our first short-term Target is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 21350.
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NASDAQ: Forming the bottom. Don't miss the 2025 rally to 28,000.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.342, MACD = -382.320, ADX = 38.919), headed towards oversold territory. 1W is also headed towards an oversold state (RSI = 36.953) as the price has crossed under the 1W MA50 and is approaching the 1W MA100. This is currently waiting at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This 6 month correction is so far technically nothing but the bearish wave of this Channel Up and has been almost as strong (-15.89%) as the previous in July-Aug 2024.
Notice an key technical tendency here, no correction/bearish wave has ever crossed under the S1 level of two highs before. The current S1 is at 18,400. So taking those conditions into consideration as well as the fact that the 1W RSI is at the bottom of its Channel Down, we see this week as the bottom formation candle that will start a new bullish wave. The prior two such waves both made an incredibly symmetric rise of +52.60%, so expecting the same puts our target at TP = 28,000, most likely by December 2025-January 2026.
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Weekly Market Forecast: SELL THE INDICES!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 31st - April 4th.
The equity markets took a bearish turn last week. This is likely to continue for the upcoming week.
Monday is the end of March. Tuesday brings a new week and new opportunities. April 2nd brings... potentially market flipping volatility. The day the Trump tariffs are implemented.
Be careful. Let the market give you direction, and then get involved.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
ES Draw for next weekExpect onesided meltdown on ES. Upcoming week is going to be massively liquid. Try to position less compare to your original postitions
NQ weekly walkthrough and outlook for the next weekExpecting onesided displacement on NQ towards the sellside. Also we have NFP week.
$NQ IdeaWhen analyzing the NQ weekly chart, we observe that the price has consumed internal liquidity in the premium region of the range and closed in a way that favors the continuation of the bearish movement. Given this, we believe the next **Draw on Liquidity** will be the weekly double bottom located just below.
However, since the market has experienced a sharp decline without corrections, there is a possibility of buying opportunities before the downtrend resumes. As we are in a discounted region on the weekly chart, the price may seek momentum toward the premium region, capturing **buyside liquidity** as fuel for the continuation of the bearish movement.
It is important to highlight that we must wait for the market to open and observe its initial movement to better define our trading strategy.
NASDAQ Will the disappointing PCE today form a Double Bottom?Nasdaq is on a strong 3 day correction that has almost erased the recovery attempt since the March 11th low.
That was a higher Low inside the 8 month Channel Up and the current correction may be a bottom formation attempt like September 6th 2024.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy before the closing market price.
Targets:
1. 23350 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) illustrates the similarities with July-September 2024 in a much better way. Strong indication that the Channel Up is attempting to price a bottom.
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Strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025)Nasdaq-100 E-mini Futures (NQM2025) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Technical Overview:
My Daily chart analysis on TradingView highlights a strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025). Here are the key takeaways:
Liquidity Sweep & Support Retest:
The recent decline led to a liquidity sweep (LQ SWEEP) at a critical ascending trendline. This suggests a classic stop-hunt scenario where weaker long positions were liquidated before stronger buyers stepped in.
Historical price action indicates that buyers previously entered at similar levels (noted as "Buyers coming in hot here"), reinforcing this demand zone.
Bullish Trendline Respect:
The long-term ascending trendline has been respected, acting as a dynamic support level.
The recent bounce suggests that this level remains intact, further validating the bullish structure.
Order Block (OB) & Market Structure Shift (MSS):
A previous bearish market structure shift (MSS) led to a short-term decline, but price has since found support and rebounded.
The chart suggests a reversion to the upside, targeting prior imbalance zones and liquidity pockets.
Projected Path & Targets:
The green projection indicates an expectation of higher highs, likely targeting the 21,500 - 22,500 range in the coming weeks.
The sell-side liquidity has been cleared, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the order block resistance near 21,000.
Fundamental Confirmation (#EdgeFinder & #COT Data):
From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is further confirmed by EdgeFinder data and recent Commitment of Traders (COT) reports:
Institutional Positioning:
The latest COT data shows that institutional traders have increased their net long positions in Nasdaq futures, signaling bullish sentiment.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Recent economic reports and Fed statements have favored a risk-on environment, benefiting tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Earnings season is approaching, with expectations of strong tech sector performance potentially fueling further upside.
Conclusion & Market Sentiment:
The confluence of technical support, institutional buying, and positive macroeconomic factors strengthens the case for a bullish continuation in Nasdaq-100 futures.
The key level to watch is 20,000—if held, the probability of a move towards 21,500 - 22,500 increases significantly.
Risk factors include unexpected macroeconomic shifts or stronger-than-expected hawkish Fed rhetoric, which could slow momentum.
This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
High Probability Long Position NQHigh Probability Long Position NQ
SL: Swing Low
TP: FE 1.618
Size based on your risk management strategy
High Probability Short Position NQTP: FE 4.618
SL: Swing high
Size based on your risk management strategy
Trump's Auto Tariffs Shake Things Up on Wall StreetTrump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NASDAQ on the first minor pullback of the new bullish wave.Nasdaq / US100 has just started the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up.
The bottom was made 2 weeks ago and every time the bullish wave crossed over its 4hour MA50, it is expected to make a pullback retest at some point.
This pullback is taking place today.
Whether it replicates the first bullish wave of the Channel Up or the second, the index aims for either a 22.48% total rise or the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
Both happen to be around the same level.
Buy and target a little under them at 23400.
Previous chart:
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