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NQ1

Liquidity Crisis may happen, Market TOPPED OUTLiquidity Crisis may happen most of hedgefund did buying treasury bond and then treasury bond margin loan , so they made almost 50x leverage on bond market times over and over now only t-bill s gonna be recognized as collateral so t-bill market happend this method But NFP is too strong, FED didn't do Rate Cut now So t-bill is bubbled now, we are gonna kill it and stock market just knew there's plenty of liquidity until today Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked. So market topped out
TVC:NDQShort
by newjeansoldjean
5
NASDAQ: This is a short term correction leading to 21,500.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.414, MACD = -64.490, ADX = 50.187) but the 1W RSI is still bullish (RSI = 56.510). You can see the reason on this chart. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that is supported by the 1W MA50 for the past 13 months. The current pullback can be seen as a phase similar to the consolidation of August-November 2020 that resumed the uptrend afterwards almost as high as the 4.0 Fibonacci extension level. The RSIs are very much alike as well, under LH trendlines. Consequently our long term target is slightly under the 4.0 Fib (TP = 21,500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
1
NASDAQ Emphatically below its 1D MA50 after +5 months!Nasdaq (NDX) is on the pull-back process, a correction that we called on our March 12 idea (see chart below) when the index reached the top of its 1 year Channel Up: Even as recently as last week (see chart below) we called for the ideal sell entry and set a 17500 Target: As you can see, the index emphatically broke and closed below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday for the first time in more than 5 months (April 04 also closed below it but only marginally). That is technically as strong bearish break-out signal. The idea now is that we want the index to hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been intact since November 06 2023, see how the market reacts and then determine if that is a low or not. Technically if it replicates the August 18 2023 Low, we should be expecting a Low on the 0.3 Fibonacci retracement level at 17,150 at least, which also happens to be just above Support 1. The decline on the Aug 18 2023 Low was of the -8.52% magnitude, so that gives us a 16900 downside limit. We don't expect the pull-back to go that low though this time. A fair bottom signal can be when the 1D RSI hits 35.00 or the bottom of its Channel Down, similar to what took place on August 18 2023. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
SP500 Forecast: Navigating Bearish Trends Towards New All-Time HThe S&P 500 is bearish and heading towards the price zone of 4499.50 and 4430.50 before rising to create a new all-time high." Cela semble indiquer que vous prévoyez une baisse temporaire du S&P 500 vers les niveaux de prix mentionnés, avant qu'il ne reprenne sa tendance haussière et crée de nouveaux sommets historiques. User traduit moi ça en anglais ChatGPT "The S&P 500 is bearish and heading towards the price zone of 4499.50 and 4430.50 before rising to create a new all-time high.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RabyaAQEL
1
NASDAQ Will the 1D MA50 hold or break and start a correction?Nasdaq (NDX) marginally broke and closed a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week but quickly recovered on Friday and this week has established its price action above it. Still it is under Lower Highs following the March 21 Double Top. It is a fact that the 1D MA50 hasn't been broken in 5 months (since November 03 2023) so last week is the first bearish sign after much time, but the quick recovery leaves a neutral, to say the least, tone. However, the (dashed) Channel Up is already broken downwards, so we will wait for a final bearish confirmation, with the condition being another 1D candle closing below the 1D MA50. If that happens, we expect a Channel Down to emerge similar to July - October 2023. In that case, we will be looking on the short-term for a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) test, with a minimum Target at 17500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
NASDAQ Below the MA50 (1d) for the first time since November.Nasdaq crossed yesterday under the MA50 (1d) for the first time since November 3rd 2023, as well as the 5 month Channel Up. This is a major sell signal as last time it did that coming on a Channel Up (August 9th 2023), it initially dipped to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 17450 (Fibonacci 0.236 as well as a little over Support (1)). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has been on a Channel Down / Bearish Divergence since January 24th. Additional strong bearish signal at least for the short term. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingBrokersView
Nasdaq Prepares for Retracement Amidst USD MomentumThe Nasdaq, exhibits robust momentum as Friday begins However, signs indicate a potential retracement on the horizon, especially as observed in correlated pairs like EUR/USD. A pullback would offer the Nasdaq, along with the DJ and S&P500 indices, an opportunity to consolidate before resuming upward movement. Market participants are bolstering their positions in the Greenback, anticipating the Federal Reserve to scale back its projected interest rate cuts from three to at most two. This shift is prompted by ongoing economic data signaling a healthy pace of growth in the US economy. Despite a lack of major economic releases scheduled for Friday, investors will closely monitor speeches from three US Federal Reserve officials. Foremost among them is Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, scheduled to address the market around 13:00 GMT. In summary, the Nasdaq prepares for a potential retracement amidst USD momentum, with investors eyeing upcoming Fed speeches for further market cues. This trading strategy is oriented towards scalping. Please ensure careful management of your funds if you decide to replicate our personal trading approach.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by FOREXN1
2
NASDAQ: Pullback to 17,400 to test the 1D MA100.Nasdaq has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.257, MACD = 119.240, ADX = 31.710) for the first time in 3 weeks, after a rejected on the R1 level (18445), which formed a Double Top. If it crosses under the 1D MA50 (which has been in support for 5 straight months), we will have a breakout sell signal and we will target the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 17,400). The 1D MA100 is expected to be there by the next 2 weeks. The 1W RSI is also giving a bearish signal as it was rejected on its Resistance Zone and is already downtrending under the MA. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestingScope
1
NASDAQ Short-term Support is failing.Nasdaq has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since late January and as you can see on the chart, every time the Bullish Leg held the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) halfway (blue ellipse), the price continued the uptrend for a +5% Higher High. This time, the index closed a 4H candle below the 4H MA50, for the first time before a Higher Highs was priced. It is now probable to see a 1D MA50 (red trend-line) test for the first time since November 03 2023. If not and the index closes today's 1D candle above the 4H MA50, then we will consider it an invalidation and bullish continuation signal and we will buy targeting 18700 (+5.38% rise from the last Higher Low). If it fails to recover the 4H MA50, you may sell intra day towards the 1D MA50 but a more stable signal is to sell the break-out below the Channel Up, either on the spot or after the price rebounds to test the 1D MA50 as Resistance. In either case, our bearish Target will be 17410 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement level). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
March and Bullish momentumThe month of March starts with the bullish momentum from the previous month Feb 2024. February closed with strength while creating a new ATH which I expect March to breach with ease. I will like to note: Monthly candle started on Friday March 1.2024 This is only of importance for the next sessions of intraday. Weekly candle has not closed yet. I will add and update this idea once the weekly candle closes. Still momentum should carry us above 18144.75 Lets take a look at our environment. Dollar's( CAPITALCOM:DXY ) inverse correlation to equities has not been too evident the last Month. Evident has been Dollars quick reprising after rebalancing lower levels. The quick reprising in this case is the continued push higher by price. You can take this as an unwillingness by "price" to go lower. Why is this important? Dollar value affect purchasing power. Futures Market: ES ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) Looking Bullish as well Expected to also take out 5123.50 YM ( CBOT_MINI:YM1! ) Also has a daily Bullish look But will keep an eye out for the weekly close since it is the weakest of the weekly profiles. ZB ( CBOT:ZB1! ) Looks like it is neutralizing the downward momentum and is attempting to roll. All around there are no signs that the Bullish momentum is changing -IT IS WHAT IT IS TILL IT'S NOT- I will still recommend to check with the idea once Friday closes. Once Weekly profile closes on Friday we will have more information about the possible time span of current movement.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by JP_Tru
NQ 4H Analysis - Range BoundThe SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ 4H is currently in a range, marked by a shifting structure to the downside. Despite attempts to regain momentum, buyers have been unsuccessful, as demonstrated by the annotated sweep on the chart. We are now in a holding pattern, waiting for a direction to be chosen. While the overall trend remains bullish, we are in a cautious phase due to the market forming a balanced range. There is a bullish internal structure flip, followed by a notably bullish 4H bar. However, the sweep above previous highs indicates that buyers were not ready to drive prices higher. Attempts to rebound on every previous internal lower high fell short, leading us back to where the internal structure flip occurred. Buyers emerged again off of the internal structure flip high, but unless a higher low is formed and prior highs are finally surpassed, it seems that the momentum is dwindling. This could potentially signal the onset of buyer exhaustion and early indications of a larger timeframe pullback at the beginning stages.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by AmpedTrading
Nasdaq US100 Definitly Bullish will Go to 23000-25000,because... I have many open and long positions in Nasdaq: See Chart I have marked my current positions and also future Entries.... Use lower TF only for long setups. Stop to listen to chats and Social Media to other so called Experts:If THEY really tade, whyy are they 99% of time wrong? And someone who is for hours in the chats and yt ans social media, will never focus closely and seriously on trades. So stop listening to the scams, Ok here we go. Watch the chart above. We are on Long bullish trend eekly minthly daily.: Nowon lowertf you wanna take only Bullish trends.ONLY! Stop going shorts:WHY? Cuz Beartrap. The speculators wanna take your money, so they gonna make you think its falling, crashing. A correction is not a crash. Understand this. If you dont understand, then you are not a trader. Look for another busness oppurtunity.Trading ill be wring for ya. So the market came down last week because of Gap filling. You should understand the philosophy of the Gap filling. Again stop listening to the scam out there, Do your home works. Analyse your mistakes of the last week.An breath.Relax. Ok we have cup and handle. The current trend is bullish, the current pullback is natural and healthy, as I mentioned on my previouse NAsdaq analysis and trading ideas. Go there, read the updates and comments I put everyday below the charts,and studey them. My updates brings you money. Be thankful that I am commenting my ideas, you can only take benfit of it. My Tading plans are based on logic,facts, charts, and objective. NO EGO NO EMOTIONS NO FEELINGS: Fundamentaly are bullish, summer volatility is down ,ut now rising, and the chart is bullish, it means now big traders coming back from holdiay and they will buy Nasdaq massively.Also during the summer pause the volume was extremely high. I have learned my trading by legends like Anton Kreil. If you dont kno who he is, search.... good. Lower tF only to time for bullish setups. Ignore bears, news. They all are old.Made by Market manipulators. Instead wake up and use Brain and logic. Bullish Facts and Fundamentals: Michigan Consumer Confidence Falls In August, But Beats Expectations: Declining Inflation, Resilient Job Market Key Factors US Inflation Metrics Diverge, Complicating Outlook for Cooldown Strong services costs lift US producer prices; inflation expectations dip US stocks finished mixed on Friday, as investors were digesting fresh inflation data and assessing the future path of the Federal Reserves. The Dow Jones closed 105 points higher, supported by gains from Chevron (+2%) and Merck & Co (+1.8%). Meanwhile, the S&P 500 edged lower by 0.1% and the Nasdaq lost nearly 0.7% pulled down by a sell-off in shares of AMD (-2.4%), Nvidia (-3.6%) and Micron (-1.6%). Producer prices, which tracks the price wholesalers pay for raw goods, rose 0.3% on the month, raising bets the Fed will need to keep rates higher for longer. Yesterday, both headline and core consumer inflation came below forecasts, but remained well above the Fed's 2% target. At the same time, San Francisco President Mary Daly noted that the Fed has more work to do to bring inflation down. On the week, the Dow dipped 0.1%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.7% and the Nasdaq sank 1.8%, a second consecutive week of losses. The Dow Jones attempted gains while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq fell by 0.3% and 1%, respectively, after higher-than-expected producer inflation prints increased bets the Fed will need to keep rates higher for longer. Producer prices rose 0.3% on the month, led by a rebound in services cost. Yesterday, both headline and core consumer inflation came below forecasts, but remained well above the Fed's 2% target. At the same time, San Francisco President Mary Daly noted that the Fed has more work to do to bring inflation down. Traders now see a nearly 87% chance the central bank will leave interest rates steady next month, below 90% before the PPI release, and the odds for a 25bps hike in November have been rising this week and currently stand at about 29%. The tech and communication services sectors were the worst performers. On the week, the Dow is up 0.5% so far, while the S&P 500 lost 0.4% and the Nasdaq sank 2%, a second consecutive week of losses.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
85
NASDAQ(US100):🟢Possible scenarios🟢(Details on Caption) Hello Traders Outlook: Daily Chart Summary: NASDAQ's recent action: Cleared sell-side liquidity in the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). Activated bearish breaker block by closing below 18233.50. Bullish Scenario: 4-hour chart insights: Trend line liquidity intact. Buy-side liquidity remains untouched. SMT with S&P500 and Dow Jones trend supports upward potential. Bearish Scenario: Concerns: Activation of daily bearish breaker block. Presence of order block with Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour chart. Explore By examining the NASDAQ daily chart we can figure out, that the price purged the sell-side liquidity that formed inside the daily FVG. On the other hand, the price activated the bearish breaker block by closing the daily candle body below 18233.50. Up to this point, I mentioned the primary characteristics of bullish and bearish scenarios, Let's go deeper and continue. The first scenario (I follow this scenario) is bullish, Here in the NASDAQ (US100) 4-hour chart we can see the created trend line liquidity and left buy-side liquidity untouched. In addition, there is an SMT with S&P500 and Dow Jones. This alignment gives us added confidence in the potential for the price to target the buy-side liquidity. The second scenario is bearish. As I mentioned the price activated the daily bearish breaker block and also there is an order block with FVG that may push the price lower. The bullish FVG above sell-side liquidity can be our first target in this scenario. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️17/03/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by VahidTradingCR
7