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NQ1

US100 ~ Ho Ho Santa Rally or EOY Bah Humbug Bust? (4H)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis. Nasdaq 100 consolidating into key macro economic news, much like S&P 500. Trading scenarios into EOY: Bullish reaction to macro economic news = break above ~16167 trading range (yellow dashed) towards ascending trend-line (green) / red box confluence zone. Bullish extension target(s) = new historical highs surpassing ~16770 November 2021 high. Bearish reaction to macro economic news = break below ~15690 trading range (yellow dashed) + descending trend-line (light blue) towards 78.6% Fib / 200SMA dynamic support confluence zone. Bearish extension target(s) = descending trend-line (white dotted) / ascending trend-line (green) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by BlueHatInvestor
NASDAQ: Channel Up soon to test the ATH.Nasdaq is almost overbought again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.937, MACD = 245.100, ADX = 36.889) but that shouldn't affect it much as it is trading on the lower band of the November Channel Up. Leg 1 of the bullish sequence that made the Nov 15th HH extended to the 2.382 Fibonacci level. As the 1D RSI is identical to that Leg and shows that we are roughly halfway there, we remain bullish aiming again at the 2.382 Fib extension (TP = 16,840) which is marginally over the All Time High of 16,780. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NASDAQ Last obstacle before a Christmas rally.Nasdaq (NDX) completed the short-term pull-back we called on our latest November 29 analysis (see chart below), hitting our 15750 target and then rebounding: This rebound can seasonally be the start of the end-of-the-year rally, which the market calls 'Santa' or 'Christmas' rally. However, one last Resistance level remains before it is confirmed and that is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the (blue) Channel Up, which happens to also be synched with the Lower Highs trend-line of the 4H RSI. If the index closes a 4H candle above it, we will buy and aim for a +6.34% rally (from the bottom), which has been the minimum bullish sequence since June, and target 16680 (Resistance 1), which is the December 28 2021 High, essentially the first Lower High of the 2022 Bear Cycle. A notch higher on that rally, the index can even test the 16770 All Time High. On the other hand, if Nasdaq breaks below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down first, most likely will have made contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) by then, we will sell instead and target 14900 (-7.60% from the Lower High, which is the minimum short-term decline since June). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
NQ1!, Contract Rollover to RescueGap ups/downs are a strategy used to overcome stubborn levels. The most recent contract rollover is no exception. Opening way above the inflection level guaranteed a bullish session for the NFP day (12/8). The market is positioned for an upside continuation. We may still see some consolidation in the upper part of the channel, representing a clear bull flag formation, before a final push through 16320 inflection level. Perhaps the most anticipated Santa rally this season. A less anticipated scenario: the price returns in the lower part of the channel and consolidates. That may lead to the channel breakdown. As a day trader I focus on rotations only, I trade rotations. What causes them is not my concern. I took awhile to adapt to this way of thinking. I can anticipate a potential rotation based on the technicals though but the ultimate word is left to the market. Prediction vs anticipation is a big topic. A smaller timeframe is used to watch the price action around an inflection level to confirm a beginning of a rotation. Abstracting the price action through the lens of rotations keeps a trader less biased and ultimately less irritated when the market ignores the collective consensus. A random thought. In the age of informational flood it is a very difficult job to be a stoic trader. A trader does not need to be obsessed with tools and indicators to be profitable, he needs to stay objective. A simple rule: a support is support until's broken will make you money in the long run and this is an objective way of trading. Cheers. 12/9/2023
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SviCapital
Mind the Gap. And an interesting way to share my personal chartHello I have inserted my personal work chart for this am so I can share exactly what I'm looking at. I just discovered this today. There is a gap below current price that should be watched. I don't suspect many are trading today but if you are, good luck. Also be mindful trading view is rolling over contracts automatically on charts EARLY and this will give discrepancies between Dec and forward month. I didn't appreciate that this morning.
CME_MINI:NQZ2023
by The_Lioness
NQ View pre HolidayHello everyone This is likely the last analysis/ forecast until next month/ year. As always, I am monitoring DXY for confirmations of movement on the NQ. I am bullish above the Order Block highlighted, and the supports noted. If we trade below the order block, I will be looking for a dip into the bullish FVG's marked as support. I believe a high probability scenario is that we will dip on Sunday open/ Monday and bounce from the OB or other supports. DOL are the FVG's above. Notice below all of this bullish move we had tapped into a monthly Bullish FVG, (I have marked the .5 of that ) I have marked M, D, W to denote which strength the various gaps are. There are several news drivers/ economic numbers coming out this week that will likely be catalysts for moves. I hope this is helpful, and that you have a fantastic trade week!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by The_Lioness
2
NASDAQ: Healthy pullback serving as end of year rally vessel.Nasdaq is pulling back today after the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross and the 1D technical outlook turned neutral (RSI = 54.419, MACD = 183.360, ADX = 45.724). This has so far achieved at offsetting the previous overbought condition on the chart. Technically it can be a HH rejection on a newly emerging Channel Up. This can serve as a buy opportunity either on the S1 level or if it is extended on the S2 and the 1D MA50 for the end of year rally. Our target is the ATH (TP = 16,775). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
1
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) ~ December 4H SwingNASDAQ:QQQ chart analysis/mapping. QQQ ETF in consolidation phase after strong November rally. Trading scenarios: Further consolidation = descending trend-line (light blue) / multiple EMA confluence zone. Continuation rally #1 = top range of Fib / ascending trend-line (green) confluence zone. Shallow pullback #1 = 78.6% Fib / 200MA confluence zone. Shallow pullback #2 = descending trend-line (white dotted)\ Deeper pullback #1 = gap fill / ascending trend-line (green) / Golden Pocket confluence zone. Capitulation #1 = 50% Fib Capitulation #2 = 38.2% Fib / gap fill / ascending trend-line (light blue) confluence zone. Capitulation #3 = 23.6% Fib
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BlueHatInvestor
📈 Nasdaq Future Insights 🚀The Nasdaq Future presents an intriguing chart. Following the completion of Wave 3 on July 19, 2023, we encountered a complex Wave 4 correction. Since October 26, we've witnessed a parabolic surge, indicative of the initiation of Wave 1. Interestingly, there hasn't been a significant correction resembling a potential Wave 2. Therefore, I anticipate a downward movement to form Wave A, followed by a surge surpassing Wave 1 for Wave B. Subsequently, we might witness another dip before the completion of Wave C. These corrective phases set the stage for the next upward trajectory toward new All-Time-Highs. Stay tuned for potential entry points during the corrective waves. 🕵️‍♂️🔥
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by stromm_by_wmc
NASDAQ Sell signal on 4H.Nasdaq is testing the MA50 (4h) since yesterday as the Rising Resistance weighs. The middle line (dashed) of the Channel Up is the final level of Support before a short term pull back. The Bearish Divergence on the RSI (4h), which is inside a Channel Down, is in favor of this short term pull back. Trading Plan: 1. Sell if the price crosses under the dashed middle of the Channel Up. Targets: 1. 15450 (Rising Support). Tips: 1. The MACD (4h) is also descending while the index rises (another Bearish Divergence) and is about to form a Bearish Cross. Additional sell signal. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingBrokersView
NASDAQ Small pull-back before final rally.Nasdaq (NDX) exceeded all expectations this month as following our November 01 buy signal (see chart below), not only did it hit the target but broke aggressively above the former Channel Down: Since November 21 basically it has turned sideways, in an attempt to normalize the previous overbought 1D technicals. It has already hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and that is the first sign of exhaustion. If the 4H RSI gets rejected on its Lower Highs trend-line (testing it today), then expect a short-term pull-back, which we will short and target 15750 (-2.25% decline and above Support 1). We take this target as during a similar 4H RSI Lower Highs rejection (September 15), NDX decline initially by -2.25%, similar also with the October 12 rejection. We expect this symmetry to play out at least on the short-term before the end-of-the-year rally, not necessarily on the long-term, where we need to see a 1D candle closing below Support 1, in order to signal a short towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
NQ OverviewThe NQ 1-hour chart depicts a clear trading range between the key resistance at 16,085 and the current key support at 15,940, with a prevailing bullish sentiment within this range. Below the key support, a previously tested demand zone ranging from 15,930 to 15,890 exists. Shorting into this demand zone carries high risk, requiring a loss of the key support level at 15,830 to trigger a substantial pullback. My trading plan involves exploring short scalping opportunities at the upper range boundary, with conservative targets of 5-10 points, given the elevated risk associated with shorting. Additionally, I plan to consider long positions at key support and demand levels, contingent on the continuation of demand and support signals. It's noteworthy that NQ is potentially forming a bullish flag pattern with support at 15,940, characterized by lower highs forming into support, suggesting a possible breakout. The question of how long NQ can sustain its ascent before a pullback is a valid one. However, it's essential not to let speculative scenarios influence your bias and instead focus on trading based on observed price action and chart analysis, which currently supports a bullish sentiment.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by AmpedTrading
NASDAQ Megaphone top and Bearish Cross call for a pull back.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Megaphone pattern and has just hit its top. A similar Megaphone in late 2022 - early 2023 got rejected on a proportional (to today's) top, followed by a 1day MACD Bearish Cross, which pulled the price back to the 1day MA50. We are about to form a 1day MACD Bearish Cross on that exact same level. Sell now and target the 1day MA50. Projected contact around 15400. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheCryptagon
2
NQ 4-Hour Bull FlagA potential bull flag is emerging on the NQ 4-hour chart, with the 15945 level acting as critical support. As the market experiences a period of consolidation, we observe a gradual descent towards this support zone. This consolidation phase, following a prolonged bull run, raises questions about the market's next move: will the bull flag lead to another upward leg, or are we poised for a necessary pullback? Both NQ and ES are currently in a cooling-off phase, forming additional breakout patterns. On a higher time frame, the key support to monitor remains at the 15945 zone.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by AmpedTrading
Updated SP500 Analysis. FORECASTS REMAINS UNCHANGEDHas Elliott Wave Lost Its Forecasting Accuracy? I cannot recall the exact setting, but many years ago I was asked this specific question… ” …as the number of practitioners of Elliott Wave Theory grows due to its popularity, won’t more people be trading these wave patterns and in doing so, somehow skew the theory’s efficacy”? It’s a great question. One in which I think requires a more nuanced, rather than simple answer. Forecasting markets using Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) is only as accurate as the practitioner. With respect to EWT, if one could consider being in a renaissance of sorts, I would say, now is that time, because of the increase in practitioners . Since R.N. Elliott’s final published work, Nature's Law –The Secret of the Universe published in June, 1946 several individuals have contributed to the theory in incremental ways. However, this article is not about the history of Elliott Wave theory, but a thought experiment in the continued efficacy of what I would consider to be the only effective and comprehensive analytical tool that describes the price movements of markets. If there is one phrase, I have used over the years to explain short term pattern ambiguity it would be… “Nothing clears up the current price action, like more price action”. Meaning, at times, an objective practitioner of EWT can decipher a pattern in different ways, and what will deem the current pattern, optimal , will be the price action that follows. This is the primary reason I include alternative counts within all my published work. However, I am a purist in the pursuit of arriving at a truth. Using EWT, I find the truth mostly has two potential outcomes, and only the price action that follows will lean more so towards one, rather than the other. That is why I believe that when one shares their work with the public, (like here on Trading View) it should be their own work, and not a concoction of other people’s work posted on the Internet, and peddled as one’s own. As a trader, I think there are no rules that govern the pursuit of profit. As an analyst, I believe when sharing an analytical forecast, it should be the work of the one posting. Explaining how I determine some people are posting analysis that is an aggregation of other public postings is of less importance than remaining on topic in relation to the efficacy of EWT in forecasting. Last year, I was rated the top author on Solana, a crypto currency. I no longer share my analysis on Solana with the public. However, a quick search of current analysis on Solana yields ideas that lack context, or make bold predictions, that I can say are not based on a rules-based forecasting tool like EWT. This is one method I use to discern the analysis is either not their own, or is not worthy of using hard earned money to get behind. Solana, as a chart falls into the category of having one primary analytical thesis, and an alternate for me. Ironically, in this case, they both point higher towards triple digits. I see nothing posted on Solana here that contains the context of why prices have moved higher and where they will go over the very long term. Additionally, there is nothing contained with the Solana chart that tells me new lows are option to be considered. Yet, some with say that is precisely where that crypto currency is headed. I often wonder when substandard analysis is shared with the public does it change the optimal pathway of correct analysis. It's impossible to know for sure. However, it seems reasonable to think that the longer-term targets would not change, but the smaller timeframe sub-divisions might. This may lead to more short term complex patterns, but in the grand scheme of things, the efficacy of EWT I do not think is harmed. Traders who follow EWT analysis may find mixed results. That is why if you follow anyone else's analysis on the Internet, make sure they are providing details, context, the nuance behind what could happen, versus shallow context and a lack of a well thought out thesis. It is possible, you're reading someone's else's work, interpreted and passed off as their own. This leads me to my updated analysis on the SP500. My last post on the SPX futures was on October 28 which was one day after the market bottomed. The purple pathway I deemed low probability. In retrospect, this is precisely what has played out. However, now that price has rallied swiftly higher, I have to consider yet another possibility. The blue count in the chart above. As of this morning, both my primary black, and first alternative count, has the index in a c wave lower towards the lower 3,000 area. Black subdivides more so than purple, but they ultimately arrive in the same area. The blue count requires some explanation and the context to warn followers of this sort of price action will play out. Regardless of my primary, first or second alternate counts, a retrace should begin soon. In the case of black and purple, those retraces turn into impulsive patterns towards my target. However, in the case of the blue second alternative, that retrace will take the form of a 3-wave pattern, but ultimately reconcile higher. This resulting higher price action can be for a new high in primary B, or an even higher high resulting in new all-time highs, as v of 5 of Supercycle wave (III). The interesting aspect of either of those moves higher results in an ending diagonal by virtue of overlap that occurred on October 27th 2023. THIS WILL RESULT IN A MARKET CRASH SCENARIO. Price will return to their point of origination, which in the case of a new primary B wave high, that price originated at 3502 in October of 2022. In the case of new all-time highs for wave (III) in the super cycle degree, that is the Covid-19 bottom at 2191, which occurred in March 2020. Therefore, I'll conclude by saying that we should all expect a retrace lower to start as early as next week. To what extent, will determine the direction of the SP500 into the first half of 2024. Is there a possibility of the index making a new high? Current price action suggests I cannot rule that out...but so far, (Even this very impressive November 2023 rally) leads me to believe anything has occurred to make me change my original forecast of 3200-3300 in the SPX Futures. If we do decide to go up and make new highs...I think for this trader, that may be cause to get flat assets in general and to the degree it makes sense. I'm referring to assets directly AND indirectly associated with the stock market. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
4
NASDAQ: Final phase of rise is starting. Santa's rally.Nasdaq has been rising since October 26th and the bottom on the HL trendline of the year long Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook is bullish after turning overbought on Monday (RSI = 68.584, MACD = 265.250, ADX = 67.453). So far its structure is much like the rise at the start of the Channel Up during the whole month of January. That one peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extenstion from the last LH, while the 1D RSI turned flat above the overbought margin and reversed. However the 1.5 Fib made a +20% rise. The November rally is already fractionally over the 1.5 Fib with the RSI also reversed after being overbought but the +20% extension is far from being completed. It will be done at 16,870. Consequently if we don't get a strong rejection by Monday (tomorrow is early close), we will buy any 1D candle closing over the 1.5 Fib and aim at near +20% (TP = 16,850). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
1
NQ Uptrend Still BullishWhen evaluating whether to take a short or long position, it's crucial to observe current trends. For example, the NQ 4-hour chart maintains its uptrend as it hasn't broken any higher lows. This was evident during a live chat I observed today, where some traders were initiating short positions anticipating a "flush." However, their rationale wasn't clear. Understanding the shift in trends, characterized by breaking higher lows followed by forming lower highs and lower lows, is a key aspect in determining your trading bias across all time frames. Although the 4-hour trend is still strongly bullish, the 1 to 5-minute timeframe may exhibit a "pullback," offering short-term intraday shorting opportunities. However, it's important to be aware that this strategy goes against the dominant bullish trend in a higher time frame and is very high risk.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by AmpedTrading
NQ 6H OverviewOverview NQ seems to be operating within a descending triangle pattern at the moment. This formation doesn't necessarily indicate a bullish or bearish trend, but a breakout in either direction could provide significant insights. In addition to the descending triangle, it's evident that we're currently ranging between two crucial levels: 16000, which acts as a major supply zone, and 15800, serving as a significant break and retest zone. If the 15800 level holds strong, we might see a move towards 16000 or higher. Conversely, if 15800 is breached, there's a possibility of a decline to the 15600 level, the next demand zone, or even to 15450, another notable break and retest zone. Key Levels Supply: 16000 Demand: 15600 Break and Retest Zones: 15800 & 15450
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by AmpedTrading