NQ1
$NAS100 IdeaIf the monthly close occurs as projected, we will confirm a double liquidity purge, signaling a bearish scenario. Additionally, buyer liquidity will have been absorbed, with the price closing within the range, further reinforcing the downside perspective for NAS100. However, we still have one more week to validate this bias. On the daily chart, we will wait for a market structure shift before considering short positions.
NASDAQ Approaching the ultimate 4hour MA200 buy entryNasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Channel Up, which is currently on a pullback.
This correction is approaching the pattern's bottom which happens to be on the 4hour MA200. The last two such contacts have been buy opportunities.
Also the 4hour RSI is oversold at 30.00 and the last two times it was on this level, they were again buy opportunities.
Buy and target the upper Resistance at 22230.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/21/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/21/2025
📈22225, 22275, 22320
📉22130, 22083.5, 22036
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/20/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/20/2025
📈22273.5, 22320
📉22130, 22083.5
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ Future long: after resitance broken, new support formed Current Analysis: Nasdaq futures are currently facing a critical support at 22100
I see the chance of a Bullish rebound:
Support Strength: This support was a resistance in past weeks, then it was broken on Feb 14th and act as support in last 3 days.
Additionally, from Dec. 17th to February 12th, price formed a triangle that was broken up on Feb.13th.
Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above 22100, I expect it to rally towards the $22400 area.
Action Plan:
Entry Point: entered long with limit order at 22100
Target: Set a target in the $22425 (high of December 17th)
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 21937.75, below minimum of Feb.20th and with Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.
NQ Futures My Next Level too Long NQ in The Leap competition Some analysis on the NQ with a focus on Price action being up at all time highs. In the video I highlight the importance of having patience and taking the best high probability trades . FOMO in at the top is suicide and so is shorting blind . I provide a potential level with several confluences and a potential new ATH target .
IF you read this far then Please Boost my chart for more setups Ty
Tracking Crisis with Stocks/Gold RatioGold Surges with Three Major Crises
Over the past 25 years, we have witnessed three significant financial crises: the Dot-Com Bubble, the 2008 Financial Crisis, and the recent 9% inflation crisis. In each of these events, a distinct pattern emerged—gold surged before the crisis reached its full intensity.
Historically, gold's price has experienced notable gains before economic downturns:
• Dot-Com Bubble: +34% surge
• 2008 Financial Crisis: +89% surge
• Inflation Crisis (2022): +24% surge
Currently, gold has surged 83% from its trough in November 2022. Given this historical correlation, could we be on the verge of another financial crisis?
Why Are Central Banks Stockpiling Gold?
This current gold rally bears similarities to past surges but also has a crucial distinction. While demand for gold remains strong, this time around, central banks are leading the charge in purchasing gold at an unprecedented rate since 2022.
Gold serves a dual function:
1. Inflation Hedge – A safeguard against inflation.
2. Currency Hedge – Protection against currency devaluation.
Central banks' aggressive gold acquisitions suggest expectations of prolonged inflation and currency instability. As fiat currencies weaken, inflationary pressures mount, reinforcing gold’s attractiveness as a safe haven asset.
Fundamental Indicators Paint a Cautionary Picture
A deeper dive into key economic indicators suggests a challenging outlook. Here are some red flags:
• Treasury Bonds in a Downtrend – Indicating a loss of confidence in long-term debt
securities.
• Interest Rates Remain High – Despite inflation cooling from 9% to 3%, borrowing
costs remain significantly higher than pre-2022 levels. Elevated interest rates place
pressure on businesses and, eventually, stock prices.
• Inflation Remains Stubborn – The lowest recorded inflation since the peak was 2.4%,
but it has now ticked back up to 3%. With ongoing tariff escalations, inflation could
reignite.
These fundamental factors indicate that financial markets remain vulnerable to shocks, reinforcing the case for cautious positioning.
The Technical Outlook: A Bullish Trend Still Holds
Despite fundamental concerns, technical analysis suggests that the current AI-driven market rally, which began after the introduction of ChatGPT, remains intact. A strong uptrend line connecting all major troughs continues to act as a support level.
Timing the Bear with the Crisis
The bond market is already signaling distress. If equity markets break below this well-established uptrend line, my strategy will shift dramatically. Instead of looking for buying opportunities on dips, I will pivot to selling on strengths, anticipating a market downturn.
My Trading Strategy: Still Buying on Dips
I have provided a daily chart with updated trendlines, marking key support and resistance levels. My trading approach will be guided by these levels to manage risk effectively.
Preferred Instruments: Outright futures and call options.
Market Outlook: Cautiously bullish.
While economic conditions warrant vigilance, technical indicators suggest that the bullish trend remains intact—until proven otherwise. Happy trading!
Please see the following disclaimer and information that you may find useful:
E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: NQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• My mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Trading competition: www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ: Opening selloff is a buy opportunity.Nasdaq remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.351, MACD = 161.240, ADX = 29.408) despite today's selling early into the session. This indicates that relative to the bullish long term trend, this correction is a buy opportunity, especially as the index hit its 4H MA50. This happens to be at the bottom of the 20day Channel Up, a pattern potentially identical to the December 10th low of the Channel Up. We are long, expecting a new +3.80% rise (TP = 22,700).
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/19/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/19/25
📈22225, 22320
📉22130, 22106
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
My NAS Long Scalp IdeaUS stocks and indices are very neutral recently. I however remain slightly bullish and found a small setup. This is pure price action bias but including the fundamental view we are in a neutral state as we are waiting for upcoming economic news. This week has been neutral due to the lack of news. We got a bunch of Trump speech but nothing more.
This idea is meant for short term It could completely reverse on me so do your own research and trade safely.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/18/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/18/25
📈22410, 22500
📉22225-22210, 22130
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/17/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/17/25
📈22320-22350
📉22190-22130
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/14/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/14/25
📈22320-22350
📉21975-21940
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ The 3 Phase of its Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) had a strong closing last week, rallying aggressively after cementing the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. As the market will stay closed today on Washington's Holiday, it is a good opportunity to take the time and look at the bigger picture.
Nasdaq's whole Bull Cycle so far since the late 2022 market bottom, can be categorized into 3 separate Phases of Growth. Right now we are naturally on the 3rd and as you see, compared to the previous Phases, we are on the 2nd accumulation of the Phase. This has led on a strong rally of at least +22% that completed each Phase.
Each Phase has two such accumulations and the 2nd is what makes the Channel Up peak and then correct back to the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). Since the final accumulation rally of Phase 1 has been +25.78% and the one of Phase 2 +22.13%, we may have a -3.50% decrease rate between each Phase rally. Assuming this to be the case this time around too, we may be looking for a +18.60% rally at 24000 to complete Phase 3.
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