us100 & NQ pullback retracement of 0.618. If it is a descending wave, then the stop loss is at 50 % 19031.3 retracement and the target is at 1.618."extenxsion 18954.9
Nq100signals
NQ-M2024: Q2 positional short trade setuphello TradingView members,
after all kinds of analysis done, when possible future events taken into account, now it is time to translate into risk management analysis and bias. this is related only to the current leg, we may go lower than the target as long the stop-loss is not triggered.
the idea is about sharing this setup is to allow also others to consider a possibility, to think about a scenario that may mature into the right trade setup.
do not treat the whole as holy bible but as risk management practice for a bias. it is just an idea. personally, I do trade this setup also in narrower time frames and I would scalp in addition during the process, but each person has own strategy and own approach to the market and trading the market.
feel free to comment, try to do that in a productive manner, so the oversight over this idea would allow fine tuning and improvements. let us see how the market to show this setup in a hindsight. again, feel free to comment and to contact me directly.
sincerely, all the best,
Fluke
sell limit in us 100a probability of scalp sell in the US100 with risk benefit of 1/5 managing following my trading plan, if for more information do not hesitate to ask
NQ Bull Flag into Demand NQ - Daily - 14350
This is supply and demand to the tee on the NQ daily. You can see 4 days of resistance before price gapped up 580 points before pulling back. We are now retesting this area. After a demand that large, we are bound to see some sort of interest in buying within this area (theoretically).
If we are to bounce on NQ, this is likely the area we'd bounce. Either for a small relief bounce, or a large one. Keep an eye out here tomorrow.
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures NASDAQ 100 E-mini FuturesCME_MINI:NQ1!
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures
When the Nasdaq market is described as being in a downward direction, it means that the overall trend of the market is experiencing a decline. This downward movement is typically reflected in the broad-based Nasdaq Composite Index, which tracks the performance of thousands of stocks listed on the exchange
NASDAQ 100 E-mini FuturesCME_MINI:NQ1!
Very strong ascent in the direction of the top peaks with the strongest penetration of the display area and resistance
NASDAQ is Correcting - Don't Buy in Short Term
Technical Analysis:
- As you can see in the daily chart, in the very short term we've two possible paths - Path 1 and Path 2
- Today with actual data - the odds for Path 1 is 60% and the odds for Path 2 is 40%
- We expect to buy wave II in red completely around $8,000
Technical Analysis:
- H1 & H4 Right Side is Turning Down
US02Y: BOND MELTDOWN / 4.00% CROSS / MACD CONVERGENCE / RSIDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a simple MACRO ANALYSIS on current bond market meltdown where the US02Y dropped nearly 25% within FIVE TRADING SESSIONS.
POINTS:
1. US02Y deviation is simple & marked at every 1% difference as bonds rise and fall within the same range percentage therefore it has a rubber band like price action relationship with it's lowest 1% points.
2. Overlapping Orange Line represents ES1! a US Market Future.
3. Dotted Green Lines represent continuous downward momentum in past Bear Markets (2002 & 2008).
4. Bubbles overlapping dotted green lines represent initial break of supporting bond percentage %.
IMO: In my opinion the most concerning factor to take into consideration when it comes to current bond positioning is the STEEP RISE IN PERCENTAGE especially when the overall US market momentum is tied to BOND PERCENTAGE during both RISES & FALLS & the STEEPER THE INCLINE THE STEEPER THE DECLINE can become.
MACD: Notice a complete meltdown of Bonds when MACD confirms convergence to MEDIAN & eventually breaks past median and falls into into negative territory.
RSI: Notice that unlike in other recessions RSI levels have seen more consistent exposure to MEDIAN of 50. But as of lately from a MACRO perspective that is not the case as we have seen current RSI levels linger around 70 or above in EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT TERRITORY.
SCENARIO #1: In a very BEARISH scenario we come to see BONDS PERCENTAGE go through a complete free fall.
SCENARIO #2: In a less BEARISH scenario we come to see BONDS PERCENTAGE go through an extended consolidation phase with PERCENTAGE LINGERING ABOVE 4%.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
TVC:US02Y
NASDAG SELLPeace be upon you, merchants. The Nasdaq market is in a negative state. with a fracture. Model double BOTTOM. As well as breaking the bullish trend. There is a possibility of re-testing. The price is 122800. and re-descend. to the level of 11800
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURESNASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
Sharp and strong landing, which means it's going to the bottom peaks as targets with all the strength.
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURESNASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
We expect very strong landing traffic to bottom points or bottoms that we consider to be great targets
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
Change in direction strongly with the formation of a strong and effective Double toop pattern and is proof of strong bear motion
NQ looking for a temp low on TuesdayWorking on my main SPX/ES update, so this will be quick.
Tomorrow am should produce a buyable low IMO followed by a good bounce.
From where I expect a first temp low by Tuesday, another bounce and down into the next week.
There is also a possibility of another move to above 13000 to even 13500+ in Mar time, but that was mentioned in my tonight's NQ/NDX update.
Have a good night
NQ hit its C&H target last week and rratraced.We have successfully shorted on Fri and covered on Monday pre-market.
This is the chart I updated last night, the AH's session support was held to the penny, and now it's in the resistance zone.
It can extend to 12200, when SPX has a strong resistance at 4065-70.
It's a month-end close today, so it is very important to watch if it closes above or below Nov close.
We have a good R/R setup coming, not posting it on tradingview!
Seek for Liquidity of Upper Levels?after late massive run past friday, nasdaq 100 is seeking for liquidity of upper levels.
i think 11817 make calm this indice in lower timeframe. then the gray box will be the first target of daily timeframe.
the bearish weekly orderblock has got a strong resistance which is after 3 hit we saw deep retracment.
ultimately, if price unable to pass the bearish weekly orderblock. we will see new lower low for seeking liquidity...
NQ going into the CPI releaseHere is a quick update for those who follow my work and are not on our new site yet.
It's a critical turning point here, going into the CPI report, so I want to share my thinking, and hopefully, you won't get trapped regardless of tomorrow's am outcome.
I'm doing a more detailed analysis, but I will post a short version here.
First of all, I pointed out last week that the 11th should mark the important high.
Well, we got it!
Now, it doesn't have to be a daily high, but the daily closing high! So tomorrow can be an intra-day high with am spike.
I still think we could get a sort of OCT 13th CPI release action, but in another way - Gap and Dump!
If CPI will come in-line or a bit higher, let's say 6.6-6.7%, it can produce a knee-jerk reaction and sell from there.
There is a good fib confluence at 11600NQ for that move.
Our main target got hit today, and I warned yesterday, that it should see a higher number; it did!
The price has closed right at the resistance, so it satisfied the whole move up right there, in case it is just going to dump from the open
Support and resistances are on the chart.
I will also be doing SPX update and will post it at the end of the week here.
This chart should be enough for those looking for a good analysis out there without any commitment.
So don't be surprised if you see a big spike up, DO NOT chase it!
If it happens, I will use that opportunity to add to my short position
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURESNASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
As we analyzed, we are still in a downward direction and achieved the first goal that we have made beforehand, and there is a high probability that it will achieve the second goal below it
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURESNASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
We also set strong goals that have been approached precisely and God willing to achieve them
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURESNASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
We have also analyzed that NASDAQ has travelled to strong showcases, from which it is possible to continue landing superstitiously
NQ is getting close to its main supportHere is NQ chart I posted on other site.
Main support is at 10940-45, resistance is a bit over 11350
If SPX is after the gap close of 3748 and holds 3744 on the closing level, then NQ should bottom around 10950 zone as well.
I had 2 targets for the NQ 11094 and 11060, first already broken.
LIS is at 11034
More updates to come
NQ below 11366 and the price goes below 11000 nextGetting close to a maj support here.
Wondering it this will close at it, then it will be super hard going into tomorrow.
Either it gaps down and the trend is gone or the trend wins and at least we get a small pop
