nifty forecast for 2nd Dec'2024Market may grab sell-side liquidity, create an inducement, target buy-side liquidity, and then turn bearish.
Nse
SWING IDEA - APTUS VALUE HOUSING Aptus Value Housing Finance , a leading home loan provider focusing on affordable housing, is showing promising signs for a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
370-390 Zone Breakout : This level has been tested multiple times, and the stock is now attempting to break out, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Breaking Consolidation Zone of 3+ Years : The price is emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, which could lead to a new bullish trend.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows : The trend remains intact with consistent upward movements, suggesting continued strength.
Trading Above Weekly 50 and 100 EMA : The stock is trading above these key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
New All-Time High : The stock has made a new all-time high, reflecting strong market sentiment.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volume indicates increased buying interest.
Target - 450 // 510
Stoploss - weekly close below 335
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UPL Ltd. (NSE: UPL) AnalysisOverview: UPL Ltd. is currently trading at ₹545.50, showing signs of consolidation near its short-term moving averages. The price is poised at a critical level with a potential for either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on market dynamics and volume activity.
Technical Insights:
1.Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹528 (marked by recent lows and a strong demand zone).
Key Resistance: ₹549.50 (current level) and ₹584.05 (previous swing high and significant supply zone).
2.Volume Profile:
The visible range volume profile indicates a concentration of volume between ₹540-₹550, suggesting this zone as a pivot for future price action.
A breakout above ₹549.50 could attract higher volumes, pushing the stock towards ₹584.
3.Moving Averages:
The stock is near its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicating a neutral short-term trend.
A clear break above the 200-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls.
4.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is hovering around 50, indicating a lack of strong momentum. A breakout above resistance could drive RSI towards overbought territory, confirming bullishness.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A breakout above ₹549.50 with high volumes could see the stock targeting ₹584.05 in the short term. Sustained momentum may lead to further upside towards ₹600.
Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above ₹549.50 might result in a pullback to ₹528. A breakdown below ₹528 could open doors for lower levels, around ₹510.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Bullish: Above ₹550 for targets of ₹584 and ₹600.
Bearish: Below ₹528 for targets of ₹510.
Stop-Loss:
Bullish: ₹535.
Bearish: ₹540.
Final Thoughts: UPL Ltd. is at a crucial level with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation of direction with strong volume support before taking positions. Monitor global agrochemical sector trends and news for potential catalysts.
Zydus Lifesciences (NSE:ZYDUSLIFE)Overview: Zydus Lifesciences is currently at an interesting juncture, with signs of a potential reversal from recent lows. The price action suggests a possible recovery towards higher resistance levels, supported by technical indicators and market sentiment. Nomura's revised price target of ₹1,030, while maintaining a Neutral rating, aligns with this view.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: ₹966.65
Immediate Support (SL): ₹902.55
Key Resistance Zones: ₹1,008.35, ₹1,041.45, and ₹1,102.15
Technical Analysis:
Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile shows significant accumulation near ₹1,000, which could act as a strong magnet for the price.
Moving Averages: The stock has started reclaiming its short-term moving averages. A breakout above the 200-day MA would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending upwards, indicating improving bullish momentum. Divergence suggests a potential reversal.
Price Action: The formation of higher lows near ₹949 reinforces the possibility of a short-term recovery.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Zone: Between ₹950 and ₹970, as the stock shows stability near support levels.
Stop-Loss: Strict stop-loss at ₹902.55 to limit downside risk.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,008.35
Target 2: ₹1,041.45
Extended Target: ₹1,102.15
Risk Management:
Position size will depend on risk tolerance, ensuring a Risk-Reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Avoid chasing the price above ₹970 if momentum wanes.
Final Thoughts: Zydus Lifesciences presents a favorable risk-reward scenario with clear technical signals for a rebound. However, macroeconomic factors and sector performance will play a critical role in sustaining the move. Traders should monitor price action near the resistance zones closely for signs of continuation or rejection.
banknifty forecast | 29th Nov'2024Price is at a strong support zone, likely to turn bullish to grab buy-side liquidity, then may turn bearish or consolidate. Enter only after confirmation.
Tilaknagar Industries upside potential 40%in this falling market Tilaknagar Industries showing bulish momentom now it can gives 30 - 40% upside potential.
Banknifty | 28th Nov'2024 Forecast | NSEMany retail traders have buy orders (buy-side liquidity) that big players (institutions) can take.
First, they grab all the buy-side liquidity.
Next, they target sell-side liquidity by creating false breakouts.
Then, they push the price down to a strong support or demand zone (bearish move).
After that, they reverse the price up (bullish move) and take any remaining buy-side liquidity.
DM to learn more about liquidity and how big players think in the market!
Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (NSE: ALKEM)Technical Analysis and Key Levels
1.Current Price Action:
Alkem Laboratories is trading at ₹5,484.40, testing a critical support zone (₹5,300–₹5,450) identified by historical price action and volume profile.
2.Resistance and Support Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹5,811.55 (previous swing high).
Key Resistance Zone: ₹6,000–₹6,346.55. A breakout above ₹6,346.55 can lead to fresh bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: ₹5,323.60 (near-term support).
Critical Support: ₹4,629.85, a major demand zone. Failure to hold this level could trigger further downside.
3.Volume Profile:
High-Volume Node (HVN): Significant buying interest is observed around ₹5,450–₹5,800.
Low-Volume Node (LVN): Below ₹5,300, liquidity decreases, increasing the risk of a sharp drop toward ₹4,629.85.
4.Moving Averages:
The stock is currently hovering around the 50-day moving average, indicating short-term indecision.
The 200-day moving average at ₹5,323.60 acts as crucial support for long-term trend analysis.
5.RSI Indicator:
The RSI is neutral but leaning towards the oversold region, suggesting potential accumulation in this zone. A break below ₹5,323 could push RSI into bearish territory.
6.Key Observations:
Nomura's Price Target Update: Nomura revised the price target to ₹6,097 (Neutral stance), close to the immediate resistance levels, which aligns with market consolidation.
7.Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: Sustaining above ₹5,484.40 and breaking ₹5,811.55 may open doors for ₹6,346.55.
Bearish Case: A decisive break below ₹5,323.60 could lead to ₹4,629.85.
8.Trading Strategy:
For Bulls: Look for confirmation above ₹5,811.55 with increased volumes before entering long positions.
For Bears: Short opportunities arise if the stock breaks and sustains below ₹5,323.60 with a target near ₹4,629.85.
Zomato Ltd. - Head and Shoulders PatternA potential Head and Shoulders pattern is visible on the daily chart, signaling a possible trend reversal. Here's a detailed breakdown:
Pattern Highlights:
Left Shoulder: Formed in mid-August with resistance near ₹279.60.
Head: A peak in September crossing ₹279.60 but failing to sustain.
Right Shoulder: Currently forming, respecting the resistance zone at ₹279.60.
Key Levels:
Neckline Support: ₹238.99. A decisive close below this level could trigger a bearish breakdown.
Resistance: ₹279.60, acting as a strong barrier for bullish momentum.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently neutral but showing potential weakening momentum.
Moving Averages: Price hovering near the 50-day EMA, with the 200-day SMA as a key support level.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Breakdown: A close below ₹238.99 may open doors to lower levels, with the first target around ₹220.
Bullish Invalidity: A breakout above ₹279.60 could invalidate the pattern, leading to further upside momentum.
Volume Insights:
Noticeable volume reduction in the right shoulder formation, aligning with the classic characteristics of this pattern.
Bank Nifty 26th Forecast | NSE | Wait for Bearish Confirmationgrabbed max buy-side lq
likely move to bearish in coming days after bearish confirmation
waiting for the bearish confirmation today
market will reach to sell-side demand zone
Bank Nifty | NSE | Intraday Forecast for November 25, 2024Strategy involves analyzing the 24th's daily candle and the 15-minute time frame after the market opens on the 25th. Here's a breakdown of the scenario:
Key Assumptions in the Strategy:
24th Daily Candle Analysis:
Its a strong bullish (BL) pattern, expect a potential gap-up opening on the 25th.
25th Market Opening (15-minute chart focus):
Scenario 1: If the market breaks a strong resistance zone above, it is expected to range for a while.
Next Move: After consolidating (ranging), the market will decide the trend direction based on a zone breakout:
Bullish Breakout (BL side): Enter a long trade based on confirmations like increased volume, sustained breakout, or momentum indicators.
Bearish Breakdown (BR side): Enter a short trade once confirmations like rejection candles, lower highs, or volume surge appear.
Supriya LifeScience Can Hit 1000 Rs?Supriya LifeScience did a breakout a month before now retesting its previous ath and ready to shoot upto 1000 Rs add in your watchlist.
Tata Motors (Daily Timeframe) AnalysisChart Pattern & Trend:
Primary Trend: The stock previously followed a rising channel pattern, peaking near ₹1,176.50. After breaking the channel's lower boundary, it entered a significant downtrend.
Current Trend: Bearish, as the stock has consistently been making lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement tool highlights key levels:
61.8% Level (₹880.35): This level acted as a minor support before breaking down.
50% Level (₹788.85): The stock is hovering around this level, attempting to stabilize.
38.2% Level (₹697.40): If the downtrend continues, this could be the next key support.
23.6% Level (₹584.20): A deeper correction might test this level in a prolonged bearish scenario.
Volume Analysis:
Declining volumes suggest weakening momentum on the downside.
A volume spike at key support levels could indicate buying interest.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is in the oversold zone or nearing it, indicating potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: ₹880 (61.8% Fibonacci) and ₹900 are immediate resistance zones.
Support: ₹788 (current level) and ₹697 (38.2% Fibonacci) are critical supports.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal: A breakout above ₹880 with increasing volumes could signal the beginning of a recovery.
Continued Bearishness: A breakdown below ₹788 could lead the stock toward ₹697 and ₹584.
Trading Strategy:
For Long Positions: Look for reversal patterns around ₹788 or ₹697, supported by RSI divergence and volume confirmation.
For Short Positions: Consider selling near resistance levels like ₹880 with a stop-loss above ₹900.
IRFC 1D TFNSE:IRFC is near a demand zone and the stock can be traded once it breaks out.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
BPCL 1D TFNSE:BPCL has been playing near a support zone and has broken it and is moving downward. But now if we see a little bit into the past we can see a long wick which represents the power of sellers at that point. So going into this trade is little bit risky. If you want to trade this setup kindly use multiple confluences. Do share the confirmations you are looking to trade this setup in the comment section
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
Nifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFANifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFA
-Price rejected from daily resistance (Mid point of red rectangle) aka daily sibi.
-Rejection from mid point of sibi shows its willingness to go further down to next imbalance(BISI-D)
-Expecting 23342 as next draw on liquidity (Green line labeled as top of daily bisi).
Aarti Drugs - Key Levels to WatchAarti Drugs - Key Levels to Watch 🔍
Aarti Drugs has shown some recovery after restoring production at its Tarapur unit, as per recent filings. Here’s the technical outlook:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Resistance at 0.618 (₹593) and 0.5 (₹676).
Immediate support near 0.786 (₹476).
2.Volume Profile:
High activity seen between ₹450-₹500. Sustained support in this zone is crucial.
3.RSI:
Current RSI shows a slight bullish divergence—monitor for a potential rebound.
Levels of Interest:
Upside Potential: ₹593 (618 Fib) and ₹676 (0.5 Fib).
Downside Support: ₹476 (786 Fib) and ₹450 (volume support zone).
Stay cautious as the stock consolidates. Monitor for clear directional moves above or below these levels.
United Spirits Ltd. (NSE: MCDOWELL-N) - Technical AnalysisKey Observations:
1️⃣ Bullish RSI Divergence:
The RSI indicates a bullish divergence, suggesting potential reversal or upside momentum.
2️⃣ Breakout from Descending Channel:
After a period of consolidation within the descending channel, the stock has broken out, supported by improving momentum.
3️⃣ Volume Profile Support:
Strong accumulation zone observed between ₹1,440-₹1,490, indicating demand at these levels.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Levels:
Resistance levels are identified at ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591, and ₹1,634 based on Fibonacci retracements.
5️⃣ Moving Averages:
The stock is trading above key short-term moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
Trading Strategy:
🚀 For Long Positions:
Entry Zone: ₹1,440–₹1,460 (if price sustains above breakout level).
Targets: ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591.
S top-Loss: ₹1,430 (below support zone).
⚠️ Risk Management:
If the stock re-enters the descending channel, it could invalidate the bullish outlook. Monitor price action and volume closely.
Outlook:
With the RSI divergence, breakout confirmation, and strong support at ₹1,440, United Spirits Ltd. presents a promising bullish setup for short- to medium-term gains. Watch for sustained volume as the price approaches resistance levels.
💬 Your Thoughts?
What’s your take on this setup? Share your views below! 🚀
INVESTMENT IDEA - BAJAJ FINANCE Bajaj Finance , a major financial services provider in India, showcases a promising investment setup supported by both technical and fundamental strengths.
Technical Reasons :
Trend Line Support: The stock is holding above a long-term trend line, indicating resilience and potential for an upward move.
Intact Trend: Continuous higher highs and higher lows signal that the bullish trend remains intact.
Doji and Inside Candle Pattern on Weekly: This pattern suggests a possible reversal or continuation, highlighting a period of consolidation with potential for breakout.
Fundamental Reasons :
Record Revenue and Net Profit: Both metrics are at all-time highs, underscoring the company's financial strength.
Attractive Valuation: With a current 10-year PE ratio of 27.9, Bajaj Finance trades below its 10-year median PE of 45.4, suggesting it is undervalued relative to historical standards.
Solid Growth and Returns: The company boasts a 24% compounded sales growth rate, an ROCE of 11.9%, and an ROE of 22.1%, reflecting effective utilization of capital and profitability.
These combined factors make Bajaj Finance an attractive long-term investment option, with technical support for entry and solid fundamentals for sustained growth potential.
Crypto VS Equity : Which you will Choose for 3rd Qtr 2024This chart is very interesting for those who are struggling to find the investment opportunities. We have technical charts, And you can see 4 windows, upper two are cryptos and lower two are Indian Equity index.
Now, if we look at the charts, you can easily understand that cryptos are running for this month whereas the equity part is falling , as we all are quick learners, so we can understand what's happening here.
In simple words money is going out of various asset classes, even the gold, Fd's ,equities and being invested or traded with cryptos.
After the US President election Crypto coins are running in optimism. As Donald Trump have positive stance towards cryptocurrency.
And Nobody wants to be left out And so money is getting out of other investment assets.
I love to here your views on this ... use Comment box
Silver1! Weekly Chart analysis-NFASilver1! Weekly Chart analysis-NFA
-Price came back inside weekly range after sweeping Buyside.
-Expecting price to bounce from next Weekly BISI (Support Level)
- i want the price(candle body) to stay above midpoint of green rectangle(BISI/Support)
-Weekly market structure also forming an inverted head and shoulder
-Any bearish weekly candle close below green support rectangle will invalidate the long setup and next target will be Sellside.
Shipping Corp of India Ltd (SCI) - Weekly Head & Shoulders Watch🚨 Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern forming on the weekly chart, signaling a possible bearish reversal if the neckline breaks.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline Support: ₹203.32 - A weekly close below this level would confirm the pattern, potentially leading to a further decline.
Right Shoulder Resistance: ₹235 - ₹270 - If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish structure stays intact.
🎯 Target (upon breakdown): ₹177.72 - Calculated from the height of the head to the neckline.
📈 Alternative Bullish Scenario: If SCI breaks above ₹270.60, the Head and Shoulders pattern could be invalidated, potentially signaling bullish momentum towards previous highs.
📉 Indicators:
RSI shows a slight uptick, but a downward trend could confirm the bearish setup.
Watch for a volume spike if the price breaks the neckline, as it would strengthen the bearish case.
Disclaimer: T his is not financial advice. Keep an eye on these levels and manage your risk accordingly!
AU Small Finance Bank - Technical Analysis Update and Key LevelsChart Overview:
The price action for AU Small Finance Bank shows it has been moving within a rising channel for the past few years, currently testing key support levels. The bank recently saw a price downgrade from Nomura, which adjusted the target price to ₹670, retaining a neutral rating. This adjustment reflects some cautious sentiment among analysts.
Key Levels and Fibonacci Retracement:
Channel Support - The stock is currently near the lower boundary of the long-term rising channel, a crucial area where it previously found support.
Fibonacci Levels - The stock has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around ₹565.65 from its recent highs, which often acts as a strong support level in technical setups. A further breakdown could push it towards the 50% retracement at ₹492.40, a potential next support.
Resistance - On the upside, resistance lies around the upper channel boundary and recent highs near ₹670-₹700, which aligns with Nomura’s target.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD currently shows a weakening momentum on the weekly chart, hinting at possible bearish pressure. A recovery in MACD or a bullish crossover could indicate a return to upward momentum.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is approaching the oversold region. A bounce from this area might signal potential for reversal if accompanied by strong buying volume.
Conclusion:
AU Small Finance Bank is at a critical support level within a broader uptrend channel. Holding above ₹565-₹570 could lead to a rebound towards the upper end of the channel, with ₹670-₹700 as potential targets. However, if the price fails to hold, watch for the ₹492 level for possible support. The current technical setup suggests caution, especially with Nomura's neutral outlook.
