Cameco (CCJ) stock breakout confirmed...The Cameco stock price has broken out on the monthly candlestick.
This is as good as it gets for a bullish indication.
The future is Uranium and it appears the investing world knows this.
The red resistance line goes back as far as 2007, so any moves following this breakout are likely to be significant.
Buy near this breakout level, but not much higher.
Nuclear
LTBR Golden bullish cross!!!The 50 ema, red line, is about to cross the 200 ema and sma, on the daily. Golding cross baby!!
Stochastics RSI is over bought on the 4 hr and daily, fyi. The ADX is showing the buyers are still strong. The green and blue lines are the anchored V wap. Blue is the middle. I have 2 anchors. The previous high around $12 and the previous low around $2.75
Levels of Interest $GETA levels of interest for NYSE:GE
Please note that this is a preliminary research paper and you should continue to do your own research (DYOR). Information about assets can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay updated with the most recent developments.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
The Content in this TradingView Idea is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained within this idea constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
All Content on this idea post is information of a general nature and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Nothing in the idea/post constitutes professional and/or financial advice, nor does any information on the idea/post constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed or the law relating thereto. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content on the idea/post before making any decisions based on such information.
Cameco... Watch It GoThe second largest mining company in the world has one of the best looking charts out here when it comes to commodities. Price is currently breaking up and out of a pennant pattern, and lower indicators show that trend and momentum behind price support the move higher.
Train is leaving the station soon, load up now and add more at each stop.
Uranium Renaissance Solar, wind and hydro are not practical replacements for fossil fuels. Nuclear is, and U308 price is starting to reflect the sentiment shift toward the cleanest of green energies. The Fukushima incident created a selloff in uranium for nearly a decade, but the trend has since reversed.
Uranium price has been in a healthy uptrend which began in 2021 with price crossing above short and long averages, and now price is trending above all averages with all averages moving higher. Lower PPO and TDI indicators are showing bullish trend and momentum behind price.
Not much to not like about uranium and associated mining stocks right now. Get in while the gettin' is good and just hold the line from there.
maybe uranium becomes an epic short againthe bull market turn around in uranium has made the news, and outlasted a broader energy sector comeback. technicals are threatening a reversal bac to bears, and the monthly-quarterly view is making a breakdown. if we maintain these resistances then i am betting on a massive short play in uranium in a 5 year daterange. short urnm and long ery on breakouts on down days in broader market.
SP-500 : We are already in a recession!We see a leading expanding diagonal. The target zone of five waves intersects with the support line of the higher timeframe. Wave rules are complied. Further, we expect a rollback towards the resistance line - wave B and a subsequent correction - wave C.
A potential black swan that could happen would most likely be due to Russia's nuclear war blackmail.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
Aura Energy neutralThe Swedish election results are inline with public opinion.
60% of Swedes want more nuclear power.
Largest supplier of uranium to Sweden is Russia.
800mlb uranium deposit is the worlds 2nd largest.
Could be years from development though
seems overvalued!
The swedes have been closing nuclear plants.
Keep and eye on it/ b
Risk-Off Rotation Crypto/Tech -> UtilitiesFundamentals:
+ Exposure to "Risk-Off" Utilities.
+ Biggest E.U nuclear power operator. (52% of E.U Nuclear power comes from plants run or used by EDF)
+ Need for upsizing given the Russia-Ukraine commodity constraints.
Opinion:
EDF is undervalued at its current price. As the situation with Russia deteriorates, as an energy partner; a "Risk-Off" idea, presents it-self. During times of recession, stagflation, cost of living crisis compounded by government's inability to further print to ease pressures due to the mishandling of the Covid crisis. The idea of hierarchy of needs is paramount. In difficult times, one may not pay rent, but he will pay for energy. Given there is no industry without energy, the idea behind green/clean at the cost of longer time frames; becomes prohibitive.(Main reason why E.U decided to consider Nuclear "Sustainable". www.dw.com) Instead, one can expect France; decades of expertise in Nuclear power generation to be highly in demand. It be by consulting on building of Nuclear power facilities across the E.U block or simply due to the sharing of market rated energy production via the EEX across the block.
As the FED continues tightening, sovereign debt figures keep rising. Taiwan and Ukraine are now hotspots for defense contractors. Within the Risk-Off context and taking into account the military sovereign debt money printer is reaching new highs; exposure to military contractors may be a good risk-off idea.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
The Content in this TradingView Idea is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained within this idea constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
All Content on this idea post is information of a general nature and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Nothing in the idea/post constitutes professional and/or financial advice, nor does any information on the idea/post constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed or the law relating thereto. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content on the idea/post before making any decisions based on such information.
URANIUMWhere is the world heading to?
Nuclear energy? hope that's all.
Since march 2020 crash, URANIUM has not stopped rising in value (+354%), and since December 2020 volume has began to rise significantly.
There is high probability that it will reach new highs, from 35 to 60 usd, during this year 2022.
As my XAR analysis, I really hope I'm wrong this time.
Check my XAR analysis here:
Peace&Love!
SolMar Traders.
📈 Triangle consolidation A symmetrical triangle is forming in PDN. We have made the bottom side of this triangle, and it looks like the price is returning now to the upper side. Around quotes of 0.98 AUD should the upper border of the triangle be touched. After breaking the triangle pattern at this point or later, the bullish trend in Paladin Energy Ltd. should continue.
URNM- URANIUM ETF BULLISH- GREAT SWING OR LONG TERM HOLD!I've had a position in URNM- AMEX:URNM Uranium for about 13 weeks and now and I'm really excited at how well this etf is doing. You can swing trade and possibly long term hold for a portfolio, since Uranium is the future need for energy in power plants and nuclear submarines and other naval ships. Find out all the details on my video technical analysis here! Give me a like and a subscribe and follow this trade which I will be updating.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:URNM
$URNM - Available At a DiscountRussian forces recklessly shelled a nuclear plant last week.
This led to a sell-off over concerns that countries might take a step back from nuclear power.
This turned out to be an emotional overreaction. The plant was completely safe, and only an administrative building was damaged.
Uranium plays are now available at a relative discount.
According to Reuters, "The United States relies on Russia and its allies Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan for roughly half of the uranium powering its nuclear plants - about 22.8 million pounds (10.3 million kg) in 2020 - which in turn produce about 20% of U.S. electricity, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration and the World Nuclear Association."
"There is no uranium production or processing in the United States currently, though several companies have said they would like to resume domestic production if they can sign long-term supply contracts with nuclear power producers. Texas and Wyoming have large uranium reserves.
Australia and Canada also have large reserves of uranium and there is ample processing capability there and in Europe. But Russia and its satellites are the cheapest producers."
So with the White House considering sanctions on the cheapest available uranium, the price of this commodity will undoubtedly rise over coming weeks and months.
According to World Nuclear Association, "Russia has substantial economic resources of uranium, with about 9% of world reasonably assured resources plus inferred resources up to $130/kg – 505,900 tonnes U (2014 Red Book)."
This seems like a great play for a move back above $100.
SPROTT PHYSICAL URANIUM TRUSTPOSITION TRADE
U.UN (TSE), SRUUF (OTC)
Catalysts:
The uranium market is in structural supply/demand deficit despite nuclear energy being an essential and growing form of clean energy.
Financial players and a utility contracting cycle mark near-term catalysts.
I expect both physical uranium and uranium producer baskets to aggressively outperform over the coming 1-3+ years.
Financial players significantly escalated their role in the uranium market, in particular, the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (OTCPK:SRUUF). This trust exists to provide investors exposure to physical uranium, but in so doing, they take and sequester physical pounds from the market. Note that Yellow Cake plc (OTCPK:YLLXF) is a similar trust for UK based investors, although it is much less active in purchasing uranium.
SOURCE : Uranium: Potential Trade Of The Decade, SEEKING ALPHA, Live Hard Investing, Feb. 10, 2022
seekingalpha.com
$URA, not too late to the party tradethe price bounced back two times from the 0.618 fib level;
previous retrace was also around 28%; we will see one another 80% increase?
if you are looking for a mid term trade, there is a 3 to 1 RRR;
nuclear power is getting more attention; also the technology around it is getting better.
4hr VIX BowlHere's a potential path ahead for the VIX indicator in the shape of the handle on a cup which began being built back in early May 21' (as shown in the graph below.
$SPX overbought with a strong negative RSI divergence.
My intial target is the 24 - 26.5 range, but if it were to break out I might reassess.
ETF Picks For The Next 5 YearsI don't post about stocks or ETF's very often. I got into investing via crypto - and my intention wasn't necessarily to make money either. I had lost faith in the current model of our banking system, and became inspired by what I saw as an alternative. That alternative also ended up being a good financial decision. Ironically (I say this because most investors and traders own a smaller percentage in crypto), my stocks only make up around 2-3% of my portfolio.
There are two reasons I've begun investing a little into the stock market (mostly via ETF's) since I pulled my inital risk from crypto:
1) I'm testing to see if my strategy for crypto (buying into fear, dollar-cost-avergaing, and being extremely patient) will work with regard to the stock market, and perhaps benefit me financially.
2) I genuinely support the marijuana industry and the clean energy industry. Yes, nuclear is considered to be "clean" energy. I picked nuclear because it's flying under the radar, at least in terms of what's "hot" right now.
Looking at the weed industry
Weed is currently a $60 Billion industry. That's actually larger than Tobacco. So, is it still undervalued? I think yes, since tobacco has significantly fewer uses. But let's look at something that's more widespread AND less healthy: Alcohol. The global alcohol industry is worth around $1.4 TRILLION. With that in mind, I think it's fair to assume weed can eventually become at least half as big. It won't be consumed in such large quantities, but I think the uses and applications for it will be quite widespread. What does this mean? It means the value of the Weed sector can grow at least 10x, and it can happen over the next decade. The $170 target is shown on the chart. However, MJ is not in a bull market yet. Despite this, I have been adding slowly. My trendlines show that this could be a decent place to buy. Horizontal supports are also outlined.
Looking at Nuclear
The safety of nuclear power facilities has dramatically increased. Interestingly, URA had been in a severe slump since the Fukushima incident. URA ultimately found a bottom, and is now in a bullish trend, with a golden cross on the weekly. I'm targeting all-time highs. The first big pullback is underway, after the recent incident at the Chinese nuclear facility. My first entry was near $15, but I am slowly buying dips. I also added a small URNM position, which comprises companies that hold physical Uranium. It may perform slightly better.
Of course, I may be wrong. This is why I'm buying slowly and cautiously, rather than piling in all at once. That seems to work with the slow-moving stock market.
I also have invested a little into some other clean energy sectors: solar, hydro, and wind.
Let's see what happens! Certainly not much fervor surrounding these ETF's at the moment, but it's always best to prepare, rather than react emotionally. Definitely learned that from crypto.
This is not financial advice. This is for my personal record, speculation, and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
Still Waiting on Southern Company*not investment advise. do your own research and invest at your own risk*
$SO is presently in a sell-off. I saw this coming (see my previous idea on SO) but the movement's strength and momentum has surprised me. From what I've read, this doesn't appear to be related to anything significant beyond general market selling and a pervasive over-valuation fear that grips every sector. There have been hiccups with the nuclear project related to Vogtle Unit 3 (surprise...not) but reports I've read have misconstrued the premise. Southern Nuclear self-reported many of the cable non-compliances to the Nuclear Commission. This is a non-issue.
Despite this, given the strength of the sell-off, I think we'll have a repeat of last year. Strong selling (probably profit-taking of those who bough early late 2020 - early 2021) going into winter with a noted downward trend until spring of 2022. Now would not be the time to buy up shares, in my opinion. If earnings are reported as strong this might alter my assertion, but the numbers would have to be impressive.
Southern's fair value still hovers around $60.00 so any purchase at or below that mark would be acceptable. With less growth and higher risk-free rates (not likely over long term) one could fairly price the stock as low as $53.00 - $48.00. I don't think SO will reach those levels but, if it did, that would be a very strong buy, in my opinion.
I'm looking for a downward move to around $58.00 - $60.00 at which point I'll start buying again.
I'm short.
Metals/Energy - MGAModel Forecast for Mega Uranium Ltd.:
- Model has produced a Line of Least Resistance.
- Mega Uranium Ltd. is a uranium mining and development company which explores for prospective properties primarily in Australia and Canada.
- This is a second wave "junior" that has been in existence since 1990 with a promising balance sheet.
- We believe that a macro turn is upon us and we are extremely bullish on uranium, renewable, and nuclear energy. There is a non-trivial probability that uranium juniors will yield the greatest gains out of all stocks in this full cycle.
- With a shift toward renewable energy solutions, we expect a global interest toward nuclear energy, causing a boom in the sector.
- With the level of stimulus projected by 2030, and the global direction until 2050, we expect necessary funds to be raised capital expenditures in the sector to be spent aggressively, with the backing of national interests.
- Should the company acquire a mining project, the stock will yield outsized gains.
- Price is technically breaking out of a Cup & Handle, and is likely to test the top of a channel established since the 2010's.
"For the juniors, there are three possible fates:
1. Most common is a failure, which leaves a hole in everyone's pocket, including that of the banks and investors.
2. The second fate occurs when a junior has enough success to justify a major paying a decent premium to gobble it up, leading to decent returns all around.
3. In the third and most rare fate, a junior finds a large deposit of a mineral that the market wants a lot of – it is a magical combination of the right deposit at the right time. When this happens, juniors can return more in a few days than a major will return in years." - Investopedia
- Interestingly, the company sold its assets in Canada to NexGen Energy (NXN.V) for a 40%~ equity interest in NexGen.
- We believe that a time is approaching such that companies in all sectors, especially in the mining sector to relentlessly undergo mergers & acquisitions, in a race to become "Too Big To Fail" and obtain the blessing of government subsidization.
- MGA may be giving signals for a potential M&A with NexGen, and in such case, investors will benefit greatly, as NexGen is also a very appealing company.
- In the case that MGA finds a new deposit, investors will again benefit. Investors must simply be patient, as global interest will sustain promising juniors until they succeed during a boom.
- We speculate that the lumber squeeze that is currently occurring is only a small teaser for the supply squeeze in energy commodities to come.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
CARBON FREE ENERGY IS ABOUT TO BE EXPENSIVE This is a simple story of clean energy and a Canadian firm
Countries such as JAPAN, THE USA, RUSSIA, UK, and FRANCE pushing for nuclear-produced hydrogen.
Nuclear power demand raised from 2% to 2.6 which supply capacity is expected to shrink through 2050.
If you have been following the Uranium market by now you probably know of Sprott asset management active uranium purchases in the spot market with reportedly over $1 billion in assets.
Even though right now governing bodies are monitoring "Sprott" buying activity but "it's nothing that's worrying them at this point" --- This is from a well-written article by J.HOLMAN from S&P Market intelligence
OUR OPINION
Little or no regulatory interference will push prices higher
Nuclear stocks are the next explosive stocks since cannabis and blockchain
Could also see prices of Metal commodities and large manufacturing firms see an increase in demand/ strength in business and positive earnings
Nuclear Waste Management spike in revenue and growth into the business venture long-term
It's HERE AND CHEAP why not just BUY?
Price finally chases the inflating element UranniumIn the Uranium market, to keep all atomic plants going, the offer must improve. There was a good interview on Kitco News explaining the current movement. These low prices are not even worth mining for some companies and not enough volumes of Uranium are on the market as a result.
All Uranium stocks I've got on my watchlist grew significantly with ENCUF and ISNF leading the market. I expect this rally to continue, but I also hope there is going to be a short break before the continuation as I want to buy some more.
From the technical perspective, ISENF broke above 6 months' consolidation high rallying 97% in 14 days. That's a lot...
Anyway, I would only buy if the retracement is big and convincing. There should still be some time to reaccumulate. While mining output is insufficient, there is still enough Uranium to keep going for a long time.
Good luck!
The case for Uranium: Master Plan with a Price Target of 100$+In the early 2000s, the flooding of the McArthur River and Cigar Lake mines were immediate black swan catalysts that further accelerated the existing bull market into a mania moving uranium spot prices to a peak of $150/lb in 2007. The flight to commodities as an inflation hedge following the Great Recession served as an additional catalyst underpinning the macroeconomics behind the commodity boom of the 2000s. The last bull run ended when higher supply combined with the fallout from the Fukishima nuclear disaster sealed uranium into a now decade long secular bear market. Given the lack of speculation, mines today have been idled and the industry has been in consolidation and liquidation ever since. Over the past decade, Uranium prices have descended into the abyss.
Because it costs more than $50/lb to mine uranium, the current spot prices indicate an extreme imbalance. The former Soviet state-owned-enterprise, now publicly traded Kazatomprom has forced cheap supply onto the market over the last decade, however overly bearish sentiment has held back the necessary investment in new mines and exploration leading to consistent annual supply deficits. New reactor construction in China and India has lead to strong growth in uranium fuel demand. Given the extreme asymmetry and cyclicality of uranium spot prices, investors are presented with a once in a lifetime opportunity.
On top of that, COVID19 has lead to further supply constraints. Cameco's Cigar Lake Mine, which accounted for 18% of worlds supply, was and remains closed. Now, mining companies such as Denison have started actively buying uranium off of the spot market to fulfill their obligations.
Its only a question of time until the remaining supply wont be enough to fill demand.
At that point, we could experience a bull market in Uranium and the mining companies of epic proportions.
Note that uranium bull markets are multi-year to even decade long affairs.
My estimation is that we will see prices go to around 50$ in the short term, and then continue a rise up to the 70-90$ region, where price could be sustained for longer periods.
However, on shorter timeframes, this longer term target could certainly be overshot, and by a lot.
Does 150$/lb sound realistic? Perhaps.
While we haven't had a bear market as severe preceding this bull market as we had in the early 2000s, you would need to account for other factors too.
Adjusted for Inflation, 150$ in 2007 would be around 200$ in todays prices.
On top of that, there could be additional catalists coming up along the way.
My plan is to start selling my miners once we reach the 70-90$ range, and let a portion run to see how high we can go. If we go significantly above 100$, I will make sure to not sell the rest of my shares below 100$ U308.
Keep in mind that miners tend top out before the price of actual Uranium. Catching the top will be difficult, and there probably wont be a lot of time for it.
My favourite ways to play this is to go long on $UUUU, $DNN, $CVV, $FCU, $NXG, $URE, $CCJ.
Since there are only about 20 publicly traded mining companies with (high) exposure to the uranium market, of which around 15 are viable investments in my oppinion, even a "spray and pray" approach probably will likely be able to reap in significant returns if my thesis plays out.
Once the tide rises, it wont matter too much in which boat youre in.