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Silver Miners pop, down and then launchI feel a flash crash coming on, similar to Covid - wouldn't surprise me if Birdflu was the catalyst (see my NASDAQ:GILD idea). The patterns line up exactly the same. You can't see it with this picture, but tons of my indicators are going off -which I will post below. Silver Miners will exit the ascending triangle this go around as the commodity supercycle takes off. Could silver miners go a little more up then down? Absolutely, but miners are sensitive to market rallys and poundings like other stocks (see the pandemic in March 2020 on the chart).
AMEX:SILJLong
by EmptyEternity
6
Junior Miners will take some time off soon I see a repeat of March 2020 happening but with birdflu (check out my silver miners AMEX:SILJ thread where the fractal looks better). Within 5 months, miners had a 42% gain, but within that time period there were 2 huge drops and 3 huge gains: 1. $46-$20 (56% loss) in 2 weeks (June-July) 2. $20-$40 (100% gain) in 4 weeks (July-August) 3. $40-$50 (25% gain) in 4 weeks (August-September) 4. $50-$42 (15% loss) in 4 weeks (September-October) 5. $42-$65 (55% gain) in 6 weeks (October-Mid November) We'll want to target events 1, 2 and 5. OTM puts and calls on AMEX:NUGT , AMEX:JNUG and AMEX:AGQ will be the way to go on this assuming some exogenous event doesn't take down our markets (hack, EMP etc.), and IV is affordable. 1 will be moderately expensive because of hitting the top (unless it grinds slowly sideways dragging IV down with it). 2 could be pretty expensive. 5 should be highly affordable after a slow walk up and down for 2 months. I will also be keeping a close eye on several junior miners like NYSE:EXK and one pharmaceutical company NASDAQ:GILD (check those threads also)
AMEX:GDXJShort
by EmptyEternity
2XBEAR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler. I noticed JDST's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return. I also think DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall. I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
AMEX:DUSTLong
by EmptyEternity
Silver is in short term consolidation before breaking $30It doesn't matter what short term paper contracts do, or taking profits - the East is importing gold and silver at a beguiling rate that won't allow for much shenanigans for the metals market. I was however surprised to see the price bounce exactly off the top of the box. I see silver going down to $24 area, shake out some hands, and rocket up past $30 after options expiration date. I see a smaller consolidation week in May before going even higher. I HIGHLY recommend Silver Miners right now. They saw some life this week and last - and since they usually lag, I can see them being down for the next two weeks before going up themselves. I like AMEX:SIL , AMEX:SILJ , and NUGT for indices, and NYSE:NEM for the best miner in the world for one simple reason - AMERICA will be the LAST country to nationalize their natural resources in a communistic reaction to the skyrocketing dollar. I expect that to happen starting next year.
AMEX:SLVLong
by EmptyEternity
1
Double Top in Gold That Strangely is Correlated with NividiaDid you know gold and Nividia have an 81% correlation? That's strange. (chart in comments) I see a double top in gold. TTM Squeeze firing on weekly, daily, 4 hourly and it's a continuation of a squeeze on the hourly. TTM Squeeze's usually bounce off the opposite side when it breaks/fakes out. Outside an exogenous event I see pm's taking the summer off and reawakening in the fall when the dollar tops out after the BOJ sells US treasuries after China devalues their currency after the dollar spikes when Europe cuts rates soon. It's going to be an epic chain reaction. The FED will cut rates heading into the election and if Trump wins he'll ride the last meme wave until it crashes and reinstitute a gold standard, or if Biden wins we get CBDC's. I'll be looking for low IV OTM calls in the fall after the FED cuts rates...
AMEX:GLDShort
by EmptyEternity
Junior Miners will fall 10-20% before catapulting in Mid MayMiners didn't accelerate to the upside like metals because they do better in lower interest rate environments, whereas metals do better for volatility events. You could buy ITM puts here on JNUG, NUGT, GDX or GDXJ and see a good return, or just wait for this to bottom in a couple of weeks and ride the lightning. THIS opportunity is one of the 2 that I see this year where you can buy OTM calls and this will be like Gamestop imo. THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!
AMEX:JNUGLong
by EmptyEternity
Gold Pulls in More Fools, Rally to $1950 then FadeI rally between now and April-May looks like a good risk-reward, however those gains are likely to get faded very fast as capital flows back into discounted equities, and other growth assets Of all the minerals mined from the Earth, none is more useful than gold (this is speculation). Its usefulness is derived from a diversity of special properties. Gold conducts electricity, does not tarnish, is very easy to work, can be drawn into wire, can be hammered into thin sheets, alloys with many other metals, can be melted and cast into highly detailed shapes, has a wonderful color and a brilliant luster. Gold is a memorable metal that occupies a special place in the boomer mind.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by noam_chom
1
GOLD vs NASDAQ- Which is better ?Over a period of time what is better to trade and invest in a gold futures based ETF or instead the TQQQ , a leveraged and popular ETF tracking the NAS100 and NASDAQ. To analyse, this I put NUGT on the daily chart and superimposed the price action of TQQQ. Starting one year ago, NUGT had the better price action in an upward facing megaphone pattern reflecting high volatility and topped out 70% over the last August start in a double top. After its retracement, it is now positioned perhaps for bullish continuation. TQQQ on the otherhand since a low at the end of 2022 has been in a less volatile trend up topping out at 50% last month but now also with a bit of a pullback and retracement. I conclude that one is not better than the other and that a lot depends on a traders appreciation of market tops. Swing trades in both managed well may give diversity to the trades and allow for profitable outcomes. As a well established gold bug, however, I believe that gold will shine moving forward especially if a BRICS currency is launched with a real gold standard.
AMEX:NUGT
by AwesomeAvani
CMCL a junior GOLD miner moves on spot gold uptrendOn a 15 miunte chart. CMCL is seen trending down and then reversing while traders seek to sync it to the price action of spot gold. The chart demonstrates price reversing on May 2nd out of an anchored VWAP breakdown into a rubber band reversal into a cross of the mean aVWAP. The movement of the PMO ( Price Movement Oscillator) confirms the reversal into a trend up. The ZL MACD shows a histogram flipping negative to positive with the signal moving over the mean MACD. The last of the trading week shows a big engulfing candle with a volume spike for me that spells momentum straight out and simple All in the all, I see price moving to a target of 12 over a period of a few days based on the angle/slope of the trendline. In the context of the gold bullrun and the concept of a rising tide being capable of lifting all ships, I see this as a very safe trade yielding potentially 4% over a few days. This is more than acceptable given the chaos and whipsaw action of the general market. If you find this idea helpful. please like and follow and perhaps message me for a referred link to TV pro. Trade well after DYODD !
AMEX:CMCLLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
GLD Gold ETF Pullback for EntryGLD has been trending up and the chart shows that volume is increased in April / May as compared with March and is about relatively 2X. GLD is now priced at its all time high. On the trendline drawn, GLD is rising at a rate of approximately 5% monthly. Gold prices are reacting to economic uncertainties and the dollar value having its challenges. Today, price is down 1-2 % dropping towards the bottom of the Bollinger Bands providing a good long trade entry. Stop loss is one dollar below the bottom band while targets are at + 5% + 15% and +30% as a long duration swing trade expecting rising gold prices for at least six months. See also my idea on XAUSUD / Cup and Handle
AMEX:GLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
XAGUSD Spot Gold Cup and Handle Bull Trend ResumptionXAUUSD on the daily chart has a long-term cup and handle now in its final formation. Spot gold price has risen above the lip of the cup and is in position to ascend from there the height /depth of the cup for about another $100 on the current price based on the pattern to occur over the width of the cup or about 6-8 months. Any gold related instruments including miners, junior miners, ETFs like GLD, JNUG , NUGT and gold itself on the forex markets should be in an overall uptrend. Any further degradation in the AMEX:USD will further support Spot Gold rising. Using the Bollinger Band oscillator or Luxalgo I will try to buy when XAUUSD is at the bottom of the Bollinger Bands ( Red Histogram is high / Green Histogram is low ) and sell in an opposite fashion with positions on and off to profit from the uptrend ongoing.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
⚡️FLASH REPORT: GOLD PRICE 📈My earlier Feb 2023 flash report focused on a downside Change of Behaviour/Character in the uptrend of the Gold price from the Sept '22 low. At that time, there was a possibility that the uptrend ended. I then expected the price to re-test the Feb high. If that re-test of the high failed, I would have been confident to conclude that the uptrend was done. The caveat to this conclusion was if the price closed above the high. Fast forward to today, the price has now exceeded the Feb high. That means the downside Change of Behaviour is now void. As such, we should expect the price to move higher as the uptrend has re-established. The next logical target is the high at $2,070.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrstockyetoro
JNUG - Leveraged Junior Miner ETF Swing LongOn the 4H chart, I show my analysis that JNUG is ready for an uptrend using the MACD / RSI for confirmation. A head and shoulder pattern is followed by a downtrend which ends in a double bottom for a reversal. I see the potential for a significant gain of the ETF and its call options over about six months. See also my idea on XAUUSD / Spot Gold for a more elaborate analysis and discussion. Globally, the 49ers are back again and I think it is time to enter this market.
AMEX:JNUG
by AwesomeAvani
GDX coiling againIt has been a while since it would be even worth to look into GDX, and I think it is about time... still early, but good to plan ahead and see if it is working out as projected. GDX (Gold miners) mounted a good recovery but stalled on a trend line and retracement is likely to see 27, else 25. The technical indicators (MACD and VolDiv) are turning bullish, but not just ripe yet. Expecting a higher low about 25-27 (red ellipse is the optimistic target; also the 62% retracement level) in early to mid January 2023. Bouncing off the 23-week EMA would be a good indicator that the projection is in line. So... being optimistic for a comeback, but until the pullback is apparent, sitting on my hands first. Happy Boxing Day!
AMEX:GDX
by Auguraltrader
Gold Miners ETF, GDX bullish potentialThe weekly chart closed the week nice candle that had a long bottom tail, albeit a red candle, but bullish indication here. The daily chart had GDX gap down on Friday's opening, then rally hard to close a bullish engulfing, spanning across a resistance zone. This can form the higher low point later next week. Indicators are not yet bullish, but candlesticks are suggesting the end of the massive retracement with bullish signs and patterns.
AMEX:GDXLong
by Auguraltrader
The Gold Odyssey - time to flyA quick note to say that as previously expected, the deep retrace happened, and had bottomed out. The last week closed with a bullish candle with a 5 week high close, that bounced off support from the weekly 55EMA, and broke out of the trendline resistance. Technical indicators have yet to turn around. The daily chart shows Friday's surprise surge in Gold prices, closing on the recent weeks high. Thing is that the technicals are not yet very supportive of a rally, although there already are optimistic indications. Gold is going up!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Auguraltrader
GDX continues rallyingTwo weeks ago, a break above 40 was expected , and it just closed the week above 40, in good fashion if I may say so. The weekly GDX chart followed the previous week's long tailed doji and gapped up, ending near the week's high, with yet another lower tail. Bullish candlestick structure here. Technical RPM indicator is supportive of the momentum, although the MACD expects more. The daily GDX chart is consistent with a continuing uptrend rally, with higher highs and higher lows. Technically supportive, both the RPM and MACD are crossed up and trending bullishly. 47.50 upside target in sight as projected previously.
AMEX:GDXLong
by Auguraltrader
4