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NVDA

Nvidia - The Chart Just Told Us So!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) might just still head a little lower: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After Nvidia perfectly retested the previous rising channel resistance just a couple of months ago, it was quite expected that we'll see a retracement. The overall trend however still remains bullish and if Nvidia drops a little more, the overall bullrun continuation rally might just follow. Levels to watch: $80 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
14
April 17, 2025 - Powell, Japan & TrumpHello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors ( NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:ASML ) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone. In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The CME_MINI:NQ1! tumbled 3%, the CME_MINI:SOX1! lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged. This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets. On commodities, BLACKBULL:WTI jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; OANDA:XAUUSD rockets to $3,352 /oz; INDEX:BTCUSD hovers near $83,500. Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.
AMEX:SPY
by SmartApingAI
4
NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🚀💻 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🔥🧠 Hey everyone! Back in 2021, I called NVIDIA the best buy of the decade, and in 2023, we followed up as NVDA rocketed to my target of $143. Now in 2025, it’s time for Part 3 — and the case for NVDA being a generational play just got even stronger. 💪 ✅ On April 4th, I re-entered around $96.85, right at my alert level. The setup? A rounded bottom reversal pattern forming with 4 strong bullish divergences on key indicators (Stoch, CCI, MOM, MFI). Target levels ahead: 📍 $143 📍 $182 📍 $227 📉 Yes, Nvidia took a 6% hit after announcing a $5.5B impact from U.S. export restrictions on its H20 chip to China — a reminder that macro & geopolitical factors still matter. But… 💡 The company just launched DGX Spark and DGX Station, bringing AI supercomputing to the desktop — powered by Grace Blackwell architecture. That’s next-level innovation, not just for enterprises, but for developers, students, and researchers alike. A true desktop AI revolution. 🇺🇸 And most importantly: NVIDIA will now manufacture AI supercomputers on U.S. soil — in Arizona and Texas — aiming to produce $500 billion worth over the next four years. This initiative is a bold move toward supply chain resilience, economic growth, and cementing NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI arms race. ⚠️ If we lose the $96 level, I’ll re-evaluate. But for now? The technical and fundamentals still say: Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now we will revisit this chart). 💬 What’s your outlook? Are you buying the dip or waiting on clarity? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FX_Professor
2
Nvidia: Bullish Monday?A new week is about to get started and we would like to know if the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) chart supports a bullish Monday. What is the chart saying on the daily timeframe? The chart has many positive signals and support a strong week but... Good Sunday my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling in this wonderful day? I hope you are doing great. Let's read the chart; together, let's trade! The chart looks really good and the short-term can always surprise, anything goes. The chart is saying, "up, straight up," and even though the markets are unpredictable, I can easily tell you what the market is doing and is most likely to happen after the weekly close. NVDA is super bullish and likely to continue growing based on multiple signals: 1) The falling wedge pattern is already confirmed. The action broke above it. 2) The trading volume supports a continuation of the pattern breakout. 3) The correction was really strong but the reaction to support was even stronger. Such a strong reaction indicates that traders were anxious and ready to buy. The only reason to sell was based on political bad news. With the bad news removed, up we go. NVDA is solid and with Bitcoin and mining growing, the market expanding, AI, NVDA is set to follow and also grow. 4) Both the 0.786 and 0.618 Fib. retracement levels are major support and gauge the strength of a stock. If the action is happening below, bearish; when the action happens above bullish. The fact that the action moved below just to recover makes this a strong bullish signal. A failed signal for the bears because they failed to move prices lower. A strong bullish signals for the bulls because the action is back above long-term critical support. 5) The session 10-April closed as a hammer and this also points up. 6) Finally, NVDA managed to close daily above EMA8, EMA13 and EMA21. Short-term bullish bias is now valid, active and confirmed. All these are bullish signals saying that the market will move higher next. What needs to happen for all this to become invalid? NVDA would need to close daily below the last low. No need to worry about short-term moves and noise. We are going up long-term. The correction here reached more than 43%. Believe it or not, a 43% drop is a very strong drop. For the market to go lower, it would need to be the end of the company or worse. What need is there for a stock like this one, with a great product in huge demand, to drop by 80%, for what reason? We are going up. Namaste.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MasterAnanda
14
Nvidia : Should I be worried?Looking closely at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , we can see that since March, the price has gravitated back to the Point of Control (POC) on the volume profile. From there, we’ve seen a solid reaction — up around 33%, after Nvidia had previously taken a sharp hit from its recent top. In my view, it’s very possible that Wave 4 is now complete. It’s been a very complex, sideways consolidation, but that’s typical behavior for a fourth wave. Zoom out, and the bigger picture looks a lot cleaner — this whole range doesn’t seem nearly as messy on the higher timeframes. That said, I’m not fully bullish yet. For me, $122 is the key level. Only once we break and hold above $122, I’ll shift into a more confidently bullish stance. Until then, it’s still possible we revisit the $80–$85 range, maybe even sweep the previous low. It doesn’t have to happen, but structurally, it’s still on the table. Given the broader uncertainty — macroeconomic pressure, U.S.–China tensions, regulatory noise — I’m staying cautious. For now, I’m mainly focused on this from an 8-hour chart perspective. Until we get that confirmation above $122, I’m not rushing into any aggressive positions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by stromm
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15) NASDAQ:NVDA Below is a synthesized, step‐by‐step quant analysis of NVDA’s weekly options environment based on all model reports and the provided options data: ───────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF MODEL KEY POINTS ▪ Grok/xAI Report  – Price is trading tightly in a range near $112.20 with short‐term oscillation between support (~$111.95) and resistance (~$112.35).  – Very mixed short‐term indicators (5‑minute MACD bearish but daily MACD bullish) and overall neutral technicals.  – High option volume and open interest around $110 (max pain) and $115, but the report concludes with “no trade recommendation” given the mixed signals. ▪ Llama/Meta Report  – Confirms NVDA is at $112.20 and finds 5‑minute charts “neutral/consolidating” while noting the daily chart shows some bullish recovery.  – Despite daily technical hints of a potential bullish reversal, overall bias is assessed as moderately bearish.  – Recommends a put option trade—specifically a $109 strike put with an ask premium of $0.84—citing a moderately bearish view and a 70% confidence level. ▪ Gemini/Google Report  – Acknowledges that while the daily chart is bullish (strong momentum above keys like the 10‑day EMA) short‑term M5 charts show consolidation and the negative news (export restrictions and a possible $5.5B charge) adds significant uncertainty.  – Notes that the max pain level is at $110 (below the current price) and that although pre‑market action appears firm, the conflicting signals create high risk.  – Concludes strongly to “NO TRADE” at the open given the mixed and conflicting signals (confidence around 30%). ▪ DeepSeek Report  – Points out that although NVDA is trading above some key EMAs, the negative news and heavy put open interest (especially near the $110 level) weigh on sentiment.  – Using max pain logic and a moderately bearish bias (targeting a move toward $110), recommends buying a $110 strike put at a $1.10 premium with a 68% confidence level.  – Provides detailed entry, profit target, and stop‐loss conditions (though the premium is notably above an “ideal” range of $0.30–$0.60). ───────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT Agreement:  – All models acknowledge that the negative news (export restrictions, potential $5.5B charge) introduces strong bearish pressure.  – There is a common observation that options open interest clusters around the $110 level (max pain) with heavy activity on both calls and puts, signaling sensitivities near that price.  – Technical indicators in the very short term (5‑minute charts) show consolidation, even though the daily charts lean more bullish in some cases. Disagreement:  – Grok/xAI and Gemini conclude that the mixed signals (technical consolidation with bearish news drag) warrant no immediate trade at open.  – Llama/Meta and DeepSeek tilt toward a moderately bearish view and recommend a put trade—though they differ on the exact strike (Llama selects ~$109, DeepSeek prefers $110) and premium levels.  – Confidence levels differ substantially (from 0% and 30% up to 68–70%), reflecting uncertainty about whether the news or bullish technicals will dominate intraday. ───────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE Overall Market Direction Consensus:  The environment remains ambiguous. Although the daily charts show some bullish resilience, the weight of recent negative news, the gravitational pull of $110 max pain, and heavy put volumes lean toward a modestly bearish bias. Still, the signals are mixed and the immediate post‑open direction is highly uncertain. Recommended Trade (if you choose to be opportunistic):  Based on Llama/Meta and DeepSeek—if you’re willing to take a moderately bearish bet at open—a put trade might be considered. However, note that Gemini and Grok/xAI advocate waiting for a clearer signal given the uncertainty. For traders who prefer to have a trade based on a bias toward a downside reaction, one possible trade would be:  • BUY a single‑leg, naked weekly PUT option.  • Strike: $109.00 (ask premium of $0.84 is close enough given liquidity and moderate bearish distance).  • Expiration: April 17, 2025  • Entry: at market open  • Rationale: With a moderately bearish tilt from the negative news and max pain considerations, a $109 put offers a risk/reward profile in a premium region slightly above the ideal range (but acceptable given the high-impact catalysts).  • Confidence Level: ~70%  • Key risks: A continued short‑term consolidation or a “bounce” in price (especially if NVDA moves toward the max pain level and finds support) would hurt a put position. Also, any unexpected bullish catalyst could quickly overturn the bearish bias. That said, because of the significant conflicting factors and the risk that the negative news may already be priced in, one could also justify sitting on the sidelines (as recommended by two of the models). ───────────────────────────── 4. FINAL RECOMMENDATION In our view, the market is too conflicted for a high‑confidence directional bet. However, if you are inclined to act on the moderately bearish view—and you accept the risk of an early move against your position—the put side is the only candidate for a single‑leg trade. With that said, given the discord among the models (with two models advising “no trade”), a conservative trader might well decide to wait for clearer price action at the open. ───────────────────────────── TRADE DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null } ───────────────────────────── FINAL NOTE: While there is some support for a moderately bearish put trade (for example, buying a $109 put at $0.84), the divergent signals from the models (including strong advice from two reports to avoid trading today) mean that risk management is paramount. Many quant practitioners would prefer to wait until post‑open confirmation before jumping in. Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by henryzhang99
1
Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day. First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion. The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong. Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ftdsystem
Chips Down: What Shadows Loom Over Nvidia's Path?While Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI revolution, its stellar trajectory faces mounting geopolitical and supply chain pressures. Recent US export restrictions targeting its advanced H20 AI chip sales to China have resulted in a significant $5.5 billion charge and curtailed access to a crucial market. This action, stemming from national security concerns within the escalating US-China tech rivalry, highlights the direct financial and strategic risks confronting the semiconductor giant. In response to this volatile environment, Nvidia is initiating a strategic diversification of its manufacturing footprint. The company is spearheading a massive investment initiative, potentially reaching $500 billion, to build AI infrastructure and chip production capabilities within the United States. This involves critical collaborations with partners like TSMC in Arizona, Foxconn in Texas, and other key players, aiming to enhance supply chain resilience and navigate the complexities of trade tensions and potential tariffs. Despite these proactive steps, Nvidia's core operations remain heavily dependent on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) for producing its most advanced chips, primarily in Taiwan. This concentration exposes Nvidia to significant risk, particularly given the island's geopolitical sensitivity. A potential conflict disrupting TSMC's Taiwanese fabs could trigger a catastrophic global semiconductor shortage, halting Nvidia's production and causing severe economic repercussions worldwide, estimated in the trillions of dollars. Successfully navigating these intertwined market, supply chain, and geopolitical risks is the critical challenge defining Nvidia's path forward.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 16, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🗣️ Federal Reserve Speeches: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 1:30 PM ET, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments. Additionally, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will speak at 12:00 PM ET, and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan will speak at 7:00 PM ET. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 16: 🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +1.2% Previous: +0.2% Measures the total receipts of retail stores, reflecting consumer spending trends. ​ 🏭 Industrial Production (9:15 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1% Previous: +0.7% Indicates the output of the nation's factories, mines, and utilities. ​ 🏠 Homebuilder Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 37 Previous: 39 Assesses the confidence of homebuilders in the market for newly built single-family homes. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is our integrated analysis based on all available model reports. ────────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS FROM EACH MODEL • Grok/xAI Report – Technical indicators on lower timeframes (5‐minute) have shown short‑term weakness (price below the 10‑period EMA and bearish MACD) while the daily chart remains more neutral to slightly bullish. – The max pain level ($110.00) lies below the current price ($112.20), suggesting there could be some pull‐back pressure. – With mixed signals and elevated volatility, the analysis does not provide a strong directional conviction – hence no trade was recommended. • Llama/Meta Report – The shorter‑term (5‑minute) technicals indicate a bearish setup (MACD below signal, RSI near 45) despite the daily chart’s support from above‑average prices, supporting a slight downside bias. – The report favors a put option (near ATM), suggesting that an option between the current price and the max pain level may capture a potential move downwards. – Their setup initially mentioned the possibility of a trade “if premium is acceptable.” • Gemini/Google Report – Detailed multi‑timeframe analysis points to:  ○ Immediate (M5) weakness (price trading below very short‑term EMAs and with bearish MACD signal),  ○ Negative catalyst from export restrictions and the high–yet falling–VIX, and  ○ A gravitational pull toward $110 (the max pain). – This model’s analysis is moderately bearish and recommends buying a weekly naked put. – Their trade plan suggests buying a put with a strike near $111 (which sits between the current price and max pain) with an entry at market open, a target premium gain of roughly 80–100% and a stop loss at about 50% of the premium. • DeepSeek Report – Also reviews technicals and sentiment inputs but concludes that conflicting signals and incomplete options data render a clear trade decision uncertain f or today.   • The report leans toward “no trade” until further clarity is available. ────────────────────────────── AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement points:  – Most analyses agree that NVDA is trading a strong 5‑day rally and that, with the max pain level set at $110.00, there’s potential for a pullback.  – All reports also note the mixed technical picture when viewing short‑term versus daily charts.  – The immediate (intraday) indicators (M5 MACD, EMAs) lean toward weakness, even if the longer‑term trend remains less clear. • Disagreements:  – Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward “no trade” given the ambiguity and risk, whereas Llama/Meta and Gemini/Google see a moderate bearish opportunity.  – The recommended strike levels differ slightly: one report referenced the ATM region near $112 while the more detailed Gemini/Google plan suggests a slightly lower strike ($111) to better capture a potential move toward max pain. ────────────────────────────── CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE Overall Market Direction Consensus: • Although there is no unanimity, the preponderance of evidence—especially the short‑term technical weakness, the negative export restrictions news, elevated (but falling) volatility, and the max pain setup—leans toward a moderately bearish bias for today’s session. Recommended Trade: • We recommend a weekly naked put option trade (using only weekly options) if NVDA trades within or near our expected range at the open. • Best execution is near market open provided the premium falls into or near our target range ($0.30–$0.60, allowing for slight flexibility). • Specifically, purchase a $111 put expiring on April 17, 2025, which places you between the current trading level and the $110 max pain level. • Entry Timing: At market open. • Confidence Level: Approximately 65% • Key risk factors include:  – The inherent conflict between short‐term and longer‐term signals,  – Possibility of the stock continuing its r ecent rally (or failing to reach down near $110), and  – Extreme theta decay and premium volatility with only one day to expiration. • Trade Parameters (example):  – Entry premium target about $0.50 per contract (if within acceptable range),  – Profit target set around $0.90 (roughly an 80% gain on premium), and  – Stop loss around $0.25 (50% of entry premium). ────────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 111.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 0.90, "stop_loss": 0.25, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.50, "entry_timing": "open" }
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by henryzhang99
April 15th Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +940 Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: Good **Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System ** 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! - easy money 10:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal - easy money 1:02 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! - easy money 1:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple signal) -a bit tuff but still work out 3:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) - a bit tuff but still work out **Wed plan: ** Watch for 48M support or 195M support to tag around 5200-5300s.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
US President Says All Necessary Permits Will Be Given to NVDAIn shocking turn of events today, US President Donald Trump said "All necessary permits will be expedited delivered to Nvidia." The asset however, fail to play according to the rhythm of the fundamental, up by 1.51% as of the time of writing with the RSI at 56.27. Nvidia has also been plaque by Trump's tariff rate increment that saw the shares lose about 29% in market value for the past 3 weeks. For Nvidia Shares ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), a break above the $150 resistant could pave way for a bullish course. Similarly, failure to break pass the resistant point could resort to a bearish reversal bringing it back to the support point. Analyst Forecast According to 43 analysts, the average rating for NVDA stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $172.76, which is an increase of 53.68% from the latest price.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
4
FREE Day Trade Setup 15April: $NVDA🚨 FREE Day Trade Setup: NASDAQ:NVDA 🚨 🚀 Bullish Scenario: Entry: Break above $111.88 (S/R Area) 🎯 Targets: 10% / $112.70, $114.05, PDH 📈 Instruments: Options: April 18th $112 Calls 🚪 Exit: Close below H5 on chosen timeframe (2m / 5m / 15m) 📉 Bearish Scenario: Entry: Break below PDL at $109.07 🎯 Targets: 10% / $108.01, $106.92, $105.77 📉 Instruments: Options: April 18th $109 Puts 🚪 Exit: Close below H5 on chosen timeframe (2m / 5m / 15m) Not Financial Advice
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RonnieV29
$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows: Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25 Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86 Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TazmanianTrader
5
NVIDIA ---> The jorney TO ---> 90s and 80s (UPDATED) PART 2Okay guys. Here is my UPDATED idea (just dont know how to insert an updated chart in the previous exsiting idea). I think it could be usful, CAUSE many guys burning for bullish. I was straight bearish in the first part of idea, but here is some corrections cause of Trump canceled the additonal tarrifs for import from China, for critical technologies such as semiconductors, chips, smartphones and laptops. So I assume the price can go first up to 113 and go down or even touch 117 and then the "Journey" at least to 90s and even 80s. As we see the lines of resistance in that areas on the chart. The dead line for the price reversal is Tuesday, April 15 (in my opinion). My technical analysis telling me this. Let's watch what will happen.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by jackan1133
Quantum's NVDA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. AI chip dominance drives optimism, but tariff risks and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Chatter posts split—bulls see growth, bears eye correction. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $110, with $105 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $108-$110 buys to $115 if $108 holds. Bearish below $108 risks $105. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $NVDA. Earnings: Q1 due May; no update today. Chatter: Debates AI growth vs. tariff/supply chain risks. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NASDAQ:NVDA M&A; AI chip partnerships rumored. Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:NVDA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $110.93 (April 11), 1M: -9%, 1Y: +28%. Range $105-$120, testing $110 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $115 (12,000, 60% ask), $120 (10,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $105 (8,000, 70% bid), $108 (6,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $108. Open Interest: Calls: $115 (35,000, +6,000), $120 (25,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $105 (20,000, flat), $108 (22,000, +3,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $115 (40%), $120 (42%, up 3%). $120 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $105 (35%, down 2%), $108 (36%). Falling $105 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $105-$120, 20% <$105. Karsan’s Interpretation: Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $110. Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $110. GEX: +60,000. Stabilizes range. DEX: +8M shares, neutral. Karsan view: GEX holds $105-$120; tariff news key. ICT/SMT Analysis: Weekly: Neutral, $105 support, $120 resistance. No $NVDA/ NASDAQ:AMD divergence. Daily: Bullish at $110 FVG, targets $115. Bearish < $108. 1-Hour: Bullish >$110, $115 target. MSS at $108. 10-Minute: OTE ($109-$111, $110) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $108-$110 to $115. Options show $115 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $105-$120 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $105 possible with tariffs. $105 put volume grows
NASDAQ:NVDA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Margin Meltdown & the Golden Surge: How Tech Cracks Fueled Gold?Margin Meltdown & the Golden Surge: How Tech Cracks Fueled Gold’s Breakout in April 2025 Fear-Driven Flight to Gold is Real If margin calls continue and top stocks like Microsoft and NVIDIA keep showing weakness: • Expect more bond market stress • A persistently weak dollar • And a sustained gold rally Gold is the cleanest beneficiary of the current chaos. Every chart, every data point, every political move validates it. ////////=====//////// What’s Happening in the Stock Market and Trump’s Tariffs – Simple Summary (Updated & Validated) 1. Margin Loans: Many investors borrowed money using their stock portfolios as collateral. For example, if someone owns $100,000 in Microsoft stock (now trading at $388.45), they could borrow up to 90% of that value — $90,000 — and use it to buy other stocks like NVIDIA ($110.93). 2. Margin Calls: When the market fell earlier this month, Microsoft and NVIDIA dropped sharply. Brokers issued margin calls, forcing investors to either deposit more funds or sell off assets to cover their positions. 3. Forced Selling: As stocks fell further, more investors were forced to liquidate. This increased selling pressure pushed prices down even harder. 4. Vicious Cycle: The deeper the drop, the more margin calls got triggered, which led to even more forced sales — a self-perpetuating loop of destruction. 5. Bond Selling Instead of Stocks: Some investors didn’t want to sell their stock positions and instead began selling bonds to raise cash — including even U.S. Treasuries. 6. Bond Market Shock: This rare, broad-scale bond selloff shook up the entire fixed-income market — everything from corporate to government bonds dumped. 7. Rising Yields: As bond prices fell, yields spiked. But this wasn’t due to strong growth — it was pure fear-driven liquidation. 8. Unexpected Dollar Weakness: Usually, during times of crisis, the dollar strengthens. But not this time. The U.S. dollar fell, while currencies like the euro and Swiss franc gained. The Chinese yuan stayed weak under its own pressures. 9. Trump’s Reaction: In response to the chaos, Trump’s administration paused tariffs for 90 days — a political move under pressure. But the damage to market psychology was already done. 10. Tax-Loss Harvesting by Smart Investors: During the crash, savvy investors sold declining stocks like Microsoft to lock in tax deductions, then bought similar alternatives like NVIDIA to stay in the market while writing off losses. Impact on Gold (XAU/USD) – Real-Time Validation As of April 12, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at: $3,235.91 (+$60.13 for the day | +12.02% over the past month) Let’s validate the theory with what actually happened: 1. Gold vs. Stocks and Bonds: While Microsoft and NVIDIA were collapsing earlier this month, gold surged. This shift confirms a flight to safety — gold became the preferred hedge during equity and bond volatility. 2. Falling Dollar = Bullish for Gold: With the dollar under pressure, gold became cheaper in foreign currencies — driving international demand and pushing prices even higher. 3. Rising Yields – But Driven by Panic: Normally, higher yields compete with gold. But this time, yields rose because bonds were being dumped, not because of economic strength. That fear drove even more capital into gold. 4. Policy Uncertainty: Trump’s late response and inconsistent trade policies fueled further market unease. That pushed more investors toward gold as a non-political store of value. 5. Liquidity Crunch Risk: Some gold may have been sold during the panic to raise quick cash, but overall, the trend shows that gold held firm and then broke out even harder — a textbook crisis hedge move. Real Example: Microsoft and NVIDIA Margin Trap Let’s walk through the actual setup: • An investor owns $100,000 in Microsoft (MSFT at $388.45). • They take a $90,000 margin loan to buy NVIDIA (NVDA at $110.93). • Early April: • MSFT dropped below $320. • NVDA fell under $100. This triggers: • Margin calls. • Forced selling of both positions. • Possibly even bond liquidation. • And systemic panic across portfolios. Result? • Tech sold off. • Bonds dropped. • Yields rose. • Dollar weakened. • Gold exploded. ///////======////// Impact on Gold (XAU/USD): Real Events, Real Movement • Microsoft & NVIDIA Down: Confirmed panic in tech. • Bond Selloff = Higher Yields: But from fear, not confidence. • Weaker Dollar: Confirmed. • Gold Breakout: Real. • RSI above 70 • ADX shows trend strength • Volume surging • Price broke $3,200 and held Gold moved exactly how a textbook safe haven asset should behave in this //////======/////// XAUUSD market behavior and trader mindset: 1. Monday: Continuation After Breakout (Euphoria Phase) Psychological Insight: Traders and institutions are chasing momentum. After a clean breakout, FOMO kicks in, especially for those who missed the first leg. They buy pullbacks aggressively, creating a bullish Monday. Projection: Bullish continuation Range: 3,230 – 3,270 Bias: Buy dips Reason: Momentum from last week’s breakout still pushing higher. RSI >70 but not topping, and no reversal pattern on daily chart. Weak USD persists. 2. Tuesday: Pullback from Overextension (Reality Check) Psychological Insight: Once price pushes too far, short-term traders start locking profits. This creates a dip. But smart money (institutions) sees the pullback as cheap entry — especially with no bearish reversal confirmation. This is textbook reaccumulation psychology. Projection: Intraday pullback, then bounce Range: 3,250 – 3,280 Bias: Buy on VWAP pullback Reason: Small retracement likely due to overextension. Support at VWAP (~3,219). Bullish engulfing pattern might trigger dip-buyers. 3. Wednesday: Retest / Breakout (Conviction Phase) Psychological Insight: After a healthy pullback and hold, traders regain confidence in the trend. Breakout traders load in here — and weak shorts get squeezed. This is where bullish conviction peaks, triggering high-volume moves. Projection: Breakout attempt Range: 3,265 – 3,310 Bias: Scalpers can long breakout Reason: If momentum holds, this is likely the day gold retests highs and pushes through short-term resistance (~3,300 psychological + fib extension zone). 4. Thursday: Sideways Chop (Indecision / Distribution) Psychological Insight: Market participants are split. Some want to hold into the weekend; others fear a Friday sell-off. You see hesitation, tighter ranges, and volume drop-off — classic signs of short-term indecision and distribution by early buyers. Projection: Consolidation / Sideways Range: 3,280 – 3,310 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish Reason: After a breakout, price typically stalls for distribution/re-accumulation. Expect reduced volatility unless triggered by macro news (watch bond yields). 5. Friday: Final Move (Greed vs. Fear Showdown) Psychological Insight: End-of-week decisions are all about book-squaring. If the week was strong and the narrative holds, we get greedy breakouts into the weekend. If uncertainty creeps in (e.g. Fed noise, geopolitical tension), profit-taking overrides conviction, leading to a dip. Projection: Second leg breakout or profit-taking Range: 3,270 – 3,330 Bias: Depends on Thursday’s behavior Scenario 1: If Thursday consolidates tightly, breakout possible. Scenario 2: If extended already, profit-taking dip possible into close. /////=====///// Weekly Summary: • High probability: Gold hits $3,300 – $3,330 this week • Support zones: $3,219 (VWAP), $3,175 (previous breakout zone) • Resistance zones: $3,298 (fib cluster), $3,330 (round number magnet) This projection isn’t just TA — it’s behavioral trading at its core, based on how traders actually react: • FOMO, • profit-protection, • fear of reversal, • and end-of-week positioning. Every day’s move is driven by human emotion wrapped around market structure.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
1
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Shares Rally Amid AI Sector OptimismShares of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) have gained over 3% on Friday 11th April. The positive results come after U.S. markets rallied on tariff news. President Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs. Reciprocal tariffs for most countries dropped to 10%, sparking investor optimism. Major U.S. indices rose sharply following the announcement after being under pressure from rising trade tensions. The pause was seen as a welcome shift toward calmer negotiations. However, Trump excluded China from this relief. Instead, he stated that tariffs on Chinese goods would increase to 125%. This came after China announced new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. The tough stance toward China contrasted with the softened approach to other countries. Despite the relief, market uncertainty remains. Investors are unsure whether the rally will last. Ongoing trade disputes, especially with China, could disrupt momentum. Nvidia's price rose to $110.78, gaining $14.99 on Friday's session. The stock reached an intraday high of $111.53 and a low of $107.48. The current resistance sits at $153.13 high. Technical Analysis Nvidia bounced sharply off the $92 support zone, highlighted by strong buying pressure. The RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum. A clear resistance lies near $153.13 high. If Nvidia breaks this level, a move toward $180 is likely. If it fails, price may revisit the $92 zone. Two scenarios are possible. The stock could either continue upward to $180 or face rejection and fall back. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
Support Zone: 106.19 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (NVDA Chart) The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was formed at 106.19. Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 106.19. - (30m chart) If it falls below 106.19, 1st: M-Signal indicator on 1M chart 2nd: HA-Low indicator on 30m chart You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. - (1D chart) Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has been newly created, the key is whether it can be supported near this area and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. If so, it is expected to turn into a short-term uptrend. If not, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, so the current position is an important section. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope your transaction will be successful. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDA
by readCrypto